🏷️ Likely Rental
371 Riverside Ave · Buffalo, NY
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +4.5/5.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$290,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (5+ Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records
5+ unit building — per-unit beds/baths from public records are typically unavailable; the breakdown below (if shown) is an estimate from the listing text.
Listing remarks MLS
FIVE Extremely spacious renovated units. Upper floor has 2 very large units with separate entrances. Hardwood floors and new vinyl flooring. Some newly renovated kitchens. 4 brand new HWT''s and 2 brand new furnaces. All tenants want to stay. The upper unit tenant recently moved into the owner's bigger unit at another property. Can easily be rented out for at least $1200. Corner lot with a driveway. Sold AS IS. Showings begin at OPEN HOUSE on Saturday, 3/28 from 11:00-1:00 PM.
Key facts
- Renovated units
- Brand new hwts
- Separate entrances
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5-bed/?-bath multifamily listed at $290k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $4k ($43k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($7k rent vs $290k).
- Recommended offer: $264k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 21.2% vs local median 8.0% in Buffalo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#195 in NY, #3,011 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
- Buffalo City School District (urban): math 41% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #535 of 590 in NY (top 91%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.2%/yr); 199 active listings in the ZIP; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $7,090/mo this rent would consume 214% of the median local household income ($40k/yr) (locally 2177% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $81k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 93 days — a 9% lower offer ($264k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $46k; list at $290k implies a 524% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1880 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 93 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1880 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.44% ✓
- Cap rate
- 21.18%
- Cash-on-cash
- 53.16%
- DSCR
- 3.37
- GRM
- 3.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $462,196
- List price
- $290,000
- Delta
- -37.26%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 13 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 706 Tonawanda St | 0.35mi | 4/— (-1) | 6,582 (+3%) | 1mo | $450,000 | $68 | 73 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 56.8%
- Equity multiple
- 3.71×
- Total profit
- $219,677
- Equity at exit
- $43,240
- IRR
- 63.6%
- Equity multiple
- 9.09×
- Total profit
- $657,256
- Equity at exit
- $25,074
Cash invested: $81,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14207
- Home prices YoY
- -18.9%
- Rents YoY
- 8.2%
- Active inventory
- 199
- Price-to-rent
- 19.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $7,090 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,521
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$362 /mo · $4,350/yr
- Insurance
- −$121
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,489
- Net cashflow
- $3,597
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $3,797 | -5% $3,697 | +0% $3,597 | +5% $3,497 | +10% $3,397 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $3,037 | -5% $3,317 | +0% $3,597 | +5% $3,877 | +10% $4,157 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $3,743 | -0.5pp $3,671 | base $3,597 | +0.5pp $3,522 | +1.0pp $3,445 |
6-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4× units | 2 | 1 | $4,848 |
| #1 | 2 | 1 | $1,212 |
| #2 | 2 | 1 | $1,212 |
| #3 | 2 | 1 | $1,212 |
| #4 | 2 | 1 | $1,212 |
| 2× units | 1 | 1 | $2,242 |
| #5 | 1 | 1 | $1,121 |
| #6 | 1 | 1 | $1,121 |
| Total (6 units) | $7,090 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $72,500
- Closing costs
- $8,700
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $290,000 Active 93 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $290,000 Active 90 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $290,000 Active 89 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $290,000 Active 88 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $290,000 Active 87 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $290,000 Active 85 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $290,000 Active 84 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $290,000 Active 82 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $290,000 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $290,000 Active 80 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $290,000 Active 79 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $290,000 Active 75 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $290,000 Active 74 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $290,000 Active 73 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $290,000 Active 72 DOM
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2026-03-20$290,000 Active 481-char remark
Show marketing remark (481 chars)
FIVE Extremely spacious renovated units. Upper floor has 2 very large units with separate entrances. Hardwood floors and new vinyl flooring. Some newly renovated kitchens. 4 brand new HWT''s and 2 brand new furnaces. All tenants want to stay. The upper unit tenant recently moved into the owner's bigger unit at another property. Can easily be rented out for at least $1200. Corner lot with a driveway. Sold AS IS. Showings begin at OPEN HOUSE on Saturday, 3/28 from 11:00-1:00 PM.
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2025-02-20status Pending
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2025-02-18historical
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2025-02-11$275,000 Active
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2005-07-27soldstatus $46,500
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2005-04-30$49,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $85,080
- − Mortgage interest
- −$16,245
- − Property taxes
- −$4,350
- − Insurance
- −$1,450
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$6,806
- − Management
- −$6,806
- − Depreciation
- −$8,436
- Taxable income
- $40,986
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$9,837
- After-tax cash flow
- $33,327/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Buffalo City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3605850
- Math proficiency
- 41% ▲ 11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▲ 7.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,665
- Composite
- 33.17/100
- National rank
- #5544
- State rank
- #535 of 590 in NY
Livability — Buffalo
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #195
- US rank
- #3011
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Buffalo, NY
- County
- Erie County · 714,559 people
- City population
- 440,021
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 26,327
- Household income
- $39,753
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2177.0
Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 933,037 people
- By 2030
- 935,181 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 928,531 · -0.5%
- By 2050
- 905,725 · -2.9%
- By 2075
- 834,037 · -10.6%
- By 2100
- 708,033 · -24.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.74)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 40% Hispanic / Latino 23% Black 16% Asian 15% Two or more races 14%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 18% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 8% Portuguese 1% Arab 1%
- Foreign-born
- 19% · Philippines, Canada, India
- Languages at home
- 65% English-only · Spanish 14% Other Asian/Pacific 10% Other Indo-European 5%
Political lean MEDSL · Erie
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -54.42%
- Current HPI
- 233.0902
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 8.19%
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+481.2% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-20 Listed $290,000 WNYREIS
- 2025-02-20 Pending — WNYREIS
- 2025-02-18 Listing Removed — WNYREIS
- 2025-02-11 Listed $275,000 WNYREIS
- 2005-07-27 Sold (MLS) $46,500 WNYREIS
- 2005-04-30 Listed $49,900 WNYREIS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…