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Jillian B Plan 🏗️ New Construction
D Composite 42.85
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +14.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +4.4/10.0
  • Livability +4.1/5.0
  • 1% rule +4.0/10.0
  • Schools +2.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$205,595

Jillian B Plan · Huntsville, AL 35756
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,450 sqft · SingleFamily · 112 Days on market

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Key facts

  • Master suite privacy
  • Open kitchen layout
  • Listed 112 days

Tags

OPEN KITCHEN LAYOUTMASTER SUITE PRIVACY

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: List price $202,537

Exterior

  • Home design: New construction plan; Single-family residence (plan name: Jillian B)
  • Construction: Living area approximately 1,450
  • Exterior features: Located on SW State Highway 20

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: 2 bathrooms (full)
  • Interior features: Plan: Jillian B

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏗️ New construction. Builder plan / spec listing (the home may be to-be-built); metrics use comparable previous sales.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $206k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $48 ($580/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $186k (9.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $186k (9.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 3.8% in Huntsville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 82/100 on livability (#3 in AL, #1,082 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
  • Huntsville City (urban): math 21% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #48 of 129 in AL (top 37%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.1%/yr); 826 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; high-income renter base; 494 units permitted in Limestone County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent is only 17% of the median local income ($130k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Limestone County population projected at +43% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 112 days — a 9% lower offer ($187k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $185,971 (9.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 112 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 10% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.90%
Cap rate
6.58%
Cash-on-cash
1.01%
DSCR
1.04
GRM
9.2

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.15% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-16.8%
Equity multiple
0.42×
Total profit
$-33,607
Equity at exit
$30,655
10-year hold
IRR
-12.4%
Equity multiple
0.33×
Total profit
$-38,624
Equity at exit
$17,776

Cash invested: $57,567 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 35756

Home prices YoY
-21.7%
Rents YoY
1.1%
Active inventory
826
Price-to-rent
9.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,860 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,078
Tax est. 1.5%
$257 /mo · $3,084/yr
Insurance
$86
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$391
Net cashflow
$48

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,799
Max offer price $205,595
Occupancy floor 92%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $190 -5% $119 +0% $48 +5% $-23 +10% $-94
Rent -10% $-99 -5% $-25 +0% $48 +5% $122 +10% $195
Rate -1.0pp $152 -0.5pp $101 base $48 +0.5pp $-5 +1.0pp $-59

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$51,399
Closing costs
$6,168
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
100 Crimson Rose Dr Madison, AL 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 918 $1,213 $1.32 16d 48 1.46mi

Listing history 11 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $205,595 Active 112 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $205,595 Active 109 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $205,595 Active 108 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $205,595 Active 107 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $205,595 Active 106 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $205,595 Active 104 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $205,595 Active 101 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $205,595 Active 100 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    price $205,595 Active 99 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $202,537 Active 99 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    listed $202,537 Active 98 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 22% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,317
− Mortgage interest
−$11,517
− Property taxes
−$3,084
− Insurance
−$1,028
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,785
− Management
−$1,785
− Depreciation
−$5,981
Taxable loss
−$2,863
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$687
After-tax cash flow
$1,267/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Huntsville City
NCES district ID
0101800
Math proficiency
21% ▼ -23.00%
Reading proficiency
46% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$48,264
Composite
28.84/100
National rank
#6647
State rank
#48 of 129 in AL

Livability — Huntsville

Score
82/100
State rank
#3
US rank
#1082

Category grades

Amenities B Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Huntsville, AL
County
Limestone County · 80,439 people
City population
220,435
Metro
Huntsville, AL
Population (ZIP)
24,947
Household income
$129,852
Rent vs Own
17.4% rent · 82.6% own
Severe rent burden
286.0

Population outlook (Limestone County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
111,441 people
By 2030
121,272 · +8.8%
By 2040
140,705 · +26.3%
By 2050
159,069 · +42.7%
By 2075
202,231 · +81.5%
By 2100
230,608 · +106.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
Race & ethnicity
White 59% Black 21% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 7% Asian 6% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Italian 3% Serbian 3% Slovak 3%
Foreign-born
8% · China, South Korea, Canada
Languages at home
90% English-only · Spanish 3% Korean 2% Other Indo-European 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Limestone

2024 margin
Solid R (+43.9) · D 27.5% · R 71.4% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-2.0pp toward R · 2008: -41.9pp · 2024: -43.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+43.9 2020: R+42.6 2016: R+49.5 2012: R+43.6 2008: R+41.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -50.15%
Current HPI
180.5285
Rent YoY
▲ 1.15%
Metro
Huntsville, AL
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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