242 Trout Ln · Ebensburg, PA 15931

$99,900

4 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,278 sqft · SingleFamily · 40 Days on market

Built 1920 0.70 ac lot

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Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Livability +4.4/5.0
• Schools +4.1/10.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Opportunity knocks in Ebensburg! This two‑story single‑family home offers the kind of space, character, and potential that buyers and investors are always searching for. Set on a generous lot in Cambria County, within the Central Cambria School District, this property combines historic charm with modern possibilities. Built in 1920 and it’s now ready for its next chapter. For first‑time buyers, this is a chance to step into homeownership at an affordable price point, with plenty of room to personalize and build equity. For investors and flippers, the numbers speak for themselves: priced attractively compared to area comps, this property offers strong upside for renovation, resale, or

Key facts

• 0.7 acre lot
• Built 1920
• Listed 40 days

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $735 ($9k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $100k).
• Recommended offer: $97k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 87/100 on livability (#53 in PA, #310 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: schools A+, crime A+, cost of living A+; Watch: commute F.
• Central Cambria SD (rural): math 40% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #225 of 539 in PA (top 42%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: 38 active listings in the ZIP; 64 units permitted in Cambria County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Cambria County population projected at -28% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 40 days — a 3% lower offer ($97k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $96,903 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 40 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.71% ✓
• Cap rate: 15.13%
• Cash-on-cash: 31.54%
• DSCR: 2.40
• GRM: 4.9

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $357,646
• Comps found: 3

Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
110 Tonwood Rd	0.36mi	3/2.5 (-1)	2,300 (+1%)	14mo	$360,000	$157	63
302 Laurelbrook Rd	0.56mi	4/2.0	2,184 (-4%)	8mo	$287,500	$132	60
205 Maplebrook Rd	0.67mi	3/2.0 (-1)	2,029 (-11%)	19mo	$345,050	$170	29

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 26.4%
• Equity multiple: 2.09×
• Total profit: $30,626
• Equity at exit: $14,895

10-year hold

• IRR: 34.0%
• Equity multiple: 4.11×
• Total profit: $86,897
• Equity at exit: $8,638

Cash invested: $27,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 62 Landlord-Friendly
• State Pennsylvania: 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 15931

• Home prices YoY: -29.5%
• Active inventory: 38
• Price-to-rent: 4.9×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,713 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$524
• Tax from tax record: −$53 /mo · $631/yr
• Insurance: −$42
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$360
• Net cashflow: $735

Break-even live

Break-even rent $782

Max offer price $99,900

Occupancy floor 52%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $792	-5% $764	+0% $735	+5% $707	+10% $679
Rent	-10% $600	-5% $668	+0% $735	+5% $803	+10% $871
Rate	-1.0pp $786	-0.5pp $761	base $735	+0.5pp $709	+1.0pp $683

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $24,975
• Closing costs: $2,997
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 2 events

1. 2026-02-11
   status Pending
2. 2026-01-02
   listed $99,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

• Current annual tax: $631 · $53/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $1,105 · $92/mo
• Expected delta: +$474/yr (+$39/mo · 75.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 72% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $20,558
• − Mortgage interest: −$5,596
• − Property taxes: −$631
• − Insurance: −$500
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,645
• − Management: −$1,645
• − Depreciation: −$2,906
• Taxable income: $7,636
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$1,833
• After-tax cash flow: $6,991/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Central Cambria SD
• NCES district ID: 4205340
• Math proficiency: 40% ▼ -10.00%
• Reading proficiency: 55% ▼ -13.00%
• Median HH income: $50,276
• Composite: 40.68/100
• National rank: #3674
• State rank: #225 of 539 in PA

Livability — Ebensburg

• Score: 87/100
• State rank: #53
• US rank: #310

Category grades

Amenities C+ Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Population (ZIP): 8,852

Population outlook (Cambria County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 122,754 people
• By 2030: 115,827 · -5.6%
• By 2040: 101,309 · -17.5%
• By 2050: 88,379 · -28.0%
• By 2075: 65,237 · -46.9%
• By 2100: 46,909 · -61.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (96%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 96% Black 2% Two or more races 2%
• Common ancestry: Romanian 12% Lithuanian 2% Scotch-Irish 2%
• Foreign-born: 1%
• Languages at home: 98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Cambria

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+39.7) · D 29.8% · R 69.5%
• 2008→2024 swing: -40.4pp toward R · 2008: 0.7pp · 2024: -39.7pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+39.7 2020: R+37.3 2016: R+37.8 2012: R+17.8 2008: D+0.7

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -54.99%
• Current HPI: 131.3961
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 1.68%
• F500 in state: 34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Healthcare	2	$309B
▸Insurance	2	$27B
▸Telecommunications / Media	1	$124B
▸Industrial Distribution	1	$22B
▸Financial Services	1	$20B
▸Chemicals / Materials	1	$18B

Price history

2 events — show timeline

• 2026-02-11 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
• 2026-01-02 Listed $99,900 BRIGHT MLS

Property tax history

+0.6%/yr

Latest (2026): $631 · +3.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.