CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
2914 Sturges St
D- Composite 39.95
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.3/30.0
  • DSCR +4.7/10.0
  • ARV discount +4.4/15.0
  • 1% rule +3.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.4/5.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Schools +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$159,900

2914 Sturges St · Port Huron, MI 48060
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,150 sqft · SingleFamily · 17 Days on market
Built 1974 0.53 ac lot Est $150k · 7% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This home is located close to expressways, shopping, and the beaches. New 1.5 garage was just added, along with an additional room all finished with heat, you have options make it into an master bedroom or a great space for a family room for entertaining. Furnace is just a few years old. Oversized double lot, just over a 1/2 acre which gives lots of privacy and space for all outdoor functions. No stairs involved with this Convenient laundry room / breezeway on main level. Walk out sliding glass doors makes easy access to do some summer BBQ.

Key facts

  • 0.53 acre lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1974

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage (1.5 spaces)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One level; Ground-level entry
  • Construction: Built with other construction materials; Slab foundation
  • Exterior features: Patio; Porch; Paved road access; Lot approximately 0.53 acres (100 x 231)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Free-standing electric range; Free-standing refrigerator
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No central cooling
  • Interior features: Free-standing electric range; Free-standing refrigerator; Six total rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $160k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $57 ($689/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $143k (10.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $143k (10.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.7% vs local median 4.3% in Port Huron — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#445 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, health & safety D, crime F.
  • Port Huron Area School District (suburban): math 23% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #368 of 540 in MI (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Literacy Academy At Cleveland Elementary (278 students, 93% FRL); Central Middle School (math 14% / reading 30%, grade F, #408 of 493 statewide, top 84%, 629 students, 72% FRL); Port Huron High School (math 27% / reading 57%, grade F, #264 of 713 statewide, top 41%, 1,100 students, 69% FRL) — zoned schools average 78% FRL vs 47% district-wide (30 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.6%/yr); 224 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 0d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 232 units permitted in St. Clair County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($53k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • St. Clair County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($158k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $48k; list at $160k implies a 237% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $142,995 (10.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.89%
Cap rate
6.72%
Cash-on-cash
1.54%
DSCR
1.07
GRM
9.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$149,500
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2824 Peavey St 0.08mi 2/1.0 1,248 (+8%) 1mo $175,000 $140 82
2615 North Blvd 0.27mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,148 (-0%) 18mo $155,000 $135 67
85 Saint James St 0.48mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,124 (-2%) 3mo $233,000 $207 66
3017 Conner St 0.27mi 3/3.0 (+1) 1,152 (+0%) 13mo $149,900 $130 63
3005 Sturges St 0.06mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,056 (-8%) 20mo $110,000 $104 62
3025 Conner St 0.28mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,016 (-12%) 3mo $139,000 $137 60
3257 Moak St 0.47mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,172 (+2%) 8mo $160,000 $137 59
2819 North Blvd 0.21mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,300 (+13%) 7mo $159,900 $123 57
3012 Sturges St 0.06mi 3/1.0 (+1) 979 (-15%) 18mo $50,000 $51 52
2513 Vanness St 0.61mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,017 (-12%) 5mo $55,000 $54 43
3333 152 Ravenswood Rd 0.49mi 2/1.5 1,004 (-13%) 23mo $25,000 $25 35
3221 24th St 0.59mi 3/1.0 (+1) 984 (-14%) 22mo $65,000 $66 25

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.61% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-13.2%
Equity multiple
0.52×
Total profit
$-21,368
Equity at exit
$23,842
10-year hold
IRR
-3.3%
Equity multiple
0.77×
Total profit
$-10,221
Equity at exit
$13,825

Cash invested: $44,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48060

Rents YoY
3.6%
Active inventory
224
Price-to-rent
9.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,430 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$839
Tax from tax record
$167 /mo · $2,005/yr
Insurance
$67
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$300
Net cashflow
$57

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,357
Max offer price $159,900
Occupancy floor 91%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $148 -5% $103 +0% $57 +5% $12 +10% $-33
Rent -10% $-56 -5% $1 +0% $57 +5% $114 +10% $170
Rate -1.0pp $138 -0.5pp $98 base $57 +0.5pp $16 +1.0pp $-26

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$39,975
Closing costs
$4,797
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
45 Gratiot Blvd Unit 1550273P Marysville, MI 2.0 1.5 1323 $5,151 $3.89 1d 1 0.24mi
3345 Military St Port Huron, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0 683 $1,035 $1.51 0d 9 0.78mi
3991 Brookstone Pl Port Huron, MI 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 980 $1,302 $1.33 0d 10 1.12mi

Listing history 11 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $159,900 Active 17 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $159,900 Active 14 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $159,900 Active 13 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $159,900 Active 12 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $159,900 Active 11 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $159,900 Active 9 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $159,900 Active 8 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $159,900 Active 5 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $159,900 Active 4 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    remarks 547-char remark
  11. 2026-06-07
    listed $159,900 Active 3 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,005 · $167/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,234 · $186/mo
Expected delta
+$229/yr (+$19/mo · 11.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,159
− Mortgage interest
−$8,957
− Property taxes
−$2,005
− Insurance
−$800
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,373
− Management
−$1,373
− Depreciation
−$4,652
Taxable loss
−$1,999
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$480
After-tax cash flow
$1,169/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Port Huron Area School District
NCES district ID
2628830
Math proficiency
23% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
37% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$42,093
Composite
25.4/100
National rank
#7462
State rank
#368 of 540 in MI

Livability — Port Huron

Score
65/100
State rank
#445
US rank
#12478

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety D User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Port Huron, MI
County
Saint Clair County · 44,760 people
City population
39,342
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
39,342
Household income
$53,018
Rent vs Own
37.0% rent · 63.0% own
Severe rent burden
1808.0

Population outlook (St. Clair County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
154,587 people
By 2030
150,031 · -2.9%
By 2040
138,177 · -10.6%
By 2050
124,390 · -19.5%
By 2075
95,825 · -38.0%
By 2100
68,672 · -55.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (80%)
Race & ethnicity
White 80% Black 7% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Lithuanian 4% Slovak 3%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Clair

2024 margin
Solid R (+34.6) · D 32.0% · R 66.6% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-37.3pp toward R · 2008: 2.6pp · 2024: -34.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+34.6 2020: R+30.2 2016: R+31.4 2012: R+7.1 2008: D+2.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -134.75%
Current HPI
177.2401
Rent YoY
▲ 3.61%
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+236.6% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-05 Listed $159,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-06-05 Listed $159,900 REALCOMP
  • 2026-06-04 Coming Soon $159,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2010-06-02 Sold (Public Records) $47,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+9.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,005 · +8.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…