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715 Monument Rd
D+ Composite 49.04
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +14.6/30.0
  • DSCR +4.5/10.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$150,000

715 Monument Rd · Baldwin, MI 48763
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,232 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 12 Days on market
Built 1969 1.21 ac lot Est $196k · 23% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Enjoy the perfect blend of peaceful country living and close-to-town convenience in this inviting three-bedroom, one-bathroom home. Situated on over a generous acre of land, this property offers plenty of room to roam, garden, or expand your outdoor living space. Inside, a thoughtful floor plan features an abundance of large windows that seamlessly bring the beauty of the outdoors in, bathing the living spaces in natural light. On chilly evenings, you can gather around the cozy, classic wood-burning fireplace in the heart of the home. Recent Updates & Key Enhancements The property features a brand-new septic tank and field installed in 2022. Plus, a new hot water tank and updated kitchen appliances including a new refrigerator and stove installed just last year. The Ultimate Bonus Space The standout feature of this property is the massive 24 x 28 attached garage. While it easily accommodates a vehicle, it is designed to do so much more. This versatile space includes a convenient built-in half bath and a dedicated workshop area, making it perfectly suited for a home gym, hobby shop, or incredible extra storage. Delivering the perfect combination of space, functionality, and comfort, this property is ready for its next chapter.

Key facts

  • Large windows
  • New hot water tank
  • Over an acre of land

Tags

OVER AN ACRE OF LANDLARGE WINDOWSWOOD-BURNING FIREPLACEBRAND-NEW SEPTIC TANKNEW HOT WATER TANKUPDATED KITCHEN APPLIANCES

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property on approximately 1.21 acres

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage with 1 parking space
  • Utilities: Private well water; Septic sewer; Natural gas
  • Home design: Residential single-story home; Built in 1969; Crawl foundation
  • Construction: Vinyl siding construction; Crawl space foundation; Built in 1969
  • Exterior features: Vinyl siding; Fenced yard; Private well; Septic system

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen (11 x 12); Range/Oven; Refrigerator; Dishwasher not listed
  • Bedrooms: Main floor bedroom (11 x 11)
  • Bathrooms: 2 total bathrooms (includes 1 full, 1 lavatory)
  • Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating; Natural gas fuel
  • Interior features: Fireplace; Living room (20 x 15)
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Laundry on main level

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $150k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $37 ($443/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $119k (20.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $119k (20.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 3.6% in Baldwin — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#360 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Tawas Area Schools (rural): math 34% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #190 of 540 in MI (top 35%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 54 active listings in the ZIP; 58 units permitted in Iosco County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Iosco County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 4 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Recommended offer $119,441 (20.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1969 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.80%
Cap rate
6.59%
Cash-on-cash
1.05%
DSCR
1.05
GRM
10.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$195,888
Comps found
2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
715 Monument Rd 0.00mi 3/1.5 1,232 (0%) 13mo $157,000 $127 89
452 Lake Maynard Trl 0.53mi 3/2.0 1,254 (+2%) 18mo $200,000 $159 56

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-14.7%
Equity multiple
0.48×
Total profit
$-22,019
Equity at exit
$22,365
10-year hold
IRR
-6.1%
Equity multiple
0.61×
Total profit
$-16,399
Equity at exit
$12,969

Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48763

Home prices YoY
-15.8%
Active inventory
54
Price-to-rent
10.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,194 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$787
Tax from tax record
$58 /mo · $691/yr
Insurance
$62
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$251
Net cashflow
$37

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,148
Max offer price $150,000
Occupancy floor 92%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$37,500
Closing costs
$4,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 24 events

  1. 2026-06-17
    status $150,000 Pending 12 DOM
  2. 2026-06-16
    days on market $150,000 Active 12 DOM
  3. 2026-06-15
    days on market $150,000 Active 11 DOM
  4. 2026-06-13
    days on market $150,000 Active 9 DOM
  5. 2026-06-12
    pricedays on market $150,000 Active 8 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    status $170,000 Active 5 DOM
  7. 2026-06-03
    status $170,000 Pending 5 DOM
  8. 2026-06-02
    days on market $170,000 Active 5 DOM
  9. 2026-06-01
    days on market $170,000 Active 4 DOM
  10. 2026-05-31
    days on marketlisting id $170,000 Active 3 DOM
  11. 2026-05-31
    days on market $170,000 Active 2 DOM
  12. 2026-05-28
    listed $170,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (1251 chars)

    Enjoy the perfect blend of peaceful country living and close-to-town convenience in this inviting three-bedroom, one-bathroom home. Situated on over a generous acre of land, this property offers plenty of room to roam, garden, or expand your outdoor living space. Inside, a thoughtful floor plan features an abundance of large windows that seamlessly bring the beauty of the outdoors in, bathing the living spaces in natural light. On chilly evenings, you can gather around the cozy, classic wood-burning fireplace in the heart of the home. Recent Updates & Key Enhancements The property features a brand-new septic tank and field installed in 2022. Plus, a new hot water tank and updated kitchen appliances including a new refrigerator and stove installed just last year. The Ultimate Bonus Space The standout feature of this property is the massive 24 x 28 attached garage. While it easily accommodates a vehicle, it is designed to do so much more. This versatile space includes a convenient built-in half bath and a dedicated workshop area, making it perfectly suited for a home gym, hobby shop, or incredible extra storage. Delivering the perfect combination of space, functionality, and comfort, this property is ready for its next chapter.

  13. 2026-05-28
    listed $170,000 Active 1251-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1251 chars)

    Enjoy the perfect blend of peaceful country living and close-to-town convenience in this inviting three-bedroom, one-bathroom home. Situated on over a generous acre of land, this property offers plenty of room to roam, garden, or expand your outdoor living space. Inside, a thoughtful floor plan features an abundance of large windows that seamlessly bring the beauty of the outdoors in, bathing the living spaces in natural light. On chilly evenings, you can gather around the cozy, classic wood-burning fireplace in the heart of the home. Recent Updates & Key Enhancements The property features a brand-new septic tank and field installed in 2022. Plus, a new hot water tank and updated kitchen appliances including a new refrigerator and stove installed just last year. The Ultimate Bonus Space The standout feature of this property is the massive 24 x 28 attached garage. While it easily accommodates a vehicle, it is designed to do so much more. This versatile space includes a convenient built-in half bath and a dedicated workshop area, making it perfectly suited for a home gym, hobby shop, or incredible extra storage. Delivering the perfect combination of space, functionality, and comfort, this property is ready for its next chapter.

  14. 2025-05-27
    soldstatus $157,000
  15. 2025-05-23
    soldstatus $157,000 Closed 416-char remark
    Show marketing remark (416 chars)

    Enjoy country living close to town! This well maintained 3 bedroom, 1 bath house with wood burning fireplace has a great floor plan with plenty of large widows that invites the outside in. New septic tank and field in 2022. The 24 x 28 one car garage has a half bath and plenty of room for your workshop or additional storage. The property is on over an acre and has been owned by the same family since it was built.

  16. 2025-05-23
    soldstatus $157,000 Closed
    Show marketing remark (416 chars)

    Enjoy country living close to town! This well maintained 3 bedroom, 1 bath house with wood burning fireplace has a great floor plan with plenty of large widows that invites the outside in. New septic tank and field in 2022. The 24 x 28 one car garage has a half bath and plenty of room for your workshop or additional storage. The property is on over an acre and has been owned by the same family since it was built.

  17. 2025-05-21
    status Pending 416-char remark
    Show marketing remark (416 chars)

    Enjoy country living close to town! This well maintained 3 bedroom, 1 bath house with wood burning fireplace has a great floor plan with plenty of large widows that invites the outside in. New septic tank and field in 2022. The 24 x 28 one car garage has a half bath and plenty of room for your workshop or additional storage. The property is on over an acre and has been owned by the same family since it was built.

  18. 2025-05-21
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (416 chars)

    Enjoy country living close to town! This well maintained 3 bedroom, 1 bath house with wood burning fireplace has a great floor plan with plenty of large widows that invites the outside in. New septic tank and field in 2022. The 24 x 28 one car garage has a half bath and plenty of room for your workshop or additional storage. The property is on over an acre and has been owned by the same family since it was built.

  19. 2025-04-21
    historical Active Under Contract 416-char remark
    Show marketing remark (416 chars)

    Enjoy country living close to town! This well maintained 3 bedroom, 1 bath house with wood burning fireplace has a great floor plan with plenty of large widows that invites the outside in. New septic tank and field in 2022. The 24 x 28 one car garage has a half bath and plenty of room for your workshop or additional storage. The property is on over an acre and has been owned by the same family since it was built.

  20. 2025-04-21
    historical Accepting Backup Offers
    Show marketing remark (416 chars)

    Enjoy country living close to town! This well maintained 3 bedroom, 1 bath house with wood burning fireplace has a great floor plan with plenty of large widows that invites the outside in. New septic tank and field in 2022. The 24 x 28 one car garage has a half bath and plenty of room for your workshop or additional storage. The property is on over an acre and has been owned by the same family since it was built.

  21. 2025-04-09
    historical 416-char remark
    Show marketing remark (416 chars)

    Enjoy country living close to town! This well maintained 3 bedroom, 1 bath house with wood burning fireplace has a great floor plan with plenty of large widows that invites the outside in. New septic tank and field in 2022. The 24 x 28 one car garage has a half bath and plenty of room for your workshop or additional storage. The property is on over an acre and has been owned by the same family since it was built.

  22. 2025-04-02
    listed $159,900 Active 416-char remark
    Show marketing remark (416 chars)

    Enjoy country living close to town! This well maintained 3 bedroom, 1 bath house with wood burning fireplace has a great floor plan with plenty of large widows that invites the outside in. New septic tank and field in 2022. The 24 x 28 one car garage has a half bath and plenty of room for your workshop or additional storage. The property is on over an acre and has been owned by the same family since it was built.

  23. 2025-04-02
    listed $159,900 Active
    Show marketing remark (416 chars)

    Enjoy country living close to town! This well maintained 3 bedroom, 1 bath house with wood burning fireplace has a great floor plan with plenty of large widows that invites the outside in. New septic tank and field in 2022. The 24 x 28 one car garage has a half bath and plenty of room for your workshop or additional storage. The property is on over an acre and has been owned by the same family since it was built.

  24. 2022-04-14
    soldstatus $60,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$691 · $58/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,500 · $125/mo
Expected delta
+$810/yr (+$67/mo · 117.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,333
− Mortgage interest
−$8,402
− Property taxes
−$691
− Insurance
−$750
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,147
− Management
−$1,147
− Depreciation
−$4,364
Taxable loss
−$2,167
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$520
After-tax cash flow
$963/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Tawas Area Schools
NCES district ID
2633510
Math proficiency
34% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
51% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$40,651
Composite
35.61/100
National rank
#4891
State rank
#190 of 540 in MI

Livability — Baldwin

Score
68/100
State rank
#360
US rank
#9207

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A- Employment F Housing A Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
4,837

Population outlook (Iosco County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
24,366 people
By 2030
23,622 · -3.1%
By 2040
22,021 · -9.6%
By 2050
20,877 · -14.3%
By 2075
18,792 · -22.9%
By 2100
15,465 · -36.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (92%)
Race & ethnicity
White 92% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 1% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 6% Romanian 6% Slovak 4%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada, China
Languages at home
98% English-only · Chinese 1% Spanish 0%

Political lean MEDSL · Iosco

2024 margin
Solid R (+30.6) · D 34.0% · R 64.5% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-35.7pp toward R · 2008: 5.1pp · 2024: -30.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+30.6 2020: R+28.6 2016: R+30.0 2012: R+5.0 2008: D+5.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -47.19%
Current HPI
250.8991
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+183.3% since first listed
13 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-28 Listed $170,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-28 Listed $170,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-05-27 Sold (Public Records) $157,000 Public Records
  • 2025-05-23 Sold (MLS) $157,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-05-23 Sold (MLS) $157,000 REALCOMP
  • 2025-05-21 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2025-05-21 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-04-21 Contingent REALCOMP
  • 2025-04-21 Contingent MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-04-09 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2025-04-02 Listed $159,900 REALCOMP
  • 2025-04-02 Listed $159,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2022-04-14 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-0.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $691 · +3.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…