715 Monument Rd · Baldwin, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 94°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +14.6/30.0
- DSCR +4.5/10.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- 1% rule +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$150,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Enjoy the perfect blend of peaceful country living and close-to-town convenience in this inviting three-bedroom, one-bathroom home. Situated on over a generous acre of land, this property offers plenty of room to roam, garden, or expand your outdoor living space. Inside, a thoughtful floor plan features an abundance of large windows that seamlessly bring the beauty of the outdoors in, bathing the living spaces in natural light. On chilly evenings, you can gather around the cozy, classic wood-burning fireplace in the heart of the home. Recent Updates & Key Enhancements The property features a brand-new septic tank and field installed in 2022. Plus, a new hot water tank and updated kitchen appliances including a new refrigerator and stove installed just last year. The Ultimate Bonus Space The standout feature of this property is the massive 24 x 28 attached garage. While it easily accommodates a vehicle, it is designed to do so much more. This versatile space includes a convenient built-in half bath and a dedicated workshop area, making it perfectly suited for a home gym, hobby shop, or incredible extra storage. Delivering the perfect combination of space, functionality, and comfort, this property is ready for its next chapter.
Key facts
- Large windows
- New hot water tank
- Over an acre of land
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property on approximately 1.21 acres
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage with 1 parking space
- Utilities: Private well water; Septic sewer; Natural gas
- Home design: Residential single-story home; Built in 1969; Crawl foundation
- Construction: Vinyl siding construction; Crawl space foundation; Built in 1969
- Exterior features: Vinyl siding; Fenced yard; Private well; Septic system
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen (11 x 12); Range/Oven; Refrigerator; Dishwasher not listed
- Bedrooms: Main floor bedroom (11 x 11)
- Bathrooms: 2 total bathrooms (includes 1 full, 1 lavatory)
- Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating; Natural gas fuel
- Interior features: Fireplace; Living room (20 x 15)
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Laundry on main level
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $150k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $37 ($443/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $119k (20.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $119k (20.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 3.6% in Baldwin — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#360 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Tawas Area Schools (rural): math 34% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #190 of 540 in MI (top 35%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 54 active listings in the ZIP; 58 units permitted in Iosco County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Iosco County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 4 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1969 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.80% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.59%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.05%
- DSCR
- 1.05
- GRM
- 10.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $195,888
- Comps found
- 2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 715 Monument Rd | 0.00mi | 3/1.5 | 1,232 (0%) | 13mo | $157,000 | $127 | 89 |
| 452 Lake Maynard Trl | 0.53mi | 3/2.0 | 1,254 (+2%) | 18mo | $200,000 | $159 | 56 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -14.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.48×
- Total profit
- $-22,019
- Equity at exit
- $22,365
- IRR
- -6.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.61×
- Total profit
- $-16,399
- Equity at exit
- $12,969
Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48763
- Home prices YoY
- -15.8%
- Active inventory
- 54
- Price-to-rent
- 10.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,194 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$787
- Tax from tax record
- −$58 /mo · $691/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$251
- Net cashflow
- $37
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,500
- Closing costs
- $4,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-06-17status $150,000 Pending 12 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $150,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $150,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $150,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-12pricedays on market $150,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-09status $170,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-03status $170,000 Pending 5 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $170,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $170,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $170,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $170,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-05-28$170,000 Active
Show marketing remark (1251 chars)
Enjoy the perfect blend of peaceful country living and close-to-town convenience in this inviting three-bedroom, one-bathroom home. Situated on over a generous acre of land, this property offers plenty of room to roam, garden, or expand your outdoor living space. Inside, a thoughtful floor plan features an abundance of large windows that seamlessly bring the beauty of the outdoors in, bathing the living spaces in natural light. On chilly evenings, you can gather around the cozy, classic wood-burning fireplace in the heart of the home. Recent Updates & Key Enhancements The property features a brand-new septic tank and field installed in 2022. Plus, a new hot water tank and updated kitchen appliances including a new refrigerator and stove installed just last year. The Ultimate Bonus Space The standout feature of this property is the massive 24 x 28 attached garage. While it easily accommodates a vehicle, it is designed to do so much more. This versatile space includes a convenient built-in half bath and a dedicated workshop area, making it perfectly suited for a home gym, hobby shop, or incredible extra storage. Delivering the perfect combination of space, functionality, and comfort, this property is ready for its next chapter.
-
2026-05-28$170,000 Active 1251-char remark
Show marketing remark (1251 chars)
Enjoy the perfect blend of peaceful country living and close-to-town convenience in this inviting three-bedroom, one-bathroom home. Situated on over a generous acre of land, this property offers plenty of room to roam, garden, or expand your outdoor living space. Inside, a thoughtful floor plan features an abundance of large windows that seamlessly bring the beauty of the outdoors in, bathing the living spaces in natural light. On chilly evenings, you can gather around the cozy, classic wood-burning fireplace in the heart of the home. Recent Updates & Key Enhancements The property features a brand-new septic tank and field installed in 2022. Plus, a new hot water tank and updated kitchen appliances including a new refrigerator and stove installed just last year. The Ultimate Bonus Space The standout feature of this property is the massive 24 x 28 attached garage. While it easily accommodates a vehicle, it is designed to do so much more. This versatile space includes a convenient built-in half bath and a dedicated workshop area, making it perfectly suited for a home gym, hobby shop, or incredible extra storage. Delivering the perfect combination of space, functionality, and comfort, this property is ready for its next chapter.
-
2025-05-27soldstatus $157,000
-
2025-05-23soldstatus $157,000 Closed 416-char remark
Show marketing remark (416 chars)
Enjoy country living close to town! This well maintained 3 bedroom, 1 bath house with wood burning fireplace has a great floor plan with plenty of large widows that invites the outside in. New septic tank and field in 2022. The 24 x 28 one car garage has a half bath and plenty of room for your workshop or additional storage. The property is on over an acre and has been owned by the same family since it was built.
-
2025-05-23soldstatus $157,000 Closed
Show marketing remark (416 chars)
Enjoy country living close to town! This well maintained 3 bedroom, 1 bath house with wood burning fireplace has a great floor plan with plenty of large widows that invites the outside in. New septic tank and field in 2022. The 24 x 28 one car garage has a half bath and plenty of room for your workshop or additional storage. The property is on over an acre and has been owned by the same family since it was built.
-
2025-05-21status Pending 416-char remark
Show marketing remark (416 chars)
Enjoy country living close to town! This well maintained 3 bedroom, 1 bath house with wood burning fireplace has a great floor plan with plenty of large widows that invites the outside in. New septic tank and field in 2022. The 24 x 28 one car garage has a half bath and plenty of room for your workshop or additional storage. The property is on over an acre and has been owned by the same family since it was built.
-
2025-05-21status Pending
Show marketing remark (416 chars)
Enjoy country living close to town! This well maintained 3 bedroom, 1 bath house with wood burning fireplace has a great floor plan with plenty of large widows that invites the outside in. New septic tank and field in 2022. The 24 x 28 one car garage has a half bath and plenty of room for your workshop or additional storage. The property is on over an acre and has been owned by the same family since it was built.
-
2025-04-21historical Active Under Contract 416-char remark
Show marketing remark (416 chars)
Enjoy country living close to town! This well maintained 3 bedroom, 1 bath house with wood burning fireplace has a great floor plan with plenty of large widows that invites the outside in. New septic tank and field in 2022. The 24 x 28 one car garage has a half bath and plenty of room for your workshop or additional storage. The property is on over an acre and has been owned by the same family since it was built.
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2025-04-21historical Accepting Backup Offers
Show marketing remark (416 chars)
Enjoy country living close to town! This well maintained 3 bedroom, 1 bath house with wood burning fireplace has a great floor plan with plenty of large widows that invites the outside in. New septic tank and field in 2022. The 24 x 28 one car garage has a half bath and plenty of room for your workshop or additional storage. The property is on over an acre and has been owned by the same family since it was built.
-
2025-04-09historical 416-char remark
Show marketing remark (416 chars)
Enjoy country living close to town! This well maintained 3 bedroom, 1 bath house with wood burning fireplace has a great floor plan with plenty of large widows that invites the outside in. New septic tank and field in 2022. The 24 x 28 one car garage has a half bath and plenty of room for your workshop or additional storage. The property is on over an acre and has been owned by the same family since it was built.
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2025-04-02$159,900 Active 416-char remark
Show marketing remark (416 chars)
Enjoy country living close to town! This well maintained 3 bedroom, 1 bath house with wood burning fireplace has a great floor plan with plenty of large widows that invites the outside in. New septic tank and field in 2022. The 24 x 28 one car garage has a half bath and plenty of room for your workshop or additional storage. The property is on over an acre and has been owned by the same family since it was built.
-
2025-04-02$159,900 Active
Show marketing remark (416 chars)
Enjoy country living close to town! This well maintained 3 bedroom, 1 bath house with wood burning fireplace has a great floor plan with plenty of large widows that invites the outside in. New septic tank and field in 2022. The 24 x 28 one car garage has a half bath and plenty of room for your workshop or additional storage. The property is on over an acre and has been owned by the same family since it was built.
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2022-04-14soldstatus $60,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $691 · $58/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,500 · $125/mo
- Expected delta
- +$810/yr (+$67/mo · 117.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,333
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,402
- − Property taxes
- −$691
- − Insurance
- −$750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,147
- − Management
- −$1,147
- − Depreciation
- −$4,364
- Taxable loss
- −$2,167
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$520
- After-tax cash flow
- $963/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Tawas Area Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2633510
- Math proficiency
- 34% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 51% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,651
- Composite
- 35.61/100
- National rank
- #4891
- State rank
- #190 of 540 in MI
Livability — Baldwin
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #360
- US rank
- #9207
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 4,837
Population outlook (Iosco County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 24,366 people
- By 2030
- 23,622 · -3.1%
- By 2040
- 22,021 · -9.6%
- By 2050
- 20,877 · -14.3%
- By 2075
- 18,792 · -22.9%
- By 2100
- 15,465 · -36.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (92%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 92% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 1% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 6% Romanian 6% Slovak 4%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Chinese 1% Spanish 0%
Political lean MEDSL · Iosco
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+30.6) · D 34.0% · R 64.5% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -35.7pp toward R · 2008: 5.1pp · 2024: -30.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+30.6 2020: R+28.6 2016: R+30.0 2012: R+5.0 2008: D+5.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -47.19%
- Current HPI
- 250.8991
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
+183.3% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-28 Listed $170,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-05-28 Listed $170,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-05-27 Sold (Public Records) $157,000 Public Records
- 2025-05-23 Sold (MLS) $157,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-05-23 Sold (MLS) $157,000 REALCOMP
- 2025-05-21 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2025-05-21 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-04-21 Contingent — REALCOMP
- 2025-04-21 Contingent — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-04-09 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2025-04-02 Listed $159,900 REALCOMP
- 2025-04-02 Listed $159,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2022-04-14 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-0.3%/yrLatest (2025): $691 · +3.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…