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2538 Collingwood Blvd
A- Composite 82.2
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +7.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.6/10.0

$50,000

2538 Collingwood Blvd · Toledo, OH 43610
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,673 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 97 Days on market
Built 1912 3,800 sqft lot $30/sqft · 27% below area Est $68k · 27% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Large 3 bed in OWE across from the Rosary Cathedral! First floor features include LR, DR, kitchen, sunroom and full bath, Upstairs has 3 beds, full bath and walk up unfinished attic. Home is on a corner lot and has newer water service line from street to house. Home is vacant and has been cleaned out, but needs attention. Could make a big beautiful owner occupant home for someone wanting to live in OWE!

Key facts

  • Sunroom
  • Corner lot
  • 3,800 sq ft lot

Tags

CORNER LOTNEWER WATER SERVICE LINESUNROOMWALK UP UNFINISHED ATTIC

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $50k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $487 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $50k).
  • Recommended offer: $46k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 18.0% vs local median 7.7% in Toledo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#645 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, crime F, commute F.
  • Toledo City (urban): math 15% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #634 of 656 in OH (top 97%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Jesup W. Scott High School (math 8% / reading 17%, grade F, #726 of 781 statewide, top 94%, 736 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 72% district-wide (72 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 29 active listings in the ZIP; 28 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 415 units permitted in Lucas County in 2024 (122 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $3k of equity ($346 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (4.7% local appreciation)).
  • Lucas County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (4.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 97 days — a 9% lower offer ($46k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 9 sale attempts since 24y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $27k; list at $50k implies a 85% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1912 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $45,500 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 97 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1912 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.21%
Cap rate
17.97%
Cash-on-cash
41.70%
DSCR
2.86
GRM
3.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$68,079
List price
$50,000
Delta
-26.56%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
427 W Delaware Ave 0.10mi 3/1.0 1,879 (+12%) 4mo $6,888 $4 71
2446 Fulton St 0.28mi 3/2.0 1,572 (-6%) 2mo $108,500 $69 71
519 Nottingham Ter 0.28mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,709 (+2%) 8mo $125,000 $73 69
298 W Park St 0.57mi 3/1.0 1,626 (-3%) 4mo $33,000 $20 66
2838 Rockwood Pl 0.31mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,559 (-7%) 10mo $100,500 $64 61
2534 Maplewood Ave 0.44mi 3/2.0 1,480 (-12%) 1mo $75,000 $51 55
3211 Parkwood Ave 0.59mi 3/1.0 1,535 (-8%) 5mo $92,500 $60 54
3209 Kimball Ave 0.60mi 3/1.5 1,536 (-8%) 3mo $56,000 $36 54
292 W Park St 0.58mi 3/1.5 1,544 (-8%) 6mo $56,000 $36 53
2459 Franklin Ave 0.47mi 3/1.5 1,436 (-14%) 2mo $100,000 $70 51
2841 N Detroit Ave 0.51mi 3/1.0 1,427 (-15%) 1mo $60,000 $42 51
127 W Bancroft St 0.67mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,436 (-14%) 3mo $130,000 $91 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

4.65% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
49.4%
Equity multiple
3.97×
Total profit
$41,552
Equity at exit
$27,269
10-year hold
IRR
47.6%
Equity multiple
8.10×
Total profit
$99,404
Equity at exit
$46,204

Cash invested: $14,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 43610

Home prices YoY
3.8%
Active inventory
29
Price-to-rent
3.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,104 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$262
Tax from tax record
$103 /mo · $1,235/yr
Insurance
$21
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$232
Net cashflow
$487

Break-even live

Break-even rent $489
Max offer price $50,000
Occupancy floor 51%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $515 -5% $501 +0% $487 +5% $472 +10% $458
Rent -10% $399 -5% $443 +0% $487 +5% $530 +10% $574
Rate -1.0pp $512 -0.5pp $499 base $487 +0.5pp $474 +1.0pp $460

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$12,500
Closing costs
$1,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 28 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
425 Boston Pl Unit A Toledo, OH 2.0 1.0 1200 $895 $0.75 25d 1 0.27mi
2907 Rockwood Pl Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 1494 $1,100 $0.74 15d 1 0.38mi
119 Winthrop St Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 1734 $1,350 $0.78 25d 1 0.47mi
2447 Maplewood Ave Toledo, OH 2.0 1.0 1538 $897 $0.58 45d 1 0.49mi
960 W Delaware Ave Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 1224 $1,050 $0.86 25d 1 0.64mi
610 Cadillac Ct Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 1409 $1,050 $0.75 25d 1 0.66mi
614 Cadillac Ct Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 1581 $1,075 $0.68 25d 1 0.66mi
152 Austin St Toledo, OH 4.0 1.5 1370 $1,150 $0.84 25d 1 0.72mi
2131 Franklin Ave Toledo, OH 2.0 2.0 1255 $900 $0.72 45d 1 0.76mi
31 W Oakland St Toledo, OH 4.0 1.0 1188 $1,249 $1.05 25d 1 0.80mi
59 E Hudson St Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 1368 $1,100 $0.80 45d 1 0.97mi
2621 Chestnut St Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 1444 $1,250 $0.87 45d 1 1.05mi
1436 Palmetto Ave Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 1678 $1,400 $0.83 25d 1 1.20mi
3615 Berkeley Dr Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 1096 $1,400 $1.28 15d 1 1.23mi
1026 Oakwood Ave Toledo, OH 2.0 1.0 1100 $850 $0.77 45d 1 1.23mi
322 14th St Apt 203 Toledo, OH 3.0 1.5 1065 $1,000 $0.94 15d 1 1.25mi
1337 Moore St Toledo, OH 3.0 1.5 1194 $995 $0.83 22d 1 1.31mi
1014 Berdan Ave Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 1215 $1,200 $0.99 45d 1 1.32mi
3541 Willys Pkwy Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 1113 $1,400 $1.26 45d 1 1.32mi
424 E Lake St Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 1228 $1,075 $0.88 15d 1 1.35mi
516 E Hudson St Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 1204 $1,098 $0.91 15d 1 1.35mi
524 E Hudson St Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 1150 $895 $0.78 22d 1 1.36mi
524 E Hudson St Toledo, OH 2.0 1.0 1050 $825 $0.79 45d 1 1.36mi
3950 Woodhaven Dr Toledo, OH 2.0 1.0 1072 $745 $0.69 25d 1 1.40mi
3905 Peru St Toledo, OH 4.0 3.0 1548 $1,300 $0.84 22d 1 1.41mi
1573 Jermain Dr Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 1254 $1,195 $0.95 15d 1 1.45mi
3606 Revere Dr Toledo, OH 4.0 1.0 1320 $1,500 $1.14 45d 1 1.49mi
1140 Palmwood Ave Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 1292 $1,500 $1.16 45d 1 1.50mi

Listing history 44 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $50,000 Active 97 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $50,000 Active 94 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $50,000 Active 93 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $50,000 Active 92 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $50,000 Active 91 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $50,000 Active 89 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $50,000 Active 86 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $50,000 Active 85 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    price $50,000 Active 84 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $52,000 Active 84 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $52,000 Active 83 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $52,000 Active 80 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $52,000 Active 79 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $52,000 Active 78 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $52,000 Active 77 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $52,000 Active 76 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $52,000 Active 75 DOM
  18. 2026-03-26
    price $52,000 406-char remark
    Show marketing remark (406 chars)

    Large 3 bed in OWE across from the Rosary Cathedral! First floor features include LR, DR, kitchen, sunroom and full bath, Upstairs has 3 beds, full bath and walk up unfinished attic. Home is on a corner lot and has newer water service line from street to house. Home is vacant and has been cleaned out, but needs attention. Could make a big beautiful owner occupant home for someone wanting to live in OWE!

  19. 2026-03-16
    listed $55,000 Active 406-char remark
    Show marketing remark (406 chars)

    Large 3 bed in OWE across from the Rosary Cathedral! First floor features include LR, DR, kitchen, sunroom and full bath, Upstairs has 3 beds, full bath and walk up unfinished attic. Home is on a corner lot and has newer water service line from street to house. Home is vacant and has been cleaned out, but needs attention. Could make a big beautiful owner occupant home for someone wanting to live in OWE!

  20. 2025-10-14
    price $27,000 400-char remark
    Show marketing remark (400 chars)

    Large 3 bed in OWE across from the Rosary Cathedral! Home features new paint throughout, new flooring , 2 full baths (main floor bath is all new), updated kitchen, walk up attic, stove, fridge, alarm, 2 new exterior doors, new decking on front porch, corner lot, decorative FP in LR, large sunroom, 1 yr home warranty, new water service line from street to house. Currently rented for $725 per month.

  21. 2025-10-14
    price $9,000
    Show marketing remark (400 chars)

    Large 3 bed in OWE across from the Rosary Cathedral! Home features new paint throughout, new flooring , 2 full baths (main floor bath is all new), updated kitchen, walk up attic, stove, fridge, alarm, 2 new exterior doors, new decking on front porch, corner lot, decorative FP in LR, large sunroom, 1 yr home warranty, new water service line from street to house. Currently rented for $725 per month.

  22. 2025-10-13
    price $3,000
  23. 2017-03-13
    soldstatus $27,000 400-char remark
    Show marketing remark (400 chars)

    Large 3 bed in OWE across from the Rosary Cathedral! Home features new paint throughout, new flooring , 2 full baths (main floor bath is all new), updated kitchen, walk up attic, stove, fridge, alarm, 2 new exterior doors, new decking on front porch, corner lot, decorative FP in LR, large sunroom, 1 yr home warranty, new water service line from street to house. Currently rented for $725 per month.

  24. 2017-01-31
    listed $30,000 400-char remark
    Show marketing remark (400 chars)

    Large 3 bed in OWE across from the Rosary Cathedral! Home features new paint throughout, new flooring , 2 full baths (main floor bath is all new), updated kitchen, walk up attic, stove, fridge, alarm, 2 new exterior doors, new decking on front porch, corner lot, decorative FP in LR, large sunroom, 1 yr home warranty, new water service line from street to house. Currently rented for $725 per month.

  25. 2015-11-11
    historical
  26. 2015-05-11
    listed $29,900
  27. 2015-04-10
    soldstatus $9,000
  28. 2015-03-12
    price $14,900
  29. 2014-09-22
    listed $14,900
  30. 2009-07-13
    soldstatus $3,000
  31. 2009-06-22
    listed $10,000
  32. 2009-06-16
    historical
  33. 2008-03-16
    listed $10,000
  34. 2005-08-16
    soldstatus $42,650
  35. 2004-08-03
    soldstatus $45,000
  36. 2004-07-14
    soldstatus $45,000
  37. 2004-07-01
    price $45,000
  38. 2004-05-25
    listed $37,900
  39. 2004-03-31
    historical
  40. 2003-09-24
    listed $37,900
  41. 2002-10-29
    historical
  42. 2002-09-30
    listed
  43. 1994-08-30
    soldstatus $45,600
  44. 1990-02-05
    soldstatus $18,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,235 · $103/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,235 · $103/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 68% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,253
− Mortgage interest
−$2,801
− Property taxes
−$1,235
− Insurance
−$250
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,060
− Management
−$1,060
− Depreciation
−$1,455
Taxable income
$5,392
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,294
After-tax cash flow
$4,544/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Toledo City
NCES district ID
3904490
Math proficiency
15% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▼ -13.00%
Median HH income
$32,137
Composite
15.76/100
National rank
#9276
State rank
#634 of 656 in OH

Livability — Toledo

Score
66/100
State rank
#645
US rank
#11442

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Toledo, OH
County
Lucas · 437,818 people
City population
280,811
Metro
Toledo, OH
Population (ZIP)
4,057
Household income
$38,369
Rent vs Own
41.4% rent · 58.6% own
Severe rent burden
15.7

Population outlook (Lucas County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
420,751 people
By 2030
410,187 · -2.5%
By 2040
384,019 · -8.7%
By 2050
355,125 · -15.6%
By 2075
291,683 · -30.7%
By 2100
233,670 · -44.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority Black (64%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 64% White 29% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 4%
Common ancestry
Romanian 5% Iranian 3% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Lucas

2024 margin
D (+12.6) · D 55.8% · R 43.2%
2008→2024 swing
-18.9pp toward R · 2008: 31.4pp · 2024: 12.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+12.6 2020: D+16.8 2016: D+17.4 2012: D+30.4 2008: D+31.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 4.65%
Current HPI
126.1457
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+181.1% since first listed
27 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-26 Price Changed $52,000 NORIS
  • 2026-03-16 Listed $55,000 NORIS
  • 2025-10-14 Price Changed $27,000 NORIS
  • 2025-10-14 Price Changed $9,000 NORIS
  • 2025-10-13 Price Changed $3,000 NORIS
  • 2017-03-13 Sold (MLS) $27,000 NORIS
  • 2017-01-31 Listed $30,000 NORIS
  • 2015-11-11 Listing Removed NORIS
  • 2015-05-11 Listed $29,900 NORIS
  • 2015-04-10 Sold (MLS) $9,000 NORIS
  • 2015-03-12 Price Changed $14,900 NORIS
  • 2014-09-22 Listed $14,900 NORIS
  • 2009-07-13 Sold (MLS) $3,000 NORIS
  • 2009-06-22 Listed $10,000 NORIS
  • 2009-06-16 Listing Removed NORIS
  • 2008-03-16 Listed $10,000 NORIS
  • 2005-08-16 Sold (Public Records) $42,650 Public Records
  • 2004-08-03 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records
  • 2004-07-14 Sold (MLS) $45,000 NORIS
  • 2004-07-01 Price Changed $45,000 NORIS
  • 2004-05-25 Listed $37,900 NORIS
  • 2004-03-31 Listing Removed NORIS
  • 2003-09-24 Listed $37,900 NORIS
  • 2002-10-29 Listing Removed NORIS
  • 2002-09-30 Listed NORIS
  • 1994-08-30 Sold (Public Records) $45,600 Public Records
  • 1990-02-05 Sold (Public Records) $18,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,235 · +11.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…