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305 E Truman Blvd
B+ Composite 76.15
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$59,999

305 E Truman Blvd · Newberry, MI 49868
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,859 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 30 Days on market
Built 1890 $32/sqft · 39% below area Est $99k · 39% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Handyman's Special with tons of potential! This spacious home has been mostly gutted with some updates already completed and is ready for someone to bring their vision to life. Potentially offering 4 bedrooms and currently 1 bathroom, this could make a great family home, long-term rental, or STR investment property! The home includes a new washer & dryer, microwave, refrigerator, outdoor lighting, security camera system, and window A/C unit. Livable while you make your improvements and updates! Outside, you'll love the beautiful pine & white cedar privacy fencing surrounding the surveyed town lot, plus convenient side access from the front of the home with two 5' doors that swin

Key facts

  • Microwave
  • Refrigerator
  • Outdoor lighting

Tags

NEW WASHERNEW DRYERMICROWAVEREFRIGERATOROUTDOOR LIGHTINGSECURITY CAMERA SYSTEM

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Security: Security system; Smoke detectors; Carbon monoxide detectors
  • Utilities: Public water
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Two levels
  • Construction: Wood siding; Asphalt roof; Crawl space foundation; Built using wood construction materials
  • Exterior features: Wood fencing; Few trees on the lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Microwave; Refrigerator
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Window air conditioning unit(s); Floor furnace; Gravity heating; Natural gas heating; Space heater
  • Interior features: Ceiling fan(s); Wood window frames
  • Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer located on the main level

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $60k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $705 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $60k).
  • Recommended offer: $59k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#201 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Tahquamenon Area Schools (town): math 23% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #374 of 540 in MI (top 69%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 67 active listings in the ZIP; 9 units permitted in Luce County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $415 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Luce County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 30 days — a 2% lower offer ($59k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 9 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $26k; list at $60k implies a 135% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1890 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $59,099 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1890 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.26%
Cap rate
20.40%
Cash-on-cash
50.38%
DSCR
3.24
GRM
3.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$98,815
List price
$59,999
Delta
-29.26%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
321 W McMillan Ave Ave 0.45mi 5/1.0 (+1) 1,920 (+3%) 9mo $152,000 $79 61
115 W Harrie St 0.27mi 5/2.0 (+1) 2,030 (+9%) 18mo $108,000 $53 48
425 & 428 Railroad St 0.59mi 5/3.0 (+1) 1,985 (+7%) 0mo $240,000 $121 48
408 W Ave B 0.54mi 4/2.0 1,734 (-7%) 18mo $170,000 $98 44

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
48.1%
Equity multiple
3.09×
Total profit
$35,185
Equity at exit
$8,946
10-year hold
IRR
53.7%
Equity multiple
6.26×
Total profit
$88,435
Equity at exit
$5,188

Cash invested: $16,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 49868

Home prices YoY
-16.8%
Active inventory
67
Price-to-rent
3.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,355 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$315
Tax from tax record
$25 /mo · $304/yr
Insurance
$25
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$284
Net cashflow
$705

Break-even live

Break-even rent $462
Max offer price $59,999
Occupancy floor 43%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $739 -5% $722 +0% $705 +5% $688 +10% $671
Rent -10% $598 -5% $652 +0% $705 +5% $759 +10% $812
Rate -1.0pp $735 -0.5pp $720 base $705 +0.5pp $690 +1.0pp $674

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$15,000
Closing costs
$1,800
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 50 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $59,999 Active 30 DOM
  2. 2026-06-21
    days on market $59,999 Active 29 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $59,999 Active 27 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $59,999 Active 26 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $59,999 Active 25 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $59,999 Active 24 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    price $59,999 Active 22 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    days on market $62,500 Active 22 DOM
  9. 2026-06-12
    days on market $62,500 Active 21 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $62,500 Active 18 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    pricedays on market $62,500 Active 17 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $64,999 Active 16 DOM
  13. 2026-06-07
    days on market $64,999 Active 15 DOM
  14. 2026-06-04
    days on market $64,999 Active 12 DOM
  15. 2026-06-02
    days on market $64,999 Active 11 DOM
  16. 2026-06-01
    days on market $64,999 Active 10 DOM
  17. 2026-05-31
    days on market $64,999 Active 9 DOM
  18. 2026-05-31
    days on market $64,999 Active 8 DOM
  19. 2026-05-12
    historical
  20. 2026-04-16
    price $69,900
  21. 2026-04-15
    price $69,900
  22. 2026-03-26
    listed $73,000 Active
  23. 2026-03-20
    historical
  24. 2026-03-09
    price $73,900
  25. 2026-03-09
    price $73,900
  26. 2026-03-09
    price $73,900
  27. 2026-02-16
    price $74,900
  28. 2026-02-16
    price $74,900
  29. 2026-02-16
    price $74,900
  30. 2026-02-09
    price $77,900
  31. 2026-02-09
    price $77,900
  32. 2026-02-09
    price $77,900
  33. 2026-01-22
    listed $79,900 Active
  34. 2026-01-19
    price $79,900
  35. 2026-01-19
    price $79,900
  36. 2026-01-15
    price $83,999
  37. 2026-01-15
    price $83,999
  38. 2026-01-01
    price $84,990
  39. 2025-12-31
    price $84,990
  40. 2025-12-25
    price $86,900
  41. 2025-12-24
    price $86,900
  42. 2025-12-16
    price $89,900
  43. 2025-12-15
    price $89,900
  44. 2025-10-31
    listed $94,500 Active
  45. 2025-01-27
    listed $25,500
  46. 2025-01-27
    listed $25,500
  47. 2025-01-24
    soldstatus $25,500
  48. 2025-01-24
    soldstatus $25,500
  49. 2025-01-24
    soldstatus $25,500 Closed
  50. 2025-01-21
    soldstatus $25,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$304 · $25/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$614 · $51/mo
Expected delta
+$310/yr (+$26/mo · 101.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate 20% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥89°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,257
− Mortgage interest
−$3,361
− Property taxes
−$304
− Insurance
−$300
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,301
− Management
−$1,301
− Depreciation
−$1,745
Taxable income
$7,945
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,907
After-tax cash flow
$6,556/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Tahquamenon Area Schools
NCES district ID
2625350
Math proficiency
23% ▼ -1.00%
Reading proficiency
37% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$38,217
Composite
25.03/100
National rank
#7553
State rank
#374 of 540 in MI

Livability — Newberry

Score
73/100
State rank
#201
US rank
#5112

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Newberry, MI
Population (ZIP)
5,231

Population outlook (Luce County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
6,185 people
By 2030
6,049 · -2.2%
By 2040
5,756 · -6.9%
By 2050
5,481 · -11.4%
By 2075
4,729 · -23.5%
By 2100
3,631 · -41.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (74%)
Race & ethnicity
White 74% Black 10% Native American 8% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Lithuanian 3% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2% Arabic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Luce

2024 margin
Solid R (+46.9) · D 25.8% · R 72.7% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-36.0pp toward R · 2008: -10.9pp · 2024: -46.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+46.9 2020: R+42.2 2016: R+41.7 2012: R+22.2 2008: R+10.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -26.69%
Current HPI
132.0633
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+400.0% since first listed
43 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-14 Price Changed $59,999 EUPBR
  • 2026-06-08 Price Changed $62,500 EUPBR
  • 2026-05-22 Listed $64,999 EUPBR
  • 2026-05-12 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-16 Price Changed $69,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-15 Price Changed $69,900 UPAR
  • 2026-03-26 Listed $73,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-03-20 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-03-09 Price Changed $73,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-03-09 Price Changed $73,900 UPAR
  • 2026-03-09 Price Changed $73,900 EUPBR
  • 2026-02-16 Price Changed $74,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-02-16 Price Changed $74,900 UPAR
  • 2026-02-16 Price Changed $74,900 EUPBR
  • 2026-02-09 Price Changed $77,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-02-09 Price Changed $77,900 EUPBR
  • 2026-02-09 Price Changed $77,900 UPAR
  • 2026-01-22 Listed $79,900 EUPBR
  • 2026-01-19 Price Changed $79,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-01-19 Price Changed $79,900 UPAR
  • 2026-01-15 Price Changed $83,999 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-01-15 Price Changed $83,999 UPAR
  • 2026-01-01 Price Changed $84,990 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-12-31 Price Changed $84,990 UPAR
  • 2025-12-25 Price Changed $86,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-12-24 Price Changed $86,900 UPAR
  • 2025-12-16 Price Changed $89,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-12-15 Price Changed $89,900 UPAR
  • 2025-10-31 Listed $94,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-01-27 Listed $25,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-01-27 Listed $25,500 UPAR
  • 2025-01-24 Sold (MLS) EUPBR
  • 2025-01-24 Sold (MLS) $25,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-01-24 Sold (MLS) $25,500 UPAR
  • 2025-01-21 Sold (Public Records) $25,500 Public Records
  • 2025-01-09 Pending EUPBR
  • 2025-01-07 Relisted EUPBR
  • 2025-01-06 Pending EUPBR
  • 2025-01-02 Relisted EUPBR
  • 2024-12-20 Pending EUPBR
  • 2024-12-05 Price Changed $29,900 EUPBR
  • 2024-11-08 Listed $37,500 EUPBR
  • 2020-01-16 Sold (Public Records) $12,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.7%/yr

Latest (2016): $304 · +14.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…