3001 Jefferson Ave · Texarkana, AR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,499 – $2,785
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 22.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.8/30.0
- Appreciation +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +4.9/10.0
- 1% rule +3.4/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.1/10.0
- ARV discount +1.7/15.0
$184,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Fully renovated duplex offering the perfect blend of charm, functionality, and income potential—all in a convenient in-town location. Each unit features 2 bedrooms and 1 bathroom with thoughtful updates throughout, making this property truly move-in ready. The exterior showcases a classic, well-maintained design with a welcoming wraparound-style front porch that adds curb appeal and character. Situated on a spacious corner lot, the property offers a large yard with fencing, providing privacy and usable outdoor space for tenants or owners alike. Both units include their own dedicated laundry rooms complete with washer and a dryer. Each come equipped with all appliances, making day-to-day living easy and efficient. Separate parking pads provide convenient off-street parking for each unit. Recent renovations include fresh paint and overall updates that reflect pride of ownership, while the pier and beam foundation adds to the home's traditional construction and accessibility. Whether you're looking to expand your investment portfolio or live in one unit and lease the other, this duplex checks all the boxes—location, condition, and versatility.
Key facts
- In-town location
- Large yard
- 0.29 acre lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $184k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $86 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $155k (16.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $155k (16.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.9% vs local median 4.5% in Texarkana — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#177 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A-; Watch: schools D, crime F, amenities F.
- Texarkana School District (suburban): math 27% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #181 of 238 in AR (top 76%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 4 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 21 units permitted in Miller County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $7k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $6k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
- Miller County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $52k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 29 days — a 2% lower offer ($182k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $94k; list at $184k implies a 97% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.84% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.85%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.99%
- DSCR
- 1.09
- GRM
- 9.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $163,536
- List price
- $184,500
- Delta
- 12.82%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1304 E 30th | 0.06mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,871 (+2%) | 20mo | $97,500 | $52 | 73 |
| 15 N Hermitage Dr | 0.24mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,631 (-11%) | 4mo | $167,000 | $102 | 59 |
| 18 N Hermitage Dr | 0.24mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,648 (-10%) | 10mo | $205,500 | $125 | 58 |
| 1318 E 31st St | 0.16mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,577 (-14%) | 8mo | $204,900 | $130 | 57 |
| 1325 E 31st St | 0.23mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,587 (-14%) | 9mo | $199,500 | $126 | 54 |
| 2302 Locust St | 0.54mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,671 (-9%) | 8mo | $173,500 | $104 | 44 |
| 3712 Central Ave | 0.63mi | 4/1.5 | 1,614 (-12%) | 20mo | $181,327 | $112 | 31 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 9.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.53×
- Total profit
- $27,623
- Equity at exit
- $82,959
- IRR
- 11.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.75×
- Total profit
- $90,631
- Equity at exit
- $127,850
Cash invested: $51,660 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arkansas
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 71584
- Active inventory
- 4
- Price-to-rent
- 9.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,549 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$968
- Tax from tax record
- −$93 /mo · $1,120/yr
- Insurance
- −$77
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$325
- Net cashflow
- $86
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $46,125
- Closing costs
- $5,535
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2405 Tyler Ln Texarkana, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1905 | $1,890 | $0.99 | 43d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 2101 Pecan St Texarkana, AR | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1453 | $1,125 | $0.77 | 43d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 3302 Anthony Dr Texarkana, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1726 | $850 | $0.49 | 43d | 1 | 1.38mi |
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-05-14status Pending 1170-char remark
Show marketing remark (1170 chars)
Fully renovated duplex offering the perfect blend of charm, functionality, and income potential—all in a convenient in-town location. Each unit features 2 bedrooms and 1 bathroom with thoughtful updates throughout, making this property truly move-in ready. The exterior showcases a classic, well-maintained design with a welcoming wraparound-style front porch that adds curb appeal and character. Situated on a spacious corner lot, the property offers a large yard with fencing, providing privacy and usable outdoor space for tenants or owners alike. Both units include their own dedicated laundry rooms complete with washer and a dryer. Each come equipped with all appliances, making day-to-day living easy and efficient. Separate parking pads provide convenient off-street parking for each unit. Recent renovations include fresh paint and overall updates that reflect pride of ownership, while the pier and beam foundation adds to the home's traditional construction and accessibility. Whether you're looking to expand your investment portfolio or live in one unit and lease the other, this duplex checks all the boxes—location, condition, and versatility.
-
2026-04-18price $184,500 1170-char remark
Show marketing remark (1170 chars)
Fully renovated duplex offering the perfect blend of charm, functionality, and income potential—all in a convenient in-town location. Each unit features 2 bedrooms and 1 bathroom with thoughtful updates throughout, making this property truly move-in ready. The exterior showcases a classic, well-maintained design with a welcoming wraparound-style front porch that adds curb appeal and character. Situated on a spacious corner lot, the property offers a large yard with fencing, providing privacy and usable outdoor space for tenants or owners alike. Both units include their own dedicated laundry rooms complete with washer and a dryer. Each come equipped with all appliances, making day-to-day living easy and efficient. Separate parking pads provide convenient off-street parking for each unit. Recent renovations include fresh paint and overall updates that reflect pride of ownership, while the pier and beam foundation adds to the home's traditional construction and accessibility. Whether you're looking to expand your investment portfolio or live in one unit and lease the other, this duplex checks all the boxes—location, condition, and versatility.
-
2026-04-13$199,000 Active 1170-char remark
Show marketing remark (1170 chars)
Fully renovated duplex offering the perfect blend of charm, functionality, and income potential—all in a convenient in-town location. Each unit features 2 bedrooms and 1 bathroom with thoughtful updates throughout, making this property truly move-in ready. The exterior showcases a classic, well-maintained design with a welcoming wraparound-style front porch that adds curb appeal and character. Situated on a spacious corner lot, the property offers a large yard with fencing, providing privacy and usable outdoor space for tenants or owners alike. Both units include their own dedicated laundry rooms complete with washer and a dryer. Each come equipped with all appliances, making day-to-day living easy and efficient. Separate parking pads provide convenient off-street parking for each unit. Recent renovations include fresh paint and overall updates that reflect pride of ownership, while the pier and beam foundation adds to the home's traditional construction and accessibility. Whether you're looking to expand your investment portfolio or live in one unit and lease the other, this duplex checks all the boxes—location, condition, and versatility.
-
2018-12-03soldstatus $93,600
-
2008-05-09soldstatus $60,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,120 · $93/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,181 · $98/mo
- Expected delta
- +$61/yr (+$5/mo · 5.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 22% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,584
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,335
- − Property taxes
- −$1,120
- − Insurance
- −$922
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,487
- − Management
- −$1,487
- − Depreciation
- −$5,367
- Taxable loss
- −$2,134
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$512
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,541/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Texarkana School District
- NCES district ID
- 0513110
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,320
- Composite
- 21.47/100
- National rank
- #8332
- State rank
- #181 of 238 in AR
Livability — Texarkana
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #177
- US rank
- #14514
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Texarkana, AR
Population outlook (Miller County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 44,197 people
- By 2030
- 43,844 · -0.8%
- By 2040
- 42,680 · -3.4%
- By 2050
- 41,024 · -7.2%
- By 2075
- 35,685 · -19.3%
- By 2100
- 28,325 · -35.9%
Not yet ingested
- Political lean
- —
- Race & ethnicity
- —
- Common origin
- —
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- —
- Current HPI
- —
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.80%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 1 | $681B |
|
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| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $53B |
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| Retail / Energy | 1 | $22B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $12B |
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| Energy | 1 | $4B |
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Price history
+207.5% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-14 Pending — TBOR
- 2026-04-18 Price Changed $184,500 TBOR
- 2026-04-13 Listed $199,000 TBOR
- 2018-12-03 Sold (Public Records) $93,600 Public Records
- 2008-05-09 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+0.9%/yrLatest (2025): $1,120 · +10.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…