609 E 13th · Winfield, KS
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,154 – $2,142
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$34,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- Covered front porch
- Formal dining room
- Central location
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached or attached garage not specified — 1 garage space
- Utilities: Natural gas available; Public water; Sewer available
- Home design: Single-family onsite-built property
- Construction: Foundation details not specified
- Exterior features: One-level home; Composition roof
Interior
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating; No central cooling
- Interior features: Cellar basement; No built-in appliances listed
- Laundry & utility: Laundry on the main floor
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $34k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $553 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $34k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#111 in KS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D+, employment D+, amenities F.
- Winfield (rural): math 20% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #138 of 169 in KS (top 82%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Winfield Middle School (math 16% / reading 29%, grade F, #130 of 219 statewide, top 61%, 499 students, 54% FRL); Winfield High (math 17% / reading 27%, grade F, #165 of 327 statewide, top 55%, 688 students, 49% FRL).
- Market conditions: 127 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 41 units permitted in Cowley County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $235 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Cowley County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $10k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 5 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $18k; list at $34k implies a 89% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.97% ✓
- Cap rate
- 25.81%
- Cash-on-cash
- 69.72%
- DSCR
- 4.10
- GRM
- 2.8
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 69.2%
- Equity multiple
- 4.12×
- Total profit
- $29,739
- Equity at exit
- $5,070
- IRR
- 73.3%
- Equity multiple
- 8.49×
- Total profit
- $71,343
- Equity at exit
- $2,940
Cash invested: $9,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kansas
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 67156
- Home prices YoY
- -18.9%
- Active inventory
- 127
- Price-to-rent
- 2.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,010 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$178
- Tax from tax record
- −$53 /mo · $632/yr
- Insurance
- −$14
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$212
- Net cashflow
- $553
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $8,500
- Closing costs
- $1,020
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1900 Elaine Dr Winfield, KS | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 758 | $1,020 | $1.35 | 23d | 9 | 0.47mi |
| 2300 Saint James Ct Winfield, KS | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $986 | $1.23 | 23d | 1 | 1.25mi |
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $34,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $34,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $34,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $34,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $34,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-12$34,000 Active 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast KS · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $632 · $53/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $632 · $53/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,125
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,905
- − Property taxes
- −$632
- − Insurance
- −$170
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$970
- − Management
- −$970
- − Depreciation
- −$989
- Taxable income
- $6,489
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,557
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,080/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Winfield
- NCES district ID
- 2013050
- Math proficiency
- 20% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 29% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,463
- Composite
- 20.99/100
- National rank
- #8462
- State rank
- #138 of 169 in KS
Livability — Winfield
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #111
- US rank
- #6223
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Winfield, KS
- City population
- 14,183
- Population (ZIP)
- 14,183
Population outlook (Cowley County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 34,984 people
- By 2030
- 34,410 · -1.6%
- By 2040
- 33,265 · -4.9%
- By 2050
- 32,421 · -7.3%
- By 2075
- 31,488 · -10.0%
- By 2100
- 30,276 · -13.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (82%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 82% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 7% Asian 3% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 2% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Vietnam, Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 1% Vietnamese 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cowley
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+40.3) · D 29.0% · R 69.3% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.1pp toward R · 2008: -25.2pp · 2024: -40.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+40.3 2020: R+37.9 2016: R+37.6 2012: R+29.8 2008: R+25.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -42.92%
- Current HPI
- 184.3198
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+172.0% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-10 Listed $34,000 SCKMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-15 Listing Removed — SCKMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-07 Listed — SCKMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-06-15 Listing Removed — SCKMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-03-14 Listed $31,000 SCKMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-10-19 Listing Removed — SCKMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-08-26 Listed $25,500 SCKMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-04-20 Listing Removed — SCKMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-01-23 Listed $28,400 SCKMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1998-12-01 Sold (Public Records) $18,000 Public Records
- 1996-10-01 Sold (Public Records) $12,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.4%/yrLatest (2025): $632 · +4.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…