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501 N Pine St
B- Composite 69.18
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +22.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +8.0/10.0
  • DSCR +7.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Schools +2.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$120,000

501 N Pine St · Humansville, MO 65674
3 bd · 3.0 ba · 1,577 sqft · Other public records · 91 Days on market
Built 1900 0.45 ac lot $76/sqft · 22% below area Est $154k · 22% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to this charming 3 bed, 1.5 bath home offering more space than meets the eye! This home also offers 1 non-conforming flex room, perfect for a home office, guest space, or hobby area. Enjoy the convenience of a large laundry room with plenty of room for storage and everyday functionality. Situated on a generous . 43 acre lot, the property offers plenty of space to relax, garden, or peaceful outdoor setup featuring wood privacy fence. A storm shelter is on sight for added peace of mind and protection. (condition to be verified by buyer) Don't miss this versatile property! Property being sold 'as-is'. Buyer to verify all details. $5000 seller concessions being offered!

Key facts

  • Generous acre lot
  • Large laundry room
  • Storm shelter

Tags

NON-CONFORMING FLEX ROOMSLARGE LAUNDRY ROOMGENEROUS ACRE LOTWOOD PRIVACY FENCESTORM SHELTER

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath other listed at $120k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $211 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $118k (1.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $109k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.4% vs local median 3.7% in Humansville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#209 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Humansville R-IV (rural): math 28% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #247 of 324 in MO (top 76%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Humansville Elem. (math 22% / reading 32%, grade F, #850 of 1,115 statewide, top 78%, 177 students, 0% FRL); Humansville Middle School (math 37% / reading 42%, grade F, #189 of 391 statewide, top 51%, 104 students, 0% FRL); Humansville High (math 30% / reading 70%, grade D+, #117 of 521 statewide, top 23%, 87 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 74% district-wide (74 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 43 active listings in the ZIP; 188 units permitted in Polk County in 2024 (40 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $8k of equity ($830 loan paydown + $7k appreciation (6.0% local appreciation)).
  • At projected returns (6.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 91 days — a 9% lower offer ($109k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 18y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $50k; list at $120k implies a 140% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $109,200 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 91 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.98%
Cap rate
8.40%
Cash-on-cash
7.53%
DSCR
1.33
GRM
8.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$153,962
List price
$120,000
Delta
-22.06%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

6.05% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
21.6%
Equity multiple
2.44×
Total profit
$48,359
Equity at exit
$75,794
10-year hold
IRR
20.6%
Equity multiple
4.91×
Total profit
$131,543
Equity at exit
$137,757

Cash invested: $33,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 65674

Home prices YoY
1.9%
Active inventory
43
Price-to-rent
8.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,179 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$629
Tax from tax record
$41 /mo · $495/yr
Insurance
$50
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$248
Net cashflow
$211

Break-even live

Break-even rent $912
Max offer price $120,000
Occupancy floor 77%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $279 -5% $245 +0% $211 +5% $177 +10% $143
Rent -10% $118 -5% $164 +0% $211 +5% $257 +10% $304
Rate -1.0pp $271 -0.5pp $241 base $211 +0.5pp $180 +1.0pp $148

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$30,000
Closing costs
$3,600
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 25 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    statusdays on market $120,000 Pending 91 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $120,000 Active 89 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $120,000 Active 88 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $120,000 Active 87 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $120,000 Active 86 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $120,000 Active 84 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $120,000 Active 81 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $120,000 Active 80 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $120,000 Active 79 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    pricedays on market $120,000 Active 78 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $130,000 Active 75 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $130,000 Active 74 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $130,000 Active 73 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $130,000 Active 72 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $130,000 Active 71 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $130,000 Active 70 DOM
  17. 2026-03-21
    listed $130,000 Active 682-char remark
    Show marketing remark (682 chars)

    Welcome to this charming 3 bed, 1.5 bath home offering more space than meets the eye! This home also offers 1 non-conforming flex room, perfect for a home office, guest space, or hobby area. Enjoy the convenience of a large laundry room with plenty of room for storage and everyday functionality. Situated on a generous . 43 acre lot, the property offers plenty of space to relax, garden, or peaceful outdoor setup featuring wood privacy fence. A storm shelter is on sight for added peace of mind and protection. (condition to be verified by buyer) Don't miss this versatile property! Property being sold 'as-is'. Buyer to verify all details. $5000 seller concessions being offered!

  18. 2023-01-19
    soldstatus
  19. 2023-01-13
    soldstatus Closed
  20. 2022-12-07
    status Pending
  21. 2022-10-21
    price $110,900
  22. 2022-10-07
    price $114,900
  23. 2022-09-30
    listed $119,900 Active
  24. 2019-11-18
    soldstatus $50,000
  25. 2008-01-10
    listed $55,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$495 · $41/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,164 · $97/mo
Expected delta
+$669/yr (+$56/mo · 134.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,147
− Mortgage interest
−$6,722
− Property taxes
−$495
− Insurance
−$600
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,132
− Management
−$1,132
− Depreciation
−$3,491
Taxable income
$576
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$138
After-tax cash flow
$2,391/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Humansville R-IV
NCES district ID
2915300
Math proficiency
28% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
39% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$31,710
Composite
27.32/100
National rank
#6994
State rank
#247 of 324 in MO

Livability — Humansville

Score
67/100
State rank
#209
US rank
#10507

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Humansville, MO
Population (ZIP)
2,760

Population outlook (Polk County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
31,229 people
By 2030
31,227 · +-0.0%
By 2040
31,104 · -0.4%
By 2050
30,553 · -2.2%
By 2075
29,332 · -6.1%
By 2100
26,387 · -15.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (84%)
Race & ethnicity
White 84% Two or more races 14% Hispanic / Latino 8%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5%
Common ancestry
Slovak 6% German 2% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
1%

Political lean MEDSL · Polk

2024 margin
Solid R (+61.6) · D 18.6% · R 80.2% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-29.5pp toward R · 2008: -32.1pp · 2024: -61.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+61.6 2020: R+59.5 2016: R+56.9 2012: R+43.2 2008: R+32.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 6.05%
Current HPI
322.9732
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+132.6% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-21 Listed $130,000 SOMO
  • 2023-01-19 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2023-01-13 Sold (MLS) SOMO
  • 2022-12-07 Pending SOMO
  • 2022-10-21 Price Changed $110,900 SOMO
  • 2022-10-07 Price Changed $114,900 SOMO
  • 2022-09-30 Listed $119,900 SOMO
  • 2019-11-18 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
  • 2008-01-10 Listed $55,900 SOMO

Property tax history

+2.4%/yr

Latest (2024): $495 · +1.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…