402 S Angle St · Dunkirk, IN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $717 – $1,331
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +6.8/10.0
- Schools +3.2/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$73,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
*This property is part of a potential 11 property package. Please see the attached document for details.* 3 beds/1.5 baths, and a detached 1 car garage. This property has been demoed on the interior. Currently has no kitchen, bathrooms, or flooring. Has 2 electric heaters, possibly non functioning. Lots of potential!!
Key facts
- 0.32 acre lot
- Garage
- Built 1916
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $74k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $421 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $74k).
- Recommended offer: $65k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#404 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, health & safety D, amenities F.
- Jay School Corporation (rural): math 38% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #175 of 301 in IN (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 32 active listings in the ZIP; 19 units permitted in Jay County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $3k of equity ($511 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (3.6% local appreciation)).
- Jay County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (3.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 327 days — a 12% lower offer ($65k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $6k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $41k; list at $74k implies a 82% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1916 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 327 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1916 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.61% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.12%
- Cash-on-cash
- 24.39%
- DSCR
- 2.09
- GRM
- 5.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $107,953
- List price
- $73,900
- Delta
- -26.91%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 342 Lincoln Ave | 0.21mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,593 (-0%) | 10mo | $104,900 | $66 | 77 |
| 128 W North St | 0.39mi | 3/1.0 | 1,618 (+1%) | 5mo | $22,500 | $14 | 71 |
| 135 S Broad St | 0.55mi | 3/1.0 | 1,547 (-3%) | 2mo | $27,000 | $17 | 64 |
| 147 S Broad St | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 | 1,692 (+6%) | 7mo | $30,000 | $18 | 58 |
| 140 Arlington Ave | 0.37mi | 3/2.0 | 1,825 (+14%) | 2mo | $200,000 | $110 | 58 |
| 446 E Center St | 0.75mi | 3/1.0 | 1,510 (-5%) | 2mo | $140,000 | $93 | 51 |
| 239 E Ohio St | 0.68mi | 3/1.0 | 1,612 (+1%) | 15mo | $157,400 | $98 | 50 |
| 161 Orange Ave | 0.45mi | 3/1.0 | 1,388 (-13%) | 9mo | $75,000 | $54 | 46 |
| 129 W Oak St | 0.39mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,406 (-12%) | 14mo | $139,900 | $100 | 45 |
| 334 Moore Ave | 0.56mi | 3/1.5 | 1,428 (-10%) | 11mo | $168,000 | $118 | 45 |
| 121 E Center St | 0.41mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,376 (-14%) | 6mo | $103,000 | $75 | 44 |
| 724 S Main St | 0.35mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,388 (-13%) | 14mo | $109,900 | $79 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.64% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 31.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.85×
- Total profit
- $38,245
- Equity at exit
- $35,924
- IRR
- 31.4%
- Equity multiple
- 5.62×
- Total profit
- $95,604
- Equity at exit
- $57,556
Cash invested: $20,692 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Indiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 47336
- Home prices YoY
- 1.6%
- Active inventory
- 32
- Price-to-rent
- 5.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,192 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$388
- Tax from tax record
- −$103 /mo · $1,232/yr
- Insurance
- −$31
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$250
- Net cashflow
- $421
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $18,475
- Closing costs
- $2,217
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 30 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $73,900 Active 327 DOM
-
2026-06-17price $73,900 Active 326 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $78,900 Active 326 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $78,900 Active 325 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $78,900 Active 324 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $78,900 Active 322 DOM
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2026-06-12days on market $78,900 Active 321 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $78,900 Active 318 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $78,900 Active 317 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $78,900 Active 316 DOM
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2026-06-05days on market $78,900 Active 314 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $78,900 Active 312 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $78,900 Active 311 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $78,900 Active 310 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $78,900 Active 309 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $78,900 Active 308 DOM
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2025-09-07price $78,900 319-char remark
Show marketing remark (322 chars)
* This property is part of a potential 11 property package. Please see the attached document for details. * 3 beds/1.5 baths, and a detached 1 car garage. This property has been demoed on the interior. Currently has no kitchen, bathrooms, or flooring. Has 2 electric heaters, possibly non functioning. Lots of potential!!
-
2025-09-07price $78,900 322-char remark
Show marketing remark (322 chars)
* This property is part of a potential 11 property package. Please see the attached document for details. * 3 beds/1.5 baths, and a detached 1 car garage. This property has been demoed on the interior. Currently has no kitchen, bathrooms, or flooring. Has 2 electric heaters, possibly non functioning. Lots of potential!!
-
2025-07-25$79,900 Active 319-char remark
Show marketing remark (322 chars)
* This property is part of a potential 11 property package. Please see the attached document for details. * 3 beds/1.5 baths, and a detached 1 car garage. This property has been demoed on the interior. Currently has no kitchen, bathrooms, or flooring. Has 2 electric heaters, possibly non functioning. Lots of potential!!
-
2025-07-25$79,900 Active 322-char remark
Show marketing remark (322 chars)
* This property is part of a potential 11 property package. Please see the attached document for details. * 3 beds/1.5 baths, and a detached 1 car garage. This property has been demoed on the interior. Currently has no kitchen, bathrooms, or flooring. Has 2 electric heaters, possibly non functioning. Lots of potential!!
-
2024-02-28soldstatus $40,715 Closed
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2024-02-28soldstatus $40,715 Closed
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2024-01-08status Pending
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2024-01-08status Pending
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2024-01-05status Active
-
2024-01-05status Active
-
2023-12-28status Pending
-
2023-12-28status Pending
-
2023-12-08$64,900 Active
-
2023-12-08$64,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,232 · $103/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,232 · $103/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,303
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,140
- − Property taxes
- −$1,232
- − Insurance
- −$370
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,144
- − Management
- −$1,144
- − Depreciation
- −$2,150
- Taxable income
- $4,123
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$990
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,057/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Jay School Corporation
- NCES district ID
- 1804980
- Math proficiency
- 38% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 37% ▼ -13.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,841
- Composite
- 31.56/100
- National rank
- #5954
- State rank
- #175 of 301 in IN
Livability — Dunkirk
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #404
- US rank
- #14764
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Dunkirk, IN
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,793
Population outlook (Jay County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 20,586 people
- By 2030
- 20,155 · -2.1%
- By 2040
- 19,274 · -6.4%
- By 2050
- 18,203 · -11.6%
- By 2075
- 15,062 · -26.8%
- By 2100
- 10,857 · -47.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (95%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 95% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 4% Slovak 2% Scotch-Irish 1%
- Foreign-born
- 0%
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Jay
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+55.2) · D 21.6% · R 76.7% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -47.3pp toward R · 2008: -7.8pp · 2024: -55.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+55.2 2020: R+52.4 2016: R+47.8 2012: R+20.0 2008: R+7.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 3.64%
- Current HPI
- 238.768
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- F500 in state
- 18
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $37B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $177B |
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| Pharmaceuticals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $18B |
|
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| Agriculture | 1 | $17B |
|
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| Packaging | 1 | $12B |
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Price history
+21.6% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2025-09-07 Price Changed $78,900 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-09-07 Price Changed $78,900 IRMLS
- 2025-07-25 Listed $79,900 IRMLS
- 2025-07-25 Listed $79,900 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-02-28 Sold (MLS) $40,715 IRMLS
- 2024-02-28 Sold (MLS) $40,715 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-01-08 Pending — MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-01-08 Pending — IRMLS
- 2024-01-05 Relisted — IRMLS
- 2024-01-05 Relisted — MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-12-28 Pending — IRMLS
- 2023-12-28 Pending — MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-12-08 Listed $64,900 IRMLS
- 2023-12-08 Listed $64,900 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
-1.9%/yrLatest (2024): $1,232 · +5.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…