303 S Station St · Mingo, IA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $902 – $1,676
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +7.3/10.0
- Schools +5.4/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$67,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Bring your paint brush and tool belt this property is full of potential! Featuring 3 bedrooms and 1 bathroom, this home offers the possibility of adding a 4th bedroom with a little imagination. Situated on a great-sized lot in the heart of Mingo, there’s plenty of outdoor space to enjoy or expand. Perfect opportunity for a buyer looking to build sweat equity and make it their own.
Key facts
- 0.34 acre lot
- Built 1895
- Listed 230 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $67k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $420 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $67k).
- Recommended offer: $59k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 60/100 on livability (#835 in IA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing B+; Watch: employment D, schools D-, amenities F.
- Colfax-Mingo Community School District (rural): math 59% / reading 66% proficiency, ranked #213 of 289 in IA (top 74%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 31 active listings in the ZIP; 16 units permitted in Jasper County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $4k of equity ($463 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (4.5% local appreciation)).
- Jasper County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (4.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 230 days — a 12% lower offer ($59k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts since 12y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $16k (19%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $58k; 16% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1895 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 230 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1895 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.66% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.82%
- Cash-on-cash
- 26.89%
- DSCR
- 2.20
- GRM
- 5.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $237,803
- List price
- $67,000
- Delta
- -71.83%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 10 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 205 Davenport St | 0.39mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 1,256 (+2%) | 20mo | $280,000 | $223 | 49 |
| 103 Everett Cir | 0.34mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 1,366 (+10%) | 6mo | $364,500 | $267 | 48 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
4.55% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 35.6%
- Equity multiple
- 3.16×
- Total profit
- $40,518
- Equity at exit
- $36,150
- IRR
- 34.3%
- Equity multiple
- 6.34×
- Total profit
- $100,229
- Equity at exit
- $60,937
Cash invested: $18,760 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Iowa
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 50168
- Home prices YoY
- 3.1%
- Active inventory
- 31
- Price-to-rent
- 5.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,110 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$351
- Tax from tax record
- −$77 /mo · $928/yr
- Insurance
- −$28
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$233
- Net cashflow
- $420
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $16,750
- Closing costs
- $2,010
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 37 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $67,000 Active 230 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $67,000 Active 229 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $67,000 Active 228 DOM
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2026-06-15price $67,000 Active 227 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $69,500 Active 227 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $69,500 Active 225 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $69,500 Active 224 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $69,500 Active 222 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $69,500 Active 221 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $69,500 Active 220 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $69,500 Active 219 DOM
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2026-06-05days on market $69,500 Active 216 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $69,500 Active 215 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $69,500 Active 214 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $69,500 Active 213 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $69,500 Active 212 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $69,500 Active 211 DOM
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2026-05-06price $69,500 389-char remark
Show marketing remark (389 chars)
Bring your paint brush and tool belt this property is full of potential! Featuring 3 bedrooms and 1 bathroom, this home offers the possibility of adding a 4th bedroom with a little imagination. Situated on a great-sized lot in the heart of Mingo, there’s plenty of outdoor space to enjoy or expand. Perfect opportunity for a buyer looking to build sweat equity and make it their own.
-
2026-04-14price $74,500 389-char remark
Show marketing remark (389 chars)
Bring your paint brush and tool belt this property is full of potential! Featuring 3 bedrooms and 1 bathroom, this home offers the possibility of adding a 4th bedroom with a little imagination. Situated on a great-sized lot in the heart of Mingo, there’s plenty of outdoor space to enjoy or expand. Perfect opportunity for a buyer looking to build sweat equity and make it their own.
-
2026-02-11price $76,500 389-char remark
Show marketing remark (389 chars)
Bring your paint brush and tool belt this property is full of potential! Featuring 3 bedrooms and 1 bathroom, this home offers the possibility of adding a 4th bedroom with a little imagination. Situated on a great-sized lot in the heart of Mingo, there’s plenty of outdoor space to enjoy or expand. Perfect opportunity for a buyer looking to build sweat equity and make it their own.
-
2026-01-14price $79,950 389-char remark
Show marketing remark (389 chars)
Bring your paint brush and tool belt this property is full of potential! Featuring 3 bedrooms and 1 bathroom, this home offers the possibility of adding a 4th bedroom with a little imagination. Situated on a great-sized lot in the heart of Mingo, there’s plenty of outdoor space to enjoy or expand. Perfect opportunity for a buyer looking to build sweat equity and make it their own.
-
2025-10-31$82,500 Active 389-char remark
Show marketing remark (389 chars)
Bring your paint brush and tool belt this property is full of potential! Featuring 3 bedrooms and 1 bathroom, this home offers the possibility of adding a 4th bedroom with a little imagination. Situated on a great-sized lot in the heart of Mingo, there’s plenty of outdoor space to enjoy or expand. Perfect opportunity for a buyer looking to build sweat equity and make it their own.
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2025-06-18soldstatus $58,000
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2025-06-12soldstatus $58,000 Closed 78-char remark
Show marketing remark (78 chars)
3 bedroom 1 bathroom home located near the center of Mingo! Full of potential!
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2025-05-03$58,000 78-char remark
Show marketing remark (78 chars)
3 bedroom 1 bathroom home located near the center of Mingo! Full of potential!
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2025-05-03historical 78-char remark
Show marketing remark (78 chars)
3 bedroom 1 bathroom home located near the center of Mingo! Full of potential!
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2016-04-05soldstatus $45,000
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2016-04-01soldstatus $45,000
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2016-04-01soldstatus $45,000
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2016-04-01soldstatus $45,000
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2016-01-10$50,000
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2016-01-10$50,000
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2016-01-01historical
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2015-08-18$50,000
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2014-10-20historical
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2014-10-15$50,000
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2014-01-31$47,700
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $928 · $77/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $990 · $82/mo
- Expected delta
- +$62/yr (+$5/mo · 6.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,321
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,753
- − Property taxes
- −$928
- − Insurance
- −$335
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,066
- − Management
- −$1,066
- − Depreciation
- −$1,949
- Taxable income
- $4,224
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,014
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,030/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Colfax-Mingo Community School District
- NCES district ID
- 1900009
- Math proficiency
- 59% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 66% ▲ 7.00%
- Median HH income
- $53,956
- Composite
- 53.51/100
- National rank
- #1450
- State rank
- #213 of 289 in IA
Livability — Mingo
- Score
- 60/100
- State rank
- #835
- US rank
- #19238
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Mingo, IA
- Population (ZIP)
- 829
Population outlook (Jasper County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 36,216 people
- By 2030
- 35,730 · -1.3%
- By 2040
- 34,727 · -4.1%
- By 2050
- 33,802 · -6.7%
- By 2075
- 33,382 · -7.8%
- By 2100
- 32,761 · -9.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (95%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 95% Two or more races 4%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 4% Portuguese 4% Romanian 4%
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Jasper
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+27.6) · D 35.4% · R 63.0% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -35.1pp toward R · 2008: 7.5pp · 2024: -27.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+27.6 2020: R+21.5 2016: R+18.4 2012: D+7.1 2008: D+7.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 4.55%
- Current HPI
- 152.6455
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.48%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $16B |
|
||
| Retail / Convenience | 1 | $15B |
|
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Price history
+45.7% since first listed20 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-06 Price Changed $69,500 DMMLS
- 2026-04-14 Price Changed $74,500 DMMLS
- 2026-02-11 Price Changed $76,500 DMMLS
- 2026-01-14 Price Changed $79,950 DMMLS
- 2025-10-31 Listed $82,500 DMMLS
- 2025-06-18 Sold (Public Records) $58,000 Public Records
- 2025-06-12 Sold (MLS) $58,000 DMMLS
- 2025-05-03 Listing Removed — DMMLS
- 2025-05-03 Listed $58,000 DMMLS
- 2016-04-05 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records
- 2016-04-01 Sold (MLS) $45,000 IAR
- 2016-04-01 Sold (MLS) $45,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-04-01 Sold (MLS) $45,000 DMMLS
- 2016-01-10 Listed $50,000 IAR
- 2016-01-10 Listed $50,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-01-01 Listing Removed — DMMLS
- 2015-08-18 Listed $50,000 DMMLS
- 2014-10-20 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-10-15 Listed $50,000 DMMLS
- 2014-01-31 Listed $47,700 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+8.8%/yrLatest (2025): $928 · +0.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…