Duplex
1227 E B St Unit 1227/1229 · Belleville, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +14.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +4.3/5.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$145,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
Investors or live on one side and rent the other! This duplex features TWO 2 bedroom 1 bath units. Both units were recently remodeled. PLEASE DO NOT DISTURB TENANTS. Both sides rent for S1,050 a month. Owner pays sewer, water, and trash. Both units are occupied and can be shown with approved contract. Close to Shopping Areas, Schools, Public Transportation and Interstate Highways. This is a Must See!!!!! Buyer to verify all Listing data including but not limited to sq. ft. , measurements, features, lot size, taxes/exemptions, schools and etc. Agent has an ownership interest in a property
Key facts
- Close to schools
- Recently remodeled
- 6,098 sq ft lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $145k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $761 ($9k/yr) — positive. Per door: $381/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $145k).
- Recommended offer: $128k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.6% vs local median 5.6% in Belleville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#142 in IL, #2,604 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities D-.
- Belleville Twp Hsd 201 (suburban): math 21% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #308 of 620 in IL (top 50%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Belleville High School-East (math 23% / reading 30%, grade F, #241 of 693 statewide, top 35%, 2,568 students, 0% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.0%/yr); 157 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 783 units permitted in St. Clair County in 2024 (378 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($82k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- St. Clair County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.0% rent growth), your $41k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 157 days — a 12% lower offer ($128k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1894 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 157 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1894 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.54% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.59%
- Cash-on-cash
- 22.50%
- DSCR
- 2.00
- GRM
- 5.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $169,344
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1820/1820A La Salle St | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,392 (-11%) | 8mo | $150,000 | $108 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 7.04% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 19.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.85×
- Total profit
- $34,461
- Equity at exit
- $21,620
- IRR
- 30.7%
- Equity multiple
- 4.32×
- Total profit
- $134,684
- Equity at exit
- $12,537
Cash invested: $40,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 62221
- Home prices YoY
- -24.2%
- Rents YoY
- 7.0%
- Active inventory
- 157
- Price-to-rent
- 10.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,232 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$760
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$181 /mo · $2,175/yr
- Insurance
- −$60
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$469
- Net cashflow
- $761
Break-even live
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 2 | 1 | $2,232 |
| #1 | 2 | 1 | $1,116 |
| #2 | 2 | 1 | $1,116 |
| Total (2 units) | $2,232 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $36,250
- Closing costs
- $4,350
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1717 La Salle St Belleville, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1104 | $1,350 | $1.22 | 23d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 1107 Bristow St Belleville, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1238 | $1,500 | $1.21 | 12d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 25 Glencoe Dr Belleville, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,275 | $1.06 | 23d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 1528 Lebanon Ave Belleville, IL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $1,950 | $1.22 | 23d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 1 Rosehaven Dr Belleville, IL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1512 | $1,325 | $0.88 | 23d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 721 S Church St Belleville, IL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1216 | $2,000 | $1.64 | 23d | 1 | 1.18mi |
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-04-20status Pending
-
2025-12-15price $145,000
-
2025-12-03price $147,800
-
2025-11-14$148,700 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,784
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,122
- − Property taxes
- −$2,175
- − Insurance
- −$725
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,143
- − Management
- −$2,143
- − Depreciation
- −$4,218
- Taxable income
- $7,258
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,742
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,393/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Belleville Twp Hsd 201
- NCES district ID
- 1705640
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 28% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $58,064
- Composite
- 22.39/100
- National rank
- #8115
- State rank
- #308 of 620 in IL
Livability — Belleville
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #142
- US rank
- #2604
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Belleville, IL
- County
- Saint Clair County · 169,691 people
- City population
- 47,407
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 29,875
- Household income
- $82,271
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 658.0
Population outlook (St. Clair County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 250,366 people
- By 2030
- 240,511 · -3.9%
- By 2040
- 217,391 · -13.2%
- By 2050
- 192,699 · -23.0%
- By 2075
- 140,637 · -43.8%
- By 2100
- 100,499 · -59.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 56% Black 31% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 4% Romanian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 2% German/W. Germanic 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Clair
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+7.9) · D 53.0% · R 45.1% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -14.6pp toward R · 2008: 22.4pp · 2024: 7.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+7.9 2020: D+8.7 2016: D+5.6 2012: D+14.5 2008: D+22.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -53.50%
- Current HPI
- 167.8124
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 7.04%
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
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| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
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Price history
-2.5% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-20 Pending — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-12-15 Price Changed $145,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-12-03 Price Changed $147,800 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-11-14 Listed $148,700 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…