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The Cedar Plan 🏗️ New Construction
D- Composite 37.87
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +10.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.3/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.2/10.0
  • DSCR +3.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$242,000

The Cedar Plan · Courtland, MI 49341
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,456 sqft · SingleFamily · 850 Days on market
Good condition

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Be swept away by this captivating 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home. The Cedar features an inviting open-concept floor plan perfect for entertaining friends and family. Upon opening your front door from your covered front porch, you will enter the large living room and take notice of the adjoining contemporary kitchen and dining space, boasting new energy-efficient appliances, a center island, and plenty of counter space for preparing a great meal. Relax in the large master suite, deluxe with a fantastic walk-in closet and modern ensuite bathroom featuring a grand shower, double sink, and rich wood cabinetry. Venture into the second bedroom, airy and open with a large closet for extra storage, and the third bedroom is optimal for a small den or office space. The main bathroom boasts a tub/shower combination and a sleek vanity with additional storage. The laundry room is accessible from the kitchen, adding convenience and ease. Park your vehicles in an attached two-car, fully insulated garage which provides additional storage and workspace. The garage features a fully insulated garage door with an automatic opener and service door. Combine all of that with countless on-site activities and amenities and you'll be proud to call Oaks of Rockford home.

Key facts

  • Walk-in closet
  • 2 parking spots
  • Listed 849 days

Tags

OPEN-CONCEPT FLOOR PLANENERGY-EFFICIENT APPLIANCESWALK-IN CLOSETMODERN ENSUITE BATHROOMATTACHED TWO-CAR GARAGE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Costco Walmart Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 6.0 mi
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🏗️ New construction. The $242,000 list price is a builder figure, so every metric below is computed on the value from comparable previous sales — $259,633.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $242k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-120 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $212k (12.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $212k (12.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.7% vs local median 2.0% in Courtland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Cedar Springs Public Schools (town): math 35% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #175 of 540 in MI (top 32%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Cedar Trails Elementary School (495 students, 49% FRL); Cedar Springs Middle School (math 33% / reading 48%, grade F, #202 of 493 statewide, top 42%, 489 students, 48% FRL); Cedar Springs High School (math 42% / reading 65%, grade C-, #125 of 713 statewide, top 18%, 1,049 students, 40% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 398 active listings in the ZIP; high-income renter base; 2,253 units permitted in Kent County in 2024 (969 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Kent County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 850 days — a 12% lower offer ($213k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $211,985 (12.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 850 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.82%
Cap rate
5.74%
Cash-on-cash
-1.97%
DSCR
0.91
GRM
10.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$259,633
List price
$242,000
Delta
-6.79%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
6 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
5680 Kingsley Dr 0.12mi 3/2.0 1,456 (0%) 15mo $248,000 $170 82
5680 Kingsley Dr 0.13mi 3/2.0 1,456 (0%) 15mo $248,000 $170 82
5841 13 Mile Rd NE Unit A 1.06mi 3/2.0 1,436 (-1%) 1mo $390,000 $272 62
11760 Townsquare Blvd 0.31mi 3/2.0 1,566 (+8%) 15mo $245,000 $156 60
5475 14 Mile Ct NE 0.38mi 3/1.0 1,250 (-14%) 2mo $280,000 $224 53
5065 Porter Hollow Dr NE 1.02mi 3/1.0 1,400 (-4%) 15mo $565,009 $404 42
11900 Shaner Ave NE 0.87mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,581 (+9%) 9mo $354,050 $224 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-19.6%
Equity multiple
0.32×
Total profit
$-49,656
Equity at exit
$38,712
10-year hold
IRR
-12.3%
Equity multiple
0.27×
Total profit
$-52,917
Equity at exit
$22,448

Cash invested: $72,697 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.
Buyer's market Market conditions within 1.0 mi — comparable homes for sale

Active competition Active MLS

For sale now
3 active · 1 under contract
Months of supply
18.0 mo (6%/mo absorbed)
Median asking
$239,000 ($164/sqft)
Median days on market
1004 d
This list price
67% of active listings are priced below it
ARV vs active asking
+8.6% vs current asking $/sqft

Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.

ZIP-level market 49341

Home prices YoY
-33.8%
Active inventory
398
Price-to-rent
9.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,120 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,362
Tax est. 1.5%
$325 /mo · $3,894/yr
Insurance
$108
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$445
Net cashflow
$-120

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,271
Max offer price $242,329
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $60 -5% $-30 +0% $-120 +5% $-209 +10% $-299
Rent -10% $-287 -5% $-203 +0% $-120 +5% $-36 +10% $48
Rate -1.0pp $11 -0.5pp $-54 base $-120 +0.5pp $-187 +1.0pp $-255

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$64,908
Closing costs
$7,789
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 50 events

  1. 2026-08-08
    days on market $242,000 Active 850 DOM
  2. 2026-08-07
    days on market $242,000 Active 849 DOM
  3. 2026-08-06
    days on market $242,000 Active 848 DOM
  4. 2026-08-05
    days on market $242,000 Active 847 DOM
  5. 2026-08-04
    days on market $242,000 Active 846 DOM
  6. 2026-08-03
    days on market $242,000 Active 845 DOM
  7. 2026-07-31
    days on market $242,000 Active 842 DOM
  8. 2026-07-30
    days on market $242,000 Active 840 DOM
  9. 2026-07-28
    days on market $242,000 Active 839 DOM
  10. 2026-07-26
    days on market $242,000 Active 837 DOM
  11. 2026-07-25
    days on market $242,000 Active 836 DOM
  12. 2026-07-24
    days on market $242,000 Active 835 DOM
  13. 2026-07-23
    days on market $242,000 Active 834 DOM
  14. 2026-07-22
    days on market $242,000 Active 833 DOM
  15. 2026-07-21
    days on market $242,000 Active 832 DOM
  16. 2026-07-18
    days on market $242,000 Active 829 DOM
  17. 2026-07-16
    days on market $242,000 Active 827 DOM
  18. 2026-07-16
    days on market $242,000 Active 826 DOM
  19. 2026-07-14
    days on market $242,000 Active 825 DOM
  20. 2026-07-13
    days on market $242,000 Active 824 DOM
  21. 2026-07-12
    days on market $242,000 Active 823 DOM
  22. 2026-07-11
    days on market $242,000 Active 822 DOM
  23. 2026-07-10
    days on market $242,000 Active 821 DOM
  24. 2026-07-09
    days on market $242,000 Active 820 DOM
  25. 2026-07-07
    days on market $242,000 Active 818 DOM
  26. 2026-07-06
    days on market $242,000 Active 817 DOM
  27. 2026-07-05
    days on market $242,000 Active 816 DOM
  28. 2026-07-03
    days on market $242,000 Active 814 DOM
  29. 2026-07-02
    days on market $242,000 Active 813 DOM
  30. 2026-07-01
    days on market $242,000 Active 812 DOM
  31. 2026-06-30
    days on market $242,000 Active 811 DOM
  32. 2026-06-29
    days on market $242,000 Active 810 DOM
  33. 2026-06-28
    days on market $242,000 Active 809 DOM
  34. 2026-06-28
    days on market $242,000 Active 808 DOM
  35. 2026-06-27
    days on market $242,000 Active 807 DOM
  36. 2026-06-25
    days on market $242,000 Active 805 DOM
  37. 2026-06-23
    days on market $242,000 Active 803 DOM
  38. 2026-06-22
    days on market $242,000 Active 802 DOM
  39. 2026-06-18
    days on market $242,000 Active 799 DOM
  40. 2026-06-17
    days on market $242,000 Active 798 DOM
  41. 2026-06-16
    days on market $242,000 Active 797 DOM
  42. 2026-06-15
    days on market $242,000 Active 796 DOM
  43. 2026-06-14
    days on market $242,000 Active 794 DOM
  44. 2026-06-13
    days on market $242,000 Active 793 DOM
  45. 2026-06-10
    days on market $242,000 Active 791 DOM
  46. 2026-06-09
    days on market $242,000 Active 790 DOM
  47. 2026-06-08
    days on market $242,000 Active 789 DOM
  48. 2026-06-07
    days on market $242,000 Active 788 DOM
  49. 2026-06-05
    pricedays on market $242,000 Active 785 DOM
  50. 2026-06-03
    days on market $237,000 Active 784 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,438
− Mortgage interest
−$14,543
− Property taxes
−$3,894
− Insurance
−$1,298
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,035
− Management
−$2,035
− Depreciation
−$7,553
Taxable loss
−$5,921
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,421
After-tax cash flow
$-14/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 4 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab Est. rehab $7,280–$21,840 screening

This home is in good condition with a good condition score of 80. It has a modern kitchen and bathrooms, and is well-maintained both inside and out. The property has potential for further value increases through minor cosmetic updates and landscaping improvements.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can increase both resale and rental value.
  • Resale Updating the kitchen backsplash — A fresh backsplash can make the kitchen more appealing to potential buyers.
  • Both Reorganizing the living room and dining area — Improved layout can make the space more functional and visually appealing.
  • Both Adding smart home features — Smart home features can increase both resale and rental value by making the home more modern and convenient.

ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.

F Composite school gradezoned avg 43/100

Zoned Schools

Elementary Beach Elementary School F MI #735/1,397 Nat'l #22,904/41,679 Middle Cedar Springs Middle School F MI #202/493 Nat'l #5,872/14,009 High Cedar Springs High School C- MI #125/713 Nat'l #4,818/17,239

Schools (NCES district)

District
Cedar Springs Public Schools
NCES district ID
2608520
Math proficiency
35% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
48% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$57,632
Composite
36.42/100
National rank
#4675
State rank
#175 of 540 in MI

Livability — Courtland

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

County
Kent County · 712,484 people
Metro
Grand Rapids-Kentwood, MI
Population (ZIP)
39,409
Household income
$113,989
Rent vs Own
8.6% rent · 91.4% own
Severe rent burden
12% of renters

Population outlook (Kent County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
712,484 people
By 2030
748,618 · +5.1%
By 2040
814,777 · +14.4%
By 2050
868,556 · +21.9%
By 2075
966,487 · +35.7%
By 2100
967,975 · +35.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (90%)
Race & ethnicity
White 90% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4%
Common ancestry
Iranian 15% Romanian 9% Lithuanian 4%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Kent

2024 margin
Lean D (+5.4) · D 51.8% · R 46.5% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
+4.8pp toward D · 2008: 0.5pp · 2024: 5.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+5.4 2020: D+6.1 2016: R+3.1 2012: R+7.9 2008: D+0.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Price history

+5.3% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-14 Price Changed $237,000 Zillow
  • 2025-01-15 Price Changed $232,000 Zillow
  • 2024-06-18 Price Changed $227,000 Zillow
  • 2024-04-11 Listed $225,000 Zillow

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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