1505 Crescent Cir Unit C35 · Lake Park, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 25 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Rent growth +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$150,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- $666 HOA
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1967
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: HOA with a monthly fee of $666; Association amenities: none listed; Pets allowed with possible restrictions and number limits
Exterior
- Parking: 2-car garage (covered parking for 2)
- Utilities: No utilities listed
- Home design: Condominium; 2-story building; Faces west; Resale condition
- Construction: Constructed with CBS (concrete block construction)
- Exterior features: Not waterfront; No waterfront features reported
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range; Microwave
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on the main level
- Flooring: Other flooring
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Heating (type listed as other); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: No notable interior features reported; Unfurnished
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath condo listed at $150k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $931 ($11k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $150k).
- Recommended offer: $132k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#542 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, cost of living A-; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Palm Beach (suburban): math 46% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #34 of 73 in FL (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.0%/yr); 134 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 3,974 units permitted in Palm Beach County in 2024 (1,012 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,434/mo this rent would consume 58% of the median local household income ($71k/yr) (locally 903% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Palm Beach County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 129 days — a 12% lower offer ($132k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 129 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1967 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.29% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.74%
- Cash-on-cash
- 26.59%
- DSCR
- 2.18
- GRM
- 3.6
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.97% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 25.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.10×
- Total profit
- $46,036
- Equity at exit
- $22,365
- IRR
- 35.3%
- Equity multiple
- 4.92×
- Total profit
- $164,558
- Equity at exit
- $12,969
Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33403
- Home prices YoY
- -19.6%
- Rents YoY
- 6.0%
- Active inventory
- 134
- Price-to-rent
- 3.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,434 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$787
- Tax from tax record
- −$267 /mo · $3,202/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$666
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$721
- Net cashflow
- $931
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,500
- Closing costs
- $4,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 11 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 308 Southwind Ct Unit 8 North Palm Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $2,900 | $2.64 | 24d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 526 Eastwind Dr Unit 526 North Palm Beach, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 840 | $3,995 | $4.76 | 24d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 522 Eastwind Dr North Palm Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 948 | $3,995 | $4.21 | 24d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 524 Eastwind Dr Unit 524 North Palm Beach, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 774 | $3,995 | $5.16 | 24d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 624 Southwind Cir #2 North Palm Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 718 | $3,750 | $5.22 | 24d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 913 Lake Shore Dr Lake Park, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1066 | $3,731 | $3.50 | 2d | 9 | 0.56mi |
| 2545 Conroy Dr West Palm Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1066 | $3,295 | $3.09 | 24d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 220 Lake Shore Dr Lake Park, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.5–3.5 | 1575 | $14,498 | $9.20 | 5d | 18 | 0.94mi |
| 901 W 37th St Riviera Beach, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $2,895 | $3.22 | 24d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 913 Lighthouse Dr North Palm Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1092 | $5,900 | $5.40 | 24d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 410 Wilma Cir #103 Riviera Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1056 | $4,000 | $3.79 | 15d | 1 | 1.49mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $666 · $7,992/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-06-09days on market $150,000 Active 129 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $150,000 Active 127 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $150,000 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $150,000 Active 123 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $150,000 Active 121 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $150,000 Active 120 DOM
-
2026-01-30$150,000 Active
-
2022-08-10soldstatus $145,000 Closed
-
2022-07-14status Pending
-
2022-06-28price $149,900
-
2022-06-28status Active
-
2022-06-24status Pending
-
2022-06-17$154,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,202 · $267/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,202 · $267/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $41,203
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,402
- − Property taxes
- −$3,202
- − Insurance
- −$750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,296
- − Management
- −$3,296
- − HOA
- −$7,992
- − Depreciation
- −$4,364
- Taxable income
- $9,900
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,376
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,791/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Palm Beach
- NCES district ID
- 1201500
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $53,943
- Composite
- 42.72/100
- National rank
- #3160
- State rank
- #34 of 73 in FL
Livability — Lake Park
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #542
- US rank
- #10167
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lake Park, FL
- County
- Palm Beach County · 1,438,312 people
- City population
- 14,370
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 14,370
- Household income
- $70,646
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 903.0
Population outlook (Palm Beach County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,637,487 people
- By 2030
- 1,743,255 · +6.5%
- By 2040
- 1,948,712 · +19.0%
- By 2050
- 2,132,979 · +30.3%
- By 2075
- 2,530,027 · +54.5%
- By 2100
- 2,706,979 · +65.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.67)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 46% White 31% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 12% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 4% Cuban 5%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 15% Italian 2% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 26% · Canada, China, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 69% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 17% Spanish 12% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Palm Beach
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.0% · R 49.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.1pp toward R · 2008: 22.9pp · 2024: 0.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+0.8 2020: D+12.8 2016: D+15.3 2012: D+17.0 2008: D+22.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -112.30%
- Current HPI
- 461.4045
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.97%
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
-3.2% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-01-30 Listed $150,000 Beaches MLS
- 2022-08-10 Sold (MLS) $145,000 Beaches MLS
- 2022-07-14 Pending — Beaches MLS
- 2022-06-28 Price Changed $149,900 Beaches MLS
- 2022-06-28 Relisted — Beaches MLS
- 2022-06-24 Pending — Beaches MLS
- 2022-06-17 Listed $154,900 Beaches MLS
Property tax history
+7.7%/yrLatest (2025): $3,202 · +2.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…