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2603 3rd St SW
D Composite 41.97
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Cash flow +8.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +2.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.1/5.0
  • 1% rule +1.5/10.0

$289,999

2603 3rd St SW · Lehigh Acres, FL 33976
3 bd · 3.0 ba · 1,253 sqft · Land · 117 Days on market
Built 2025 0.25 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Great location in the desirable SW area of Lehigh Acres. This property is situated in an area with rapid growth and a lot of new construction. Build your dream home or invest in this great piece of property! Close to Lee Blvd. and close to restaurants, schools, and Walmart. Fast and easy access to state road 82. This lot is very clean.

Key facts

  • Impact doors
  • Large backyard
  • Open concept layout

Tags

IMPACT DOORSIMPACT WINDOWSOPEN CONCEPT LAYOUTLARGE BACKYARDSTAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCESWHITE QUARTZ COUNTERTOPS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Pets allowed
  • HOA & community: No association fee

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage with garage door opener; Driveway; Paved parking; 1 covered/garage space
  • Security: High impact/security doors
  • Utilities: Septic tank; Well water; Cable not available
  • Home design: Single-story home; New construction; Faces West; Exposed to the East
  • Construction: Built with block, concrete and stucco; Shingle roof; New construction
  • Exterior features: Security/high impact doors; Paved road

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Freezer; Disposal; Microwave; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Other (room type listed as Other)
  • Flooring: Tile
  • Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning; Ceiling fans; Electric cooling
  • Interior features: Living/dining room; Split bedrooms; Separate shower; Shower only; Multiple shower heads; Other

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath land listed at $290k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-236 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $248k (14.4% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $187k (35.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $187k (35.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 59/100 on livability (#826 in FL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, employment D+, schools D-.
  • Lee (suburban): math 47% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #42 of 73 in FL (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.5%/yr); 786 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 15,411 units permitted in Lee County in 2024 (4,686 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($73k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $31k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $29k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Lee County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$50k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 117 days — a 9% lower offer ($264k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask is 14400% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
  • Current owner paid $23k; list at $290k implies a 1161% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→28/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $187,070 (35.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 117 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 35% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.65%
Cap rate
5.32%
Cash-on-cash
-3.49%
DSCR
0.84
GRM
12.9

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
21.0%
Equity multiple
2.69×
Total profit
$137,289
Equity at exit
$261,254
10-year hold
IRR
18.5%
Equity multiple
6.00×
Total profit
$405,989
Equity at exit
$563,404

Cash invested: $81,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 33976

Home prices YoY
6.8%
Rents YoY
-1.5%
Active inventory
786
Price-to-rent
12.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,871 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,521
Tax from tax record
$72 /mo · $865/yr
Insurance
$121
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$393
Net cashflow
$-236

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,169
Max offer price $248,339
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$72,500
Closing costs
$8,700
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1507 Markdale St E Lehigh Acres, FL 2.0 1.0 997 $1,300 $1.30 3d 1 0.29mi
209 Punta Alta Ct Lehigh Acres, FL 4.0 2.0 1860 $1,950 $1.05 19d 1 0.34mi
312 Grovewood Ave S Lehigh Acres, FL 2.0 2.0 1325 $1,800 $1.36 24d 1 0.38mi
2812 4th St SW Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1751 $1,856 $1.06 24d 1 0.48mi
1407 Juddale St E Lehigh Acres, FL 2.0 1.0 997 $1,450 $1.45 3d 1 0.55mi
1405 Juddale St E Lehigh Acres, FL 2.0 2.0 1302 $1,400 $1.08 24d 1 0.57mi
219 Beth Stacey Blvd Lehigh Acres, FL 2.0 2.0 997 $1,300 $1.30 21d 1 0.58mi
111 Yellowtail Loop #3 Lehigh Acres, FL 2.0 2.0 1100 $1,750 $1.59 24d 1 0.61mi
2916 7th St SW Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1357 $1,900 $1.40 24d 1 0.70mi
2612 7th St W Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1492 $2,295 $1.54 24d 1 0.72mi
1423 Caywood Cir S Lehigh Acres, FL 2.0 2.0 960 $1,376 $1.43 3d 1 0.75mi
28 Cosmopolitan Dr #13 Lehigh Acres, FL 2.0 2.0 973 $1,375 $1.41 14d 1 0.84mi
2906 14th St SW Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1563 $2,450 $1.57 24d 1 0.89mi
8350 Tortoise Isle Ct Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1478 $1,595 $1.08 3d 1 0.90mi
8046 Gopher Tortoise Trl Lehigh Acres, FL 4.0 2.0 1828 $2,300 $1.26 24d 1 0.90mi
2902 7th St W Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1841 $2,085 $1.13 2d 1 0.92mi
2902 7th St W Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1841 $2,215 $1.20 14d 1 0.92mi
10 Beth Stacey Blvd #206 Lehigh Acres, FL 2.0 2.0 1012 $1,100 $1.09 3d 1 0.93mi
2909 15th St SW Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1291 $1,800 $1.39 21d 1 0.97mi
59 Camelot Gardens Blvd #110 Lehigh Acres, FL 2.0 2.0 1166 $1,800 $1.54 24d 1 0.99mi
8187 Gopher Tortoise Trl Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1555 $2,000 $1.29 24d 1 1.05mi
2916 9th St W Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1053 $1,750 $1.66 24d 1 1.08mi
9099 Aegean Cir Lehigh Acres, FL 2.0 2.0 1120 $1,499 $1.34 24d 1 1.09mi
3103 11th St SW Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1212 $1,800 $1.49 24d 1 1.09mi
2805 20th St SW Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1151 $1,699 $1.48 3d 1 1.10mi
9123 Aegean Cir Lehigh Acres, FL 2.0 2.0 1120 $1,474 $1.32 3d 1 1.12mi
9112 Aegean Cir Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1409 $1,600 $1.14 3d 1 1.13mi
9131 Aegean Cir Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1400 $1,574 $1.12 24d 1 1.13mi
9131 Aegean Cir Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1400 $1,574 $1.12 21d 1 1.13mi
1120 Vineyard St Lehigh Acres, FL 2.0 1.0 1028 $1,300 $1.26 24d 1 1.14mi
9137 Aegean Cir Lehigh Acres, FL 2.0 2.0 1120 $1,474 $1.32 24d 1 1.14mi
9137 Aegean Cir Lehigh Acres, FL 2.0 2.0 1120 $1,474 $1.32 3d 1 1.14mi
1113 Vineyard St Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1004 $1,500 $1.49 24d 1 1.15mi
18303 Gibraltar Ln Lehigh Acres, FL 4.0 2.0 1203 $1,549 $1.29 14d 1 1.19mi
18303 Gibraltar Ln Lehigh Acres, FL 4.0 2.0 1203 $1,599 $1.33 24d 1 1.19mi
9161 Aegean Cir Lehigh Acres, FL 2.0 2.0 1120 $1,650 $1.47 14d 1 1.20mi
18266 Minorea Ln Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1408 $1,650 $1.17 24d 1 1.20mi
3109 8th St SW Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1324 $1,845 $1.39 21d 1 1.21mi
18321 Gibraltar Ln Lehigh Acres, FL 4.0 2.0 1203 $1,675 $1.39 24d 1 1.21mi
18261 Minorea Ln Lehigh Acres, FL 2.0 2.0 1402 $1,595 $1.14 3d 1 1.22mi

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-05-17
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-29
    listed $2,000
  3. 2026-04-28
    historical $2,000
  4. 2026-04-15
    price $2,000
  5. 2026-03-08
    price $289,999
  6. 2026-02-16
    listed $2,250
  7. 2026-02-13
    price $279,999
  8. 2026-01-19
    listed $299,999 Active
  9. 2025-12-17
    historical
  10. 2025-10-05
    price $309,000
  11. 2025-07-14
    price $314,000
  12. 2025-06-17
    listed $329,995 Active
  13. 2023-07-27
    soldstatus $23,000
  14. 2023-07-10
    status Pending 337-char remark
    Show marketing remark (337 chars)

    Great location in the desirable SW area of Lehigh Acres. This property is situated in an area with rapid growth and a lot of new construction. Build your dream home or invest in this great piece of property! Close to Lee Blvd. and close to restaurants, schools, and Walmart. Fast and easy access to state road 82. This lot is very clean.

  15. 2023-07-10
    soldstatus $23,000 Closed 337-char remark
    Show marketing remark (337 chars)

    Great location in the desirable SW area of Lehigh Acres. This property is situated in an area with rapid growth and a lot of new construction. Build your dream home or invest in this great piece of property! Close to Lee Blvd. and close to restaurants, schools, and Walmart. Fast and easy access to state road 82. This lot is very clean.

  16. 2023-06-09
    listed $24,988 Active 337-char remark
    Show marketing remark (337 chars)

    Great location in the desirable SW area of Lehigh Acres. This property is situated in an area with rapid growth and a lot of new construction. Build your dream home or invest in this great piece of property! Close to Lee Blvd. and close to restaurants, schools, and Walmart. Fast and easy access to state road 82. This lot is very clean.

  17. 2023-06-08
    soldstatus $17,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$865 · $72/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,407 · $201/mo
Expected delta
+$1,542/yr (+$129/mo · 178.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 28 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,448
− Mortgage interest
−$16,244
− Property taxes
−$865
− Insurance
−$1,450
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,796
− Management
−$1,796
− Depreciation
−$8,436
Taxable loss
−$8,139
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,953
After-tax cash flow
$-877/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lee
NCES district ID
1201080
Math proficiency
47% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$49,518
Composite
41.49/100
National rank
#3458
State rank
#42 of 73 in FL

Livability — Lehigh Acres

Score
59/100
State rank
#826
US rank
#20055

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Lehigh Acres, FL
County
Lee County · 788,662 people
City population
130,638
Metro
Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL
Population (ZIP)
20,277
Household income
$72,679
Rent vs Own
28.2% rent · 71.8% own
Severe rent burden
574.0

Population outlook (Lee County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
871,946 people
By 2030
955,468 · +9.6%
By 2040
1,113,587 · +27.7%
By 2050
1,256,891 · +44.1%
By 2075
1,560,270 · +78.9%
By 2100
1,726,848 · +98.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 50% Two or more races 30% White 24% Black 20% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 8% Puerto Rican 8% Cuban 18% Dominican 4%
Common ancestry
Hispanic 8% Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
35% · Canada, Jamaica, Vietnam
Languages at home
46% English-only · Spanish 43% French/Haitian/Cajun 8% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lee

2024 margin
Strong R (+28.4) · D 35.5% · R 63.9%
2008→2024 swing
-18.0pp toward R · 2008: -10.4pp · 2024: -28.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+28.4 2020: R+19.2 2016: R+20.4 2012: R+16.6 2008: R+10.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 21.77%
Current HPI
340.4255
Rent YoY
▼ -1.54%
Metro
Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-88.6% since first listed
17 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-17 Pending FORTMLS
  • 2026-04-29 Listed for Rent $2,000 TURBOTENANT
  • 2026-04-28 Rental Removed $2,000 TURBOTENANT
  • 2026-04-15 Price Changed $2,000 TURBOTENANT
  • 2026-03-08 Price Changed $289,999 FORTMLS
  • 2026-02-16 Listed for Rent $2,250 TURBOTENANT
  • 2026-02-13 Price Changed $279,999 FORTMLS
  • 2026-01-19 Listed $299,999 FORTMLS
  • 2025-12-17 Listing Removed FORTMLS
  • 2025-10-05 Price Changed $309,000 FORTMLS
  • 2025-07-14 Price Changed $314,000 FORTMLS
  • 2025-06-17 Listed $329,995 FORTMLS
  • 2023-07-27 Sold (Public Records) $23,000 Public Records
  • 2023-07-10 Pending FORTMLS
  • 2023-07-10 Sold (MLS) $23,000 FORTMLS
  • 2023-06-09 Listed $24,988 FORTMLS
  • 2023-06-08 Sold (Public Records) $17,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+25.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $865 · +93.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…