8250 Park Place Blvd #303 · Houston, TX
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.76%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.5/30.0
- ARV discount +10.9/15.0
- 1% rule +9.1/10.0
- DSCR +7.9/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.7/5.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$69,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Stunning 1BR / 1BA condo in a desirable gated community, showcasing custom upgrades throughout. Features include an upgraded kitchen, contemporary fixtures, and a thoughtfully designed open floor plan. Perfect for first-time buyers, downsizers, or investors seeking convenience, comfort, and security.
Key facts
- $130 HOA
- Parking
- Built 1960
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $69k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $75 ($903/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($970 rent vs $69k).
- Recommended offer: $61k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.8% vs local median 3.2% in Houston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#184 in TX, #4,771 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, crime F.
- Houston ISD (urban): math 27% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #593 of 826 in TX (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 88 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $477 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 220 days — a 12% lower offer ($61k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $16k (19%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 220 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.41% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.76%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.80%
- DSCR
- 1.39
- GRM
- 5.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $74,702
- List price
- $69,000
- Delta
- -7.63%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 9 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.88% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -12.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.57×
- Total profit
- $-8,268
- Equity at exit
- $10,288
- IRR
- -7.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.57×
- Total profit
- $-8,403
- Equity at exit
- $5,966
Cash invested: $19,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 77017
- Home prices YoY
- -21.7%
- Rents YoY
- 0.9%
- Active inventory
- 88
- Price-to-rent
- 5.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $970 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$362
- Tax from tax record
- −$104 /mo · $1,248/yr
- Insurance
- −$29
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$130
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$204
- Net cashflow
- $75
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $114 | -5% $95 | +0% $75 | +5% $56 | +10% $36 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-1 | -5% $37 | +0% $75 | +5% $114 | +10% $152 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $110 | -0.5pp $93 | base $75 | +0.5pp $57 | +1.0pp $39 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $17,250
- Closing costs
- $2,070
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8357 Park Place Blvd Houston, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 739 | $845 | $1.14 | 44d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 7915 Ithaca St Unit 2 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $750 | $1.25 | 44d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 8335 Bonner Dr Houston, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $950 | $1.36 | 44d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 4143 Dover Ave Houston, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 880 | $1,065 | $1.21 | 44d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 2724 Broadway St Houston, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 680 | $872 | $1.28 | 44d | 7 | 0.85mi |
| 7313 Gulf Fwy #907 Houston, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 635 | $999 | $1.57 | 16d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 8445 Winkler Dr Houston, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 704 | $800 | $1.14 | 25d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 7581 City Dr Ofc City Houston, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 615 | $830 | $1.35 | 44d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 7950 Bellfort St Houston, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 796 | $705 | $0.89 | 0d | 15 | 1.20mi |
| 8535 Winkler Dr Houston, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 874 | $900 | $1.03 | 0d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 8535 Winkler Dr Houston, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 874 | $900 | $1.03 | 44d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 7901 Leonora St Houston, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $795 | $1.06 | 6d | 10 | 1.33mi |
| 4800 Allendale Rd Houston, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1003 | $1,043 | $1.04 | 19d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 3505 Evergreen Dr Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 974 | $1,150 | $1.18 | 19d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 3505 Evergreen Dr Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 974 | $1,150 | $1.18 | 20d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 7661 Bellfort Ave Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 930 | $1,349 | $1.45 | 21d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 7661 Bellfort Ave Houston, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $1,099 | $1.69 | 44d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 7661 Bellfort Ave Houston, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $1,099 | $1.69 | 25d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 4800 Allendale Rd Unit 4851 Houston, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1003 | $1,019 | $1.02 | 44d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 4800 Allendale Rd Unit 4821 Houston, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1003 | $1,039 | $1.04 | 15d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 4800 Allendale Rd Unit 1187 Houston, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1003 | $993 | $0.99 | 0d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 4800 Allendale Rd Apt 321 Houston, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1003 | $1,004 | $1.00 | 8d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 4800 Allendale Rd Unit 1162 Houston, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1003 | $1,004 | $1.00 | 6d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 4800 Allendale Rd Unit 4821 Houston, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1003 | $1,043 | $1.04 | 12d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 8101 Leonora St Houston, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 975 | $950 | $0.97 | 3d | 4 | 1.38mi |
| 4800 Allendale Rd Unit 1047 Houston, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1003 | $1,034 | $1.03 | 0d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 4807 Allendale Rd Houston, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $775 | $1.29 | 44d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 8625 Winkler Dr Unit 8646 Houston, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 616 | $923 | $1.50 | 15d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 8625 Winkler Dr Unit 422 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 787 | $1,096 | $1.39 | 12d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 8625 Winkler Dr Unit 2-2125 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 787 | $1,082 | $1.37 | 25d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 8625 Winkler Dr Unit 8699 Houston, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 616 | $927 | $1.50 | 12d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 8625 Winkler Dr Houston, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 701 | $903 | $1.29 | 16d | 17 | 1.46mi |
| 8625 Winkler Dr Houston, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 616 | $885 | $1.44 | 18d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 8625 Winkler Dr Houston, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 701 | $903 | $1.29 | 0d | 17 | 1.46mi |
| 7437 Southway Dr Houston, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 714 | $920 | $1.29 | 44d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 2522 Patricia Manor Pl Unit 1162 Houston, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 560 | $773 | $1.38 | 8d | 1 | 1.49mi |
| 2522 Patricia Manor Pl Unit 2162 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 714 | $911 | $1.28 | 8d | 1 | 1.49mi |
| 2522 Patricia Manor Pl Unit 2596 Houston, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 560 | $762 | $1.36 | 0d | 1 | 1.49mi |
| 2522 Patricia Manor Pl Unit 2573 Houston, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 560 | $762 | $1.36 | 13d | 1 | 1.49mi |
| 2522 Patricia Manor Pl Unit 2596 Houston, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 560 | $808 | $1.44 | 15d | 1 | 1.49mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $130 · $1,560/yr
- Likely covers
- security
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 23 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $69,000 Active 220 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $69,000 Active 217 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $69,000 Active 216 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $69,000 Active 215 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $69,000 Active 214 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $69,000 Active 212 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $69,000 Active 208 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $69,000 Active 207 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $69,000 Active 206 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $69,000 Active 203 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $69,000 Active 200 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $69,000 Active 199 DOM
-
2026-01-15price $69,000 301-char remark
Show marketing remark (301 chars)
Stunning 1BR / 1BA condo in a desirable gated community, showcasing custom upgrades throughout. Features include an upgraded kitchen, contemporary fixtures, and a thoughtfully designed open floor plan. Perfect for first-time buyers, downsizers, or investors seeking convenience, comfort, and security.
-
2025-11-19price $75,000 301-char remark
Show marketing remark (301 chars)
Stunning 1BR / 1BA condo in a desirable gated community, showcasing custom upgrades throughout. Features include an upgraded kitchen, contemporary fixtures, and a thoughtfully designed open floor plan. Perfect for first-time buyers, downsizers, or investors seeking convenience, comfort, and security.
-
2025-11-19$84,900 Active 301-char remark
Show marketing remark (301 chars)
Stunning 1BR / 1BA condo in a desirable gated community, showcasing custom upgrades throughout. Features include an upgraded kitchen, contemporary fixtures, and a thoughtfully designed open floor plan. Perfect for first-time buyers, downsizers, or investors seeking convenience, comfort, and security.
-
2025-11-18soldstatus Closed 301-char remark
Show marketing remark (301 chars)
Stunning 1BR / 1BA condo in a desirable gated community, showcasing custom upgrades throughout. Features include an upgraded kitchen, contemporary fixtures, and a thoughtfully designed open floor plan. Perfect for first-time buyers, downsizers, or investors seeking convenience, comfort, and security.
-
2025-11-12$84,900 Active 301-char remark
Show marketing remark (301 chars)
Stunning 1BR / 1BA condo in a desirable gated community, showcasing custom upgrades throughout. Features include an upgraded kitchen, contemporary fixtures, and a thoughtfully designed open floor plan. Perfect for first-time buyers, downsizers, or investors seeking convenience, comfort, and security.
-
2017-06-13soldstatus
-
2016-04-20soldstatus
-
1999-02-23soldstatus
-
1999-02-09soldstatus
-
1998-10-05soldstatus
-
1993-06-15soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,248 · $104/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,263 · $105/mo
- Expected delta
- +$15/yr (+$1/mo · 1.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (shaded) · 76% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,640
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,865
- − Property taxes
- −$1,248
- − Insurance
- −$1,142
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$931
- − Management
- −$931
- − HOA
- −$1,560
- − Depreciation
- −$2,007
- Taxable loss
- −$45
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$11
- After-tax cash flow
- $914/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Houston ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4823640
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -18.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,054
- Composite
- 26.63/100
- National rank
- #7173
- State rank
- #593 of 826 in TX
Livability — Houston
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #184
- US rank
- #4771
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Houston, TX
- County
- Harris County · 4,702,590 people
- City population
- 3,226,434
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 29,640
- Household income
- $51,079
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1601.0
Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,571,493 people
- By 2030
- 6,089,821 · +9.3%
- By 2040
- 7,142,806 · +28.2%
- By 2050
- 8,185,864 · +46.9%
- By 2075
- 10,574,329 · +89.8%
- By 2100
- 12,109,958 · +117.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (81%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 81% Two or more races 38% White 7% Black 6% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 65%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 39% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 32% English-only · Spanish 63% Vietnamese 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Harris
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -76.86%
- Current HPI
- 277.3656
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.88%
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
||
Price history
-18.7% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-01-15 Price Changed $69,000 HARMLS
- 2025-11-19 Price Changed $75,000 HARMLS
- 2025-11-19 Listed $84,900 HARMLS
- 2025-11-18 Sold (MLS) — HARMLS
- 2025-11-12 Listed $84,900 HARMLS
- 2017-06-13 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2016-04-20 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1999-02-23 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1999-02-09 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1998-10-05 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1993-06-15 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+13.5%/yrLatest (2025): $1,248 · +1.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…