605 Abney · Whitesboro, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 8/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 21.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.8/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +5.2/10.0
- 1% rule +4.9/10.0
- Schools +3.8/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$147,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Investor Special. 3 bed 1 bath home that backs up the park. New roof, cabinets and flooring. Fresh paint. Motivated Seller Selling AS IS. No repairs. Selling as Is. Needs some foundation work.
Key facts
- Fresh paint
- New flooring
- New cabinets
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $147k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $94 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $146k (0.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $129k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.1% vs local median 2.3% in Whitesboro — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#143 in TX, #4,041 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Whitesboro ISD (town): math 43% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #272 of 826 in TX (top 33%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 283 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,272 units permitted in Grayson County in 2024 (750 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Grayson County population projected at +12% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 263 days — a 12% lower offer ($129k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 13 sale attempts since 17y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $42k (22%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 263 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.99% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.06%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.73%
- DSCR
- 1.12
- GRM
- 8.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $201,067
- List price
- $147,000
- Delta
- -26.89%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 103 Tipton St | 0.07mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,224 (-1%) | 0mo | $225,000 | $184 | 89 |
| 706 Abney St | 0.08mi | 3/1.0 | 1,347 (+9%) | 4mo | $196,900 | $146 | 78 |
| 313 Texoma Dr | 0.46mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,230 (-1%) | 5mo | $215,000 | $175 | 66 |
| 400 Water St | 0.38mi | 3/1.0 | 1,158 (-6%) | 7mo | $99,500 | $86 | 66 |
| 308 E Main St | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 | 1,264 (+2%) | 3mo | $184,000 | $146 | 58 |
| 201 Water St | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 | 1,075 (-13%) | 1mo | $219,000 | $204 | 52 |
| 503 Wilson St | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 | 1,144 (-8%) | 1mo | $315,000 | $275 | 52 |
| 208 Bagin St | 0.54mi | 3/1.0 | 1,062 (-14%) | 2mo | $101,000 | $95 | 49 |
| 309 Wilson St | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 | 1,368 (+10%) | 5mo | $289,000 | $211 | 45 |
| 108 E South St | 0.59mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,138 (-8%) | 7mo | $89,000 | $78 | 45 |
| 410 Church St | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 | 1,400 (+13%) | 1mo | $280,000 | $200 | 43 |
| 106 Clark St | 0.75mi | 3/2.0 | 1,400 (+13%) | 3mo | $277,500 | $198 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -11.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.57×
- Total profit
- $-17,804
- Equity at exit
- $21,918
- IRR
- -2.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.81×
- Total profit
- $-7,624
- Equity at exit
- $12,710
Cash invested: $41,160 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 76273
- Home prices YoY
- -15.7%
- Active inventory
- 283
- Price-to-rent
- 8.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,457 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$771
- Tax from tax record
- −$225 /mo · $2,705/yr
- Insurance
- −$61
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$306
- Net cashflow
- $94
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $36,750
- Closing costs
- $4,410
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 307-309 N Jordan St Whitesboro, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1017 | $1,400 | $1.38 | 43d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 208 D St Whitesboro, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 891 | $1,525 | $1.71 | 43d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 500 4th St Whitesboro, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,010 | $1.35 | 20d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 315 Water St Whitesboro, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1456 | $1,895 | $1.30 | 43d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 2000 Highway 82 W Whitesboro, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $985 | $1.31 | 20d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 201 Pecan St Whitesboro, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1290 | $2,000 | $1.55 | 20d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 416 Depot St Whitesboro, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1216 | $1,275 | $1.05 | 20d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 192 Diamond Ranch Rd Whitesboro, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1256 | $1,700 | $1.35 | 43d | 1 | 1.11mi |
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $147,000 Active 263 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $147,000 Active 262 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $147,000 Active 261 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $147,000 Active 260 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $147,000 Active 259 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $147,000 Active 257 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $147,000 Active 256 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $147,000 Active 253 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $147,000 Active 252 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $147,000 Active 247 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $147,000 Active 246 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $147,000 Active 245 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $147,000 Active 244 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $147,000 Active 243 DOM
-
2026-05-13status Active 197-char remark
Show marketing remark (197 chars)
Investor Special. 3 bed 1 bath home that backs up the park. New roof, cabinets and flooring. Fresh paint. Motivated Seller Selling AS IS. No repairs. Selling as Is. Needs some foundation work.
-
2026-03-31price $147,000 197-char remark
Show marketing remark (197 chars)
Investor Special. 3 bed 1 bath home that backs up the park. New roof, cabinets and flooring. Fresh paint. Motivated Seller Selling AS IS. No repairs. Selling as Is. Needs some foundation work.
-
2026-03-31price $130,000 197-char remark
Show marketing remark (197 chars)
Investor Special. 3 bed 1 bath home that backs up the park. New roof, cabinets and flooring. Fresh paint. Motivated Seller Selling AS IS. No repairs. Selling as Is. Needs some foundation work.
-
2026-03-18price $149,000 197-char remark
Show marketing remark (197 chars)
Investor Special. 3 bed 1 bath home that backs up the park. New roof, cabinets and flooring. Fresh paint. Motivated Seller Selling AS IS. No repairs. Selling as Is. Needs some foundation work.
-
2026-03-16price $150,000 197-char remark
Show marketing remark (197 chars)
Investor Special. 3 bed 1 bath home that backs up the park. New roof, cabinets and flooring. Fresh paint. Motivated Seller Selling AS IS. No repairs. Selling as Is. Needs some foundation work.
-
2026-02-19price $159,000 197-char remark
Show marketing remark (197 chars)
Investor Special. 3 bed 1 bath home that backs up the park. New roof, cabinets and flooring. Fresh paint. Motivated Seller Selling AS IS. No repairs. Selling as Is. Needs some foundation work.
-
2026-02-11price $163,000 197-char remark
Show marketing remark (197 chars)
Investor Special. 3 bed 1 bath home that backs up the park. New roof, cabinets and flooring. Fresh paint. Motivated Seller Selling AS IS. No repairs. Selling as Is. Needs some foundation work.
-
2026-02-04price $165,000 197-char remark
Show marketing remark (197 chars)
Investor Special. 3 bed 1 bath home that backs up the park. New roof, cabinets and flooring. Fresh paint. Motivated Seller Selling AS IS. No repairs. Selling as Is. Needs some foundation work.
-
2026-01-16price $178,500 197-char remark
Show marketing remark (197 chars)
Investor Special. 3 bed 1 bath home that backs up the park. New roof, cabinets and flooring. Fresh paint. Motivated Seller Selling AS IS. No repairs. Selling as Is. Needs some foundation work.
-
2025-11-11price $179,000 197-char remark
Show marketing remark (197 chars)
Investor Special. 3 bed 1 bath home that backs up the park. New roof, cabinets and flooring. Fresh paint. Motivated Seller Selling AS IS. No repairs. Selling as Is. Needs some foundation work.
-
2025-10-04price $155,000 197-char remark
Show marketing remark (197 chars)
Investor Special. 3 bed 1 bath home that backs up the park. New roof, cabinets and flooring. Fresh paint. Motivated Seller Selling AS IS. No repairs. Selling as Is. Needs some foundation work.
-
2025-10-01price $162,000 197-char remark
Show marketing remark (197 chars)
Investor Special. 3 bed 1 bath home that backs up the park. New roof, cabinets and flooring. Fresh paint. Motivated Seller Selling AS IS. No repairs. Selling as Is. Needs some foundation work.
-
2025-09-25price $165,000 197-char remark
Show marketing remark (197 chars)
Investor Special. 3 bed 1 bath home that backs up the park. New roof, cabinets and flooring. Fresh paint. Motivated Seller Selling AS IS. No repairs. Selling as Is. Needs some foundation work.
-
2025-09-16price $169,000 197-char remark
Show marketing remark (197 chars)
Investor Special. 3 bed 1 bath home that backs up the park. New roof, cabinets and flooring. Fresh paint. Motivated Seller Selling AS IS. No repairs. Selling as Is. Needs some foundation work.
-
2025-09-10price $175,000 197-char remark
Show marketing remark (197 chars)
Investor Special. 3 bed 1 bath home that backs up the park. New roof, cabinets and flooring. Fresh paint. Motivated Seller Selling AS IS. No repairs. Selling as Is. Needs some foundation work.
-
2025-09-05price $179,000 197-char remark
Show marketing remark (197 chars)
Investor Special. 3 bed 1 bath home that backs up the park. New roof, cabinets and flooring. Fresh paint. Motivated Seller Selling AS IS. No repairs. Selling as Is. Needs some foundation work.
-
2025-08-27$189,000 Active 197-char remark
Show marketing remark (197 chars)
Investor Special. 3 bed 1 bath home that backs up the park. New roof, cabinets and flooring. Fresh paint. Motivated Seller Selling AS IS. No repairs. Selling as Is. Needs some foundation work.
-
2025-05-01historical
-
2025-04-14price $137,000
-
2025-03-13$139,000 Active
-
2025-01-28soldstatus Closed
-
2025-01-23status Pending
-
2024-12-24$115,900 Active
-
2024-02-16status Pending
-
2024-02-01status Active
-
2024-01-31historical Active Option Contract
-
2024-01-27status Active
-
2024-01-24historical Active Option Contract
-
2023-11-13$130,000 Active
-
2023-09-22price $140,000
-
2023-07-31status Active
-
2023-07-23historical Active Option Contract
-
2023-07-21price $147,500
-
2023-07-20$140,000 Active
-
2020-03-09historical
-
2020-01-28$95,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,705 · $225/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,705 · $225/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 8/10 Severe
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 21% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,487
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,234
- − Property taxes
- −$2,705
- − Insurance
- −$735
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,399
- − Management
- −$1,399
- − Depreciation
- −$4,276
- Taxable loss
- −$1,261
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$303
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,427/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Whitesboro ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4845630
- Math proficiency
- 43% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,672
- Composite
- 38.19/100
- National rank
- #4260
- State rank
- #272 of 826 in TX
Livability — Whitesboro
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #143
- US rank
- #4041
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Whitesboro, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 11,019
Population outlook (Grayson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 134,540 people
- By 2030
- 138,653 · +3.1%
- By 2040
- 145,958 · +8.5%
- By 2050
- 151,218 · +12.4%
- By 2075
- 161,802 · +20.3%
- By 2100
- 159,036 · +18.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (82%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 82% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 7% Asian 3% Black 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Portuguese 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · South Korea, Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Grayson
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+54.3) · D 22.5% · R 76.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -16.4pp toward R · 2008: -37.9pp · 2024: -54.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+54.3 2020: R+49.9 2016: R+53.1 2012: R+48.0 2008: R+37.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -49.19%
- Current HPI
- 264.3677
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
||
Price history
+197.0% since first listed48 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-13 Relisted — NTREIS
- 2026-03-31 Price Changed $147,000 NTREIS
- 2026-03-31 Price Changed $130,000 NTREIS
- 2026-03-18 Price Changed $149,000 NTREIS
- 2026-03-16 Price Changed $150,000 NTREIS
- 2026-02-19 Price Changed $159,000 NTREIS
- 2026-02-11 Price Changed $163,000 NTREIS
- 2026-02-04 Price Changed $165,000 NTREIS
- 2026-01-16 Price Changed $178,500 NTREIS
- 2025-11-11 Price Changed $179,000 NTREIS
- 2025-10-04 Price Changed $155,000 NTREIS
- 2025-10-01 Price Changed $162,000 NTREIS
- 2025-09-25 Price Changed $165,000 NTREIS
- 2025-09-16 Price Changed $169,000 NTREIS
- 2025-09-10 Price Changed $175,000 NTREIS
- 2025-09-05 Price Changed $179,000 NTREIS
- 2025-08-27 Listed $189,000 NTREIS
- 2025-05-01 Listing Removed — NTREIS
- 2025-04-14 Price Changed $137,000 NTREIS
- 2025-03-13 Listed $139,000 NTREIS
- 2025-01-28 Sold (MLS) — NTREIS
- 2025-01-23 Pending — NTREIS
- 2024-12-24 Listed $115,900 NTREIS
- 2024-02-16 Pending — NTREIS
- 2024-02-01 Relisted — NTREIS
- 2024-01-31 Contingent — NTREIS
- 2024-01-27 Relisted — NTREIS
- 2024-01-24 Contingent — NTREIS
- 2023-11-13 Listed $130,000 NTREIS
- 2023-09-22 Price Changed $140,000 NTREIS
- 2023-07-31 Relisted — NTREIS
- 2023-07-23 Contingent — NTREIS
- 2023-07-21 Price Changed $147,500 NTREIS
- 2023-07-20 Listed $140,000 NTREIS
- 2020-03-09 Listing Removed — NTREIS
- 2020-01-28 Listed $95,000 NTREIS
- 2014-05-09 Listing Removed — NTREIS
- 2014-05-09 Price Changed $77,500 NTREIS
- 2014-04-17 Listed $80,000 NTREIS
- 2012-09-09 Listing Removed — NTREIS
- 2011-09-12 Listed $77,000 NTREIS
- 2009-05-15 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2009-05-15 Sold (MLS) — NTREIS
- 2009-04-24 Listing Removed — NTREIS
- 2009-03-18 Listed $49,500 NTREIS
- 2005-07-06 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2005-01-11 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2002-08-31 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+6.9%/yrLatest (2025): $2,705 · -9.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…