188 D. Dupre St · Bayou Blue, LA 70364

$109,000

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,248 sqft · Manufactured

Built 2018 0.25 ac lot Est $131k · 17% under

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Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• ARV discount +15.0/15.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• 1% rule +8.3/10.0
• Schools +3.4/10.0
• Livability +3.0/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

Cozy 3-bedroom, 2- bath mobile home offering comfortable living and a relaxing outdoor space. Inside, you'll find a functional layout with spacious living areas and plenty of natural light. Step outside to enjoy the peaceful backyard--perfect for unwinding or entertaining--complete with a large back patio ideal for gatherings, grilling, or simply enjoying quiet evenings at home.

Key facts

• 0.25 acre lot
• 2 parking spots
• Built 2018

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $109k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $446 ($5k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $109k).
• Cap rate 11.2% vs local median 3.5% in Bayou Blue — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 59/100 on livability (#275 in LA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
• Lafourche Parish (other): math 31% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #22 of 98 in LA (top 22%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: 311 active listings in the ZIP; 319 units permitted in Lafourche Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $754 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• Only 0 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
• 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $109,000

Questions for the listing agent

1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
2. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.33% ✓
• Cap rate: 11.20%
• Cash-on-cash: 17.52%
• DSCR: 1.78
• GRM: 6.2

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $131,040
• Comps found: 2

Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
106 D. Dupre St	0.21mi	3/2.0	1,280 (+3%)	21mo	$135,000	$105	69
342 Hummingbird Dr	0.54mi	3/2.0	1,221 (-2%)	10mo	$100,000	$82	63

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 8.9%
• Equity multiple: 1.35×
• Total profit: $10,704
• Equity at exit: $16,252

10-year hold

• IRR: 18.1%
• Equity multiple: 2.50×
• Total profit: $45,824
• Equity at exit: $9,424

Cash invested: $30,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Louisiana: 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

5-day notice; no state rent control; civil-law jurisdiction; landlord-favorable.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 70364

• Active inventory: 311
• Price-to-rent: 6.2×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,454 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$572
• Tax from tax record: −$86 /mo · $1,030/yr
• Insurance: −$45
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$305
• Net cashflow: $446

Break-even live

Break-even rent $890

Max offer price $109,000

Occupancy floor 64%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $507	-5% $476	+0% $446	+5% $415	+10% $384
Rent	-10% $331	-5% $388	+0% $446	+5% $503	+10% $560
Rate	-1.0pp $500	-0.5pp $473	base $446	+0.5pp $417	+1.0pp $389

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $27,250
• Closing costs: $3,270
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 3 events

1. 2026-03-12
   listed $109,000

   Show marketing remark (381 chars)

   Cozy 3-bedroom, 2- bath mobile home offering comfortable living and a relaxing outdoor space. Inside, you'll find a functional layout with spacious living areas and plenty of natural light. Step outside to enjoy the peaceful backyard--perfect for unwinding or entertaining--complete with a large back patio ideal for gatherings, grilling, or simply enjoying quiet evenings at home.

2. 2026-03-12
   historical

   Show marketing remark (381 chars)

   Cozy 3-bedroom, 2- bath mobile home offering comfortable living and a relaxing outdoor space. Inside, you'll find a functional layout with spacious living areas and plenty of natural light. Step outside to enjoy the peaceful backyard--perfect for unwinding or entertaining--complete with a large back patio ideal for gatherings, grilling, or simply enjoying quiet evenings at home.

3. 2026-03-12
   listed $109,000 381-char remark

   Show marketing remark (381 chars)

   Cozy 3-bedroom, 2- bath mobile home offering comfortable living and a relaxing outdoor space. Inside, you'll find a functional layout with spacious living areas and plenty of natural light. Step outside to enjoy the peaceful backyard--perfect for unwinding or entertaining--complete with a large back patio ideal for gatherings, grilling, or simply enjoying quiet evenings at home.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $1,030 · $86/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $1,030 · $86/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X · 14% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $17,444
• − Mortgage interest: −$6,106
• − Property taxes: −$1,030
• − Insurance: −$545
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,396
• − Management: −$1,396
• − Depreciation: −$3,171
• Taxable income: $3,801
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$912
• After-tax cash flow: $4,434/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Lafourche Parish
• NCES district ID: 2200900
• Math proficiency: 31% ▼ -43.00%
• Reading proficiency: 49% ▼ -32.00%
• Median HH income: $49,703
• Composite: 34.4/100
• National rank: #5205
• State rank: #22 of 98 in LA

Livability — Bayou Blue

• Score: 59/100
• State rank: #275
• US rank: #19981

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Bayou Blue, LA
• County: Terrebonne Parish · 57,290 people
• City population: 28,990
• Metro: Houma-Thibodaux, LA
• Population (ZIP): 28,716
• Household income: $68,843
• Rent vs Own: 25.5% rent · 74.5% own
• Severe rent burden: 387.0

Population outlook (Lafourche County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 102,122 people
• By 2030: 103,361 · +1.2%
• By 2040: 104,401 · +2.2%
• By 2050: 102,795 · +0.7%
• By 2075: 95,599 · -6.4%
• By 2100: 82,303 · -19.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Majority White (65%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 65% Black 16% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 9% Native American 7% Asian 1%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 7% Puerto Rican 1%
• Common ancestry: Lithuanian 17% Slovak 1% Serbian 1%
• Foreign-born: 3% · Canada, Vietnam
• Languages at home: 92% English-only · Spanish 4% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lafourche

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+62.1) · D 18.4% · R 80.4% · Other 1.2%
• 2008→2024 swing: -16.1pp toward R · 2008: -46.0pp · 2024: -62.1pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+62.1 2020: R+60.3 2016: R+56.5 2012: R+48.5 2008: R+46.0

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -99.75%
• Current HPI: 113.1047
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: Houma-Thibodaux, LA
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.29%
• F500 in state: 10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Telecommunications	2	$23B
▸Utilities	1	$12B
▸Wholesale / Distribution	1	$5B
▸Advertising	1	$2B

Price history

+0.0% since first listed

3 events — show timeline

• 2026-03-12 Listed $109,000 AcadianaMLS
• 2026-03-12 Delisted — GBRMLS
• 2026-03-12 Listed $109,000 GBRMLS

Property tax history

+18.7%/yr

Latest (2024): $1,030 · +0.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.