15585 Briar Forest Dr · Deerwood, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 112°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +9.8/15.0
- Cash flow +8.1/30.0
- Schools +5.1/10.0
- Condition / age +2.8/5.0
- 1% rule +2.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +2.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$224,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY! Beautiful 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home offering a perfect blend of comfort and convenience. The open-concept layout welcomes you with abundant natural light and seamlessly connects the living area to the kitchen, which features stainless steel appliances, granite countertops, and ample cabinetry. All three bedrooms are well-sized, providing flexibility for family, guests, or a home office. The home also includes a refrigerator and a dedicated laundry area with a full-size washer and dryer. This home is located in a growing area with exciting future development. This is a great opportunity to own in an up-and-coming location. Do not miss your chance to make this home yours.
Key facts
- 5,039 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 2021
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $224k. Condition is rated average.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-216 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $186k (17.0% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $170k (24.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $170k (24.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Conroe ISD (other): math 57% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #69 of 826 in TX (top 8%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Creighton El (math 31% / reading 27%, grade F, #2,668 of 4,322 statewide, top 63%, 940 students, 92% FRL); Moorhead J H (math 35% / reading 42%, grade F, #704 of 1,662 statewide, top 43%, 1,391 students, 82% FRL); Caney Creek H S (math 33% / reading 42%, grade F, #888 of 1,632 statewide, top 55%, 2,504 students, 79% FRL) — zoned schools average 84% FRL vs 34% district-wide (50 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 35% at this address vs 57% district-wide (-22 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Conroe ISD average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: 416 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 13,259 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (1,402 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Montgomery County population projected at +65% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 58 days — a 3% lower offer ($217k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 9 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 58 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 24% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.76% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.13%
- Cash-on-cash
- -4.14%
- DSCR
- 0.82
- GRM
- 11.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $235,852
- List price
- $224,000
- Delta
- -5.03%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15597 Briar Forest Dr | 0.03mi | 3/2.0 | 1,216 (0%) | 13mo | $202,950 | $167 | 88 |
| 15515 Taylorcrest Dr | 0.16mi | 3/2.0 | 1,216 (0%) | 10mo | $200,000 | $164 | 84 |
| 16955 Marie Village Dr | 0.27mi | 3/2.0 | 1,240 (+2%) | 5mo | $170,000 | $137 | 80 |
| 15509 Briar Forest Dr | 0.18mi | 3/2.0 | 1,216 (0%) | 20mo | $204,000 | $168 | 75 |
| 9900 Opal Stone Way | 0.29mi | 3/2.0 | 1,170 (-4%) | 9mo | $181,000 | $155 | 72 |
| 16515 Jasmine Marie Pl | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 | 1,255 (+3%) | 10mo | $177,000 | $141 | 68 |
| 9706 Marie Village Ct | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 | 1,120 (-8%) | 2mo | $167,900 | $150 | 64 |
| 16845 North Marie Village Dr | 0.35mi | 3/2.0 | 1,256 (+3%) | 20mo | $189,000 | $150 | 62 |
| 16737 N Marie Village Dr | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 | 1,256 (+3%) | 18mo | $209,000 | $166 | 62 |
| 16424 Jasmine Marie Pl | 0.42mi | 3/2.0 | 1,256 (+3%) | 21mo | $190,513 | $152 | 58 |
| 9823 Emerald Stone Way | 0.33mi | 3/2.0 | 1,113 (-8%) | 21mo | $186,500 | $168 | 53 |
| 9726 Ruby Stone Way | 0.42mi | 3/2.0 | 1,113 (-8%) | 20mo | $179,568 | $161 | 50 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -23.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.20×
- Total profit
- $-50,036
- Equity at exit
- $33,399
- IRR
- -17.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.02×
- Total profit
- $-61,177
- Equity at exit
- $19,367
Cash invested: $62,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 77306
- Home prices YoY
- -4.1%
- Active inventory
- 416
- Price-to-rent
- 11.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,696 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,175
- Tax from tax record
- −$238 /mo · $2,854/yr
- Insurance
- −$93
- HOA
- −$50
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$356
- Net cashflow
- $-216
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-89 | -5% $-153 | +0% $-216 | +5% $-280 | +10% $-343 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-350 | -5% $-283 | +0% $-216 | +5% $-149 | +10% $-82 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-103 | -0.5pp $-159 | base $-216 | +0.5pp $-274 | +1.0pp $-333 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $56,000
- Closing costs
- $6,720
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15581 Briar Forest Dr Conroe, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $1,545 | $1.10 | 0d | 1 | 0.03mi |
| 10050 Cerritos Dr Conroe, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $1,499 | $1.07 | 25d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 6621 W Forest Rd Conroe, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 952 | $1,450 | $1.52 | 45d | 1 | 0.98mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $50 · $600/yr
Listing history 41 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $224,000 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $224,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $224,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $224,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $224,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $224,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $224,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $224,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $224,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $224,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $224,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $224,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $224,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $224,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-04-25$224,000 Active 703-char remark
Show marketing remark (703 chars)
INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY! Beautiful 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home offering a perfect blend of comfort and convenience. The open-concept layout welcomes you with abundant natural light and seamlessly connects the living area to the kitchen, which features stainless steel appliances, granite countertops, and ample cabinetry. All three bedrooms are well-sized, providing flexibility for family, guests, or a home office. The home also includes a refrigerator and a dedicated laundry area with a full-size washer and dryer. This home is located in a growing area with exciting future development. This is a great opportunity to own in an up-and-coming location. Do not miss your chance to make this home yours.
-
2026-04-16historical $224,000 703-char remark
Show marketing remark (703 chars)
INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY! Beautiful 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home offering a perfect blend of comfort and convenience. The open-concept layout welcomes you with abundant natural light and seamlessly connects the living area to the kitchen, which features stainless steel appliances, granite countertops, and ample cabinetry. All three bedrooms are well-sized, providing flexibility for family, guests, or a home office. The home also includes a refrigerator and a dedicated laundry area with a full-size washer and dryer. This home is located in a growing area with exciting future development. This is a great opportunity to own in an up-and-coming location. Do not miss your chance to make this home yours.
-
2025-04-05historical $1,500
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2025-03-30$1,500
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2025-03-12soldstatus
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2025-03-07soldstatus Sold 582-char remark
Show marketing remark (582 chars)
Beautiful 1 story home with the perfect sized front porch to relax and watch the sunset. Step inside this open concept home and walk into this modernized kitchen featuring granite countertops, stainless steel appliances, large walk-in pantry and upgraded flooring which continues throughout the main areas. The oversized primary retreat includes two closets and it's own private bathroom. There are 2 extra bedrooms and a separate bathroom down the hallway. This area of Conroe continues to grow and develop and you're only a short trip to groceries, shopping, fun and so much more!
-
2025-02-11status Pending 582-char remark
Show marketing remark (582 chars)
Beautiful 1 story home with the perfect sized front porch to relax and watch the sunset. Step inside this open concept home and walk into this modernized kitchen featuring granite countertops, stainless steel appliances, large walk-in pantry and upgraded flooring which continues throughout the main areas. The oversized primary retreat includes two closets and it's own private bathroom. There are 2 extra bedrooms and a separate bathroom down the hallway. This area of Conroe continues to grow and develop and you're only a short trip to groceries, shopping, fun and so much more!
-
2025-02-06status Option Pending 582-char remark
Show marketing remark (582 chars)
Beautiful 1 story home with the perfect sized front porch to relax and watch the sunset. Step inside this open concept home and walk into this modernized kitchen featuring granite countertops, stainless steel appliances, large walk-in pantry and upgraded flooring which continues throughout the main areas. The oversized primary retreat includes two closets and it's own private bathroom. There are 2 extra bedrooms and a separate bathroom down the hallway. This area of Conroe continues to grow and develop and you're only a short trip to groceries, shopping, fun and so much more!
-
2025-01-02status Active 582-char remark
Show marketing remark (582 chars)
Beautiful 1 story home with the perfect sized front porch to relax and watch the sunset. Step inside this open concept home and walk into this modernized kitchen featuring granite countertops, stainless steel appliances, large walk-in pantry and upgraded flooring which continues throughout the main areas. The oversized primary retreat includes two closets and it's own private bathroom. There are 2 extra bedrooms and a separate bathroom down the hallway. This area of Conroe continues to grow and develop and you're only a short trip to groceries, shopping, fun and so much more!
-
2024-12-31historical 582-char remark
Show marketing remark (582 chars)
Beautiful 1 story home with the perfect sized front porch to relax and watch the sunset. Step inside this open concept home and walk into this modernized kitchen featuring granite countertops, stainless steel appliances, large walk-in pantry and upgraded flooring which continues throughout the main areas. The oversized primary retreat includes two closets and it's own private bathroom. There are 2 extra bedrooms and a separate bathroom down the hallway. This area of Conroe continues to grow and develop and you're only a short trip to groceries, shopping, fun and so much more!
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2024-12-15price $199,900 582-char remark
Show marketing remark (582 chars)
Beautiful 1 story home with the perfect sized front porch to relax and watch the sunset. Step inside this open concept home and walk into this modernized kitchen featuring granite countertops, stainless steel appliances, large walk-in pantry and upgraded flooring which continues throughout the main areas. The oversized primary retreat includes two closets and it's own private bathroom. There are 2 extra bedrooms and a separate bathroom down the hallway. This area of Conroe continues to grow and develop and you're only a short trip to groceries, shopping, fun and so much more!
-
2024-11-18status Active 582-char remark
Show marketing remark (582 chars)
Beautiful 1 story home with the perfect sized front porch to relax and watch the sunset. Step inside this open concept home and walk into this modernized kitchen featuring granite countertops, stainless steel appliances, large walk-in pantry and upgraded flooring which continues throughout the main areas. The oversized primary retreat includes two closets and it's own private bathroom. There are 2 extra bedrooms and a separate bathroom down the hallway. This area of Conroe continues to grow and develop and you're only a short trip to groceries, shopping, fun and so much more!
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2024-10-30status Pending 582-char remark
Show marketing remark (582 chars)
Beautiful 1 story home with the perfect sized front porch to relax and watch the sunset. Step inside this open concept home and walk into this modernized kitchen featuring granite countertops, stainless steel appliances, large walk-in pantry and upgraded flooring which continues throughout the main areas. The oversized primary retreat includes two closets and it's own private bathroom. There are 2 extra bedrooms and a separate bathroom down the hallway. This area of Conroe continues to grow and develop and you're only a short trip to groceries, shopping, fun and so much more!
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2024-10-22status Option Pending 582-char remark
Show marketing remark (582 chars)
Beautiful 1 story home with the perfect sized front porch to relax and watch the sunset. Step inside this open concept home and walk into this modernized kitchen featuring granite countertops, stainless steel appliances, large walk-in pantry and upgraded flooring which continues throughout the main areas. The oversized primary retreat includes two closets and it's own private bathroom. There are 2 extra bedrooms and a separate bathroom down the hallway. This area of Conroe continues to grow and develop and you're only a short trip to groceries, shopping, fun and so much more!
-
2024-10-13status Active 582-char remark
Show marketing remark (582 chars)
Beautiful 1 story home with the perfect sized front porch to relax and watch the sunset. Step inside this open concept home and walk into this modernized kitchen featuring granite countertops, stainless steel appliances, large walk-in pantry and upgraded flooring which continues throughout the main areas. The oversized primary retreat includes two closets and it's own private bathroom. There are 2 extra bedrooms and a separate bathroom down the hallway. This area of Conroe continues to grow and develop and you're only a short trip to groceries, shopping, fun and so much more!
-
2024-09-03status Pending 582-char remark
Show marketing remark (582 chars)
Beautiful 1 story home with the perfect sized front porch to relax and watch the sunset. Step inside this open concept home and walk into this modernized kitchen featuring granite countertops, stainless steel appliances, large walk-in pantry and upgraded flooring which continues throughout the main areas. The oversized primary retreat includes two closets and it's own private bathroom. There are 2 extra bedrooms and a separate bathroom down the hallway. This area of Conroe continues to grow and develop and you're only a short trip to groceries, shopping, fun and so much more!
-
2024-08-26status Option Pending 582-char remark
Show marketing remark (582 chars)
Beautiful 1 story home with the perfect sized front porch to relax and watch the sunset. Step inside this open concept home and walk into this modernized kitchen featuring granite countertops, stainless steel appliances, large walk-in pantry and upgraded flooring which continues throughout the main areas. The oversized primary retreat includes two closets and it's own private bathroom. There are 2 extra bedrooms and a separate bathroom down the hallway. This area of Conroe continues to grow and develop and you're only a short trip to groceries, shopping, fun and so much more!
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2024-07-19price $209,900 582-char remark
Show marketing remark (582 chars)
Beautiful 1 story home with the perfect sized front porch to relax and watch the sunset. Step inside this open concept home and walk into this modernized kitchen featuring granite countertops, stainless steel appliances, large walk-in pantry and upgraded flooring which continues throughout the main areas. The oversized primary retreat includes two closets and it's own private bathroom. There are 2 extra bedrooms and a separate bathroom down the hallway. This area of Conroe continues to grow and develop and you're only a short trip to groceries, shopping, fun and so much more!
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2024-07-06$219,900 Active 582-char remark
Show marketing remark (582 chars)
Beautiful 1 story home with the perfect sized front porch to relax and watch the sunset. Step inside this open concept home and walk into this modernized kitchen featuring granite countertops, stainless steel appliances, large walk-in pantry and upgraded flooring which continues throughout the main areas. The oversized primary retreat includes two closets and it's own private bathroom. There are 2 extra bedrooms and a separate bathroom down the hallway. This area of Conroe continues to grow and develop and you're only a short trip to groceries, shopping, fun and so much more!
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2024-07-04historical
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2024-04-28$219,900 Active
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2021-07-22soldstatus Sold
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2021-04-22status Pending
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2021-04-21status Active
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2021-04-06status Pending
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2021-04-06historical
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2021-03-30$189,990 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,854 · $238/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,099 · $342/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,246/yr (+$104/mo · 43.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥112°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,349
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,547
- − Property taxes
- −$2,854
- − Insurance
- −$1,120
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,628
- − Management
- −$1,628
- − HOA
- −$600
- − Depreciation
- −$6,516
- Taxable loss
- −$6,544
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,571
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,024/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home offers a good condition with a good roof and hardwood floors. It's located in a growing area with exciting future development.
Value-add opportunities
- Resale paint exterior — enhances curb appeal
- Resale paint interior — updates the look of the home
- Both landscaping — improves curb appeal and adds value
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Resale paint exterior — enhances curb appeal ↑
- Resale paint interior — updates the look of the home ↑
- Both landscaping — improves curb appeal and adds value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Conroe ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4815000
- Math proficiency
- 57% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 57% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $71,541
- Composite
- 50.65/100
- National rank
- #1833
- State rank
- #69 of 826 in TX
Livability — Deerwood
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- County
- Montgomery County · 663,713 people
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,086
- Household income
- $76,257
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 231.0
Population outlook (Montgomery County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 713,896 people
- By 2030
- 805,263 · +12.8%
- By 2040
- 992,708 · +39.1%
- By 2050
- 1,179,590 · +65.2%
- By 2075
- 1,628,084 · +128.1%
- By 2100
- 1,937,880 · +171.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Hispanic (55%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 55% White 41% Two or more races 11% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 51%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 1% Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 21% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 53% English-only · Spanish 45% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Montgomery
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+45.5) · D 26.8% · R 72.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +7.2pp toward D · 2008: -52.7pp · 2024: -45.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+45.5 2020: R+43.8 2016: R+51.4 2012: R+60.7 2008: R+52.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -13.02%
- Current HPI
- 306.3801
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
||
Price history
+17.9% since first listed27 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-25 Listed $224,000 HARMLS
- 2026-04-16 Coming Soon $224,000 HARMLS
- 2025-04-05 Rental Removed $1,500 HARMLS
- 2025-03-30 Listed for Rent $1,500 HARMLS
- 2025-03-12 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2025-03-07 Sold (MLS) — HARMLS
- 2025-02-11 Pending — HARMLS
- 2025-02-06 Pending — HARMLS
- 2025-01-02 Relisted — HARMLS
- 2024-12-31 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2024-12-15 Price Changed $199,900 HARMLS
- 2024-11-18 Relisted — HARMLS
- 2024-10-30 Pending — HARMLS
- 2024-10-22 Pending — HARMLS
- 2024-10-13 Relisted — HARMLS
- 2024-09-03 Pending — HARMLS
- 2024-08-26 Pending — HARMLS
- 2024-07-19 Price Changed $209,900 HARMLS
- 2024-07-06 Listed $219,900 HARMLS
- 2024-07-04 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2024-04-28 Listed $219,900 HARMLS
- 2021-07-22 Sold (MLS) — HARMLS
- 2021-04-22 Pending — HARMLS
- 2021-04-21 Relisted — HARMLS
- 2021-04-06 Pending — HARMLS
- 2021-04-06 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2021-03-30 Listed $189,990 HARMLS
Property tax history
+79.5%/yrLatest (2025): $2,854 · -2.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…