1116 8th Ave S · Great Falls, MT
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $918 – $1,706
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 92°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 8 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 9 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +3.4/5.0
- Schools +2.8/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$95,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- 7,492 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1900
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Location directions referenced as Google Maps
- Financial info: Annual property tax approximately $720.92
- HOA & community: HOA/community details not provided
Exterior
- Parking: Attached or detached 2-car garage
- Security: Security details not provided
- Utilities: Utilities details not provided
- Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property
- Construction: Block foundation
- Exterior features: Lot approximately 7,492 square feet (0.172 acres)
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen details not provided
- Bedrooms: Bedrooms information not provided
- Flooring: Flooring details not provided
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Heating and cooling details not provided
- Interior features: Crawl space basement with concrete elements
- Laundry & utility: Laundry and utility details not provided
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $95k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $701 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $95k).
- Recommended offer: $94k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 15.1% vs local median 3.5% in Great Falls — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#19 in MT, #2,473 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, employment C-, crime F.
- Great Falls H S (urban): math 27% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #79 of 116 in MT (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.6%/yr); 111 active listings in the ZIP; 223 units permitted in Cascade County in 2024 (37 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($59k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $657 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Cascade County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.6% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 30 days — a 2% lower offer ($94k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.73% ✓
- Cap rate
- 15.14%
- Cash-on-cash
- 31.61%
- DSCR
- 2.41
- GRM
- 4.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $210,148
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 609 7th Ave S | 0.44mi | 3/1.0 | 988 (+1%) | 9mo | $263,000 | $266 | 71 |
| 1101 6th Ave S | 0.19mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,040 (+6%) | 13mo | $242,000 | $233 | 66 |
| 625 5th Ave S | 0.47mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 988 (+1%) | 13mo | $173,000 | $175 | 62 |
| 1520 4th Ave S | 0.44mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,066 (+9%) | 1mo | $153,900 | $144 | 60 |
| 2021 8th Ave S | 0.74mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 960 (-2%) | 1mo | $235,000 | $245 | 56 |
| 1400 7th Ave S | 0.22mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,080 (+10%) | 17mo | $169,500 | $157 | 54 |
| 1420 9th St S | 0.55mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 930 (-5%) | 9mo | $39,000 | $42 | 53 |
| 1127 1st Ave S | 0.56mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 984 (+0%) | 21mo | $139,900 | $142 | 51 |
| 1514 17th St S | 0.71mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 985 (+0%) | 16mo | $245,000 | $249 | 48 |
| 1219 2nd Ave S | 0.49mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,020 (+4%) | 22mo | $60,000 | $59 | 47 |
| 1601 12th Ave S | 0.46mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,098 (+12%) | 7mo | $235,000 | $214 | 46 |
| 1310 7th St S | 0.58mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 840 (-14%) | 18mo | $250,000 | $298 | 28 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.64% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 27.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.14×
- Total profit
- $30,280
- Equity at exit
- $14,165
- IRR
- 35.1%
- Equity multiple
- 4.32×
- Total profit
- $88,206
- Equity at exit
- $8,214
Cash invested: $26,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Montana
- 82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 59405
- Rents YoY
- 3.6%
- Active inventory
- 111
- Price-to-rent
- 4.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,644 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$498
- Tax from tax record
- −$60 /mo · $721/yr
- Insurance
- −$40
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$345
- Net cashflow
- $701
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $754 | -5% $727 | +0% $701 | +5% $674 | +10% $647 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $571 | -5% $636 | +0% $701 | +5% $766 | +10% $830 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $748 | -0.5pp $725 | base $701 | +0.5pp $676 | +1.0pp $651 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $23,750
- Closing costs
- $2,850
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $95,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $95,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $95,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $95,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $95,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $95,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $95,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $95,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $95,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $95,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $95,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $95,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $95,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $95,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $95,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $95,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $95,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-05-20$95,000 Active
-
2026-04-03$125,900 Active
-
2021-12-20$65,000
-
2019-07-31soldstatus
-
2019-07-31soldstatus
-
2019-05-02$40,000
-
1996-10-30soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MT · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $721 · $60/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $798 · $66/mo
- Expected delta
- +$77/yr (+$6/mo · 10.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 5/10 Major 8 unhealthy d/yr today · 9 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,723
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,321
- − Property taxes
- −$721
- − Insurance
- −$475
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,578
- − Management
- −$1,578
- − Depreciation
- −$2,764
- Taxable income
- $7,286
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,749
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,658/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Great Falls H S
- NCES district ID
- 3013050
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,586
- Composite
- 28.03/100
- National rank
- #6846
- State rank
- #79 of 116 in MT
Livability — Great Falls
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #19
- US rank
- #2473
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Great Falls, MT
- County
- Cascade County · 75,427 people
- City population
- 75,427
- Metro
- Great Falls, MT
- Population (ZIP)
- 33,350
- Household income
- $59,449
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1123.0
Population outlook (Cascade County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 81,936 people
- By 2030
- 81,376 · -0.7%
- By 2040
- 79,435 · -3.1%
- By 2050
- 77,906 · -4.9%
- By 2075
- 78,595 · -4.1%
- By 2100
- 79,997 · -2.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (79%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 79% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 6% Native American 4% Black 2% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 8% Italian 3% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2%
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 2% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cascade
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+22.3) · D 37.3% · R 59.6% · Other 3.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -24.6pp toward R · 2008: 2.3pp · 2024: -22.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+22.3 2020: R+19.7 2016: R+21.6 2012: R+9.1 2008: D+2.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -121.87%
- Current HPI
- 213.0016
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.64%
- Metro
- Great Falls, MT
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.41%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MT)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology / Analytics | 1 | $2B |
|
||
Price history
+137.5% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-20 Listed $95,000 MRMLS
- 2026-04-03 Listed $125,900 MRMLS
- 2021-12-20 Listed $65,000 MRMLS
- 2019-07-31 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2019-07-31 Sold (MLS) — MRMLS
- 2019-05-02 Listed $40,000 MRMLS
- 1996-10-30 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+0.5%/yrLatest (2025): $721 · -10.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…