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286 Belfort St 🏷️ Likely Rental
B Composite 71.72
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • Schools +3.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$99,000

286 Belfort St · Jacksonville, FL 32204
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,230 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 23 Days on market
Built 1950 10,454 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Occupied investment property. selling as is. Section 8 HUD approved.

Key facts

  • Screened in porch
  • Eat-in kitchen
  • Oversized backyard

Tags

EAT-IN KITCHENOVERSIZED BACKYARDSCREENED IN PORCH

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: On-street parking
  • Utilities: Electricity available; Sewer available; Water available
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Used as investment property
  • Exterior features: Lot approximately 0.24 acres; No private pool

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air
  • Interior features: Electric range; Refrigerator; Central heating; Central air

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $99,000 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$199,260) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $99k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $549 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $99k).
  • Recommended offer: $98k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 12.9% vs local median 4.0% in Jacksonville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 83/100 on livability (#50 in FL, #911 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+.
  • Duval (urban): math 46% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #48 of 73 in FL (top 66%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.7%/yr); 75 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 20d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,503 units permitted in Duval County in 2024 (1,131 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($65k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $684 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Duval County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.7% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 23 days — a 2% lower offer ($98k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 8 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $50k; list at $99k implies a 100% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $97,515 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.66%
Cap rate
12.95%
Cash-on-cash
23.77%
DSCR
2.06
GRM
5.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$199,260
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
332 Woodlawn Ave 0.08mi 3/2.0 1,230 (0%) 3mo $235,100 $191 89
2562 Summit St 0.16mi 3/2.0 1,268 (+3%) 3mo $205,000 $162 81
306 Woodlawn Ave 0.06mi 3/2.0 1,100 (-11%) 2mo $70,000 $64 74
411 King St 0.38mi 3/1.0 1,182 (-4%) 4mo $117,500 $99 72
2550 Summit St 0.14mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,083 (-12%) 0mo $130,000 $120 64
2331 Myra St 0.68mi 3/1.0 1,280 (+4%) 1mo $366,000 $286 61
724 James St 0.74mi 3/2.0 1,207 (-2%) 2mo $265,000 $220 57
2343 Ernest St 0.56mi 3/1.0 1,092 (-11%) 4mo $265,000 $243 52
2664 Ernest St 0.64mi 3/2.0 1,361 (+11%) 4mo $295,000 $217 45
2908 Spencer St 0.71mi 3/2.0 1,100 (-11%) 0mo $158,000 $144 45
2881 Lenox Ave 0.72mi 3/1.0 1,068 (-13%) 2mo $90,000 $84 43
1831 Broadway Ave 0.71mi 3/2.0 1,050 (-15%) 3mo $95,000 $90 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.69% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
19.0%
Equity multiple
1.79×
Total profit
$21,832
Equity at exit
$14,761
10-year hold
IRR
28.5%
Equity multiple
3.75×
Total profit
$76,358
Equity at exit
$8,560

Cash invested: $27,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 32204

Home prices YoY
-28.2%
Rents YoY
4.7%
Active inventory
75
Price-to-rent
5.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,641 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$519
Tax from tax record
$187 /mo · $2,246/yr
Insurance
$41
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$345
Net cashflow
$549

Break-even live

Break-even rent $946
Max offer price $99,000
Occupancy floor 62%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,750
Closing costs
$2,970
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
371 Smith St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1050 $1,325 $1.26 4d 1 0.29mi
2526 Phyllis St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1300 $1,800 $1.38 24d 1 0.42mi
2561 Rosselle St #1 Jacksonville, FL 3.0 3.0 1287 $1,395 $1.08 24d 1 0.46mi
420 Sunshine St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1050 $1,350 $1.29 2d 1 0.55mi
715 Ralph St Jacksonville, FL 4.0 2.0 1338 $2,195 $1.64 4d 1 0.63mi
1923 Broadway Ave Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1230 $1,421 $1.16 24d 1 0.66mi
717 King St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1132 $1,800 $1.59 17d 1 0.66mi
2012 Baldwin St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1232 $1,445 $1.17 24d 1 0.67mi
2614 Dellwood Ave Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.0 1122 $2,325 $2.07 4d 1 0.67mi
2002 Ernest St Unit A Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,795 $1.79 14d 1 0.68mi
2044 Dellwood Ave Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 1375 $1,825 $1.33 24d 1 0.71mi
2022 Dellwood Ave Unit 2 Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 800 $1,098 $1.37 15d 1 0.72mi
2128 Woodside St Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 776 $895 $1.15 24d 1 0.74mi
2309 College St Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 1200 $1,200 $1.00 14d 1 0.75mi
2611 Green St Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 728 $1,195 $1.64 24d 1 0.75mi
2611 Green St Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 728 $1,195 $1.64 15d 1 0.75mi
2701 Myra St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.0 1065 $1,595 $1.50 21d 1 0.75mi
2577 Haldumar Ter Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 865 $1,050 $1.21 2d 1 0.75mi
2759 Dellwood Ave Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1080 $2,100 $1.94 20d 1 0.76mi
2578 Haldumar Ter Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 1114 $2,195 $1.97 15d 1 0.77mi
1979 Yulee St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1050 $1,500 $1.43 24d 1 0.78mi
907 Copeland St Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 784 $1,395 $1.78 24d 1 0.79mi
2136 College St #4 Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 900 $1,250 $1.39 24d 1 0.80mi
1751 Broadway Ave Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,525 $1.52 4d 1 0.83mi
2812 Ernest St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.0 1461 $2,800 $1.92 24d 1 0.85mi
2657 Post St Apt 2 Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,700 $1.55 3d 1 0.88mi
1657 Union St W Unit 1 Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 700 $1,050 $1.50 2d 1 0.88mi
1607 Logan St Jacksonville, FL 4.0 2.0 1232 $1,800 $1.46 24d 1 0.90mi
2803 College St Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,550 $1.41 14d 1 0.92mi
3035 Fitzgerald St Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 900 $1,021 $1.13 3d 1 0.94mi
226 Spruce St Jacksonville, FL 4.0 2.0 1196 $1,148 $0.96 3d 1 0.94mi
1545 Union St W Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1253 $1,400 $1.12 3d 1 0.95mi
2410 McQuade St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1307 $1,425 $1.09 24d 1 0.96mi
2777 Post St Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 1200 $1,195 $1.00 24d 1 0.96mi
1539 Union St W Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.5 1000 $1,144 $1.14 14d 1 0.96mi
232 Chelsea St Unit 4 Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 850 $1,000 $1.18 24d 1 0.96mi
2185 Kingston St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1230 $1,381 $1.12 24d 1 0.96mi
2154 Placeda St Jacksonville, FL 4.0 1.5 1124 $1,500 $1.33 21d 1 0.97mi
2589 Park St Unit 2589 Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 1354 $1,850 $1.37 24d 1 0.97mi
2512 Park St Unit 3 Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.5 800 $1,395 $1.74 4d 1 0.98mi

Listing history 35 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $99,000 Active 23 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $99,000 Active 22 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $99,000 Active 21 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $99,000 Active 20 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $99,000 Active 18 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $99,000 Active 17 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $99,000 Active 14 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $99,000 Active 13 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $99,000 Active 12 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $99,000 Active 9 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $99,000 Active 8 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $99,000 Active 7 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $99,000 Active 6 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $99,000 Active 5 DOM
  15. 2026-05-26
    listed $99,000 Active
  16. 2024-04-05
    historical $1,250
  17. 2024-03-30
    price $1,250
  18. 2024-03-08
    listed $1,300
  19. 2024-03-08
    historical $1,300
  20. 2024-03-06
    price $1,300
  21. 2024-02-14
    price $1,350
  22. 2024-02-13
    listed $1,400
  23. 2024-01-11
    historical $1,200
  24. 2024-01-04
    listed $1,200
  25. 2023-12-25
    historical $1,200
  26. 2023-12-23
    historical $1,200
  27. 2023-12-21
    listed $1,200
  28. 2023-11-28
    price $1,200
  29. 2023-10-31
    listed $1,250
  30. 2018-04-06
    soldstatus $49,500
  31. 2005-10-31
    historical 69-char remark
    Show marketing remark (69 chars)

    Occupied investment property. selling as is. Section 8 HUD approved.

  32. 2005-08-04
    soldstatus $45,000
  33. 2005-05-10
    listed $65,000 69-char remark
    Show marketing remark (69 chars)

    Occupied investment property. selling as is. Section 8 HUD approved.

  34. 2005-02-11
    historical 254-char remark
    Show marketing remark (254 chars)

    THIS HOME FEATURES A FORMAL LIVING ROOM WITH FIREPLACE, BUILT IN SHELVING, HARDWOOD FLOORS, EAT-IN KITCHEN, CENTRAL HEAT & AIR AND AN OVER SIZED BACKYARD. BEING SOLD 'AS-IS'. $1000 CASH BONUS TO SELLING AGENT. HUD RENTAL INC $700 THROUGHT 10/31/2004.

  35. 2004-08-11
    listed $65,000 254-char remark
    Show marketing remark (254 chars)

    THIS HOME FEATURES A FORMAL LIVING ROOM WITH FIREPLACE, BUILT IN SHELVING, HARDWOOD FLOORS, EAT-IN KITCHEN, CENTRAL HEAT & AIR AND AN OVER SIZED BACKYARD. BEING SOLD 'AS-IS'. $1000 CASH BONUS TO SELLING AGENT. HUD RENTAL INC $700 THROUGHT 10/31/2004.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,246 · $187/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,246 · $187/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 5/10 Major 7 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,697
− Mortgage interest
−$5,546
− Property taxes
−$2,246
− Insurance
−$495
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,576
− Management
−$1,576
− Depreciation
−$2,880
Taxable income
$5,379
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,291
After-tax cash flow
$5,298/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Duval
NCES district ID
1200480
Math proficiency
46% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$48,987
Composite
38.97/100
National rank
#4076
State rank
#48 of 73 in FL

Livability — Jacksonville

Score
83/100
State rank
#50
US rank
#911

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A Crime C Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Jacksonville, FL
County
Duval County · 1,015,274 people
City population
979,034
Metro
Jacksonville, FL
Population (ZIP)
9,151
Household income
$65,063
Rent vs Own
71.5% rent · 28.5% own
Severe rent burden
866.0

Population outlook (Duval County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,013,010 people
By 2030
1,059,228 · +4.6%
By 2040
1,141,439 · +12.7%
By 2050
1,205,258 · +19.0%
By 2075
1,324,282 · +30.7%
By 2100
1,319,620 · +30.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
Race & ethnicity
White 55% Black 30% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 6% Two or more races 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
7% · China, Canada, Philippines
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 3% Chinese 2% Other Asian/Pacific 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Duval

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 48.7% · R 50.1% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
+0.4pp no change · 2008: -1.9pp · 2024: -1.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+1.5 2020: D+3.8 2016: R+1.5 2012: R+3.6 2008: R+1.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -123.96%
Current HPI
316.3185
Rent YoY
▲ 4.69%
Metro
Jacksonville, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+52.3% since first listed
21 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-26 Listed $99,000 realMLS
  • 2024-04-05 Rental Removed $1,250 NEFLMLS
  • 2024-03-30 Price Changed $1,250 NEFLMLS
  • 2024-03-08 Listed for Rent $1,300 NEFLMLS
  • 2024-03-08 Rental Removed $1,300 BUILDIUM
  • 2024-03-06 Price Changed $1,300 BUILDIUM
  • 2024-02-14 Price Changed $1,350 BUILDIUM
  • 2024-02-13 Listed for Rent $1,400 BUILDIUM
  • 2024-01-11 Rental Removed $1,200 BUILDIUM
  • 2024-01-04 Listed for Rent $1,200 BUILDIUM
  • 2023-12-25 Rental Removed $1,200 BUILDIUM
  • 2023-12-23 Rental Removed $1,200 NEFLMLS
  • 2023-12-21 Listed for Rent $1,200 NEFLMLS
  • 2023-11-28 Price Changed $1,200 BUILDIUM
  • 2023-10-31 Listed for Rent $1,250 BUILDIUM
  • 2018-04-06 Sold (Public Records) $49,500 Public Records
  • 2005-10-31 Listing Removed realMLS
  • 2005-08-04 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records
  • 2005-05-10 Listed $65,000 realMLS
  • 2005-02-11 Listing Removed realMLS
  • 2004-08-11 Listed $65,000 realMLS

Property tax history

+9.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,246 · +42.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…