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101 Joslin Rd.#7 Rd
B Composite 70.73
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +5.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$89,000

101 Joslin Rd.#7 Rd · Carlsborg, WA 98382
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 960 sqft · Manufactured public records · 36 Days on market
Built 1973

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Great possibilities with this comfortable 2 Bedroom mobile in Olympic View Mobile Home Park! Enjoy sipping coffee in the morning sunshine from the big east facing deck! Quiet corner lot with low traffic and a great neighborhood! This mobile has a nice carport that could accommodate 2 cars, and 2 storage sheds with power and a workbench for the hobbies! Close to bus lines and away from the bustle of town. Come take a look!

Key facts

  • Large deck
  • Southern exposure
  • Double wide home

Tags

DOUBLE WIDE HOMELARGE DECKFENCED IN BACK YARDSOUTHERN EXPOSURECARPORTSTORAGE SHEDS

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Paved parking
  • Utilities: Septic tank (shared septic)
  • Home design: Residential mobile home; Faces south
  • Exterior features: Deck; Workshop; Level yard; Corner lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Oven; Range; Refrigerator
  • Flooring: Laminate; Carpet
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Forced air
  • Interior features: Dishwasher; Dryer; Oven; Range; Refrigerator; Storage
  • Laundry & utility: Dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $89k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $963 ($12k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $89k).
  • Recommended offer: $86k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 19.3% vs local median 2.4% in Carlsborg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 59/100 on livability (#493 in WA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, health & safety D, crime D-.
  • Sequim School District (town): math 55% / reading 66% proficiency, ranked #64 of 291 in WA (top 22%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 605 active listings in the ZIP; 166 units permitted in Clallam County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($74k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $615 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Clallam County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 36 days — a 3% lower offer ($86k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $62k; 44% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Recommended offer $86,330 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 36 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.12%
Cap rate
19.27%
Cash-on-cash
46.35%
DSCR
3.06
GRM
3.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$40,320
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
101 Joslin Rd #8 0.00mi 2/1.0 960 (0%) 4mo $40,000 $42 96

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
43.6%
Equity multiple
2.88×
Total profit
$46,858
Equity at exit
$13,270
10-year hold
IRR
49.6%
Equity multiple
5.80×
Total profit
$119,645
Equity at exit
$7,695

Cash invested: $24,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
28 Tenant-Leaning
State Washington
28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Just-cause statewide (2021); Seattle layers rent control restrictions + relocation assistance; very tenant-friendly.

ZIP-level market 98382

Active inventory
605
Price-to-rent
3.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,890 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$467
Tax from tax record
$27 /mo · $319/yr
Insurance
$37
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$397
Net cashflow
$963

Break-even live

Break-even rent $671
Max offer price $89,000
Occupancy floor 44%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$22,250
Closing costs
$2,670
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $89,000 Active 36 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $89,000 Active 35 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $89,000 Active 34 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $89,000 Active 33 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $89,000 Active 32 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $89,000 Active 30 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $89,000 Active 29 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $89,000 Active 26 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $89,000 Active 25 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $89,000 Active 24 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $89,000 Active 21 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $89,000 Active 20 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    price $89,000 Active 19 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $99,000 Active 19 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $99,000 Active 18 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $99,000 Active 17 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $99,000 Active 16 DOM
  18. 2026-05-16
    status Active
  19. 2026-05-14
    status Pending
  20. 2026-05-11
    listed $99,000 Active
  21. 2022-11-09
    soldstatus $62,000 431-char remark
    Show marketing remark (431 chars)

    Great possibilities with this comfortable 2 Bedroom mobile in Olympic View Mobile Home Park! Enjoy sipping coffee in the morning sunshine from the big east facing deck! Quiet corner lot with low traffic and a great neighborhood! This mobile has a nice carport that could accommodate 2 cars, and 2 storage sheds with power and a workbench for the hobbies! Close to bus lines and away from the bustle of town. Come take a look!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast WA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$319 · $27/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$872 · $73/mo
Expected delta
+$553/yr (+$46/mo · 173.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥83°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 6/10 Major 7 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,677
− Mortgage interest
−$4,985
− Property taxes
−$319
− Insurance
−$445
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,814
− Management
−$1,814
− Depreciation
−$2,589
Taxable income
$10,710
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,570
After-tax cash flow
$8,980/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Sequim School District
NCES district ID
5307830
Math proficiency
55% ▼ -1.00%
Reading proficiency
66% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$46,969
Composite
52.77/100
National rank
#3312
State rank
#64 of 291 in WA

Livability — Carlsborg

Score
59/100
State rank
#493
US rank
#20503

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D- Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety D User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Clallam County · 31,052 people
Metro
Port Angeles, WA
Population (ZIP)
31,052
Household income
$74,189
Rent vs Own
18.9% rent · 81.1% own
Severe rent burden
666.0

Population outlook (Clallam County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
76,817 people
By 2030
78,177 · +1.8%
By 2040
79,795 · +3.9%
By 2050
80,890 · +5.3%
By 2075
83,933 · +9.3%
By 2100
82,141 · +6.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (85%)
Race & ethnicity
White 85% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 2%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 5% Slovak 5% Italian 4%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 2% German/W. Germanic 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Clallam

2024 margin
Lean D (+7.9) · D 52.6% · R 44.7% · Other 2.7%
2008→2024 swing
+4.6pp toward D · 2008: 3.3pp · 2024: 7.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+7.9 2020: D+3.4 2016: R+1.6 2012: D+0.4 2008: D+3.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -225.89%
Current HPI
181.4372
Rent YoY
Metro
Port Angeles, WA
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.65%
F500 in state
22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+59.7% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-16 Relisted OLS
  • 2026-05-14 Pending OLS
  • 2026-05-11 Listed $99,000 OLS
  • 2022-11-09 Sold (MLS) $62,000 OLS

Property tax history

+27.1%/yr

Latest (2026): $319 · +20.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…