2770 W Lincoln Ave #44 · Anaheim, CA
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- AH
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.24%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,142 – $2,507
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 91°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 7 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 8 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Condition / age +4.8/5.0
- Rent growth +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$159,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to the finest home in the highly sought-after Western Skies Mobile Home Park! This 2-bedroom, 1-bathroom residence has been meticulously transformed from top to bottom, offering high-end designer finishes and a modern aesthetic that rivals any new build in Anaheim. Step inside to an open-concept living space flooded with natural light. The vaulted ceilings are accented by striking dark wood beams, creating a perfect contrast against the crisp white walls and contemporary wide-plank flooring. The living room features a custom vertical wood slat accent wall, providing a sophisticated focal point for your entertainment area. The chef-inspired kitchen is a showstopper, featuring bright
Key facts
- Matte black hardware
- Dark wood beams
- Vaulted ceilings
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot elevation measured in feet; Directions: East of Lincoln Ave & Beach Blvd
- HOA & community: Part of an association; Community features include street lighting and urban setting; Located in a land-lease community (Western Skies) with land lease of $1,500 monthly
Exterior
- Parking: Located in Western Skies park
- Utilities: Public sewer; District/Public water
- Home design: Single-story mobile home; Mobile home remains on site; Estimated living area
- Construction: Mobile home (12' x 52'); Year built per public records
- Exterior features: Association pool; Corner lot with lawn
Interior
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Interior features: One-level home; Front and back entry
- Laundry & utility: Dedicated laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $159k. Condition is rated excellent.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $911 ($11k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $159k).
- Recommended offer: $149k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 14.3% vs local median 2.2% in Anaheim — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#240 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: health & safety C-, crime F, cost of living F.
- Magnolia Elementary (urban): math 25% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #397 of 517 in CA (top 77%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.1%/yr); 72 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 2d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 6,974 units permitted in Orange County in 2024 (3,839 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($84k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Orange County population projected at +14% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.1% rent growth), your $45k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 70 days — a 6% lower offer ($149k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $152/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AH (mandatory federal flood insurance); extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 70 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1968 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.72% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.31%
- Cash-on-cash
- 28.65%
- DSCR
- 2.27
- GRM
- 4.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $290,000
- Comps found
- 6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 235 S Beach Blvd #115 | 0.61mi | 2/1.0 | 1,140 (-9%) | 2mo | $287,000 | $252 | 56 |
| 235 S Beach Blvd #78 | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,152 (-8%) | 9mo | $279,000 | $242 | 36 |
| 211 S.Beach Blvd #20 | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,344 (+8%) | 16mo | $264,000 | $196 | 36 |
| 235 S Beach Blvd #136 | 0.73mi | 2/2.0 | 1,358 (+9%) | 14mo | $315,000 | $232 | 35 |
| 211 S Beach Blvd #43 | 0.63mi | 2/2.0 | 1,392 (+11%) | 21mo | $167,000 | $120 | 30 |
| 211 S Beach Blvd #10 | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,400 (+12%) | 20mo | $225,000 | $161 | 25 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.13% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 20.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.86×
- Total profit
- $38,362
- Equity at exit
- $23,707
- IRR
- 30.2%
- Equity multiple
- 4.02×
- Total profit
- $134,309
- Equity at exit
- $13,747
Cash invested: $44,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 92801
- Rents YoY
- 5.1%
- Active inventory
- 72
- Price-to-rent
- 4.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,736 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$834
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$199 /mo · $2,385/yr
- Insurance
- −$66
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$152 /mo · $1,824/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$575
- Net cashflow
- $911
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,021 | -5% $966 | +0% $911 | +5% $856 | +10% $801 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $695 | -5% $803 | +0% $911 | +5% $1,019 | +10% $1,127 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $991 | -0.5pp $951 | base $911 | +0.5pp $870 | +1.0pp $828 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $39,750
- Closing costs
- $4,770
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2828 W Lincoln Ave Anaheim, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 870 | $2,550 | $2.93 | 1d | 4 | 0.14mi |
| 125 N Syracuse St Anaheim, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 910 | $2,720 | $2.99 | 1d | 3 | 0.16mi |
| 2726 W Lincoln Ave Anaheim, CA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1063 | $3,195 | $3.01 | 1d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 120 N Syracuse St Anaheim, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 1075 | $2,695 | $2.51 | 15d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 2729 W Yale Ave Unit B Anaheim, CA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1057 | $2,750 | $2.60 | 3d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 2642 W Lincoln Ave Anaheim, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 870 | $2,510 | $2.88 | 1d | 5 | 0.34mi |
| 2642 W Lincoln Ave Anaheim, CA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 725 | $2,559 | $3.53 | 11d | 6 | 0.34mi |
| 181 N Richmont Dr Anaheim, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1150 | $2,850 | $2.48 | 13d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 181 N Richmont Dr Anaheim, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1150 | $2,850 | $2.48 | 3d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 201 S Magnolia Ave Anaheim, CA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 901 | $2,695 | $2.99 | 1d | 3 | 0.43mi |
| 150 S Magnolia Ave Apt 160 Anaheim, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 910 | $2,490 | $2.74 | 5d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 134 S Magnolia Ave Unit 11C Anaheim, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1178 | $2,950 | $2.50 | 1d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 120 N Magnolia Ave Anaheim, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 855 | $2,745 | $3.21 | 1d | 6 | 0.56mi |
| 2611 W Baylor Cir Anaheim, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 899 | $3,246 | $3.61 | 1d | 6 | 0.66mi |
| 2970 W Orange Ave Unit B028 Anaheim, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $2,880 | $2.62 | 18d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 460 N Santa Maria St Anaheim, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1765 | $3,800 | $2.15 | 18d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 2515 W Lincoln Ave Anaheim, CA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1024 | $2,525 | $2.47 | 1d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 627 S Velare St Anaheim, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1037 | $2,494 | $2.41 | 1d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 627 S Velare St Anaheim, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1095 | $2,494 | $2.28 | 18d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 120 S Grand Ave Unit 84 Anaheim, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 875 | $2,725 | $3.11 | 1d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 3070 W Del Monte Dr Anaheim, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 858 | $2,650 | $3.09 | 1d | 5 | 0.76mi |
| 2441 W Lincoln Ave Anaheim, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 938 | $2,350 | $2.51 | 1d | 2 | 0.82mi |
| 522 N Hampton St Anaheim, CA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1139 | $3,300 | $2.90 | 19d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 625 S Webster Ave Anaheim, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $2,350 | $2.35 | 1d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 625 S Webster Ave Unit 3 Anaheim, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $2,450 | $2.45 | 11d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 625 S Webster Ave Unit 1 Anaheim, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $2,450 | $2.72 | 13d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 2551 W Rome Ave Anaheim, CA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1130 | $3,850 | $3.41 | 6d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 2771 W Ball Rd Anaheim, CA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 900 | $2,350 | $2.61 | 1d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 707 S Webster Ave Anaheim, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 980 | $2,822 | $2.88 | 4d | 2 | 0.95mi |
| 2425 W Orange Ave Unit B Anaheim, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1200 | $3,600 | $3.00 | 10d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 707 S Webster Ave Unit 108 Anaheim, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 980 | $2,850 | $2.91 | 1d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 2880 W Ball Rd Anaheim, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 894 | $2,850 | $3.19 | 1d | 5 | 0.99mi |
| 2828 W Ball Rd Unit N-36 Anaheim, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 880 | $2,795 | $3.18 | 17d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 2828 W Ball Rd Unit D-10 Anaheim, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 880 | $2,805 | $3.19 | 17d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 2828 W Ball Rd Unit G-11 Anaheim, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 880 | $2,850 | $3.24 | 17d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 200 N Gilbert St Anaheim, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 832 | $2,590 | $3.11 | 1d | 2 | 0.99mi |
| 2828 W Ball Rd Anaheim, CA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 880 | $2,760 | $3.14 | 1d | 3 | 1.00mi |
| 125 N Belinda Cir Anaheim, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 865 | $2,390 | $2.76 | 1d | 3 | 1.05mi |
| 1235 Sharon Cir Unit 1231 F2 Anaheim, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 910 | $2,495 | $2.74 | 15d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 2631 W Felicidad Cir Unit 619-D Anaheim, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 940 | $2,895 | $3.08 | 1d | 1 | 1.07mi |
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $159,000 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $159,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $159,000 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $159,000 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $159,000 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $159,000 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $159,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $159,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $159,000 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $159,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $159,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $159,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $159,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $159,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-05-04price $159,000
-
2026-04-09$179,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone AH · 24% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 5/10 Major 7 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $32,834
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,906
- − Property taxes
- −$2,385
- − Insurance
- −$2,620
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,627
- − Management
- −$2,627
- − Depreciation
- −$4,625
- Taxable income
- $9,044
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,171
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,758/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This meticulously transformed manufactured home in Western Skies Mobile Home Park offers a modern and high-end design with excellent curb appeal and interior finishes.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can improve curb appeal and attract potential buyers/tenants.
- Rental HVAC system maintenance — A well-maintained HVAC system can attract tenants and reduce utility costs.
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics. ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can improve curb appeal and attract potential buyers/tenants. ↑
- Rental HVAC system maintenance — A well-maintained HVAC system can attract tenants and reduce utility costs. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Magnolia Elementary
- NCES district ID
- 0623430
- Math proficiency
- 25% ▼ -21.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 25% ▼ -29.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,320
- Composite
- 22.09/100
- National rank
- #8181
- State rank
- #397 of 517 in CA
Livability — Anaheim
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #240
- US rank
- #7861
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Anaheim, CA
- County
- Orange County · 3,096,323 people
- City population
- 361,715
- Metro
- Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 60,547
- Household income
- $83,725
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3604.0
Population outlook (Orange County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 3,477,456 people
- By 2030
- 3,613,117 · +3.9%
- By 2040
- 3,835,945 · +10.3%
- By 2050
- 3,968,736 · +14.1%
- By 2075
- 4,097,053 · +17.8%
- By 2100
- 3,903,633 · +12.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 59% Two or more races 19% Asian 19% White 16% Black 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 50%
- Common ancestry
- Russian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 41% · Canada, Vietnam, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 30% English-only · Spanish 48% Tagalog/Filipino 5% Vietnamese 5%
Political lean MEDSL · Orange
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 49.7% · R 47.1% · Other 3.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +5.2pp toward D · 2008: -2.6pp · 2024: 2.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+2.6 2020: D+9.0 2016: D+7.7 2012: R+8.3 2008: R+2.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -723.92%
- Current HPI
- 446.9118
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.13%
- Metro
- Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
||
| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
||
| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
-11.2% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-04 Price Changed $159,000 CRMLS
- 2026-04-09 Listed $179,000 CRMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…