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2770 W Lincoln Ave #44
B+ Composite 79.24
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.8/5.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$159,000

2770 W Lincoln Ave #44 · Anaheim, CA 92801
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,250 sqft · Manufactured · 70 Days on market
Built 1968 Excellent condition Est $290k · 45% under ↓ 11% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to the finest home in the highly sought-after Western Skies Mobile Home Park! This 2-bedroom, 1-bathroom residence has been meticulously transformed from top to bottom, offering high-end designer finishes and a modern aesthetic that rivals any new build in Anaheim. Step inside to an open-concept living space flooded with natural light. The vaulted ceilings are accented by striking dark wood beams, creating a perfect contrast against the crisp white walls and contemporary wide-plank flooring. The living room features a custom vertical wood slat accent wall, providing a sophisticated focal point for your entertainment area. The chef-inspired kitchen is a showstopper, featuring bright

Key facts

  • Matte black hardware
  • Dark wood beams
  • Vaulted ceilings

Tags

OPEN-CONCEPT LIVING SPACEVAULTED CEILINGSDARK WOOD BEAMSCHEF-INSPIRED KITCHENMATTE BLACK HARDWAREELEGANT QUARTZ COUNTERTOPS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot elevation measured in feet; Directions: East of Lincoln Ave & Beach Blvd
  • HOA & community: Part of an association; Community features include street lighting and urban setting; Located in a land-lease community (Western Skies) with land lease of $1,500 monthly

Exterior

  • Parking: Located in Western Skies park
  • Utilities: Public sewer; District/Public water
  • Home design: Single-story mobile home; Mobile home remains on site; Estimated living area
  • Construction: Mobile home (12' x 52'); Year built per public records
  • Exterior features: Association pool; Corner lot with lawn

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Interior features: One-level home; Front and back entry
  • Laundry & utility: Dedicated laundry room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $159k. Condition is rated excellent.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $911 ($11k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $159k).
  • Recommended offer: $149k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 14.3% vs local median 2.2% in Anaheim — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#240 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: health & safety C-, crime F, cost of living F.
  • Magnolia Elementary (urban): math 25% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #397 of 517 in CA (top 77%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.1%/yr); 72 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 2d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 6,974 units permitted in Orange County in 2024 (3,839 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($84k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Orange County population projected at +14% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.1% rent growth), your $45k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 70 days — a 6% lower offer ($149k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $152/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AH (mandatory federal flood insurance); extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $149,460 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 70 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1968 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.72%
Cap rate
14.31%
Cash-on-cash
28.65%
DSCR
2.27
GRM
4.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$290,000
Comps found
6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
235 S Beach Blvd #115 0.61mi 2/1.0 1,140 (-9%) 2mo $287,000 $252 56
235 S Beach Blvd #78 0.73mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,152 (-8%) 9mo $279,000 $242 36
211 S.Beach Blvd #20 0.63mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,344 (+8%) 16mo $264,000 $196 36
235 S Beach Blvd #136 0.73mi 2/2.0 1,358 (+9%) 14mo $315,000 $232 35
211 S Beach Blvd #43 0.63mi 2/2.0 1,392 (+11%) 21mo $167,000 $120 30
211 S Beach Blvd #10 0.63mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,400 (+12%) 20mo $225,000 $161 25

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.13% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
20.5%
Equity multiple
1.86×
Total profit
$38,362
Equity at exit
$23,707
10-year hold
IRR
30.2%
Equity multiple
4.02×
Total profit
$134,309
Equity at exit
$13,747

Cash invested: $44,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 92801

Rents YoY
5.1%
Active inventory
72
Price-to-rent
4.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,736 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$834
Tax est. 1.5%
$199 /mo · $2,385/yr
Insurance
$66
Flood insurance flood zone
−$152 /mo · $1,824/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$575
Net cashflow
$911

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,583
Max offer price $159,000
Occupancy floor 62%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,021 -5% $966 +0% $911 +5% $856 +10% $801
Rent -10% $695 -5% $803 +0% $911 +5% $1,019 +10% $1,127
Rate -1.0pp $991 -0.5pp $951 base $911 +0.5pp $870 +1.0pp $828

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$39,750
Closing costs
$4,770
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2828 W Lincoln Ave Anaheim, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0–1.5 870 $2,550 $2.93 1d 4 0.14mi
125 N Syracuse St Anaheim, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0–1.5 910 $2,720 $2.99 1d 3 0.16mi
2726 W Lincoln Ave Anaheim, CA 2.0 2.5 1063 $3,195 $3.01 1d 1 0.16mi
120 N Syracuse St Anaheim, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0–1.5 1075 $2,695 $2.51 15d 1 0.20mi
2729 W Yale Ave Unit B Anaheim, CA 2.0 1.5 1057 $2,750 $2.60 3d 1 0.27mi
2642 W Lincoln Ave Anaheim, CA 2.0 2.0 870 $2,510 $2.88 1d 5 0.34mi
2642 W Lincoln Ave Anaheim, CA 2.0 1.0–2.0 725 $2,559 $3.53 11d 6 0.34mi
181 N Richmont Dr Anaheim, CA 2.0 2.0 1150 $2,850 $2.48 13d 1 0.37mi
181 N Richmont Dr Anaheim, CA 2.0 2.0 1150 $2,850 $2.48 3d 1 0.37mi
201 S Magnolia Ave Anaheim, CA 2.0 1.0–2.0 901 $2,695 $2.99 1d 3 0.43mi
150 S Magnolia Ave Apt 160 Anaheim, CA 1.0 1.0 910 $2,490 $2.74 5d 1 0.49mi
134 S Magnolia Ave Unit 11C Anaheim, CA 3.0 2.0 1178 $2,950 $2.50 1d 1 0.52mi
120 N Magnolia Ave Anaheim, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0 855 $2,745 $3.21 1d 6 0.56mi
2611 W Baylor Cir Anaheim, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 899 $3,246 $3.61 1d 6 0.66mi
2970 W Orange Ave Unit B028 Anaheim, CA 2.0 2.0 1100 $2,880 $2.62 18d 1 0.68mi
460 N Santa Maria St Anaheim, CA 3.0 2.5 1765 $3,800 $2.15 18d 1 0.70mi
2515 W Lincoln Ave Anaheim, CA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1024 $2,525 $2.47 1d 1 0.70mi
627 S Velare St Anaheim, CA 2.0 1.0 1037 $2,494 $2.41 1d 1 0.74mi
627 S Velare St Anaheim, CA 2.0 1.0 1095 $2,494 $2.28 18d 1 0.74mi
120 S Grand Ave Unit 84 Anaheim, CA 2.0 1.0 875 $2,725 $3.11 1d 1 0.76mi
3070 W Del Monte Dr Anaheim, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0 858 $2,650 $3.09 1d 5 0.76mi
2441 W Lincoln Ave Anaheim, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0 938 $2,350 $2.51 1d 2 0.82mi
522 N Hampton St Anaheim, CA 3.0 1.5 1139 $3,300 $2.90 19d 1 0.84mi
625 S Webster Ave Anaheim, CA 2.0 2.0 1000 $2,350 $2.35 1d 1 0.86mi
625 S Webster Ave Unit 3 Anaheim, CA 2.0 2.0 1000 $2,450 $2.45 11d 1 0.89mi
625 S Webster Ave Unit 1 Anaheim, CA 2.0 2.0 900 $2,450 $2.72 13d 1 0.89mi
2551 W Rome Ave Anaheim, CA 3.0 1.5 1130 $3,850 $3.41 6d 1 0.89mi
2771 W Ball Rd Anaheim, CA 2.0 1.5 900 $2,350 $2.61 1d 1 0.93mi
707 S Webster Ave Anaheim, CA 2.0 2.0 980 $2,822 $2.88 4d 2 0.95mi
2425 W Orange Ave Unit B Anaheim, CA 3.0 2.5 1200 $3,600 $3.00 10d 1 0.95mi
707 S Webster Ave Unit 108 Anaheim, CA 2.0 2.0 980 $2,850 $2.91 1d 1 0.97mi
2880 W Ball Rd Anaheim, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0 894 $2,850 $3.19 1d 5 0.99mi
2828 W Ball Rd Unit N-36 Anaheim, CA 2.0 2.0 880 $2,795 $3.18 17d 1 0.99mi
2828 W Ball Rd Unit D-10 Anaheim, CA 2.0 2.0 880 $2,805 $3.19 17d 1 0.99mi
2828 W Ball Rd Unit G-11 Anaheim, CA 2.0 2.0 880 $2,850 $3.24 17d 1 0.99mi
200 N Gilbert St Anaheim, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0 832 $2,590 $3.11 1d 2 0.99mi
2828 W Ball Rd Anaheim, CA 2.0 1.0–2.0 880 $2,760 $3.14 1d 3 1.00mi
125 N Belinda Cir Anaheim, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 865 $2,390 $2.76 1d 3 1.05mi
1235 Sharon Cir Unit 1231 F2 Anaheim, CA 2.0 2.0 910 $2,495 $2.74 15d 1 1.05mi
2631 W Felicidad Cir Unit 619-D Anaheim, CA 2.0 1.0 940 $2,895 $3.08 1d 1 1.07mi

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $159,000 Active 70 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $159,000 Active 69 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $159,000 Active 68 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $159,000 Active 67 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $159,000 Active 65 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $159,000 Active 64 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $159,000 Active 61 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $159,000 Active 60 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $159,000 Active 59 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $159,000 Active 56 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $159,000 Active 55 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $159,000 Active 54 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $159,000 Active 53 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $159,000 Active 52 DOM
  15. 2026-05-04
    price $159,000
  16. 2026-04-09
    listed $179,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone AH · 24% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 5/10 Major 7 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$32,834
− Mortgage interest
−$8,906
− Property taxes
−$2,385
− Insurance
−$2,620
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,627
− Management
−$2,627
− Depreciation
−$4,625
Taxable income
$9,044
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,171
After-tax cash flow
$8,758/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Excellent 95/100 None rehab

This meticulously transformed manufactured home in Western Skies Mobile Home Park offers a modern and high-end design with excellent curb appeal and interior finishes.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can improve curb appeal and attract potential buyers/tenants.
  • Rental HVAC system maintenance — A well-maintained HVAC system can attract tenants and reduce utility costs.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can improve curb appeal and attract potential buyers/tenants.
  • Rental HVAC system maintenance — A well-maintained HVAC system can attract tenants and reduce utility costs.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Magnolia Elementary
NCES district ID
0623430
Math proficiency
25% ▼ -21.00%
Reading proficiency
25% ▼ -29.00%
Median HH income
$50,320
Composite
22.09/100
National rank
#8181
State rank
#397 of 517 in CA

Livability — Anaheim

Score
70/100
State rank
#240
US rank
#7861

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment A+ Housing C+ Health & safety C- User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Anaheim, CA
County
Orange County · 3,096,323 people
City population
361,715
Metro
Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
Population (ZIP)
60,547
Household income
$83,725
Rent vs Own
63.0% rent · 37.0% own
Severe rent burden
3604.0

Population outlook (Orange County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
3,477,456 people
By 2030
3,613,117 · +3.9%
By 2040
3,835,945 · +10.3%
By 2050
3,968,736 · +14.1%
By 2075
4,097,053 · +17.8%
By 2100
3,903,633 · +12.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 59% Two or more races 19% Asian 19% White 16% Black 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 50%
Common ancestry
Russian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
41% · Canada, Vietnam, South Korea
Languages at home
30% English-only · Spanish 48% Tagalog/Filipino 5% Vietnamese 5%

Political lean MEDSL · Orange

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 49.7% · R 47.1% · Other 3.2%
2008→2024 swing
+5.2pp toward D · 2008: -2.6pp · 2024: 2.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+2.6 2020: D+9.0 2016: D+7.7 2012: R+8.3 2008: R+2.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -723.92%
Current HPI
446.9118
Rent YoY
▲ 5.13%
Metro
Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-11.2% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-04 Price Changed $159,000 CRMLS
  • 2026-04-09 Listed $179,000 CRMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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