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600 Balsam St
C- Composite 51.26
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +17.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +5.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.8/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$150,000

600 Balsam St · Grants, NM 87020
4 bd · 1.5 ba · 2,550 sqft · Other · 60 Days on market
Built 1959 8,407 sqft lot $59/sqft · 44% below area Est $267k · 44% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This spacious home offers over 2,500 sqft with solid potential. It features a primary bedroom + 1 additional bedroom downstairs, 2 bedrooms upstairs, and 2 bathrooms total. Primary suite is the unfinished room that was being remodeled by current owner. Upstairs there is a small landing loft with lots of natural light. The home needs refreshing, but the home has strong underlying value. Conveniently located close to I-40 for easy access to Albuquerque. Perfect for investors or hands-on buyers ready to personalize and build equity. Turn this classic, family-loved property into your dream home!

Key facts

  • 8,407 sq ft lot
  • Built 1959
  • Listed 60 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath other listed at $150k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $102 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $137k (8.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $137k (8.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 60/100 on livability (#115 in NM) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, crime D+, employment D.
  • Grants-Cibola County Schools (town): math 14% / reading 22% proficiency, ranked #74 of 95 in NM (top 78%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 76 active listings in the ZIP.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Cibola County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 60 days — a 3% lower offer ($146k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1959 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $137,051 (8.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 60 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1959 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.91%
Cap rate
7.11%
Cash-on-cash
2.91%
DSCR
1.13
GRM
9.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$266,714
List price
$150,000
Delta
-43.76%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
2 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-11.7%
Equity multiple
0.58×
Total profit
$-17,836
Equity at exit
$22,365
10-year hold
IRR
-2.6%
Equity multiple
0.83×
Total profit
$-7,237
Equity at exit
$12,969

Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
State New Mexico
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice but with cure rights; relocation assistance in some cities.

ZIP-level market 87020

Active inventory
76
Price-to-rent
9.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,371 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$787
Tax from tax record
$132 /mo · $1,581/yr
Insurance
$62
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$288
Net cashflow
$102

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,242
Max offer price $150,000
Occupancy floor 88%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $187 -5% $144 +0% $102 +5% $59 +10% $17
Rent -10% $-6 -5% $48 +0% $102 +5% $156 +10% $210
Rate -1.0pp $177 -0.5pp $140 base $102 +0.5pp $63 +1.0pp $23

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$37,500
Closing costs
$4,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 14 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $150,000 Active 60 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $150,000 Active 59 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $150,000 Active 58 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $150,000 Active 57 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $150,000 Active 55 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $150,000 Active 52 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $150,000 Active 51 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $150,000 Active 50 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $150,000 Active 49 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $150,000 Active 45 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $150,000 Active 44 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $150,000 Active 43 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $150,000 Active 42 DOM
  14. 2026-04-16
    listed $150,000 Active 598-char remark
    Show marketing remark (598 chars)

    This spacious home offers over 2,500 sqft with solid potential. It features a primary bedroom + 1 additional bedroom downstairs, 2 bedrooms upstairs, and 2 bathrooms total. Primary suite is the unfinished room that was being remodeled by current owner. Upstairs there is a small landing loft with lots of natural light. The home needs refreshing, but the home has strong underlying value. Conveniently located close to I-40 for easy access to Albuquerque. Perfect for investors or hands-on buyers ready to personalize and build equity. Turn this classic, family-loved property into your dream home!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NM · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,581 · $132/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,581 · $132/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,446
− Mortgage interest
−$8,402
− Property taxes
−$1,581
− Insurance
−$750
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,316
− Management
−$1,316
− Depreciation
−$4,364
Taxable loss
−$1,283
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$308
After-tax cash flow
$1,530/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Grants-Cibola County Schools
NCES district ID
3501170
Math proficiency
14%
Reading proficiency
22%
Median HH income
$35,996
Composite
18.23/100
National rank
#14064
State rank
#74 of 95 in NM

Livability — Grants

Score
60/100
State rank
#115
US rank
#19558

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Grants, NM
Population (ZIP)
11,874

Population outlook (Cibola County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
26,324 people
By 2030
25,594 · -2.8%
By 2040
24,117 · -8.4%
By 2050
22,568 · -14.3%
By 2075
18,653 · -29.1%
By 2100
12,719 · -51.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 53% White 27% Two or more races 19% Native American 13% Black 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 22%
Common ancestry
Italian 5% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
69% English-only · Spanish 24% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Cibola

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 49.6% · R 48.0% · Other 2.4%
2008→2024 swing
-28.1pp toward R · 2008: 29.6pp · 2024: 1.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+1.6 2020: D+8.7 2016: D+6.8 2012: D+23.8 2008: D+29.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -109.40%
Current HPI
167.6417
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-04-16 Listed $150,000 Southwest MLS

Property tax history

+5.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,581 · +3.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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