216 W Allen St · Mechanicsburg, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 4.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.8/15.0
- DSCR +6.3/10.0
- 1% rule +4.8/10.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +3.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$199,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
NEW White Shaker kitchen cabinets, NEW granite countertops, NEW wall to wall carpet in all FOUR bedrooms, NEW wood tone flooring Living Room, Dining Room and Kitchen. Newly painted throughout, close to Mechanicsburg schools, shopping, municipal park and other amenities, A LOT of house for little money.
Key facts
- Built 1900
- Listed 12 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: On-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas available; Electric service (100 Amp); Hot water: natural gas
- Home design: Interior townhouse/rowhouse; Fee simple ownership; Property listed in excellent condition; Year of major remodel/renovation: 2026
- Construction: Aluminum siding and stone exterior elements; Mixed plumbing (including CPVC/PVC); Concrete and stone foundation; Rubber roof; Building not winterized
- Exterior features: Not in a federal flood zone; Above-grade and below-grade structures present
Interior
- Kitchen: Built-in microwave; Built-in range; Stainless steel appliances
- Bedrooms: Two bedrooms on the first upper level; Two bedrooms on the second upper level
- Flooring: Carpet
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: 90% forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Carpet flooring in some areas; Combination kitchen/dining area; Traditional floor plan
- Laundry & utility: Unfinished basement (utility/storage space)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $200k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $245 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $195k (2.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $195k (2.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.8% vs local median 2.7% in Mechanicsburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#372 in PA, #3,259 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Mechanicsburg Area SD (suburban): math 38% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #175 of 539 in PA (top 32%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Mechanicsburg Area Shs (math 72% / reading 24%, grade D, #153 of 437 statewide, top 37%, 1,377 students, 33% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.9%/yr); 287 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,052 units permitted in Cumberland County in 2024 (310 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Cumberland County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $100k; list at $200k implies a 100% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.98% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.76%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.25%
- DSCR
- 1.23
- GRM
- 8.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $201,376
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 212 W Allen St | 0.01mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,624 (0%) | 5mo | $170,000 | $105 | 91 |
| 21 W Green St | 0.20mi | 3/1.0 | 1,648 (+2%) | 10mo | $160,000 | $97 | 80 |
| 214 W Allen St | 0.00mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,564 (-4%) | 7mo | $160,000 | $102 | 79 |
| 31 W Green St | 0.18mi | 3/1.5 | 1,623 (-0%) | 14mo | $160,000 | $99 | 78 |
| 44 W Keller St | 0.32mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,722 (+6%) | 4mo | $185,000 | $107 | 65 |
| 25 E Coover St | 0.50mi | 3/1.5 | 1,592 (-2%) | 14mo | $252,000 | $158 | 60 |
| 235 W Locust St | 0.16mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,738 (+7%) | 17mo | $226,000 | $130 | 60 |
| 109 E Keller St | 0.50mi | 3/1.5 | 1,578 (-3%) | 16mo | $224,900 | $143 | 56 |
| 12 E Locust St | 0.33mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,764 (+9%) | 14mo | $194,500 | $110 | 50 |
| 829 Old Silver Spring Rd | 0.66mi | 2/2.5 (-1) | 1,585 (-2%) | 6mo | $216,000 | $136 | 49 |
| 795 Old Silver Spring Rd | 0.64mi | 2/2.5 (-1) | 1,562 (-4%) | 18mo | $194,200 | $124 | 38 |
| 34 E Keller St | 0.47mi | 3/2.5 | 1,440 (-11%) | 20mo | $224,900 | $156 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.89% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -9.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.66×
- Total profit
- $-18,966
- Equity at exit
- $29,806
- IRR
- -1.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.91×
- Total profit
- $-5,168
- Equity at exit
- $17,284
Cash invested: $55,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 17055
- Rents YoY
- 1.9%
- Active inventory
- 287
- Price-to-rent
- 8.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,954 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,048
- Tax from tax record
- −$167 /mo · $2,008/yr
- Insurance
- −$83
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$410
- Net cashflow
- $245
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $49,975
- Closing costs
- $5,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 225 W Locust St Mechanicsburg, PA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1300 | $1,800 | $1.38 | 43d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 19 W Main St Unit 4 Mechanicsburg, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1800 | $1,650 | $0.92 | 43d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 209 S Washington St Mechanicsburg, PA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1528 | $1,950 | $1.28 | 13d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 113 E Woodland Dr Mechanicsburg, PA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1704 | $2,300 | $1.35 | 43d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 319 E Main St Unit 1ST FLOOR Mechanicsburg, PA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1500 | $1,795 | $1.20 | 13d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 411 E Main St Mechanicsburg, PA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1600 | $1,500 | $0.94 | 23d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 837 Admirals Quay Dr Mechanicsburg, PA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2027 | $2,010 | $0.99 | 13d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 1041 S Market St Mechanicsburg, PA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1125 | $1,745 | $1.55 | 13d | 11 | 1.11mi |
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-06-03status $199,900 Pending 12 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $199,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $199,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $199,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $199,900 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-05-22$199,900 Active
-
2026-05-21historical $199,900
-
2018-03-05soldstatus $99,900
-
2018-03-02soldstatus $99,900 303-char remark
Show marketing remark (303 chars)
NEW White Shaker kitchen cabinets, NEW granite countertops, NEW wall to wall carpet in all FOUR bedrooms, NEW wood tone flooring Living Room, Dining Room and Kitchen. Newly painted throughout, close to Mechanicsburg schools, shopping, municipal park and other amenities, A LOT of house for little money.
-
2018-01-19historical 303-char remark
Show marketing remark (303 chars)
NEW White Shaker kitchen cabinets, NEW granite countertops, NEW wall to wall carpet in all FOUR bedrooms, NEW wood tone flooring Living Room, Dining Room and Kitchen. Newly painted throughout, close to Mechanicsburg schools, shopping, municipal park and other amenities, A LOT of house for little money.
-
2018-01-17$99,900 303-char remark
Show marketing remark (303 chars)
NEW White Shaker kitchen cabinets, NEW granite countertops, NEW wall to wall carpet in all FOUR bedrooms, NEW wood tone flooring Living Room, Dining Room and Kitchen. Newly painted throughout, close to Mechanicsburg schools, shopping, municipal park and other amenities, A LOT of house for little money.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,008 · $167/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,583 · $215/mo
- Expected delta
- +$575/yr (+$48/mo · 28.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,453
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,198
- − Property taxes
- −$2,008
- − Insurance
- −$1,000
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,876
- − Management
- −$1,876
- − Depreciation
- −$5,815
- Taxable loss
- −$320
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$77
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,017/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Mechanicsburg Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4215030
- Math proficiency
- 38% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 60% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $60,986
- Composite
- 42.92/100
- National rank
- #3118
- State rank
- #175 of 539 in PA
Livability — Mechanicsburg
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #372
- US rank
- #3259
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Mechanicsburg, PA
- County
- Cumberland County · 257,673 people
- City population
- 85,577
- Metro
- Harrisburg-Carlisle, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 42,006
- Household income
- $99,077
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 888.0
Population outlook (Cumberland County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 267,950 people
- By 2030
- 278,105 · +3.8%
- By 2040
- 296,552 · +10.7%
- By 2050
- 312,937 · +16.8%
- By 2075
- 349,233 · +30.3%
- By 2100
- 361,875 · +35.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (85%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 85% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 4% Black 3% Asian 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Slovak 3% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Other Indo-European 2% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cumberland
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+9.4) · D 44.6% · R 54.1% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.2pp toward D · 2008: -13.6pp · 2024: -9.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+9.4 2020: R+10.6 2016: R+18.6 2012: R+18.5 2008: R+13.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -202.92%
- Current HPI
- 254.7596
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.89%
- Metro
- Harrisburg-Carlisle, PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
+100.1% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-22 Listed $199,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-05-21 Coming Soon $199,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2018-03-05 Sold (Public Records) $99,900 Public Records
- 2018-03-02 Sold (MLS) $99,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2018-01-19 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2018-01-17 Listed $99,900 BRIGHT MLS
Property tax history
+2.6%/yrLatest (2026): $2,008 · +3.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…