2418 S 17th St · St. Joseph, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +17.3/30.0
- ARV discount +7.0/15.0
- DSCR +5.4/10.0
- 1% rule +3.7/10.0
- Schools +2.8/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$112,125
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This three-bedroom, one-bath home features durable laminate flooring throughout, offering low maintenance and lasting appeal. A solid, income-producing property ready to generate returns from day one. Turn-key investment opportunity with reliable, long-term tenants already in place.
Key facts
- 6,000 sq ft lot
- Built 1917
- Listed 51 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Annual tax reported
- HOA & community: No association fees; No maintenance provided
Exterior
- Parking: Other parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property; Faces east
- Construction: Frame construction; Composition roof; Has unfinished basement
- Exterior features: Not in a flood plain
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen on the main level
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms on the main level
- Flooring: Carpet; Luxury vinyl
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Electric cooling
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen
- Laundry & utility: Laundry on the main level
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $112k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $82 ($984/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $97k (13.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $97k (13.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.2% vs local median 4.7% in St. Joseph — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- St. Joseph (urban): math 28% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #241 of 324 in MO (top 74%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Parkway Elem. (math 33% / reading 40%, grade F, #656 of 1,115 statewide, top 59%, 379 students, 99% FRL); Truman Middle (math 17% / reading 27%, grade F, #332 of 391 statewide, top 86%, 482 students, 99% FRL); Central High (math 28% / reading 50%, grade F, #287 of 521 statewide, top 55%, 1,728 students, 40% FRL) — zoned schools average 80% FRL vs 53% district-wide (27 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 91 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 70 units permitted in Buchanan County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $775 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Buchanan County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 52 days — a 3% lower offer ($109k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1917 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 52 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 13% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1917 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.87% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.17%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.14%
- DSCR
- 1.14
- GRM
- 9.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $110,790
- List price
- $112,125
- Delta
- 1.21%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2306 S 19th St | 0.17mi | 3/1.0 | 1,280 (+7%) | 2mo | $118,900 | $93 | 78 |
| 1626 S 12th St | 0.63mi | 3/1.0 | 1,227 (+3%) | 2mo | $129,900 | $106 | 64 |
| 2819 S 22nd St | 0.47mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,241 (+4%) | 5mo | $109,900 | $89 | 62 |
| 1607 S 14th St | 0.58mi | 3/1.5 | 1,134 (-5%) | 1mo | $133,900 | $118 | 62 |
| 2205 Vories St | 0.47mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,232 (+3%) | 4mo | $100,000 | $81 | 62 |
| 2326 South 19th St | 0.15mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,336 (+12%) | 7mo | $129,000 | $97 | 62 |
| 1336 S 17th St | 0.70mi | 3/1.0 | 1,156 (-3%) | 2mo | $144,900 | $125 | 61 |
| 2423 S 17th St | 0.04mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,024 (-14%) | 10mo | $119,000 | $116 | 61 |
| 2601 Commercial St | 0.65mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,212 (+2%) | 3mo | $169,000 | $139 | 59 |
| 1622 S 22nd St | 0.63mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,304 (+9%) | 7mo | $125,000 | $96 | 40 |
| 1321 S 17th St | 0.73mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,040 (-13%) | 1mo | $55,000 | $53 | 39 |
| 1816 S 20th St | 0.48mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,020 (-14%) | 8mo | $165,000 | $162 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -11.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.59×
- Total profit
- $-12,984
- Equity at exit
- $16,718
- IRR
- -2.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.85×
- Total profit
- $-4,739
- Equity at exit
- $9,695
Cash invested: $31,395 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 64503
- Active inventory
- 91
- Price-to-rent
- 9.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $973 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$588
- Tax from tax record
- −$52 /mo · $624/yr
- Insurance
- −$47
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$204
- Net cashflow
- $82
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $146 | -5% $114 | +0% $82 | +5% $50 | +10% $19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $5 | -5% $44 | +0% $82 | +5% $120 | +10% $159 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $138 | -0.5pp $111 | base $82 | +0.5pp $53 | +1.0pp $23 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $28,031
- Closing costs
- $3,364
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2219 S 10th St Saint Joseph, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $900 | $1.12 | 45d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 1616 S 25th St Saint Joseph, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $1,300 | $0.87 | 45d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 1300 S 11th St Apt 605 St Joseph, MO | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1141 | $940 | $0.82 | 45d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 1300 S 11th St Apt 22 St Joseph, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 866 | $998 | $1.15 | 45d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 1300 S 11th St Apt 603 St Joseph, MO | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1176 | $910 | $0.77 | 45d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 1106 Olive St Saint Joseph, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $725 | $1.04 | 45d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 303 S 13th St St Joseph, MO | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $950 | $0.95 | 45d | 1 | 1.45mi |
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $112,125 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $112,125 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $112,125 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $112,125 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $112,125 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $112,125 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $112,125 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $112,125 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $112,125 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $112,125 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $112,125 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $112,125 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $112,125 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-01pricedays on market $112,125 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $115,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $115,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-05-01$115,000 Active 283-char remark
-
2015-02-17historical
-
2014-08-18$30,000
-
2003-10-06soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $624 · $52/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,088 · $91/mo
- Expected delta
- +$463/yr (+$39/mo · 74.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,677
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,281
- − Property taxes
- −$624
- − Insurance
- −$561
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$934
- − Management
- −$934
- − Depreciation
- −$3,262
- Taxable loss
- −$918
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$220
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,205/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- St. Joseph
- NCES district ID
- 2927060
- Math proficiency
- 28% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 38% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,007
- Composite
- 27.99/100
- National rank
- #6853
- State rank
- #241 of 324 in MO
Livability — St. Joseph
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- St. Joseph, MO
- City population
- 44,382
- Population (ZIP)
- 11,921
Population outlook (Buchanan County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 89,041 people
- By 2030
- 88,401 · -0.7%
- By 2040
- 86,220 · -3.2%
- By 2050
- 83,603 · -6.1%
- By 2075
- 76,750 · -13.8%
- By 2100
- 67,623 · -24.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (85%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 85% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 6% Black 3% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Cuban 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Buchanan
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+28.0) · D 35.2% · R 63.3% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -28.2pp toward R · 2008: 0.1pp · 2024: -28.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+28.0 2020: R+24.6 2016: R+26.2 2012: R+8.7 2008: D+0.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -128.03%
- Current HPI
- 185.3921
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
|
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| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
|
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Price history
+273.8% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-01 Price Changed $112,125 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-01 Listed $115,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2015-02-17 Listing Removed — Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-08-18 Listed $30,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2003-10-06 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+4.5%/yrLatest (2025): $624 · +54.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…