2818 S Bartell Dr #39 · Houston, TX 77054

$65,800

2 bd · 1.0 ba · 825 sqft · Condo public records · 66 Days on market

Built 1982 $80/sqft · at area comps Est $67k · at est. $420/mo HOA · 39% of rent

---

Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +10.9/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +8.5/15.0
• Livability +3.7/5.0
• DSCR +3.2/10.0
• Appreciation +2.7/10.0
• Schools +2.7/10.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Rent growth +1.8/5.0

Listing remarks MLS

Discover exceptional value and convenience in this well-maintained condo located in a gated community near major Houston destinations. This property offers a functional layout, comfortable living space, and easy access to the Texas Medical Center, NRG Stadium, Downtown, and key highways. Inside, you'll find an open living and dining area with plenty of natural light and direct access to a private balcony—ideal for relaxing or enjoying fresh air. The kitchen features generous cabinet storage and a practical design that supports everyday use. The bedroom offers a spacious layout with ample closet space, and the bathroom is clean and efficiently designed. The community provides controlled access, a swimming pool, and assigned parking. This unit is an excellent option for anyone seeking a centrally located property with strong long-term potential.

Key facts

• Gated community
• Controlled access
• Private balcony

Tags

• GATED COMMUNITY
• PRIVATE BALCONY
• GENEROUS CABINET STORAGE
• CONTROLLED ACCESS
• SWIMMING POOL
• ASSIGNED PARKING

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $66k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-95 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $49k (25.5% below list).
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $66k).
• Recommended offer: $49k (25.5% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
• Cap rate 5.8% vs local median 3.1% in Houston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 74/100 on livability (#184 in TX, #4,771 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, crime F.
• Houston ISD (urban): math 27% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #593 of 826 in TX (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.8%/yr); 271 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 12d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $455 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 66 days — a 6% lower offer ($62k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 13 sale attempts since 17y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; HOA is 39% of rent.
• Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $49,051 (25.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
2. It's been on market 66 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 25% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
4. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
5. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
6. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
7. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
8. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
9. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
10. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
11. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
12. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
13. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.66% ✓
• Cap rate: 5.78%
• Cash-on-cash: -1.85%
• DSCR: 0.92
• GRM: 5.0

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $67,265
• List price: $65,800
• Delta: -2.18%
• Verdict: FAIR
• Comps: 20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -34.7%
• Equity multiple: -0.06×
• Total profit: $-19,569
• Equity at exit: $9,811

10-year hold

• IRR: —
• Equity multiple: -0.95×
• Total profit: $-35,838
• Equity at exit: $5,689

Cash invested: $18,424 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Texas: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 77054

• Home prices YoY: -2.6%
• Rents YoY: -2.8%
• Active inventory: 271
• Price-to-rent: 5.0×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,089 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$345
• Tax from tax record: −$96 /mo · $1,158/yr
• Insurance: −$27
• Flood insurance flood zone: −$66 /mo · $798/yr
• HOA: −$420
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$229
• Net cashflow: $-95

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,209

Max offer price $49,051

Occupancy floor —

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $-58	-5% $-76	+0% $-95	+5% $-113	+10% $-132
Rent	-10% $-181	-5% $-138	+0% $-95	+5% $-52	+10% $-9
Rate	-1.0pp $-62	-0.5pp $-78	base $-95	+0.5pp $-112	+1.0pp $-129

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $16,450
• Closing costs: $1,974
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 40 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
2818 S Bartell Dr Houston, TX	1.0	1.0	780	$795	$1.02	44d	1	0.02mi
2820 S Bartell Dr Houston, TX	1.0	1.0	780	$850	$1.09	44d	3	0.06mi
8416 W Bartell Dr Houston, TX	1.0	1.0	622	$1,007	$1.62	44d	1	0.07mi
8416 W Bartell Dr Houston, TX	1.0	1.0	622	$1,007	$1.62	23d	1	0.07mi
8416 W Bartell Dr Houston, TX	2.0	2.0	892	$1,195	$1.34	25d	1	0.07mi
8410 W Bartell Dr Unit 1187 Houston, TX	1.0	1.0	673	$775	$1.15	0d	1	0.10mi
8410 W Bartell Dr Unit 8484 Houston, TX	1.0	1.0	673	$779	$1.16	11d	1	0.10mi
8410 W Bartell Dr Unit 421 Houston, TX	2.0	2.0	892	$1,034	$1.16	6d	1	0.10mi
8410 W Bartell Dr Unit 1162 Houston, TX	1.0	1.0	673	$740	$1.10	6d	1	0.10mi
8410 W Bartell Dr Unit 323 Houston, TX	1.0	1.0	673	$740	$1.10	8d	1	0.10mi
8410 W Bartell Dr Unit 2187 Houston, TX	2.0	2.0	892	$1,064	$1.19	0d	1	0.10mi
8410 W Bartell Dr Unit 8484 Houston, TX	1.0	1.0	654	$780	$1.19	14d	1	0.10mi
8410 W Bartell Dr Unit 8461 Houston, TX	1.0	1.0	673	$729	$1.08	13d	1	0.10mi
8410 W Bartell Dr Unit 422 Houston, TX	2.0	2.0	892	$1,034	$1.16	8d	1	0.10mi
8410 W Bartell Dr Unit 2047 Houston, TX	2.0	2.0	892	$1,069	$1.20	12d	1	0.12mi
2989 Westridge St Houston, TX	2.0	2.0	1108	$1,639	$1.48	13d	1	0.17mi
8435 Hearth Dr Houston, TX	2.0	2.0	1040	$950	$0.91	44d	1	0.19mi
8521 Hearth Dr Houston, TX	2.0	2.0	1092	$1,195	$1.09	44d	1	0.20mi
9330 Main St Houston, TX	1.0–2.0	1.0–2.0	915	$2,460	$2.69	0d	49	0.24mi
2501 Westridge St Houston, TX	1.0	1.0	545	$773	$1.42	13d	1	0.25mi
2501 Westridge St Unit 1047 Houston, TX	1.0	1.0	545	$824	$1.51	12d	1	0.26mi
2501 Westridge St Unit 2047 Houston, TX	2.0	2.0	1005	$1,274	$1.27	12d	1	0.26mi
2600 Westridge St Houston, TX	1.0–2.0	1.0–2.0	790	$1,349	$1.71	0d	75	0.26mi
2686 Murworth Dr Houston, TX	1.0–2.0	1.0–2.0	791	$1,475	$1.86	0d	11	0.27mi
2501 Westridge St Unit 321 Houston, TX	1.0	1.0	545	$784	$1.44	8d	1	0.27mi
2501 Westridge St Unit 1162 Houston, TX	1.0	1.0	545	$784	$1.44	6d	1	0.27mi
2501 Westridge St Unit 424 Houston, TX	2.0	2.0	1005	$1,239	$1.23	6d	1	0.27mi
2501 Westridge St Unit 422 Houston, TX	2.0	2.0	1005	$1,239	$1.23	8d	1	0.27mi
2501 Westridge St Unit 2558 Houston, TX	2.0	2.0	1005	$1,269	$1.26	0d	1	0.27mi
2501 Westridge St Unit 2575 Houston, TX	1.0	1.0	545	$819	$1.50	0d	1	0.27mi
2501 Westridge St Unit 2522 Houston, TX	1.0	1.0	545	$819	$1.50	14d	1	0.27mi
9330 S Main St Houston, TX	1.0–2.0	1.0–2.0	942	$2,415	$2.56	15d	53	0.27mi
2692 Murworth Dr Houston, TX	2.0	2.0	1000	$1,349	$1.35	44d	1	0.30mi
8800 Lakes at 610 Dr Houston, TX	2.0	2.0	951	$1,280	$1.35	25d	1	0.30mi
2401 Westridge St Houston, TX	1.0–2.0	1.0–2.0	723	$1,250	$1.73	8d	30	0.33mi
2401 Westridge St Houston, TX	1.0	1.0	602	$924	$1.53	13d	1	0.33mi
2400 South Loop W Houston, TX	1.0–2.0	1.0–2.0	723	$1,250	$1.73	0d	26	0.34mi
2407 Westridge St Houston, TX	2.0	2.0	975	$1,199	$1.23	44d	1	0.34mi
2400 South Loop W Unit 1-1617 Houston, TX	1.0	1.0	602	$950	$1.58	45d	1	0.34mi
2400 South Loop W Unit 1-1617 Houston, TX	1.0	1.0	598	$899	$1.50	25d	1	0.34mi

HOA detail condo

• Monthly dues: $420 · $5,040/yr
• Likely covers: poolsecurityparking
• Assessments: None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 44 events

1. 2026-06-21
   days on market $65,800 Active 66 DOM
2. 2026-06-18
   days on market $65,800 Active 63 DOM
3. 2026-06-17
   days on market $65,800 Active 62 DOM
4. 2026-06-16
   days on market $65,800 Active 61 DOM
5. 2026-06-15
   days on market $65,800 Active 60 DOM
6. 2026-06-13
   days on market $65,800 Active 58 DOM
7. 2026-06-10
   days on market $65,800 Active 54 DOM
8. 2026-06-08
   days on market $65,800 Active 53 DOM
9. 2026-06-07
   days on market $65,800 Active 52 DOM
10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $65,800 Active 49 DOM
11. 2026-06-01
    days on market $65,800 Active 46 DOM
12. 2026-05-31
    days on market $65,800 Active 45 DOM
13. 2026-04-16
    listed $65,800 Active 861-char remark

    Show marketing remark (861 chars)

    Discover exceptional value and convenience in this well-maintained condo located in a gated community near major Houston destinations. This property offers a functional layout, comfortable living space, and easy access to the Texas Medical Center, NRG Stadium, Downtown, and key highways. Inside, you'll find an open living and dining area with plenty of natural light and direct access to a private balcony—ideal for relaxing or enjoying fresh air. The kitchen features generous cabinet storage and a practical design that supports everyday use. The bedroom offers a spacious layout with ample closet space, and the bathroom is clean and efficiently designed. The community provides controlled access, a swimming pool, and assigned parking. This unit is an excellent option for anyone seeking a centrally located property with strong long-term potential.

14. 2026-04-16
    historical

    Show marketing remark (861 chars)

    Discover exceptional value and convenience in this well-maintained condo located in a gated community near major Houston destinations. This property offers a functional layout, comfortable living space, and easy access to the Texas Medical Center, NRG Stadium, Downtown, and key highways. Inside, you'll find an open living and dining area with plenty of natural light and direct access to a private balcony—ideal for relaxing or enjoying fresh air. The kitchen features generous cabinet storage and a practical design that supports everyday use. The bedroom offers a spacious layout with ample closet space, and the bathroom is clean and efficiently designed. The community provides controlled access, a swimming pool, and assigned parking. This unit is an excellent option for anyone seeking a centrally located property with strong long-term potential.

15. 2026-03-25
    status Active
16. 2026-03-23
    historical $1,400
17. 2026-03-23
    status Pending
18. 2025-12-16
    listed $1,400
19. 2025-12-05
    listed $65,800 Active
20. 2025-10-25
    historical
21. 2025-07-24
    status Active
22. 2025-06-27
    status Pending
23. 2025-05-15
    listed $65,000 Active
24. 2025-05-15
    historical
25. 2025-04-26
    listed $67,000 Active
26. 2025-04-26
    historical
27. 2025-03-08
    listed $69,000 Active
28. 2025-03-08
    historical
29. 2024-11-27
    listed $73,000 Active
30. 2024-10-30
    historical
31. 2024-09-25
    listed $70,000 Active
32. 2024-09-24
    historical
33. 2024-07-30
    price $80,000
34. 2024-06-03
    price $85,000
35. 2024-04-15
    listed $99,000 Active
36. 2024-04-06
    historical
37. 2024-02-17
    listed $99,000 Active
38. 2018-09-04
    soldstatus
39. 2016-08-05
    soldstatus
40. 2015-09-23
    soldstatus
41. 2010-07-21
    soldstatus
42. 2010-01-01
    historical
43. 2009-03-17
    listed $39,000
44. 1988-10-16
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $1,158 · $96/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $1,204 · $100/mo
• Expected delta: +$46/yr (+$4/mo · 4.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $13,073
• − Mortgage interest: −$3,686
• − Property taxes: −$1,158
• − Insurance: −$1,126
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,046
• − Management: −$1,046
• − HOA: −$5,040
• − Depreciation: −$1,914
• Taxable loss: −$1,943
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$466
• After-tax cash flow: $-671/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Houston ISD
• NCES district ID: 4823640
• Math proficiency: 27% ▼ -18.00%
• Reading proficiency: 35% ▼ -6.00%
• Median HH income: $46,054
• Composite: 26.63/100
• National rank: #7173
• State rank: #593 of 826 in TX

Livability — Houston

• Score: 74/100
• State rank: #184
• US rank: #4771

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Houston, TX
• County: Harris County · 4,702,590 people
• City population: 3,226,434
• Metro: Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
• Population (ZIP): 28,272
• Household income: $62,106
• Rent vs Own: 88.2% rent · 11.8% own
• Severe rent burden: 2814.0

Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 5,571,493 people
• By 2030: 6,089,821 · +9.3%
• By 2040: 7,142,806 · +28.2%
• By 2050: 8,185,864 · +46.9%
• By 2075: 10,574,329 · +89.8%
• By 2100: 12,109,958 · +117.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.72)
• Race & ethnicity: Black 41% Asian 22% White 20% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 10%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 7%
• Common ancestry: Slovak 2% Romanian 1% Italian 1%
• Foreign-born: 29% · China, Canada, Jamaica
• Languages at home: 67% English-only · Spanish 9% Chinese 7% Other Indo-European 5%

Political lean MEDSL · Harris

• 2024 margin: Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
• 2008→2024 swing: +3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -4.51%
• Current HPI: 170.4017
• Rent YoY: ▼ -2.82%
• Metro: Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.95%
• F500 in state: 110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Energy	16	$1,198B
▸Technology	5	$198B
▸Engineering / Construction	4	$72B
▸Energy Services	3	$60B
▸Utilities	3	$41B
▸Healthcare	2	$330B

Price history

+68.7% since first listed

32 events — show timeline

• 2026-04-16 Listing Removed — HARMLS
• 2026-04-16 Listed $65,800 HARMLS
• 2026-03-25 Relisted — HARMLS
• 2026-03-23 Rental Removed $1,400 HARMLS
• 2026-03-23 Pending — HARMLS
• 2025-12-16 Listed for Rent $1,400 HARMLS
• 2025-12-05 Listed $65,800 HARMLS
• 2025-10-25 Listing Removed — HARMLS
• 2025-07-24 Relisted — HARMLS
• 2025-06-27 Pending — HARMLS
• 2025-05-15 Listing Removed — HARMLS
• 2025-05-15 Listed $65,000 HARMLS
• 2025-04-26 Listing Removed — HARMLS
• 2025-04-26 Listed $67,000 HARMLS
• 2025-03-08 Listing Removed — HARMLS
• 2025-03-08 Listed $69,000 HARMLS
• 2024-11-27 Listed $73,000 HARMLS
• 2024-10-30 Listing Removed — HARMLS
• 2024-09-25 Listed $70,000 HARMLS
• 2024-09-24 Listing Removed — HARMLS
• 2024-07-30 Price Changed $80,000 HARMLS
• 2024-06-03 Price Changed $85,000 HARMLS
• 2024-04-15 Listed $99,000 HARMLS
• 2024-04-06 Listing Removed — HARMLS
• 2024-02-17 Listed $99,000 HARMLS
• 2018-09-04 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
• 2016-08-05 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
• 2015-09-23 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
• 2010-07-21 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
• 2010-01-01 Listing Removed — HARMLS
• 2009-03-17 Listed $39,000 HARMLS
• 1988-10-16 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records

Property tax history

+4.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,158 · -4.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.