1301 5th St · Havre, MT
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $918 – $1,706
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 94°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 12 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 8 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +3.8/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$89,100
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- 8,400 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1930
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Garage with 1 parking space
- Security: Smoke detectors
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas available
- Home design: Single family residence; Residential property
- Construction: Frame construction; Wood siding
- Exterior features: Composition roof
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric oven; Electric range
- Bedrooms: Total of 13 rooms (includes bedrooms and living spaces)
- Flooring: Hardwood floors
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Hot water heating
- Interior features: Window coverings; Full basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $89k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $476 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $89k).
- Recommended offer: $78k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#62 in MT) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D, employment D, crime F.
- Havre H S (town): math 35% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #125 of 339 in MT (top 37%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Havre Middle School (math 34% / reading 46%, grade F, #59 of 146 statewide, top 41%, 388 students, 0% FRL); Havre High School (math 27% / reading 37%, grade F, #57 of 132 statewide, top 45%, 531 students, 0% FRL).
- Market conditions: 117 active listings in the ZIP; 1 units permitted in Hill County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($52k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $616 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 337 days — a 12% lower offer ($78k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $148k (62%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.6% of price; built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 337 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.67% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.70%
- Cash-on-cash
- 22.88%
- DSCR
- 2.02
- GRM
- 5.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $344,650
- Comps found
- 3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1108 6th St | 0.15mi | 4/3.5 (+1) | 2,648 (-6%) | 8mo | $325,000 | $123 | 63 |
| 1902 1st St | 0.47mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,772 (-2%) | 18mo | $299,000 | $108 | 53 |
| 1010 11th St | 0.47mi | 3/3.0 | 3,160 (+12%) | 23mo | $385,000 | $122 | 33 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 15.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.64×
- Total profit
- $15,935
- Equity at exit
- $13,285
- IRR
- 24.5%
- Equity multiple
- 3.13×
- Total profit
- $53,188
- Equity at exit
- $7,704
Cash invested: $24,948 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Montana
- 82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 59501
- Active inventory
- 117
- Price-to-rent
- 5.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,485 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$467
- Tax from tax record
- −$193 /mo · $2,313/yr
- Insurance
- −$37
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$312
- Net cashflow
- $476
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $526 | -5% $501 | +0% $476 | +5% $451 | +10% $425 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $358 | -5% $417 | +0% $476 | +5% $534 | +10% $593 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $521 | -0.5pp $498 | base $476 | +0.5pp $453 | +1.0pp $429 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,275
- Closing costs
- $2,673
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 26 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $89,100 Active 337 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $89,100 Active 334 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $89,100 Active 333 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $89,100 Active 332 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $89,100 Active 331 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $89,100 Active 329 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $89,100 Active 328 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $89,100 Active 326 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $89,100 Active 325 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $89,100 Active 324 DOM
-
2026-06-07pricedays on market $89,100 Active 323 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $99,000 Active 320 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $99,000 Active 319 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $99,000 Active 318 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $99,000 Active 317 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $99,000 Active 316 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $99,000 Active 315 DOM
-
2026-05-20price $99,000
-
2026-02-05price $150,000
-
2026-01-24price $172,200
-
2026-01-13price $142,200
-
2025-10-20status Active
-
2025-07-08$237,000 Active
-
2004-12-28soldstatus
-
2000-07-27soldstatus
-
1997-11-26soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MT · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,313 · $193/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,313 · $193/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 6 d/yr ≥94°F today · 12 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,816
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,991
- − Property taxes
- −$2,313
- − Insurance
- −$446
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,425
- − Management
- −$1,425
- − Depreciation
- −$2,592
- Taxable income
- $4,624
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,110
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,599/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Havre H S
- NCES district ID
- 3013590
- Math proficiency
- 35% ▲ 10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▲ 15.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,545
- Composite
- 38.34/100
- National rank
- #8537
- State rank
- #125 of 339 in MT
Livability — Havre
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #62
- US rank
- #6620
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Havre, MT
- County
- Hill County · 12,243 people
- City population
- 12,243
- Metro
- nan
- Population (ZIP)
- 12,243
- Household income
- $51,872
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 309.0
Population outlook (Hill County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 16,841 people
- By 2030
- 16,954 · +0.7%
- By 2040
- 17,063 · +1.3%
- By 2050
- 17,130 · +1.7%
- By 2075
- 17,273 · +2.6%
- By 2100
- 16,542 · -1.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (79%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 79% Native American 10% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 11% Italian 6% Scottish 3%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Hill
- 2024 margin
- R (+18.2) · D 38.7% · R 56.9% · Other 4.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -30.4pp toward R · 2008: 12.2pp · 2024: -18.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+18.2 2020: R+13.6 2016: R+17.3 2012: D+3.5 2008: D+12.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -121.86%
- Current HPI
- 209.1198
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- nan
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.41%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MT)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology / Analytics | 1 | $2B |
|
||
Price history
-58.2% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-20 Price Changed $99,000 HHLMLS
- 2026-02-05 Price Changed $150,000 HHLMLS
- 2026-01-24 Price Changed $172,200 HHLMLS
- 2026-01-13 Price Changed $142,200 HHLMLS
- 2025-10-20 Relisted — HHLMLS
- 2025-07-08 Listed $237,000 HHLMLS
- 2004-12-28 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2000-07-27 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1997-11-26 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+8.4%/yrLatest (2025): $2,313 · +115.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…