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702 Canary Ln
D+ Composite 46.61
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +12.4/15.0
  • DSCR +4.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.1/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.8/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$175,000

702 Canary Ln · Enid, OK 73703
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,623 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 186 Days on market
Built 1976 Est $196k · 11% under ↓ 2% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

This is well a kept home in great neighborhood, belonged to the agent's parents. circle drive, storm shelter, laundry room, sprinkler system, fireplace, to see please call. Owner is a licensed realtor. Call for a personal showing. Price has been dropped to $169,00, as is, for May 19 through May 26th. After that the price will go back to $173,500.

Key facts

  • Laundry room
  • Circle drive
  • Storm shelter

Tags

CIRCLE DRIVESTORM SHELTERLAUNDRY ROOMSPRINKLER SYSTEMFIREPLACE

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage with 2 spaces; Garage door opener
  • Utilities: Public water; Natural gas available
  • Home design: Single Family Residence; Residential property
  • Construction: Brick veneer construction; Composition roof
  • Exterior features: Patio; Wood fencing; Outbuilding

Interior

  • Kitchen: Cooktop; Dishwasher; Double oven; Microwave; Oven
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning; Attic fan
  • Interior features: Walk-in closet(s); Fireplace in family room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $175k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $65 ($785/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $151k (13.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $151k (13.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.7% vs local median 5.0% in Enid — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#212 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F, amenities F.
  • Enid (town): math 19% / reading 22% proficiency, ranked #168 of 270 in OK (top 62%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Hayes Es (math 22% / reading 22%, grade F, #413 of 845 statewide, top 54%, 290 students, 0% FRL); Dewitt Waller Ms (math 19% / reading 27%, grade F, #120 of 345 statewide, top 35%, 735 students, 0% FRL); Enid Hs (math 14% / reading 26%, grade F, #236 of 447 statewide, top 61%, 2,252 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 64% district-wide (64 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.4%/yr); 175 active listings in the ZIP; 19 units permitted in Garfield County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Garfield County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 186 days — a 12% lower offer ($154k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $151,279 (13.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 186 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 14% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.86%
Cap rate
6.74%
Cash-on-cash
1.60%
DSCR
1.07
GRM
9.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$196,383
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
813 Canary Ln 0.09mi 3/2.0 1,626 (+0%) 2mo $199,900 $123 94
708 Canary Ln 0.02mi 3/2.0 1,548 (-5%) 2mo $191,000 $123 90
926 Sunnybrook Ln 0.13mi 3/2.0 1,712 (+6%) 4mo $118,000 $69 81
2414 Indian Dr 0.27mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,609 (-1%) 1mo $164,900 $102 80
1925 Live Oak St 0.52mi 3/2.0 1,628 (+0%) 4mo $240,000 $147 72
2314 W Maine St 0.59mi 3/2.0 1,616 (-0%) 4mo $170,000 $105 68
2901 Robin Rdg 0.38mi 3/2.0 1,757 (+8%) 0mo $234,000 $133 68
2906 W Broadway Ave 0.64mi 3/2.0 1,701 (+5%) 0mo $192,000 $113 62
110 S Coolidge St 0.60mi 3/2.5 1,524 (-6%) 3mo $206,000 $135 57
2002 Seneca Ave 0.55mi 3/2.0 1,818 (+12%) 2mo $220,000 $121 52
210 S Johnson St 0.73mi 3/2.0 1,760 (+8%) 0mo $149,900 $85 51
2202 W Maine Ave 0.65mi 3/1.0 1,464 (-10%) 3mo $125,000 $85 47

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.42% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-14.4%
Equity multiple
0.49×
Total profit
$-25,097
Equity at exit
$26,093
10-year hold
IRR
-6.6%
Equity multiple
0.59×
Total profit
$-20,158
Equity at exit
$15,131

Cash invested: $49,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Oklahoma
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; strongly landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 73703

Rents YoY
2.4%
Active inventory
175
Price-to-rent
9.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,513 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$918
Tax from tax record
$139 /mo · $1,669/yr
Insurance
$73
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$318
Net cashflow
$65

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,430
Max offer price $175,000
Occupancy floor 91%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $164 -5% $115 +0% $65 +5% $16 +10% $-34
Rent -10% $-54 -5% $6 +0% $65 +5% $125 +10% $185
Rate -1.0pp $154 -0.5pp $110 base $65 +0.5pp $20 +1.0pp $-26

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$43,750
Closing costs
$5,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $175,000 Active 186 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $175,000 Active 184 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $175,000 Active 183 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $175,000 Active 182 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $175,000 Active 181 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $175,000 Active 180 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $175,000 Active 178 DOM
  8. 2026-06-12
    days on market $175,000 Active 177 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $175,000 Active 174 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $175,000 Active 173 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $175,000 Active 172 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $175,000 Active 167 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $175,000 Active 166 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $175,000 Active 165 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $175,000 Active 164 DOM
  16. 2025-12-17
    listed $175,000 Active
  17. 2025-06-03
    price $175,000
  18. 2025-05-19
    price $169,000
  19. 2025-05-16
    price $173,500
  20. 2025-05-03
    price $179,000
  21. 2024-09-18
    price $179,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,669 · $139/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,669 · $139/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 17% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,153
− Mortgage interest
−$9,803
− Property taxes
−$1,669
− Insurance
−$875
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,452
− Management
−$1,452
− Depreciation
−$5,091
Taxable loss
−$2,189
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$525
After-tax cash flow
$1,310/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Enid
NCES district ID
4010920
Math proficiency
19% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
22% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$42,389
Composite
17.59/100
National rank
#9040
State rank
#168 of 270 in OK

Livability — Enid

Score
63/100
State rank
#212
US rank
#15472

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Enid, OK
County
Garfield County · 55,032 people
City population
55,032
Metro
Enid, OK
Population (ZIP)
30,556
Household income
$73,333
Rent vs Own
32.8% rent · 67.2% own
Severe rent burden
702.0

Population outlook (Garfield County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
69,026 people
By 2030
72,171 · +4.6%
By 2040
79,366 · +15.0%
By 2050
87,847 · +27.3%
By 2075
112,714 · +63.3%
By 2100
135,682 · +96.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (78%)
Race & ethnicity
White 78% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 9% Black 2% Asian 2% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 8%
Common ancestry
Iranian 2% Slovak 2% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, China
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Asian/Pacific 2% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Garfield

2024 margin
Solid R (+53.8) · D 22.2% · R 76.0% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
-2.8pp toward R · 2008: -51.0pp · 2024: -53.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+53.8 2020: R+53.7 2016: R+53.5 2012: R+52.5 2008: R+51.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -111.61%
Current HPI
187.8197
Rent YoY
▲ 2.42%
Metro
Enid, OK
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.55%
F500 in state
6

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-2.2% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2025-12-17 Listed $175,000 SBOR
  • 2025-06-03 Price Changed $175,000 SBOR
  • 2025-05-19 Price Changed $169,000 SBOR
  • 2025-05-16 Price Changed $173,500 SBOR
  • 2025-05-03 Price Changed $179,000 SBOR
  • 2024-09-18 Price Changed $179,000 SBOR

Property tax history

+2.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,669 · -7.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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