CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
195 Oak Grv
C+ Composite 60.45
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.8/30.0
  • DSCR +8.6/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +6.1/10.0
  • Schools +4.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$140,000

195 Oak Grv · Vidor, TX 77662
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,920 sqft · Manufactured public records · 1 Days on market
Built 2002 1.20 ac lot ↓ 3% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Spacious 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom manufactured home situated on 1.20 acres in Vidor. Built in 2002, this 1.920 sqft home features a fireplace, a bonus room perfect for an office, playroom, or extra living space, and a functional floor plan with great potential. Property is serviced by well water and septic. Home is in livable condition but will need TLC, including cosmetic repairs such as carpet replacement and patching wall damage. Ideal opportunity for buyers looking to add value, investors, or those wanting space and privacy. Home has never been moved! Sold AS-IS.

Key facts

  • Livable condition
  • Septic
  • Bonus room

Tags

BONUS ROOMWELL WATERSEPTICLIVABLE CONDITION

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $140k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $340 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $140k).
  • Cap rate 9.2% vs local median 4.6% in Vidor — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#576 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B; Watch: schools D-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Orangefield ISD (rural): math 44% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #217 of 826 in TX (top 26%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 241 active listings in the ZIP; 235 units permitted in Orange County in 2024 (50 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $968 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Orange County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $140,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.11%
Cap rate
9.21%
Cash-on-cash
10.42%
DSCR
1.46
GRM
7.5

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-0.7%
Equity multiple
0.97×
Total profit
$-1,043
Equity at exit
$20,874
10-year hold
IRR
9.0%
Equity multiple
1.69×
Total profit
$26,885
Equity at exit
$12,105

Cash invested: $39,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 77662

Active inventory
241
Price-to-rent
7.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,551 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$734
Tax from tax record
$93 /mo · $1,114/yr
Insurance
$58
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$326
Net cashflow
$340

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,121
Max offer price $140,000
Occupancy floor 73%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$35,000
Closing costs
$4,200
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on marketlisting id $140,000 Active 1 DOM
  2. 2026-05-30
    days on market $140,000 Active 121 DOM
  3. 2026-03-23
    price $140,000 570-char remark
    Show marketing remark (570 chars)

    Spacious 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom manufactured home situated on 1.20 acres in Vidor. Built in 2002, this 1.920 sqft home features a fireplace, a bonus room perfect for an office, playroom, or extra living space, and a functional floor plan with great potential. Property is serviced by well water and septic. Home is in livable condition but will need TLC, including cosmetic repairs such as carpet replacement and patching wall damage. Ideal opportunity for buyers looking to add value, investors, or those wanting space and privacy. Home has never been moved! Sold AS-IS.

  4. 2026-01-29
    listed $145,000 Active 570-char remark
    Show marketing remark (570 chars)

    Spacious 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom manufactured home situated on 1.20 acres in Vidor. Built in 2002, this 1.920 sqft home features a fireplace, a bonus room perfect for an office, playroom, or extra living space, and a functional floor plan with great potential. Property is serviced by well water and septic. Home is in livable condition but will need TLC, including cosmetic repairs such as carpet replacement and patching wall damage. Ideal opportunity for buyers looking to add value, investors, or those wanting space and privacy. Home has never been moved! Sold AS-IS.

  5. 2011-06-22
    soldstatus
  6. 2010-04-05
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,114 · $93/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,562 · $214/mo
Expected delta
+$1,448/yr (+$121/mo · 129.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 70% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,617
− Mortgage interest
−$7,842
− Property taxes
−$1,114
− Insurance
−$700
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,489
− Management
−$1,489
− Depreciation
−$4,073
Taxable income
$1,909
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$458
After-tax cash flow
$3,625/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Orangefield ISD
NCES district ID
4833780
Math proficiency
44% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
48% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$63,682
Composite
40.77/100
National rank
#3647
State rank
#217 of 826 in TX

Livability — Vidor

Score
67/100
State rank
#576
US rank
#11001

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety C+ User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Orange County · 87,112 people
City population
25,041
Metro
Beaumont-Port Arthur, TX
Population (ZIP)
25,041
Household income
$72,243
Rent vs Own
19.6% rent · 80.4% own
Severe rent burden
401.0

Population outlook (Orange County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
88,065 people
By 2030
89,591 · +1.7%
By 2040
91,982 · +4.4%
By 2050
93,023 · +5.6%
By 2075
94,871 · +7.7%
By 2100
88,155 · +0.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (88%)
Race & ethnicity
White 88% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 15% Slovak 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Orange

2024 margin
Solid R (+66.8) · D 16.4% · R 83.1%
2008→2024 swing
-19.6pp toward R · 2008: -47.1pp · 2024: -66.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+66.8 2020: R+63.4 2016: R+61.9 2012: R+54.3 2008: R+47.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -116.46%
Current HPI
141.0844
Rent YoY
Metro
Beaumont-Port Arthur, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-3.4% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-23 Price Changed $140,000 BBOR
  • 2026-01-29 Listed $145,000 BBOR
  • 2011-06-22 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2010-04-05 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+1.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,114 · +11.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…