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1975 Brown Rd
C- Composite 52.69
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +19.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +11.7/15.0
  • DSCR +6.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.6/10.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$80,000

1975 Brown Rd · Richfield, MI 48656
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 558 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 279 Days on market
0.76 ac lot $143/sqft · 9% below area Est $88k · 9% under ↓ 43% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Escape to your dream retreat on this . 75-acre property, fully fenced for your privacy with two gates for easy access. The 558 sq. ft. rustic cabin, with new roof (2023), has two bedrooms, a half bath, kitchen, and living room. . With essential amenities like a 40' deep submersible well and a 1000-gallon septic system installed in 2015, you can enjoy comfortable living while you plan your future upgrades. Although the cabin currently lacks a heat source, natural gas is readily available at the road, and electricity is already connected. No H20 tank at property. A small propane tank powers the stove, making this property a blank canvas for your vision. Embrace the tranquility and endless potential of this unique getaway today!

Key facts

  • Fully fenced
  • Rustic cabin
  • Two gates

Tags

FULLY FENCEDTWO GATESRUSTIC CABIN40 DEEP SUBMERSIBLE WELL1000 GALLON SEPTIC SYSTEMNATURAL GAS AVAILABLE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $93 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $77k (4.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $70k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Roscommon Area Public Schools (rural): math 30% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #270 of 540 in MI (top 50%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Roscommon Elementary School (math 34% / reading 24%, grade F, #866 of 1,397 statewide, top 65%, 266 students, 58% FRL); Roscommon Middle School (math 26% / reading 40%, grade F, #306 of 493 statewide, top 63%, 192 students, 55% FRL); Roscommon High School (math 32% / reading 57%, grade F, #214 of 713 statewide, top 36%, 363 students, 51% FRL) — zoned schools at 55% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 76 active listings in the ZIP; 73 units permitted in Roscommon County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $553 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Roscommon County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 279 days — a 12% lower offer ($70k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $70,400 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 279 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.96%
Cap rate
7.68%
Cash-on-cash
4.96%
DSCR
1.22
GRM
8.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$88,236
List price
$80,000
Delta
-9.33%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
9231 Michigan Ave 0.74mi 2/1.0 (+1) 560 (+0%) 22mo $108,000 $193 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-8.6%
Equity multiple
0.68×
Total profit
$-7,083
Equity at exit
$11,928
10-year hold
IRR
0.9%
Equity multiple
1.06×
Total profit
$1,369
Equity at exit
$6,917

Cash invested: $22,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48656

Home prices YoY
-8.6%
Active inventory
76
Price-to-rent
8.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$768 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$420
Tax from tax record
$61 /mo · $734/yr
Insurance
$33
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$161
Net cashflow
$93

Break-even live

Break-even rent $651
Max offer price $80,000
Occupancy floor 83%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $138 -5% $115 +0% $93 +5% $70 +10% $47
Rent -10% $32 -5% $62 +0% $93 +5% $123 +10% $153
Rate -1.0pp $133 -0.5pp $113 base $93 +0.5pp $72 +1.0pp $51

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$20,000
Closing costs
$2,400
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $80,000 Active 279 DOM
  2. 2026-06-21
    days on market $80,000 Active 278 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $80,000 Active 276 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $80,000 Active 275 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $80,000 Active 274 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $80,000 Active 273 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $80,000 Active 271 DOM
  8. 2026-06-12
    days on market $80,000 Active 270 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $80,000 Active 267 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $80,000 Active 266 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $80,000 Active 265 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $80,000 Active 264 DOM
  13. 2026-06-04
    days on market $80,000 Active 261 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $80,000 Active 260 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $80,000 Active 259 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $80,000 Active 258 DOM
  17. 2026-05-31
    days on market $80,000 Active 257 DOM
  18. 2026-03-23
    price $80,000 736-char remark
    Show marketing remark (736 chars)

    Escape to your dream retreat on this . 75-acre property, fully fenced for your privacy with two gates for easy access. The 558 sq. ft. rustic cabin, with new roof (2023), has two bedrooms, a half bath, kitchen, and living room. . With essential amenities like a 40' deep submersible well and a 1000-gallon septic system installed in 2015, you can enjoy comfortable living while you plan your future upgrades. Although the cabin currently lacks a heat source, natural gas is readily available at the road, and electricity is already connected. No H20 tank at property. A small propane tank powers the stove, making this property a blank canvas for your vision. Embrace the tranquility and endless potential of this unique getaway today!

  19. 2025-11-12
    price $110,000 736-char remark
    Show marketing remark (736 chars)

    Escape to your dream retreat on this . 75-acre property, fully fenced for your privacy with two gates for easy access. The 558 sq. ft. rustic cabin, with new roof (2023), has two bedrooms, a half bath, kitchen, and living room. . With essential amenities like a 40' deep submersible well and a 1000-gallon septic system installed in 2015, you can enjoy comfortable living while you plan your future upgrades. Although the cabin currently lacks a heat source, natural gas is readily available at the road, and electricity is already connected. No H20 tank at property. A small propane tank powers the stove, making this property a blank canvas for your vision. Embrace the tranquility and endless potential of this unique getaway today!

  20. 2025-10-10
    price $120,000 736-char remark
    Show marketing remark (736 chars)

    Escape to your dream retreat on this . 75-acre property, fully fenced for your privacy with two gates for easy access. The 558 sq. ft. rustic cabin, with new roof (2023), has two bedrooms, a half bath, kitchen, and living room. . With essential amenities like a 40' deep submersible well and a 1000-gallon septic system installed in 2015, you can enjoy comfortable living while you plan your future upgrades. Although the cabin currently lacks a heat source, natural gas is readily available at the road, and electricity is already connected. No H20 tank at property. A small propane tank powers the stove, making this property a blank canvas for your vision. Embrace the tranquility and endless potential of this unique getaway today!

  21. 2025-09-15
    listed $140,000 Active 736-char remark
    Show marketing remark (736 chars)

    Escape to your dream retreat on this . 75-acre property, fully fenced for your privacy with two gates for easy access. The 558 sq. ft. rustic cabin, with new roof (2023), has two bedrooms, a half bath, kitchen, and living room. . With essential amenities like a 40' deep submersible well and a 1000-gallon septic system installed in 2015, you can enjoy comfortable living while you plan your future upgrades. Although the cabin currently lacks a heat source, natural gas is readily available at the road, and electricity is already connected. No H20 tank at property. A small propane tank powers the stove, making this property a blank canvas for your vision. Embrace the tranquility and endless potential of this unique getaway today!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$734 · $61/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$983 · $82/mo
Expected delta
+$249/yr (+$21/mo · 33.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$9,213
− Mortgage interest
−$4,481
− Property taxes
−$734
− Insurance
−$400
− Repairs & maintenance
−$737
− Management
−$737
− Depreciation
−$2,327
Taxable loss
−$203
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$49
After-tax cash flow
$1,159/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Roscommon Area Public Schools
NCES district ID
2615830
Math proficiency
30% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
44% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$36,914
Composite
30.7/100
National rank
#6172
State rank
#270 of 540 in MI

Livability — Richfield

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
St. Helen, MI
Population (ZIP)
3,872

Population outlook (Roscommon County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
22,249 people
By 2030
21,206 · -4.7%
By 2040
19,070 · -14.3%
By 2050
17,564 · -21.1%
By 2075
15,420 · -30.7%
By 2100
13,168 · -40.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (91%)
Race & ethnicity
White 91% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2% Black 1% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 7% Romanian 7% Slovak 3%
Foreign-born
2% · China
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 1% Chinese 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Roscommon

2024 margin
Solid R (+32.9) · D 32.9% · R 65.9% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-35.5pp toward R · 2008: 2.5pp · 2024: -32.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+32.9 2020: R+30.0 2016: R+29.6 2012: R+3.9 2008: D+2.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -29.98%
Current HPI
319.603
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-42.9% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-23 Price Changed $80,000 WWMLS
  • 2025-11-12 Price Changed $110,000 WWMLS
  • 2025-10-10 Price Changed $120,000 WWMLS
  • 2025-09-15 Listed $140,000 WWMLS

Property tax history

+0.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $734 · +3.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…