6918 Sun Valley Dr · San Antonio, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 7/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 78.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.7/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +5.5/10.0
- DSCR +4.8/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
- Rent growth +2.1/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$150,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Corner Lot Beauty, 3 Bedroom, 2 Bath Home. This home features a converted garage that can be used as a 4th bedroom, family room or game room. This home also includes a 5th room that could be used as a guest suite, gym or library. Possibilities are limited less. This house boasts multiple rooms that would make a great group home or home business! 2102222227 for show
Key facts
- 5th room
- Converted garage
- Multiple rooms
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $65 ($778/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
- Recommended offer: $132k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 6.8% vs local median 3.8% in San Antonio — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#31 in TX, #1,616 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools C-, crime F.
- Southwest ISD (rural): math 21% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #701 of 826 in TX (top 85%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.7%/yr); 30 active listings in the ZIP; 38 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 8,308 units permitted in Bexar County in 2024 (2,506 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($52k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Bexar County population projected at +50% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 201 days — a 12% lower offer ($132k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $18k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.7% of price.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 78% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 201 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1966 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.05% ✓
- Cap rate
- 6.81%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.85%
- DSCR
- 1.08
- GRM
- 7.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $209,236
- List price
- $150,500
- Delta
- -28.07%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6703 Sabine Pass | 0.31mi | 3/2.0 | 1,304 (+2%) | 6mo | $217,999 | $167 | 77 |
| 6914 Port Bay | 0.26mi | 3/2.0 | 1,334 (+4%) | 6mo | $215,000 | $161 | 75 |
| 7010 Palacios Cv | 0.35mi | 3/2.0 | 1,304 (+2%) | 7mo | $190,000 | $146 | 74 |
| 162 Pleasant Vly | 0.29mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,328 (+4%) | 5mo | $139,900 | $105 | 71 |
| 6286 Apple Vly | 0.37mi | 3/2.0 | 1,188 (-7%) | 2mo | $99,900 | $84 | 69 |
| 122 Pleasant Vly | 0.19mi | 3/1.0 | 1,408 (+10%) | 1mo | $99,999 | $71 | 69 |
| 7019 Heathers | 0.42mi | 3/2.0 | 1,345 (+5%) | 6mo | $215,000 | $160 | 67 |
| 7102 Heathers Pl | 0.44mi | 3/2.0 | 1,200 (-6%) | 4mo | $210,000 | $175 | 67 |
| 6306 Loyola Bch | 0.31mi | 3/2.5 | 1,420 (+11%) | 3mo | $205,000 | $144 | 62 |
| 6302 Deer Vly | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 | 1,440 (+13%) | 1mo | $245,000 | $170 | 62 |
| 7427 Draco Leap | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 | 1,380 (+8%) | 1mo | $160,000 | $116 | 60 |
| 7130 Heathers Pl | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 | 1,450 (+14%) | 7mo | $199,900 | $138 | 50 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -17.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.41×
- Total profit
- $-24,790
- Equity at exit
- $22,440
- IRR
- -17.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.20×
- Total profit
- $-33,765
- Equity at exit
- $13,012
Cash invested: $42,140 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 78227
- Home prices YoY
- -5.5%
- Rents YoY
- -1.7%
- Active inventory
- 30
- Price-to-rent
- 7.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,586 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$789
- Tax from tax record
- −$336 /mo · $4,036/yr
- Insurance
- −$63
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$333
- Net cashflow
- $65
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $150 | -5% $107 | +0% $65 | +5% $22 | +10% $-20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-60 | -5% $2 | +0% $65 | +5% $128 | +10% $190 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $141 | -0.5pp $103 | base $65 | +0.5pp $26 | +1.0pp $-14 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,625
- Closing costs
- $4,515
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 38 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6911 Hallie Rdg San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1463 | $1,475 | $1.01 | 44d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 7050 Hallie Rdg San Antonio, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1620 | $1,535 | $0.95 | 13d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 154 Morning Valley St San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $1,300 | $0.93 | 4d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 134 Lake Valley St San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 940 | $1,350 | $1.44 | 44d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 6286 Apple Valley Dr San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1188 | $1,395 | $1.17 | 3d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 7006 Heathers Way San Antonio, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1847 | $1,850 | $1.00 | 18d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 7451 Hercules Pt San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1653 | $1,795 | $1.09 | 24d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 7327 Aphelion Cv San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1408 | $1,499 | $1.06 | 44d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 6719 Dragon Crk San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1210 | $1,700 | $1.40 | 24d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 6010 Ray Ellison Blvd San Antonio, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 974 | $1,418 | $1.46 | 44d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 7423 Vega Gap San Antonio, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1572 | $2,400 | $1.53 | 45d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 7639 Hercules Pt San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1180 | $1,550 | $1.31 | 44d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 6230 Hazel Valley St San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1344 | $1,650 | $1.23 | 22d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 7411 Hazel Cv San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1287 | $1,450 | $1.13 | 17d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 6627 Freedom Rnch San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $1,750 | $1.25 | 24d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 6611 Cougar Vlg San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1251 | $1,495 | $1.20 | 15d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 6619 Freedom Hls San Antonio, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1410 | $1,900 | $1.35 | 3d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 7326 Sirius Mesa San Antonio, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1691 | $1,650 | $0.98 | 24d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 7307 Apastron Haze San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1274 | $1,395 | $1.09 | 24d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 7123 Pandora Way San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1651 | $1,561 | $0.95 | 13d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 6106 Cedar Valley Dr San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 984 | $1,375 | $1.40 | 5d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 6802 Cougar Cv San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1251 | $1,550 | $1.24 | 44d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 8126 Radiant Star San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1635 | $1,700 | $1.04 | 11d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 7319 Walnut Valley Dr San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1152 | $1,900 | $1.65 | 13d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 6214 Slate Valley Dr San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 920 | $1,100 | $1.20 | 24d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 5938 Autumn Palms San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1350 | $2,400 | $1.78 | 2d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 8671 SW Loop 410 San Antonio, TX | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1024 | $1,405 | $1.37 | 17d | 7 | 1.20mi |
| 7323 Perseus Brk San Antonio, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1832 | $1,895 | $1.03 | 44d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 7058 Dominic Vly San Antonio, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1687 | $1,650 | $0.98 | 44d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 6243 Indian Valley Dr San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 975 | $1,400 | $1.44 | 5d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 7414 Perseus Brk San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1186 | $1,475 | $1.24 | 44d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 8423 Brazos Pt San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1647 | $1,750 | $1.06 | 3d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 8414 Piedras Crk San Antonio, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1560 | $1,671 | $1.07 | 44d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 106 Wayfarer Pl San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1595 | $1,850 | $1.16 | 13d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 6830 Beltran Pass San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1772 | $1,900 | $1.07 | 18d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 6127 Bright Valley Dr San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1528 | $1,336 | $0.87 | 5d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 6127 Bright Valley Dr San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1528 | $1,365 | $0.89 | 24d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 6730 Carmona Pass San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1771 | $1,700 | $0.96 | 17d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $150,500 Active 201 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $150,500 Active 198 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $150,500 Active 197 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $150,500 Active 196 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $150,500 Active 195 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $150,500 Active 193 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $150,500 Active 189 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $150,500 Active 188 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $150,500 Active 187 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $150,500 Active 184 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $150,500 Active 183 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $150,500 Active 182 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $150,500 Active 181 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $150,500 Active 180 DOM
-
2026-04-30price $150,500 368-char remark
Show marketing remark (368 chars)
Corner Lot Beauty, 3 Bedroom, 2 Bath Home. This home features a converted garage that can be used as a 4th bedroom, family room or game room. This home also includes a 5th room that could be used as a guest suite, gym or library. Possibilities are limited less. This house boasts multiple rooms that would make a great group home or home business! 2102222227 for show
-
2026-04-07price $160,000 368-char remark
Show marketing remark (368 chars)
Corner Lot Beauty, 3 Bedroom, 2 Bath Home. This home features a converted garage that can be used as a 4th bedroom, family room or game room. This home also includes a 5th room that could be used as a guest suite, gym or library. Possibilities are limited less. This house boasts multiple rooms that would make a great group home or home business! 2102222227 for show
-
2026-03-10price $163,999 368-char remark
Show marketing remark (368 chars)
Corner Lot Beauty, 3 Bedroom, 2 Bath Home. This home features a converted garage that can be used as a 4th bedroom, family room or game room. This home also includes a 5th room that could be used as a guest suite, gym or library. Possibilities are limited less. This house boasts multiple rooms that would make a great group home or home business! 2102222227 for show
-
2025-12-02$169,000 New 368-char remark
Show marketing remark (368 chars)
Corner Lot Beauty, 3 Bedroom, 2 Bath Home. This home features a converted garage that can be used as a 4th bedroom, family room or game room. This home also includes a 5th room that could be used as a guest suite, gym or library. Possibilities are limited less. This house boasts multiple rooms that would make a great group home or home business! 2102222227 for show
-
2025-10-07soldstatus
-
2025-09-21status Pending
-
2025-09-12historical Active Option
-
2025-09-12historical
-
2025-07-26$160,000 New
-
2001-02-22soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $4,036 · $336/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,036 · $336/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 7/10 Severe 78% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,036
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,430
- − Property taxes
- −$4,036
- − Insurance
- −$752
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,523
- − Management
- −$1,523
- − Depreciation
- −$4,378
- Taxable loss
- −$1,607
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$386
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,164/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Southwest ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4840950
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -21.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 31% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,362
- Composite
- 22.22/100
- National rank
- #8153
- State rank
- #701 of 826 in TX
Livability — San Antonio
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #31
- US rank
- #1616
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- San Antonio, TX
- County
- Bexar County · 1,990,555 people
- City population
- 1,806,925
- Metro
- San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 44,035
- Household income
- $51,519
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1773.0
Population outlook (Bexar County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,336,851 people
- By 2030
- 2,560,728 · +9.6%
- By 2040
- 3,020,569 · +29.3%
- By 2050
- 3,493,522 · +49.5%
- By 2075
- 4,668,459 · +99.8%
- By 2100
- 5,533,242 · +136.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (83%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 83% Two or more races 40% White 9% Black 5% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 72% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 15% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 52% English-only · Spanish 47% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Bexar
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+9.8) · D 54.3% · R 44.6% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.2pp toward D · 2008: 5.6pp · 2024: 9.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+9.8 2020: D+18.2 2016: D+13.5 2012: D+4.6 2008: D+5.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -15.94%
- Current HPI
- 275.9519
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -1.71%
- Metro
- San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
||
Price history
-5.9% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-30 Price Changed $150,500 LERA
- 2026-04-07 Price Changed $160,000 LERA
- 2026-03-10 Price Changed $163,999 LERA
- 2025-12-02 Listed $169,000 LERA
- 2025-10-07 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2025-09-21 Pending — LERA
- 2025-09-12 Contingent — LERA
- 2025-09-12 Listing Removed — LERA
- 2025-07-26 Listed $160,000 LERA
- 2001-02-22 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+6.1%/yrLatest (2025): $4,036 · +10.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…