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6918 Sun Valley Dr
C- Composite 51.81
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.5/10.0
  • DSCR +4.8/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.1/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$150,500

6918 Sun Valley Dr · San Antonio, TX 78227
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,276 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 201 Days on market
Built 1966 10,410 sqft lot $118/sqft · 28% below area Est $209k · 28% under ↓ 6% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Corner Lot Beauty, 3 Bedroom, 2 Bath Home. This home features a converted garage that can be used as a 4th bedroom, family room or game room. This home also includes a 5th room that could be used as a guest suite, gym or library. Possibilities are limited less. This house boasts multiple rooms that would make a great group home or home business! 2102222227 for show

Key facts

  • 5th room
  • Converted garage
  • Multiple rooms

Tags

CONVERTED GARAGE5TH ROOMMULTIPLE ROOMS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $65 ($778/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
  • Recommended offer: $132k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 6.8% vs local median 3.8% in San Antonio — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 80/100 on livability (#31 in TX, #1,616 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools C-, crime F.
  • Southwest ISD (rural): math 21% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #701 of 826 in TX (top 85%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.7%/yr); 30 active listings in the ZIP; 38 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 8,308 units permitted in Bexar County in 2024 (2,506 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($52k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Bexar County population projected at +50% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 201 days — a 12% lower offer ($132k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $18k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.7% of price.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 78% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $132,440 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 201 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1966 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.05%
Cap rate
6.81%
Cash-on-cash
1.85%
DSCR
1.08
GRM
7.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$209,236
List price
$150,500
Delta
-28.07%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
6703 Sabine Pass 0.31mi 3/2.0 1,304 (+2%) 6mo $217,999 $167 77
6914 Port Bay 0.26mi 3/2.0 1,334 (+4%) 6mo $215,000 $161 75
7010 Palacios Cv 0.35mi 3/2.0 1,304 (+2%) 7mo $190,000 $146 74
162 Pleasant Vly 0.29mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,328 (+4%) 5mo $139,900 $105 71
6286 Apple Vly 0.37mi 3/2.0 1,188 (-7%) 2mo $99,900 $84 69
122 Pleasant Vly 0.19mi 3/1.0 1,408 (+10%) 1mo $99,999 $71 69
7019 Heathers 0.42mi 3/2.0 1,345 (+5%) 6mo $215,000 $160 67
7102 Heathers Pl 0.44mi 3/2.0 1,200 (-6%) 4mo $210,000 $175 67
6306 Loyola Bch 0.31mi 3/2.5 1,420 (+11%) 3mo $205,000 $144 62
6302 Deer Vly 0.34mi 3/2.0 1,440 (+13%) 1mo $245,000 $170 62
7427 Draco Leap 0.55mi 3/2.0 1,380 (+8%) 1mo $160,000 $116 60
7130 Heathers Pl 0.46mi 3/2.0 1,450 (+14%) 7mo $199,900 $138 50

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-17.2%
Equity multiple
0.41×
Total profit
$-24,790
Equity at exit
$22,440
10-year hold
IRR
-17.2%
Equity multiple
0.20×
Total profit
$-33,765
Equity at exit
$13,012

Cash invested: $42,140 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 78227

Home prices YoY
-5.5%
Rents YoY
-1.7%
Active inventory
30
Price-to-rent
7.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,586 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$789
Tax from tax record
$336 /mo · $4,036/yr
Insurance
$63
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$333
Net cashflow
$65

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,504
Max offer price $150,500
Occupancy floor 91%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $150 -5% $107 +0% $65 +5% $22 +10% $-20
Rent -10% $-60 -5% $2 +0% $65 +5% $128 +10% $190
Rate -1.0pp $141 -0.5pp $103 base $65 +0.5pp $26 +1.0pp $-14

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$37,625
Closing costs
$4,515
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 38 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
6911 Hallie Rdg San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.5 1463 $1,475 $1.01 44d 1 0.07mi
7050 Hallie Rdg San Antonio, TX 4.0 2.0 1620 $1,535 $0.95 13d 1 0.17mi
154 Morning Valley St San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1400 $1,300 $0.93 4d 1 0.21mi
134 Lake Valley St San Antonio, TX 2.0 2.0 940 $1,350 $1.44 44d 1 0.26mi
6286 Apple Valley Dr San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1188 $1,395 $1.17 3d 1 0.38mi
7006 Heathers Way San Antonio, TX 4.0 2.5 1847 $1,850 $1.00 18d 1 0.40mi
7451 Hercules Pt San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1653 $1,795 $1.09 24d 1 0.51mi
7327 Aphelion Cv San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1408 $1,499 $1.06 44d 1 0.56mi
6719 Dragon Crk San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1210 $1,700 $1.40 24d 1 0.60mi
6010 Ray Ellison Blvd San Antonio, TX 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 974 $1,418 $1.46 44d 1 0.63mi
7423 Vega Gap San Antonio, TX 4.0 2.0 1572 $2,400 $1.53 45d 1 0.66mi
7639 Hercules Pt San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1180 $1,550 $1.31 44d 1 0.68mi
6230 Hazel Valley St San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1344 $1,650 $1.23 22d 1 0.73mi
7411 Hazel Cv San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1287 $1,450 $1.13 17d 1 0.76mi
6627 Freedom Rnch San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1400 $1,750 $1.25 24d 1 0.79mi
6611 Cougar Vlg San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1251 $1,495 $1.20 15d 1 0.81mi
6619 Freedom Hls San Antonio, TX 4.0 2.5 1410 $1,900 $1.35 3d 1 0.82mi
7326 Sirius Mesa San Antonio, TX 4.0 2.0 1691 $1,650 $0.98 24d 1 0.85mi
7307 Apastron Haze San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1274 $1,395 $1.09 24d 1 0.86mi
7123 Pandora Way San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1651 $1,561 $0.95 13d 1 0.87mi
6106 Cedar Valley Dr San Antonio, TX 3.0 1.0 984 $1,375 $1.40 5d 1 0.89mi
6802 Cougar Cv San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1251 $1,550 $1.24 44d 1 0.89mi
8126 Radiant Star San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1635 $1,700 $1.04 11d 1 0.98mi
7319 Walnut Valley Dr San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1152 $1,900 $1.65 13d 1 1.04mi
6214 Slate Valley Dr San Antonio, TX 3.0 1.0 920 $1,100 $1.20 24d 1 1.13mi
5938 Autumn Palms San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1350 $2,400 $1.78 2d 1 1.14mi
8671 SW Loop 410 San Antonio, TX 2.0–3.0 2.0 1024 $1,405 $1.37 17d 7 1.20mi
7323 Perseus Brk San Antonio, TX 4.0 2.5 1832 $1,895 $1.03 44d 1 1.24mi
7058 Dominic Vly San Antonio, TX 4.0 2.5 1687 $1,650 $0.98 44d 1 1.26mi
6243 Indian Valley Dr San Antonio, TX 3.0 1.0 975 $1,400 $1.44 5d 1 1.28mi
7414 Perseus Brk San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1186 $1,475 $1.24 44d 1 1.29mi
8423 Brazos Pt San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1647 $1,750 $1.06 3d 1 1.36mi
8414 Piedras Crk San Antonio, TX 4.0 2.0 1560 $1,671 $1.07 44d 1 1.39mi
106 Wayfarer Pl San Antonio, TX 3.0 3.0 1595 $1,850 $1.16 13d 1 1.41mi
6830 Beltran Pass San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.5 1772 $1,900 $1.07 18d 1 1.48mi
6127 Bright Valley Dr San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1528 $1,336 $0.87 5d 1 1.48mi
6127 Bright Valley Dr San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1528 $1,365 $0.89 24d 1 1.48mi
6730 Carmona Pass San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.5 1771 $1,700 $0.96 17d 1 1.48mi

Listing history 24 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $150,500 Active 201 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $150,500 Active 198 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $150,500 Active 197 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $150,500 Active 196 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $150,500 Active 195 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $150,500 Active 193 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $150,500 Active 189 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $150,500 Active 188 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $150,500 Active 187 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $150,500 Active 184 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $150,500 Active 183 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $150,500 Active 182 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $150,500 Active 181 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $150,500 Active 180 DOM
  15. 2026-04-30
    price $150,500 368-char remark
    Show marketing remark (368 chars)

    Corner Lot Beauty, 3 Bedroom, 2 Bath Home. This home features a converted garage that can be used as a 4th bedroom, family room or game room. This home also includes a 5th room that could be used as a guest suite, gym or library. Possibilities are limited less. This house boasts multiple rooms that would make a great group home or home business! 2102222227 for show

  16. 2026-04-07
    price $160,000 368-char remark
    Show marketing remark (368 chars)

    Corner Lot Beauty, 3 Bedroom, 2 Bath Home. This home features a converted garage that can be used as a 4th bedroom, family room or game room. This home also includes a 5th room that could be used as a guest suite, gym or library. Possibilities are limited less. This house boasts multiple rooms that would make a great group home or home business! 2102222227 for show

  17. 2026-03-10
    price $163,999 368-char remark
    Show marketing remark (368 chars)

    Corner Lot Beauty, 3 Bedroom, 2 Bath Home. This home features a converted garage that can be used as a 4th bedroom, family room or game room. This home also includes a 5th room that could be used as a guest suite, gym or library. Possibilities are limited less. This house boasts multiple rooms that would make a great group home or home business! 2102222227 for show

  18. 2025-12-02
    listed $169,000 New 368-char remark
    Show marketing remark (368 chars)

    Corner Lot Beauty, 3 Bedroom, 2 Bath Home. This home features a converted garage that can be used as a 4th bedroom, family room or game room. This home also includes a 5th room that could be used as a guest suite, gym or library. Possibilities are limited less. This house boasts multiple rooms that would make a great group home or home business! 2102222227 for show

  19. 2025-10-07
    soldstatus
  20. 2025-09-21
    status Pending
  21. 2025-09-12
    historical Active Option
  22. 2025-09-12
    historical
  23. 2025-07-26
    listed $160,000 New
  24. 2001-02-22
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$4,036 · $336/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,036 · $336/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 7/10 Severe 78% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,036
− Mortgage interest
−$8,430
− Property taxes
−$4,036
− Insurance
−$752
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,523
− Management
−$1,523
− Depreciation
−$4,378
Taxable loss
−$1,607
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$386
After-tax cash flow
$1,164/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Southwest ISD
NCES district ID
4840950
Math proficiency
21% ▼ -21.00%
Reading proficiency
31% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$43,362
Composite
22.22/100
National rank
#8153
State rank
#701 of 826 in TX

Livability — San Antonio

Score
80/100
State rank
#31
US rank
#1616

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
San Antonio, TX
County
Bexar County · 1,990,555 people
City population
1,806,925
Metro
San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX
Population (ZIP)
44,035
Household income
$51,519
Rent vs Own
41.0% rent · 59.0% own
Severe rent burden
1773.0

Population outlook (Bexar County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,336,851 people
By 2030
2,560,728 · +9.6%
By 2040
3,020,569 · +29.3%
By 2050
3,493,522 · +49.5%
By 2075
4,668,459 · +99.8%
By 2100
5,533,242 · +136.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (83%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 83% Two or more races 40% White 9% Black 5% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 72% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
15% · Canada
Languages at home
52% English-only · Spanish 47% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Bexar

2024 margin
Lean D (+9.8) · D 54.3% · R 44.6% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
+4.2pp toward D · 2008: 5.6pp · 2024: 9.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+9.8 2020: D+18.2 2016: D+13.5 2012: D+4.6 2008: D+5.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -15.94%
Current HPI
275.9519
Rent YoY
▼ -1.71%
Metro
San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-5.9% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-30 Price Changed $150,500 LERA
  • 2026-04-07 Price Changed $160,000 LERA
  • 2026-03-10 Price Changed $163,999 LERA
  • 2025-12-02 Listed $169,000 LERA
  • 2025-10-07 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2025-09-21 Pending LERA
  • 2025-09-12 Contingent LERA
  • 2025-09-12 Listing Removed LERA
  • 2025-07-26 Listed $160,000 LERA
  • 2001-02-22 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+6.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,036 · +10.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…