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102 Tree Farm Rd
D+ Composite 47.43
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +18.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +5.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Schools +3.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$169,900

102 Tree Farm Rd · Interlachen, FL 32640
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,216 sqft · Manufactured public records · 30 Days on market
Built 1998 0.44 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Affordable living or a great investment opportunity! This 3-bedroom, 2-bath mobile home sits on a half acre of fully fenced land, offering privacy and space to enjoy the outdoors. Features include a durable metal roof and plenty of room to grow. Conveniently located near Hawthorne and just a short drive to Gainesville — this property is full of potential!

Key facts

  • 0.44 acre lot
  • Built 1998
  • Listed 30 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Approximately 0.44 acre lot (about 1/4 to less than 1/2 acre)
  • Financial info: No lease restrictions indicated

Exterior

  • Utilities: Electricity available and connected; Water available and connected; Sewer available and connected
  • Home design: Manufactured home (double wide); Single-story; North-facing
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Metal roof; Crawlspace foundation; Built on a single level
  • Exterior features: Exterior lighting

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans
  • Laundry & utility: Dedicated laundry room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $170k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $159 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $159k (6.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $159k (6.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 7.4% vs local median 5.1% in Interlachen — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#540 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Putnam (town): math 34% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #66 of 73 in FL (top 90%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Ochwilla Elementary School (math 27% / reading 32%, grade F, #1,896 of 2,144 statewide, top 90%, 410 students, 64% FRL); Putnam Academy of Arts And Sciences (math 42% / reading 52%, grade D+, #291 of 571 statewide, top 52%, 177 students, 75% FRL, charter); Interlachen Jr-Sr High School (math 16% / reading 32%, grade F, #529 of 667 statewide, top 80%, 1,097 students, 71% FRL) — zoned schools at 70% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 300 active listings in the ZIP; 113 units permitted in Putnam County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Putnam County population projected at -31% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 30 days — a 2% lower offer ($167k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $75k; list at $170k implies a 127% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $159,195 (6.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  3. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.94%
Cap rate
7.42%
Cash-on-cash
4.02%
DSCR
1.18
GRM
8.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$86,336
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
313 White Sands Beaches Dr 0.56mi 3/2.0 1,344 (+10%) 5mo $95,000 $71 52

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-10.0%
Equity multiple
0.63×
Total profit
$-17,411
Equity at exit
$25,333
10-year hold
IRR
-0.7%
Equity multiple
0.95×
Total profit
$-2,192
Equity at exit
$14,690

Cash invested: $47,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 32640

Home prices YoY
-5.3%
Active inventory
300
Price-to-rent
8.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,592 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$891
Tax from tax record
$137 /mo · $1,639/yr
Insurance
$71
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$334
Net cashflow
$159

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,390
Max offer price $169,900
Occupancy floor 85%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $255 -5% $207 +0% $159 +5% $111 +10% $63
Rent -10% $33 -5% $96 +0% $159 +5% $222 +10% $285
Rate -1.0pp $245 -0.5pp $202 base $159 +0.5pp $115 +1.0pp $70

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$42,475
Closing costs
$5,097
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 12 events

  1. 2026-06-05
    statusdays on market $169,900 Pending 30 DOM
  2. 2026-06-03
    days on market $169,900 Active 29 DOM
  3. 2026-06-02
    days on market $169,900 Active 28 DOM
  4. 2026-06-01
    days on market $169,900 Active 27 DOM
  5. 2026-05-31
    days on market $169,900 Active 26 DOM
  6. 2026-05-11
    price $169,900
  7. 2026-05-05
    listed $174,500 Active
  8. 2026-02-19
    soldstatus $75,000
  9. 2026-01-21
    historical 363-char remark
    Show marketing remark (363 chars)

    Affordable living or a great investment opportunity! This 3-bedroom, 2-bath mobile home sits on a half acre of fully fenced land, offering privacy and space to enjoy the outdoors. Features include a durable metal roof and plenty of room to grow. Conveniently located near Hawthorne and just a short drive to Gainesville — this property is full of potential!

  10. 2025-11-23
    price $86,000 363-char remark
    Show marketing remark (363 chars)

    Affordable living or a great investment opportunity! This 3-bedroom, 2-bath mobile home sits on a half acre of fully fenced land, offering privacy and space to enjoy the outdoors. Features include a durable metal roof and plenty of room to grow. Conveniently located near Hawthorne and just a short drive to Gainesville — this property is full of potential!

  11. 2025-11-13
    price $91,000 363-char remark
    Show marketing remark (363 chars)

    Affordable living or a great investment opportunity! This 3-bedroom, 2-bath mobile home sits on a half acre of fully fenced land, offering privacy and space to enjoy the outdoors. Features include a durable metal roof and plenty of room to grow. Conveniently located near Hawthorne and just a short drive to Gainesville — this property is full of potential!

  12. 2025-10-29
    listed $96,000 Active 363-char remark
    Show marketing remark (363 chars)

    Affordable living or a great investment opportunity! This 3-bedroom, 2-bath mobile home sits on a half acre of fully fenced land, offering privacy and space to enjoy the outdoors. Features include a durable metal roof and plenty of room to grow. Conveniently located near Hawthorne and just a short drive to Gainesville — this property is full of potential!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,639 · $137/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,639 · $137/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,103
− Mortgage interest
−$9,517
− Property taxes
−$1,639
− Insurance
−$850
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,528
− Management
−$1,528
− Depreciation
−$4,943
Taxable loss
−$902
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$216
After-tax cash flow
$2,127/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Putnam
NCES district ID
1201620
Math proficiency
34% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
39% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$33,350
Composite
29.99/100
National rank
#6361
State rank
#66 of 73 in FL

Livability — Interlachen

Score
67/100
State rank
#540
US rank
#10162

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
11,580
Population (ZIP)
10,780

Population outlook (Putnam County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
65,299 people
By 2030
61,255 · -6.2%
By 2040
52,930 · -18.9%
By 2050
45,051 · -31.0%
By 2075
28,720 · -56.0%
By 2100
15,852 · -75.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (69%)
Race & ethnicity
White 69% Black 24% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 4%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Putnam

2024 margin
Solid R (+47.8) · D 25.8% · R 73.6%
2008→2024 swing
-28.5pp toward R · 2008: -19.3pp · 2024: -47.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+47.8 2020: R+41.2 2016: R+36.6 2012: R+24.5 2008: R+19.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -15.68%
Current HPI
278.0079
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+77.0% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-11 Price Changed $169,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-05 Listed $174,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-19 Sold (Public Records) $75,000 Public Records
  • 2026-01-21 Listing Removed realMLS
  • 2025-11-23 Price Changed $86,000 realMLS
  • 2025-11-13 Price Changed $91,000 realMLS
  • 2025-10-29 Listed $96,000 realMLS

Property tax history

+4.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,639 · +6.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…