14 E Pike St · Houston, PA
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.17%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.2/10.0
- Schools +4.7/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$149,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Corporate owned, sold as is, need addendums and pre-approval or POF to present offer, list office holds h/m, no utilities--take light, taxes and lot size estimated
Key facts
- 1930s colonial
- Formal dining room
- Fresh paint
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $584 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
- Recommended offer: $132k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#278 in PA, #2,456 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D+, amenities F.
- Chartiers-Houston SD (suburban): math 40% / reading 68% proficiency, ranked #125 of 539 in PA (top 23%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 27 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 489 units permitted in Washington County in 2024 (30 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Washington County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 192 days — a 12% lower offer ($132k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 22y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $35k (19%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $115k; 30% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 192 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.32% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.97%
- Cash-on-cash
- 16.69%
- DSCR
- 1.74
- GRM
- 6.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $290,836
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 E Pike St | 0.00mi | 3/1.5 | 1,598 (0%) | 1mo | $140,000 | $88 | 98 |
| 211 Reed Ave | 0.18mi | 3/2.5 | 1,650 (+3%) | 5mo | $365,000 | $221 | 76 |
| 150 N Haft St | 0.19mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,675 (+5%) | 3mo | $258,000 | $154 | 71 |
| 207 N Main St | 0.19mi | 3/2.5 | 1,456 (-9%) | 4mo | $85,000 | $58 | 67 |
| 335 E Pike St | 0.33mi | 3/2.0 | 1,443 (-10%) | 0mo | $247,097 | $171 | 64 |
| 140 4th St | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 | 1,453 (-9%) | 2mo | $265,000 | $182 | 57 |
| 611 Longvue Dr | 0.62mi | 3/2.5 | 1,530 (-4%) | 2mo | $315,000 | $206 | 56 |
| 336 N Main | 0.41mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,448 (-9%) | 5mo | $66,000 | $46 | 56 |
| 142 Alexander Ave | 0.37mi | 3/2.0 | 1,386 (-13%) | 3mo | $216,000 | $156 | 54 |
| 178 Wylie Ave | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 | 1,472 (-8%) | 2mo | $280,000 | $190 | 54 |
| 738 Scenic Dr | 0.72mi | 3/2.5 | 1,500 (-6%) | 1mo | $345,000 | $230 | 49 |
| 711 Scenic Dr | 0.65mi | 3/2.5 | 1,467 (-8%) | 3mo | $285,000 | $194 | 48 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 7.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.31×
- Total profit
- $12,891
- Equity at exit
- $22,351
- IRR
- 17.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.41×
- Total profit
- $59,097
- Equity at exit
- $12,961
Cash invested: $41,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 15342
- Home prices YoY
- -7.5%
- Active inventory
- 27
- Price-to-rent
- 6.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,986 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$786
- Tax from tax record
- −$136 /mo · $1,635/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$417
- Net cashflow
- $584
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $669 | -5% $626 | +0% $584 | +5% $541 | +10% $499 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $427 | -5% $505 | +0% $584 | +5% $662 | +10% $741 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $659 | -0.5pp $622 | base $584 | +0.5pp $545 | +1.0pp $505 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,475
- Closing costs
- $4,497
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 236 Grace Ave Canonsburg, PA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1656 | $1,800 | $1.09 | 2d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 108 Loubell Dr Unit 108 Canonsburg, PA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1760 | $2,295 | $1.30 | 17d | 1 | 1.44mi |
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-04-28status Pending
-
2026-04-13price $149,900
-
2025-10-23price $155,000
-
2025-10-18$185,000 Active
-
2024-06-03soldstatus $115,000
-
2005-03-04soldstatus $22,500 163-char remark
Show marketing remark (163 chars)
Corporate owned, sold as is, need addendums and pre-approval or POF to present offer, list office holds h/m, no utilities--take light, taxes and lot size estimated
-
2004-11-01$39,900 163-char remark
Show marketing remark (163 chars)
Corporate owned, sold as is, need addendums and pre-approval or POF to present offer, list office holds h/m, no utilities--take light, taxes and lot size estimated
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,635 · $136/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,002 · $167/mo
- Expected delta
- +$367/yr (+$31/mo · 22.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 17% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,827
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,397
- − Property taxes
- −$1,635
- − Insurance
- −$750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,906
- − Management
- −$1,906
- − Depreciation
- −$4,361
- Taxable income
- $4,873
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,169
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,836/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Chartiers-Houston SD
- NCES district ID
- 4205730
- Math proficiency
- 40% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 68% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $56,103
- Composite
- 46.57/100
- National rank
- #2426
- State rank
- #125 of 539 in PA
Livability — Houston
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #278
- US rank
- #2456
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Houston, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 5,110
Population outlook (Washington County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 208,060 people
- By 2030
- 207,168 · -0.4%
- By 2040
- 202,738 · -2.6%
- By 2050
- 195,269 · -6.1%
- By 2075
- 175,588 · -15.6%
- By 2100
- 145,827 · -29.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (91%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 91% Two or more races 5% Black 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Serbian 3% Scotch-Irish 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada, Dominican Republic
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Washington
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+25.5) · D 36.9% · R 62.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.8pp toward R · 2008: -4.7pp · 2024: -25.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+25.5 2020: R+22.8 2016: R+25.3 2012: R+13.3 2008: R+4.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -19.13%
- Current HPI
- 234.3104
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
+275.7% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-28 Pending — West Penn MLS
- 2026-04-13 Price Changed $149,900 West Penn MLS
- 2025-10-23 Price Changed $155,000 West Penn MLS
- 2025-10-18 Listed $185,000 West Penn MLS
- 2024-06-03 Sold (Public Records) $115,000 Public Records
- 2005-03-04 Sold (MLS) $22,500 West Penn MLS
- 2004-11-01 Listed $39,900 West Penn MLS
Property tax history
+2.9%/yrLatest (2026): $1,635 · +5.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…