177 Alton Shores Rd · Alton, NH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $507 – $941
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 91°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 11.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.9/30.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +6.3/10.0
- 1% rule +4.3/10.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$385,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Own your Lakes Region getaway without waterfront taxes! Available for the first time in nearly 40 years, this 3-bedroom, 1-bath chalet offers an affordable opportunity to enjoy the Alton lifestyle year-round or seasonally. Situated on its own . 28-acre lot along a publicly maintained paved road, this home combines low-maintenance living with access to some of the area's most desirable recreational amenities. The drive-under garage and concrete basement provide excellent storage for vehicles, tools, kayaks, and outdoor gear. Inside, you'll find a spacious kitchen with ample counter space, an updated full bath, and an inviting living and dining area filled with natural light. A cozy wood stov
Key facts
- Cozy wood stove
- Drive-under garage
- Updated full bath
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Annual association fee of 375; HOA includes recreation and beach/boat access; association amenities include beach access, beach rights, and a boat launch
Exterior
- Parking: Detached or on-site garage with capacity for 1 vehicle; Dirt and gravel driveway
- Utilities: Drilled private well (on-site); On-site septic (private); 200 Amp service with circuit breakers; High-speed internet available; Cable available; Water use restrictions apply
- Home design: Chalet-style home; Existing construction; Shingle (asphalt) roof; Built in 1984
- Construction: Wood frame construction with wood siding; Concrete foundation elements in basement
- Exterior features: Beach access to Hills Pond (shared-private; cross a street to access); Lake/pond access; Near skiing and near snowmobile trails; Slight slope; Subdivision setting
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen on level 2 (11.5 x 8.2); Microwave, Refrigerator, Electric Stove
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on level 2 (dimensions: 11.3 x 9.9; 9.8 x 10; 11.3 x 10)
- Flooring: Laminate flooring
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom on level 2 (8.3 x 5)
- Heating & cooling: Wood stove heating
- Interior features: Open living and dining areas; 4 total rooms; Walkout unfinished basement with concrete floor and daylight exposure; Interior access to basement
- Laundry & utility: Unfinished basement provides utility space
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $385k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $466 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $359k (6.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $359k (6.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.7% vs local median 1.6% in Alton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 57/100 on livability (#93 in NH) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Alton School District (rural): math 34% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #139 of 171 in NH (top 81%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Alton Central School (Elem) (math 32% / reading 42%, grade F, #171 of 263 statewide, top 66%, 417 students, 17% FRL) — zoned schools at 17% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 34 active listings in the ZIP; 301 units permitted in Belknap County in 2024 (32 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $41k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $38k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Belknap County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $108k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$66k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Questions for the listing agent
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.93% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.75%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.19%
- DSCR
- 1.23
- GRM
- 8.9
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 28.0%
- Equity multiple
- 3.22×
- Total profit
- $239,268
- Equity at exit
- $346,839
- IRR
- 24.4%
- Equity multiple
- 7.32×
- Total profit
- $680,996
- Equity at exit
- $747,970
Cash invested: $107,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 56 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State New Hampshire
- 56 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+1
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 03810
- Home prices YoY
- 33.9%
- Active inventory
- 34
- Price-to-rent
- 8.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,593 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,019
- Tax from tax record
- −$161 /mo · $1,935/yr
- Insurance
- −$160
- HOA
- −$31
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$754
- Net cashflow
- $466
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $96,250
- Closing costs
- $11,550
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $31 · $372/yr
- Likely covers
- water
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $385,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $385,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $385,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $385,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $385,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-12remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-12$385,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,935 · $161/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,164 · $430/mo
- Expected delta
- +$3,229/yr (+$269/mo · 166.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 11% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $43,111
- − Mortgage interest
- −$21,566
- − Property taxes
- −$1,935
- − Insurance
- −$1,925
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,449
- − Management
- −$3,449
- − HOA
- −$372
- − Depreciation
- −$11,200
- Taxable loss
- −$785
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$188
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,786/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Alton School District
- NCES district ID
- 3301440
- Math proficiency
- 34% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 42% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $66,442
- Composite
- 36.9/100
- National rank
- #9132
- State rank
- #139 of 171 in NH
Livability — Alton
- Score
- 57/100
- State rank
- #93
- US rank
- #21895
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,269
Population outlook (Belknap County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 60,702 people
- By 2030
- 60,353 · -0.6%
- By 2040
- 58,264 · -4.0%
- By 2050
- 54,533 · -10.2%
- By 2075
- 45,622 · -24.8%
- By 2100
- 33,772 · -44.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (95%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 95% Two or more races 4%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 9% Romanian 9% Lithuanian 6%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Belknap
- 2024 margin
- R (+13.1) · D 43.1% · R 56.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -14.2pp toward R · 2008: 1.2pp · 2024: -13.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+13.1 2020: R+10.4 2016: R+16.8 2012: R+5.0 2008: D+1.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 112.98%
- Current HPI
- 446.0509
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-11 Listed $385,000 PrimeMLS
Property tax history
+4.3%/yrLatest (2024): $1,935 · -5.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…