🏷️ Likely Rental
908 Cone Ave · Panama City, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.5/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +9.6/10.0
- 1% rule +7.3/10.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$124,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Looking for an investment property already generating revenue? Currently renting for $1,100 monthly through the end of July. TENANT OCCUPIED. ALL SHOWINGS REQUIRE A 24 HOUR NOTICE. All measurements and items of importance are to be confirmed by buyer or buyer agent.
Key facts
- 0.33 acre lot
- Built 1938
- Listed 2 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Home design: Single-story (first floor rooms listed)
- Construction: Mobile dimension units listed in feet
- Exterior features: Lot dimensions approximately 100 x 143
Interior
- Bedrooms: Two bedrooms on the first floor
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Interior features: Total of 3 rooms; Living room on the first floor
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $370 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $125k).
- Cap rate 9.8% vs local median 4.7% in Panama City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#350 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Bay (suburban): math 51% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #29 of 73 in FL (top 40%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 261 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,473 units permitted in Bay County in 2024 (559 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($53k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Bay County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 6 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $50k; list at $125k implies a 150% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1938 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1938 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.23% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.85%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.69%
- DSCR
- 1.56
- GRM
- 6.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $208,889
- List price
- $124,900
- Delta
- -40.21%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 308 E 8th St | 0.21mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,000 (+1%) | 1mo | $249,000 | $249 | 78 |
| 530 E 7Th Ct | 0.30mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,004 (+2%) | 8mo | $120,000 | $120 | 72 |
| 1017 E Hamilton Ave | 0.25mi | 2/1.0 | 856 (-13%) | 5mo | $258,000 | $301 | 62 |
| 601 E 4th Ct | 0.64mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,040 (+5%) | 1mo | $254,000 | $244 | 56 |
| 718 E 12th St | 0.52mi | 2/2.0 | 910 (-8%) | 5mo | $190,000 | $209 | 54 |
| 524 E 4th Ct | 0.64mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 912 (-8%) | 3mo | $276,000 | $303 | 50 |
| 616 E 4Th Ct | 0.68mi | 2/2.0 | 1,040 (+5%) | 10mo | $175,000 | $168 | 47 |
| 815 Premier Dr | 0.69mi | 2/2.0 | 1,042 (+6%) | 10mo | $162,500 | $156 | 46 |
| 1210 Hamilton Ave | 0.44mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,122 (+14%) | 7mo | $255,000 | $227 | 42 |
| 910 E 9th Ct | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,111 (+12%) | 5mo | $225,000 | $203 | 41 |
| 1208 Louisiana Ave | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,122 (+14%) | 8mo | $125,000 | $111 | 41 |
| 1332 N Palo Alto Ave | 0.69mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,134 (+15%) | 4mo | $150,000 | $132 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.45% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -0.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.99×
- Total profit
- $-511
- Equity at exit
- $18,623
- IRR
- 6.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.43×
- Total profit
- $14,951
- Equity at exit
- $10,799
Cash invested: $34,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32401
- Home prices YoY
- -32.9%
- Rents YoY
- 0.5%
- Active inventory
- 261
- Price-to-rent
- 6.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,537 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$655
- Tax from tax record
- −$137 /mo · $1,642/yr
- Insurance
- −$52
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$323
- Net cashflow
- $370
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $441 | -5% $405 | +0% $370 | +5% $335 | +10% $299 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $249 | -5% $309 | +0% $370 | +5% $431 | +10% $491 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $433 | -0.5pp $402 | base $370 | +0.5pp $338 | +1.0pp $305 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,225
- Closing costs
- $3,747
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 14 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1114 Mc Kenzie Ave Unit 1 Panama City, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 880 | $1,850 | $2.10 | 22d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 606 E 13th St Unit 1 Panama City, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,250 | $1.79 | 22d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 388 Massalina Dr Panama City, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 800 | $1,800 | $2.25 | 14d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 265 15th St Panama City, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 967 | $1,252 | $1.29 | 14d | 4 | 0.83mi |
| 335 Massalina Dr Panama City, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 742 | $1,200 | $1.62 | 14d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 329 N Palo Alto Ave Unit B Panama City, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $750 | $0.94 | 22d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 307 Wilson Ave Unit 1 Panama City, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 570 | $1,345 | $2.36 | 22d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 1525 Oak Ave Unit B Panama City, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 540 | $1,200 | $2.22 | 22d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 400 E 19th St Unit A1 Panama City, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 785 | $1,095 | $1.39 | 14d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 603 E 2nd St Panama City, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,300 | $1.44 | 22d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 725 Sherman Ave Unit B Panama City, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 878 | $1,250 | $1.42 | 22d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 316 Cherry St #24 Panama City, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 860 | $1,800 | $2.09 | 14d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 2002 Wilson Ave Panama City, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 977 | $1,854 | $1.90 | 14d | 25 | 1.36mi |
| 2121 Harrison Ave Panama City, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 800 | $1,550 | $1.94 | 22d | 13 | 1.44mi |
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-05-16status Pending 302-char remark
-
2026-05-14$124,900 Active 302-char remark
-
2021-12-14historical
-
2021-12-14historical
-
2017-10-23soldstatus $50,000
-
2017-10-13soldstatus $50,000
-
2017-08-27$65,600
-
2009-09-30soldstatus $57,000
-
2009-07-09$56,900
-
2007-08-27$110,000
-
2007-07-30soldstatus $146,000
-
2006-12-13$138,995
-
2006-04-28soldstatus $35,000
-
2006-04-04$60,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,642 · $137/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,642 · $137/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,438
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,996
- − Property taxes
- −$1,642
- − Insurance
- −$624
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,475
- − Management
- −$1,475
- − Depreciation
- −$3,633
- Taxable income
- $2,591
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$622
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,817/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bay
- NCES district ID
- 1200090
- Math proficiency
- 51% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 51% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,740
- Composite
- 43.41/100
- National rank
- #3014
- State rank
- #29 of 73 in FL
Livability — Panama City
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #350
- US rank
- #5823
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Panama City, FL
- County
- Bay County · 163,593 people
- City population
- 91,445
- Metro
- Panama City, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,947
- Household income
- $52,523
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 935.0
Population outlook (Bay County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 206,264 people
- By 2030
- 217,740 · +5.6%
- By 2040
- 238,738 · +15.7%
- By 2050
- 255,545 · +23.9%
- By 2075
- 288,295 · +39.8%
- By 2100
- 288,638 · +39.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 60% Black 23% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 8% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 8% Other Indo-European 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Bay
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+47.4) · D 25.8% · R 73.1% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -6.6pp toward R · 2008: -40.7pp · 2024: -47.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+47.4 2020: R+43.5 2016: R+46.3 2012: R+43.6 2008: R+40.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -142.12%
- Current HPI
- 290.3312
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.45%
- Metro
- Panama City, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
+108.2% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-16 Pending — CPARMLS
- 2026-05-14 Listed $124,900 CPARMLS
- 2021-12-14 Listing Removed — CPARMLS
- 2021-12-14 Listing Removed — CPARMLS
- 2017-10-23 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
- 2017-10-13 Sold (MLS) $50,000 CPARMLS
- 2017-08-27 Listed $65,600 CPARMLS
- 2009-09-30 Sold (MLS) $57,000 CPARMLS
- 2009-07-09 Listed $56,900 CPARMLS
- 2007-08-27 Listed $110,000 CPARMLS
- 2007-07-30 Sold (Public Records) $146,000 Public Records
- 2006-12-13 Listed $138,995 CPARMLS
- 2006-04-28 Sold (MLS) $35,000 CPARMLS
- 2006-04-04 Listed $60,000 CPARMLS
Property tax history
+11.9%/yrLatest (2025): $1,642 · +5.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…