4819 Berwyn House Rd Unit B4819 · College Park, MD 20740

$375,000

5 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,790 sqft · Townhouse · 3 Days on market

Built 1986 Est $424k · 12% under $454/mo HOA · 12% of rent ↓ 6% since listing

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Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +14.0/30.0
• ARV discount +12.7/15.0
• 1% rule +5.4/10.0
• DSCR +4.2/10.0
• Livability +4.0/5.0
• Rent growth +3.9/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Schools +1.7/10.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

INVESTORS and Purchasers, Tenant Occupied until JULY 15th. ALL SHOWINGS MUST BE BETWEEN 2-4 ON SUNDAY 11/21/21. MUST BE ACCOMPANIED BY AGENT. UNREPRESENTED INVESTORS PLEASE CONTACT MATT HOWELL TO SCHEDULE A SHOWING. REPRESENTATIVE FROM COAKLEY REALTY WILL BE THERE SUNDAY FROM 2-4PM. Current tenants will consider extending current lease. Current Lease payment is $2,300.00/ month. Great location with proximity to the University of Maryland. Showings will be limited since the property is occupied, please bare with us.

Key facts

• End-unit townhome
• $454 HOA
• 2 parking spots

Tags

• END-UNIT TOWNHOME
• ADDITIONAL LIGHT AND PRIVACY
• HIGH-DEMAND RENTAL MARKET
• STRONG RENTAL POTENTIAL

Property features AI

Finance

• HOA & community: Monthly condo fee of $454.42; HOA fee covers lawn care (front), management, road maintenance, snow removal, and trash

Exterior

• Parking: Parking lot with 2 spaces; Total of 2 garage/parking spaces
• Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric hot water
• Home design: End-of-row townhouse; Condominium ownership; Year built (per assessor)
• Construction: Aluminum siding; Concrete perimeter foundation
• Exterior features: Basement with outside entrance; Fully finished basement

Interior

• Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave; Electric oven/range; Refrigerator; Exhaust fan
• Bedrooms: One bedroom on the main level; Three bedrooms on the upper level; One bedroom on the lower level
• Flooring: Carpet
• Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; One half bathroom
• Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (electric); Central air conditioning
• Interior features: Tub/shower; Combination dining and living area; Family room open to kitchen; Traditional floor plan; Master bath(s); Entry-level bedroom
• Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 5-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $375k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $47 ($564/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $375k).
• Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 4.4% in College Park — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 80/100 on livability (#44 in MD, #1,640 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
• Prince George'S County Public Schools (suburban): math 8% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #21 of 24 in MD (top 88%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
• Zoned schools: Paint Branch Elementary (math 8% / reading 17%, grade F, #538 of 860 statewide, top 64%, 357 students, 80% FRL); Greenbelt Middle (math 11% / reading 32%, grade F, #132 of 225 statewide, top 59%, 1,342 students, 76% FRL); Parkdale High (math 21% / reading 46%, grade F, #148 of 222 statewide, top 67%, 2,561 students, 83% FRL) — zoned schools average 79% FRL vs 53% district-wide (26 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
• Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.5%/yr); 81 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 55% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,481 units permitted in Prince George's County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
• At $3,915/mo this rent would consume 61% of the median local household income ($77k/yr) (locally 2772% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Prince George's County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

• Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $375,000

Questions for the listing agent

1. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.04% ✓
• Cap rate: 6.44%
• Cash-on-cash: 0.54%
• DSCR: 1.02
• GRM: 8.0

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $424,230
• Comps found: 1

Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
5027 Berwyn Rd	0.36mi	4/2.5 (-1)	1,674 (-6%)	10mo	$396,000	$237	59

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.49% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -12.1%
• Equity multiple: 0.55×
• Total profit: $-47,381
• Equity at exit: $55,914

10-year hold

• IRR: 0.9%
• Equity multiple: 1.07×
• Total profit: $7,378
• Equity at exit: $32,423

Cash invested: $105,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 27 Tenant-Leaning
• State Maryland: 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

Failure-to-pay is dismissed if cured before judgment; Baltimore has just-cause; strict deposit rules.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 20740

• Rents YoY: 5.5%
• Active inventory: 81
• Price-to-rent: 8.0×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $3,915 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,967
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$469 /mo · $5,625/yr
• Insurance: −$156
• HOA: −$454
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$822
• Net cashflow: $47

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,855

Max offer price $375,000

Occupancy floor 94%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $306	-5% $177	+0% $47	+5% $-83	+10% $-212
Rent	-10% $-262	-5% $-108	+0% $47	+5% $202	+10% $356
Rate	-1.0pp $236	-0.5pp $142	base $47	+0.5pp $-50	+1.0pp $-149

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $93,750
• Closing costs: $11,250
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 11 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
4811 Berwyn House Rd Unit B4811 College Park, MD	4.0	2.5	1545	$3,700	$2.39	20d	1	0.04mi
8411 Potomac Ave College Park, MD	5.0	2.0	2340	$4,900	$2.09	20d	1	0.30mi
8901 48th Ave College Park, MD	4.0	2.0	1728	$4,500	$2.60	45d	1	0.52mi
4711 Cherokee St College Park, MD	4.0	2.5	1680	$3,500	$2.08	20d	1	0.85mi
9110 Autoville Dr College Park, MD	4.0	2.5	2118	$3,950	$1.86	1d	1	0.96mi
8709 37th Ave College Park, MD	6.0	3.0	1230	$4,000	$3.25	45d	1	1.07mi
5365 S Center Dr Greenbelt, MD	4.0	3.5	1694	$3,500	$2.07	20d	1	1.07mi
5365 S Center Dr Greenbelt, MD	4.0	3.5	1694	$3,500	$2.07	45d	1	1.08mi
9405 Rhode Island Ave College Park, MD	5.0	3.0	1674	$3,400	$2.03	45d	1	1.14mi
3535 Duke St College Park, MD	4.0	2.0	1534	$2,600	$1.69	45d	1	1.34mi
5944 Westchester Park Dr College Park, MD	4.0	3.5	2091	$3,600	$1.72	45d	1	1.40mi

HOA detail

• Monthly dues: $454 · $5,448/yr

Listing history 2 events

1. 2026-06-21
   remarks 588-char remark
2. 2026-06-21
   listed $375,000 Coming Soon 3 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 17% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $46,976
• − Mortgage interest: −$21,006
• − Property taxes: −$5,625
• − Insurance: −$1,875
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$3,758
• − Management: −$3,758
• − HOA: −$5,448
• − Depreciation: −$10,909
• Taxable loss: −$5,403
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$1,297
• After-tax cash flow: $1,861/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Prince George'S County Public Schools
• NCES district ID: 2400510
• Math proficiency: 8% ▼ -11.00%
• Reading proficiency: 24% ▼ -9.00%
• Median HH income: $73,967
• Composite: 16.82/100
• National rank: #9151
• State rank: #21 of 24 in MD

Livability — College Park

• Score: 80/100
• State rank: #44
• US rank: #1640

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment A+ Housing A Health & safety A+ User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: College Park, MD
• County: Prince Georges County · 919,866 people
• City population: 36,847
• Metro: Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV
• Population (ZIP): 36,847
• Household income: $77,317
• Rent vs Own: 63.3% rent · 36.7% own
• Severe rent burden: 2772.0

Population outlook (Prince George's County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 1,005,426 people
• By 2030: 1,048,416 · +4.3%
• By 2040: 1,123,425 · +11.7%
• By 2050: 1,183,220 · +17.7%
• By 2075: 1,306,202 · +29.9%
• By 2100: 1,408,179 · +40.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.75)
• Race & ethnicity: White 35% Black 24% Hispanic / Latino 22% Asian 14% Two or more races 10%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 2%
• Common ancestry: Italian 1% Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1%
• Foreign-born: 28% · Canada, China, South Korea
• Languages at home: 66% English-only · Spanish 18% Other Indo-European 6% Chinese 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Prince George's

• 2024 margin: Solid D (+75.2) · D 86.3% · R 11.2% · Other 2.5%
• 2008→2024 swing: -3.3pp toward R · 2008: 78.5pp · 2024: 75.2pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+75.2 2020: D+80.5 2016: D+81.0 2012: D+80.9 2008: D+78.5

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -337.75%
• Current HPI: 314.4446
• Rent YoY: ▲ 5.49%
• Metro: Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.97%
• F500 in state: 12

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Aerospace / Defense	1	$71B
▸Utilities	1	$25B
▸Hotels	1	$24B
▸Consumer Goods	1	$7B
▸Real Estate	1	$6B
▸Chemicals	1	$2B

Price history

-6.2% since first listed

4 events — show timeline

• 2026-06-19 Coming Soon $375,000 BRIGHT MLS
• 2021-12-08 Sold (MLS) $399,900 BRIGHT MLS
• 2021-11-24 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
• 2021-11-18 Listed $399,900 BRIGHT MLS