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206 N Mulberry St
C+ Composite 61.71
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +22.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +7.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.9/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$105,000

206 N Mulberry St · Mount Morris, IL 61054
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,020 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 7 Days on market
Built 1935 5,227 sqft lot Est $133k · 21% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Adorable all day long! This charming brick ranch sits on a desirable corner lot and offers a fenced side and backyard, perfect for pets, gardening, or outdoor entertaining. A spacious deck stretching across the entire front of the home provides the ideal spot for grilling, relaxing, and enjoying the outdoors. Inside, you'll find an updated two bedroom floor plan featuring beautiful hardwood floors, a modern kitchen and bath, and an inviting open-concept layout connecting the living room and kitchen. A built in hallway cabinet adds both character and convenient storage. Completing the property is a detached one car garage and low maintenance exterior, making this move in ready home a wonderful opportunity for first time buyers, downsizers, or anyone seeking comfortable single level living.

Key facts

  • Updated floor plan
  • Spacious deck
  • Modern kitchen

Tags

CORNER LOTFENCED SIDE AND BACKYARDSPACIOUS DECKUPDATED FLOOR PLANHARDWOOD FLOORSMODERN KITCHEN

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: School bus service available; Corner lot location (corner of North Mulberry and West 1st St in Mt Morris); Lot dimensions approximately 67.4 x 75 (less than 0.25 acre)
  • HOA & community: No master association fee required

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage with concrete driveway; Garage door opener; One garage space (one total parking space)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Detached single-family home; 1.5-story; Fee simple ownership; Built before 1978
  • Construction: Metal roof; Vinyl siding and brick exterior; Concrete perimeter foundation; Approximately 91–100 years old
  • Exterior features: Deck; Fenced lot; Estimated living area

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range
  • Bedrooms: Master bedroom on main level (9 x 13); Second bedroom on main level (11 x 9); Additional labeled bedrooms (2 other bedrooms)
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas forced air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Unfinished full basement; Four total rooms
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Main-level laundry room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $105k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $183 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $105k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#391 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Oregon CUSD 220 (town): math 20% / reading 22% proficiency, ranked #400 of 620 in IL (top 64%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 16 active listings in the ZIP; 113 units permitted in Ogle County in 2024 (67 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $726 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Ogle County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1935 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $105,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1935 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.12%
Cap rate
8.39%
Cash-on-cash
7.49%
DSCR
1.33
GRM
7.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$132,600
Comps found
5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
105 N Hannah Ave 0.26mi 2/1.0 1,016 (-0%) 20mo $87,500 $86 71
311 W Hitt St 0.22mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,080 (+6%) 15mo $140,000 $130 63
306 W Front St 0.26mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,104 (+8%) 8mo $165,500 $150 63
106 N Hannah Ave 0.29mi 3/2.0 (+1) 928 (-9%) 14mo $121,720 $131 50
309 W Center St 0.32mi 2/2.0 932 (-9%) 22mo $115,550 $124 48

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-4.8%
Equity multiple
0.82×
Total profit
$-5,304
Equity at exit
$15,656
10-year hold
IRR
4.9%
Equity multiple
1.36×
Total profit
$10,544
Equity at exit
$9,078

Cash invested: $29,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 61054

Home prices YoY
-16.1%
Active inventory
16
Price-to-rent
7.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,176 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$551
Tax from tax record
$152 /mo · $1,820/yr
Insurance
$44
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$247
Net cashflow
$183

Break-even live

Break-even rent $944
Max offer price $105,000
Occupancy floor 79%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $243 -5% $213 +0% $183 +5% $154 +10% $124
Rent -10% $90 -5% $137 +0% $183 +5% $230 +10% $276
Rate -1.0pp $236 -0.5pp $210 base $183 +0.5pp $156 +1.0pp $128

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$26,250
Closing costs
$3,150
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-06-09
    statuslisting id $105,000 Pending 7 DOM
  2. 2026-06-08
    days on market $105,000 Active 7 DOM
  3. 2026-06-07
    days on market $105,000 Active 6 DOM
  4. 2026-06-07
    days on market $105,000 Active 5 DOM
  5. 2026-06-04
    days on market $105,000 Active 2 DOM
  6. 2026-06-02
    remarks 699-char remark
  7. 2026-06-02
    listed $105,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,820 · $152/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,102 · $175/mo
Expected delta
+$282/yr (+$23/mo · 15.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,118
− Mortgage interest
−$5,882
− Property taxes
−$1,820
− Insurance
−$525
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,129
− Management
−$1,129
− Depreciation
−$3,055
Taxable income
$578
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$139
After-tax cash flow
$2,062/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Oregon CUSD 220
NCES district ID
1730160
Math proficiency
20% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
22% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$50,631
Composite
18.8/100
National rank
#8868
State rank
#400 of 620 in IL

Livability — Mount Morris

Score
69/100
State rank
#391
US rank
#8215

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A- Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Mount Morris, IL
Population (ZIP)
3,617

Population outlook (Ogle County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
48,390 people
By 2030
46,346 · -4.2%
By 2040
41,772 · -13.7%
By 2050
36,911 · -23.7%
By 2075
27,130 · -43.9%
By 2100
18,627 · -61.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (93%)
Race & ethnicity
White 93% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2% Black 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 5% Portuguese 3% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
6%
Languages at home
96% English-only · Other Indo-European 3% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Ogle

2024 margin
Strong R (+29.4) · D 34.5% · R 63.9% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
-21.8pp toward R · 2008: -7.6pp · 2024: -29.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+29.4 2020: R+25.9 2016: R+26.6 2012: R+16.7 2008: R+7.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -32.02%
Current HPI
166.3688
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-01 Listed $105,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-06-01 Listed $105,000 NWIAR

Property tax history

+3.5%/yr

Latest (2024): $1,820 · +13.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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