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9018 Penny Cir
D+ Composite 49.9
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +11.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +10.4/15.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.5/10.0
  • DSCR +3.3/10.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$274,900

9018 Penny Cir · Port LaBelle, FL 33935
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,500 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 128 Days on market
Built 2019 0.29 ac lot Est $294k · 6% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This lot will make a great home site for your dream home. Located in Port LaBelle Unit 8, you are only minutes from town and all amenities. Central water is available, but will require septic for new home construction. BUY TODAY!

Key facts

  • 0.29 acre lot
  • Garage
  • Built 2019

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot is regular, approximately 0.29 acres; Paved road access
  • HOA & community: No HOA maintenance fees; Community amenities: guest room (see remarks)

Exterior

  • Parking: Paved parking
  • Security: Impact resistant windows
  • Utilities: Central water; Septic sewer; Cable available
  • Home design: Single family residential; 1 story / ranch; Rear exposure facing east; Located in Port LaBelle
  • Construction: Concrete block construction; Stucco exterior; Shingle roof; Built in 2019
  • Exterior features: Patio; Landscaped view

Interior

  • Kitchen: Walk-in pantry; Microwave; Range; Refrigerator/Icemaker; Breakfast bar; Dining area open to living
  • Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms; Master bedroom on ground level
  • Flooring: Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; Master bath with combo tub and shower
  • Heating & cooling: Central electric heating; Central electric cooling
  • Interior features: Pantry; Smoke detectors; Vaulted ceiling; Walk-in closet; Window coverings; Great room floor plan; Unfurnished
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry in residence; Washer/dryer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $275k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-96 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $258k (6.2% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $235k (14.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $235k (14.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 62/100 on livability (#750 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Hendry (town): math 35% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #65 of 73 in FL (top 89%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Country Oaks Elementary School (math 48% / reading 45%, grade D-, #1,223 of 2,144 statewide, top 57%, 893 students, 75% FRL); Labelle Middle School (math 37% / reading 38%, grade F, #395 of 571 statewide, top 70%, 817 students, 72% FRL); Labelle High School (math 42% / reading 41%, grade F, #284 of 667 statewide, top 43%, 1,451 students, 62% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 950 active listings in the ZIP; 19 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 557 units permitted in Hendry County in 2024 (45 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,346/mo this rent would consume 49% of the median local household income ($57k/yr) (locally 498% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $29k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $27k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Hendry County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$47k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 128 days — a 12% lower offer ($242k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 8 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $165k; list at $275k implies a 67% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→26/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $234,614 (14.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 128 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 15% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.85%
Cap rate
5.87%
Cash-on-cash
-1.49%
DSCR
0.93
GRM
9.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$294,000
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
9010 S Indio Cir 0.34mi 4/2.0 1,500 (0%) 5mo $232,000 $155 80
9006 Lamkin Cir 0.25mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,419 (-5%) 1mo $300,000 $211 74
9048 Lamkin Cir 0.24mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,408 (-6%) 1mo $257,500 $183 73
9049 Lamkin Cir 0.17mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,292 (-14%) 4mo $284,900 $221 61
9020 N Indio Cir 0.35mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,324 (-12%) 2mo $259,900 $196 57
7011 Waldo Cir 0.40mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,367 (-9%) 5mo $265,000 $194 57
7031 Hero Cir 0.49mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,409 (-6%) 6mo $254,990 $181 57
8304 Lena Ct 0.68mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,572 (+5%) 0mo $299,900 $191 55
7006 Patriot Ct 0.40mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,324 (-12%) 3mo $273,400 $206 54
9036 W Justice Cir 0.59mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,284 (-14%) 1mo $265,000 $206 43
9005 Bamboo Cir 0.61mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,285 (-14%) 4mo $278,800 $217 39
9051 W Justice Cir 0.63mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,710 (+14%) 5mo $330,000 $193 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
23.2%
Equity multiple
2.87×
Total profit
$143,682
Equity at exit
$247,652
10-year hold
IRR
20.7%
Equity multiple
6.56×
Total profit
$428,050
Equity at exit
$534,070

Cash invested: $76,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 33935

Home prices YoY
16.3%
Active inventory
950
Price-to-rent
9.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,346 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,442
Tax from tax record
$393 /mo · $4,717/yr
Insurance
$115
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$493
Net cashflow
$-96

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,467
Max offer price $257,977
Occupancy floor 99%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $60 -5% $-18 +0% $-96 +5% $-174 +10% $-251
Rent -10% $-281 -5% $-188 +0% $-96 +5% $-3 +10% $90
Rate -1.0pp $43 -0.5pp $-26 base $-96 +0.5pp $-167 +1.0pp $-239

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$68,725
Closing costs
$8,247
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 19 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
9001 Penny Cir Labelle, FL 3.0 2.0 1472 $2,300 $1.56 25d 1 0.07mi
9001 Penny Cir Labelle, FL 3.0 2.0 1472 $2,300 $1.56 17d 1 0.07mi
9011 Penny Cir Labelle, FL 3.0 2.0 1731 $2,400 $1.39 25d 1 0.11mi
7061 Tide Cir Labelle, FL 4.0 2.0 1500 $1,695 $1.13 25d 1 0.20mi
9013 Ike Ct Labelle, FL 3.0 2.0 1367 $2,100 $1.54 4d 1 0.33mi
9012 S Indio Ct Labelle, FL 3.0 2.0 1400 $2,100 $1.50 21d 1 0.37mi
7016 Palpano Cir Labelle, FL 3.0 2.5 1507 $2,100 $1.39 17d 1 0.45mi
9035 W Crow Cir Labelle, FL 4.0 2.0 1530 $1,950 $1.27 5d 1 0.52mi
9018 W Justice Cir Labelle, FL 4.0 2.0 1499 $1,950 $1.30 13d 1 0.60mi
7038 Lotus Cir Labelle, FL 4.0 3.0 1680 $2,200 $1.31 17d 1 0.60mi
801 SW Raintree Blvd Labelle, FL 3.0 2.0 1285 $1,700 $1.32 25d 1 0.69mi
9007 Meadow Cir Labelle, FL 4.0 2.0 1500 $1,695 $1.13 5d 1 0.71mi
6210 Forest Ct Labelle, FL 3.0 2.5 1503 $2,200 $1.46 25d 1 0.71mi
8030 Olive Cir Labelle, FL 4.0 2.0 1499 $2,300 $1.53 5d 1 0.75mi
8049 Memory Cir Labelle, FL 4.0 2.0 1686 $2,000 $1.19 5d 1 0.91mi
8033 Melody Cir Labelle, FL 3.0 2.0 1215 $1,999 $1.65 17d 1 0.94mi
8004 Spice Ct Labelle, FL 3.0 2.0 1292 $2,000 $1.55 21d 1 1.08mi
8002 Vega Ct Labelle, FL 3.0 2.0 1389 $1,900 $1.37 25d 1 1.37mi
6018 Acorn Cir Labelle, FL 3.0 2.0 1408 $2,200 $1.56 17d 1 1.48mi

Listing history 37 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $274,900 Active 128 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $274,900 Active 125 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $274,900 Active 124 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $274,900 Active 123 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $274,900 Active 122 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $274,900 Active 120 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $274,900 Active 119 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $274,900 Active 117 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $274,900 Active 116 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $274,900 Active 115 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $274,900 Active 114 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $274,900 Active 110 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $274,900 Active 109 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $274,900 Active 108 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $274,900 Active 107 DOM
  16. 2026-02-13
    listed $274,900 Active
  17. 2026-02-04
    historical $1,775
  18. 2026-01-08
    listed $1,775
  19. 2026-01-08
    historical $1,775
  20. 2025-11-20
    price $1,775
  21. 2025-10-09
    price $1,850
  22. 2025-08-12
    listed $1,900
  23. 2025-03-01
    historical $1,900
  24. 2025-02-18
    price $1,900
  25. 2025-01-30
    listed $2,000
  26. 2025-01-13
    historical $2,000
  27. 2025-01-10
    historical $2,000
  28. 2024-12-12
    listed $2,000
  29. 2024-11-20
    price $2,000
  30. 2024-10-23
    listed $2,100
  31. 2020-06-02
    soldstatus $165,000
  32. 2018-09-14
    soldstatus $6,500
  33. 2018-09-13
    soldstatus $6,500 Sold 229-char remark
    Show marketing remark (229 chars)

    This lot will make a great home site for your dream home. Located in Port LaBelle Unit 8, you are only minutes from town and all amenities. Central water is available, but will require septic for new home construction. BUY TODAY!

  34. 2018-08-30
    status Pending 229-char remark
    Show marketing remark (229 chars)

    This lot will make a great home site for your dream home. Located in Port LaBelle Unit 8, you are only minutes from town and all amenities. Central water is available, but will require septic for new home construction. BUY TODAY!

  35. 2018-07-16
    listed $8,000 Active 229-char remark
    Show marketing remark (229 chars)

    This lot will make a great home site for your dream home. Located in Port LaBelle Unit 8, you are only minutes from town and all amenities. Central water is available, but will require septic for new home construction. BUY TODAY!

  36. 2017-08-18
    historical
  37. 2017-08-02
    listed $8,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$4,717 · $393/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,717 · $393/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 26 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$28,154
− Mortgage interest
−$15,399
− Property taxes
−$4,717
− Insurance
−$1,374
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,252
− Management
−$2,252
− Depreciation
−$7,997
Taxable loss
−$5,838
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,401
After-tax cash flow
$252/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Hendry
NCES district ID
1200780
Math proficiency
35% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$37,043
Composite
31.16/100
National rank
#6054
State rank
#65 of 73 in FL

Livability — Port LaBelle

Score
62/100
State rank
#750
US rank
#16264

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B- Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Port LaBelle, FL
County
Hendry County · 23,186 people
Metro
Clewiston, FL
Population (ZIP)
23,186
Household income
$57,009
Rent vs Own
22.0% rent · 78.0% own
Severe rent burden
498.0

Population outlook (Hendry County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
38,866 people
By 2030
38,558 · -0.8%
By 2040
37,743 · -2.9%
By 2050
36,117 · -7.1%
By 2075
30,070 · -22.6%
By 2100
21,966 · -43.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority Hispanic (56%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 56% White 39% Two or more races 21% Black 2% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 40% Puerto Rican 3% Cuban 5%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Serbian 2% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
27% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
50% English-only · Spanish 50%

Political lean MEDSL · Hendry

2024 margin
Solid R (+38.3) · D 30.4% · R 68.7%
2008→2024 swing
-31.1pp toward R · 2008: -7.2pp · 2024: -38.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+38.3 2020: R+23.0 2016: R+14.2 2012: R+5.9 2008: R+7.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 75.20%
Current HPI
537.4928
Rent YoY
Metro
Clewiston, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+3336.2% since first listed
22 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-13 Listed $274,900 NAPLESMLS
  • 2026-02-04 Rental Removed $1,775 FGCMLS
  • 2026-01-08 Listed for Rent $1,775 FGCMLS
  • 2026-01-08 Rental Removed $1,775 NAPLESMLS
  • 2025-11-20 Price Changed $1,775 NAPLESMLS
  • 2025-10-09 Price Changed $1,850 NAPLESMLS
  • 2025-08-12 Listed for Rent $1,900 NAPLESMLS
  • 2025-03-01 Rental Removed $1,900 NAPLESMLS
  • 2025-02-18 Price Changed $1,900 NAPLESMLS
  • 2025-01-30 Listed for Rent $2,000 NAPLESMLS
  • 2025-01-13 Rental Removed $2,000 NAPLESMLS
  • 2025-01-10 Rental Removed $2,000 RENT.
  • 2024-12-12 Listed for Rent $2,000 RENT.
  • 2024-11-20 Price Changed $2,000 NAPLESMLS
  • 2024-10-23 Listed for Rent $2,100 NAPLESMLS
  • 2020-06-02 Sold (Public Records) $165,000 Public Records
  • 2018-09-14 Sold (Public Records) $6,500 Public Records
  • 2018-09-13 Sold (MLS) $6,500 FORTMLS
  • 2018-08-30 Pending FORTMLS
  • 2018-07-16 Listed $8,000 FORTMLS
  • 2017-08-18 Listing Removed FORTMLS
  • 2017-08-02 Listed $8,000 FORTMLS

Property tax history

+37.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,717 · -0.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…