8837 Geiser Grv · Richland, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +13.3/30.0
- ARV discount +13.0/15.0
- Schools +4.4/10.0
- DSCR +4.0/10.0
- 1% rule +3.8/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$295,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to desirable Gilmore Farms! This unique Bi-Level home offers a rare and spacious layout on the upper floor featuring a private primary suite complete with a walk-in closet and full en-suite bath. The main level showcases an open floor plan with hardwood floors, a cozy gas fireplace, and sliders leading to the deck, perfect for entertaining or relaxing. The kitchen is spacious with ample counter space, walk-in pantry and boasts newer refrigerator and stove. The lower level offers two additional bedrooms, a spacious family room, and another full bath. Attached 2-car garage plus fenced backyard featuring a stamped concrete patio for outdoor enjoyment. Enjoy everything Gilmore Farms has to offer including walking trails, swimming pool, splash park, bike paths and expansive green spaces.
Key facts
- Cozy gas fireplace
- Open floor plan
- Walk-in closet
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Directions: Gilmore Farms off M-89; take Brantingham Way to East on Lausen Ln to South on Geiser Grove
- HOA & community: Monthly association fee of 110; Community amenities: clubhouse, playground, pool
Exterior
- Parking: Attached 2-car garage
- Utilities: Public water; Natural gas water heater
- Home design: Single family residence; Residential property; Built in 2008
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Composition roof; Built in 2008
- Exterior features: Site condo; Paved road access; Clubhouse, playground, and pool in the community
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Range; Refrigerator; Pantry
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom (14 x 12); Bedroom 2 (10 x 10); Bedroom 3 (10 x 10)
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Has cooling
- Interior features: Garage door opener; Pantry; Gas log fireplace; Replacement windows with window treatments; Daylight basement; 9 total rooms
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Laundry room (10 x 8)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $295k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $3 ($30/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $260k (11.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $260k (11.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.3% vs local median 3.7% in Richland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#222 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Gull Lake Community Schools (suburban): math 40% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #93 of 540 in MI (top 17%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 18% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: Thomas M Ryan Intermediate School (math 42% / reading 60%, grade C-, #362 of 1,397 statewide, top 26%, 655 students, 32% FRL); Gull Lake Middle School (math 39% / reading 57%, grade C-, #138 of 493 statewide, top 28%, 691 students, 28% FRL); Gull Lake High School (math 42% / reading 67%, grade C-, #109 of 713 statewide, top 17%, 850 students, 25% FRL).
- Market conditions: 129 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 339 units permitted in Kalamazoo County in 2024 (22 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Kalamazoo County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($291k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 10 sale attempts since 18y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.88% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.30%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.04%
- DSCR
- 1.00
- GRM
- 9.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $336,000
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8854 Aveling Way | 0.05mi | 3/2.5 | 2,016 (-10%) | 0mo | $305,000 | $151 | 78 |
| 8889 Cowley Ct | 0.12mi | 3/2.5 | 2,047 (-9%) | 1mo | $299,000 | $146 | 77 |
| 8797 E Sturtevant Ave | 0.06mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,072 (-8%) | 4mo | $309,900 | $150 | 76 |
| 8025 W Sturtevant Ave | 0.19mi | 3/2.0 | 2,060 (-8%) | 2mo | $311,100 | $151 | 76 |
| 8010 W Sturtevant Ave | 0.22mi | 3/2.0 | 2,060 (-8%) | 2mo | $290,000 | $141 | 75 |
| 8142 W Sturtevant Ave | 0.23mi | 3/2.0 | 2,060 (-8%) | 3mo | $301,000 | $146 | 74 |
| 8119 Lausen Ln | 0.24mi | 3/2.0 | 2,060 (-8%) | 2mo | $285,000 | $138 | 73 |
| 8775 E Sturtevant Ave | 0.07mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,072 (-8%) | 7mo | $304,000 | $147 | 73 |
| 8161 W Sturtevant Ave | 0.20mi | 3/2.0 | 2,060 (-8%) | 7mo | $285,900 | $139 | 72 |
| 8720 E Sturtevant Ave | 0.20mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,062 (-8%) | 8mo | $364,900 | $177 | 64 |
| 8745 E Sturtevant Ave | 0.07mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,909 (-15%) | 8mo | $329,900 | $173 | 58 |
| 8785 E Sturtevant Ave | 0.20mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,910 (-15%) | 7mo | $310,215 | $162 | 53 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -16.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.42×
- Total profit
- $-47,595
- Equity at exit
- $43,985
- IRR
- -7.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.50×
- Total profit
- $-41,047
- Equity at exit
- $25,506
Cash invested: $82,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 49083
- Active inventory
- 129
- Price-to-rent
- 9.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,600 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,547
- Tax from tax record
- −$272 /mo · $3,259/yr
- Insurance
- −$123
- HOA
- −$110
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$546
- Net cashflow
- $3
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $170 | -5% $86 | +0% $3 | +5% $-81 | +10% $-164 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-203 | -5% $-100 | +0% $3 | +5% $105 | +10% $208 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $151 | -0.5pp $78 | base $3 | +0.5pp $-74 | +1.0pp $-152 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $73,750
- Closing costs
- $8,850
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8331 W Sturtevant Ave Richland, MI | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1822 | $2,600 | $1.43 | 45d | 1 | 0.19mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $110 · $1,320/yr
- Likely covers
- gaspool
Listing history 31 events
-
2026-06-13status $295,000 Pending 21 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $295,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $295,000 Active 20 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $295,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $295,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $295,000 Active 14 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $295,000 Active 13 DOM
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2026-06-01pricedays on market $295,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $300,000 Active 11 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $300,000 Active 10 DOM
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2026-05-20$300,000 Active
Show marketing remark (801 chars)
Welcome to desirable Gilmore Farms! This unique Bi-Level home offers a rare and spacious layout on the upper floor featuring a private primary suite complete with a walk-in closet and full en-suite bath. The main level showcases an open floor plan with hardwood floors, a cozy gas fireplace, and sliders leading to the deck, perfect for entertaining or relaxing. The kitchen is spacious with ample counter space, walk-in pantry and boasts newer refrigerator and stove. The lower level offers two additional bedrooms, a spacious family room, and another full bath. Attached 2-car garage plus fenced backyard featuring a stamped concrete patio for outdoor enjoyment. Enjoy everything Gilmore Farms has to offer including walking trails, swimming pool, splash park, bike paths and expansive green spaces.
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2026-05-20$300,000 Active 801-char remark
Show marketing remark (801 chars)
Welcome to desirable Gilmore Farms! This unique Bi-Level home offers a rare and spacious layout on the upper floor featuring a private primary suite complete with a walk-in closet and full en-suite bath. The main level showcases an open floor plan with hardwood floors, a cozy gas fireplace, and sliders leading to the deck, perfect for entertaining or relaxing. The kitchen is spacious with ample counter space, walk-in pantry and boasts newer refrigerator and stove. The lower level offers two additional bedrooms, a spacious family room, and another full bath. Attached 2-car garage plus fenced backyard featuring a stamped concrete patio for outdoor enjoyment. Enjoy everything Gilmore Farms has to offer including walking trails, swimming pool, splash park, bike paths and expansive green spaces.
-
2026-05-20$300,000 Active 801-char remark
Show marketing remark (801 chars)
Welcome to desirable Gilmore Farms! This unique Bi-Level home offers a rare and spacious layout on the upper floor featuring a private primary suite complete with a walk-in closet and full en-suite bath. The main level showcases an open floor plan with hardwood floors, a cozy gas fireplace, and sliders leading to the deck, perfect for entertaining or relaxing. The kitchen is spacious with ample counter space, walk-in pantry and boasts newer refrigerator and stove. The lower level offers two additional bedrooms, a spacious family room, and another full bath. Attached 2-car garage plus fenced backyard featuring a stamped concrete patio for outdoor enjoyment. Enjoy everything Gilmore Farms has to offer including walking trails, swimming pool, splash park, bike paths and expansive green spaces.
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2025-02-24soldstatus $285,000 Sold
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2025-02-24soldstatus $285,000 Closed
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2025-02-24soldstatus $285,000 Closed
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2025-01-06status Pending
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2024-12-24historical
-
2024-12-24historical
-
2024-12-21$285,000 Active
-
2024-12-21$285,000
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2024-12-21$285,000
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2018-07-13soldstatus $172,000
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2018-06-28soldstatus $172,000
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2018-06-28soldstatus $172,000 Sold
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2018-05-15status Pending
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2018-04-25$179,900
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2018-04-25$179,900 Active
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2018-04-25$179,900
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2008-07-01soldstatus $159,135
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2008-07-01$159,135
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,259 · $272/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,901 · $325/mo
- Expected delta
- +$642/yr (+$54/mo · 19.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $31,200
- − Mortgage interest
- −$16,525
- − Property taxes
- −$3,259
- − Insurance
- −$1,475
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,496
- − Management
- −$2,496
- − HOA
- −$1,320
- − Depreciation
- −$8,582
- Taxable loss
- −$4,952
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,188
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,219/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Gull Lake Community Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2617250
- Math proficiency
- 40% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 59% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $64,763
- Composite
- 43.71/100
- National rank
- #2952
- State rank
- #93 of 540 in MI
Livability — Richland
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #222
- US rank
- #5563
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 8,110
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,110
Population outlook (Kalamazoo County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 280,982 people
- By 2030
- 292,068 · +3.9%
- By 2040
- 312,191 · +11.1%
- By 2050
- 331,196 · +17.9%
- By 2075
- 379,021 · +34.9%
- By 2100
- 396,579 · +41.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (92%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 92% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 4% Black 2%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 14% Romanian 7% Italian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Kalamazoo
- 2024 margin
- D (+17.7) · D 58.0% · R 40.3% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -1.8pp toward R · 2008: 19.5pp · 2024: 17.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+17.7 2020: D+18.7 2016: D+12.8 2012: D+13.3 2008: D+19.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -152.73%
- Current HPI
- 235.3459
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
+88.5% since first listed21 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-20 Listed $300,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-05-20 Listed $300,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-20 Listed $300,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 2025-02-24 Sold (MLS) $285,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-02-24 Sold (MLS) $285,000 REALCOMP
- 2025-02-24 Sold (MLS) $285,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 2025-01-06 Pending — SW Michigan MLS
- 2024-12-24 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-12-24 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2024-12-21 Listed $285,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-12-21 Listed $285,000 REALCOMP
- 2024-12-21 Listed $285,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 2018-07-13 Sold (Public Records) $172,000 Public Records
- 2018-06-28 Sold (MLS) $172,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 2018-06-28 Sold (MLS) $172,000 REALCOMP
- 2018-05-15 Pending — SW Michigan MLS
- 2018-04-25 Listed $179,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2018-04-25 Listed $179,900 SW Michigan MLS
- 2018-04-25 Listed $179,900 REALCOMP
- 2008-07-01 Listed $159,135 SW Michigan MLS
- 2008-07-01 Sold (MLS) $159,135 SW Michigan MLS
Property tax history
+4.9%/yrLatest (2025): $3,259 · +5.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…