2124 Eaton Dr · Avon, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.3/30.0
- ARV discount +9.6/15.0
- Schools +7.1/10.0
- DSCR +4.7/10.0
- 1% rule +3.7/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$240,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This charming Avon ranch offers a rare combination of updates with a truly serene setting in the heart of the Northgate Park area. The interior has been completely refreshed with a crisp coat of paint and features a functional layout with three bedrooms and 1.5 bathrooms. The kitchen comes fully equipped with brand-new appliances, and the brand-new furnace provides long-term peace of mind. For those needing extra room, the finished basement offers a versatile space perfect for a home office, gym, or media room. While the interior is move-in ready, the outdoor living spaces are what truly set this home apart. You can start your mornings relaxing on the inviting front deck or retreat to
Key facts
- Scenic green views
- Finished basement
- Inviting front deck
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway; 2-car garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-story; Brick construction; Has view
- Construction: Built (year per public records); Asphalt/fiberglass roof
- Exterior features: Patio; Porch; Full fencing; Shed(s)
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 3 main-level bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom; 1 main-level bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Forced air heating
- Interior features: Partially finished basement; Has view
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $240k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $89 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $209k (13.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $209k (13.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.7% vs local median 2.3% in Avon — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#356 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: schools A+, crime A+, employment A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Avon Local (suburban): math 77% / reading 84% proficiency, ranked #37 of 656 in OH (top 6%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 10% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: 130 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 3d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 1,098 units permitted in Lorain County in 2024 (20 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($236k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.87% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.74%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.59%
- DSCR
- 1.07
- GRM
- 9.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $251,500
- List price
- $240,000
- Delta
- -4.57%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2124 Eaton Dr | 0.00mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 990 (0%) | 1mo | $250,000 | $253 | 92 |
| 37473 Carleen Ave | 0.14mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 990 (0%) | 9mo | $210,000 | $212 | 81 |
| 37659 Lake Dr | 0.05mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 990 (0%) | 18mo | $250,000 | $253 | 78 |
| 1996 Miriam Ave | 0.18mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 990 (0%) | 16mo | $225,000 | $227 | 73 |
| 1922 Julia Ave | 0.18mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 995 (+0%) | 15mo | $232,000 | $233 | 72 |
| 1987 Miriam Ave | 0.22mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 990 (0%) | 17mo | $229,000 | $231 | 70 |
| 37806 Lorie Blvd | 0.18mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 990 (0%) | 20mo | $260,000 | $263 | 70 |
| 37695 Caroline Dr | 0.18mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 990 (0%) | 23mo | $233,000 | $235 | 68 |
| 37992 Caroline Dr | 0.32mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 990 (0%) | 16mo | $240,000 | $242 | 67 |
| 38017 French Creek Rd | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,137 (+15%) | 22mo | $285,000 | $251 | 16 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -13.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.51×
- Total profit
- $-33,253
- Equity at exit
- $35,785
- IRR
- -5.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.68×
- Total profit
- $-21,776
- Equity at exit
- $20,751
Cash invested: $67,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 44011
- Active inventory
- 130
- Price-to-rent
- 9.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,089 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,259
- Tax from tax record
- −$203 /mo · $2,435/yr
- Insurance
- −$100
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$439
- Net cashflow
- $89
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $225 | -5% $157 | +0% $89 | +5% $21 | +10% $-47 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-76 | -5% $6 | +0% $89 | +5% $171 | +10% $254 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $210 | -0.5pp $150 | base $89 | +0.5pp $27 | +1.0pp $-37 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $60,000
- Closing costs
- $7,200
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1952 Miriam Ave Avon, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 990 | $1,980 | $2.00 | 3d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 37560 Chester Rd Avon, OH | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1194 | $2,455 | $2.06 | 2d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 36550 Chester Rd Avon, OH | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1039 | $1,908 | $1.84 | 2d | 12 | 0.90mi |
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-05-18status Pending 1110-char remark
-
2026-05-04historical Contingent 1110-char remark
-
2026-05-01$240,000 Active 1110-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,435 · $203/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,089 · $257/mo
- Expected delta
- +$655/yr (+$55/mo · 26.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,070
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,444
- − Property taxes
- −$2,435
- − Insurance
- −$1,200
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,006
- − Management
- −$2,006
- − Depreciation
- −$6,982
- Taxable loss
- −$3,002
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$720
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,788/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Avon Local
- NCES district ID
- 3904811
- Math proficiency
- 77% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 84% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $84,034
- Composite
- 71.3/100
- National rank
- #230
- State rank
- #37 of 656 in OH
Livability — Avon
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #356
- US rank
- #5751
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Avon, OH
- County
- Lorain County · 219,437 people
- City population
- 25,317
- Metro
- Cleveland-Elyria, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 25,317
- Household income
- $135,915
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 303.0
Population outlook (Lorain County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 314,924 people
- By 2030
- 317,546 · +0.8%
- By 2040
- 317,962 · +1.0%
- By 2050
- 312,872 · -0.7%
- By 2075
- 301,806 · -4.2%
- By 2100
- 278,271 · -11.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 86% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 4% Black 4% Asian 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 7% Slovak 4% Scotch-Irish 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lorain
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+5.7) · D 46.7% · R 52.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -23.6pp toward R · 2008: 17.9pp · 2024: -5.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+5.7 2020: R+2.5 2016: R+0.3 2012: D+14.4 2008: D+17.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -134.55%
- Current HPI
- 191.9412
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Cleveland-Elyria, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
|
||
Price history
+4.2% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-29 Sold (MLS) $250,000 MLSNOW
- 2026-05-18 Pending — MLSNOW
- 2026-05-04 Contingent — MLSNOW
- 2026-05-01 Listed $240,000 MLSNOW
Property tax history
+4.1%/yrLatest (2025): $2,435 · -21.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…