803 Dogwood Dr · Dallas, NC
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $906 – $1,684
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 21.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.2/30.0
- ARV discount +9.2/15.0
- DSCR +4.7/10.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- 1% rule +3.1/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +1.1/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$204,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Completely renovated 3BR/1BA home located on a quiet dead-end street in Dallas offering modern finishes, open living spaces, and move-in ready convenience. This beautifully updated home features 925 sq ft of thoughtfully designed living space with new LVP flooring throughout, recessed lighting, fresh interior and exterior paint, updated HVAC system, updated electrical service, and numerous recent upgrades throughout the property. The stunning kitchen features shaker-style cabinetry, subway tile backsplash, modern fixtures, stainless steel appliances, and warm butcher block-style countertops with an open layout flowing directly into the main living area — perfect for entertaining and e
Key facts
- Open living spaces
- Modern finishes
- Recessed lighting
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: No HOA
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway
- Utilities: City water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; One level
- Construction: Site-built construction; Brick exterior; Crawl space foundation
- Exterior features: Concrete and paved road access; Publicly maintained road
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range; Microwave
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms on the main level
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Heat pump heating; Electric cooling
- Interior features: Heat pump for heating and cooling; Electric cooling; Microwave; Dishwasher; Electric range; Gas water heater
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $205k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $71 ($850/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $166k (18.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $166k (18.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.7% vs local median 5.3% in Dallas — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#299 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
- Gaston County Schools (suburban): math 44% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #93 of 178 in NC (top 52%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents falling (-5.5%/yr); 94 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,069 units permitted in Gaston County in 2024 (142 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($62k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Gaston County population projected at +12% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $45k; list at $205k implies a 355% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 21% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.81% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.71%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.48%
- DSCR
- 1.07
- GRM
- 10.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $212,750
- Comps found
- 4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 806 Dogwood Dr | 0.02mi | 3/2.0 | 917 (-1%) | 3mo | $198,000 | $216 | 91 |
| 6028 Bradford Ct | 0.23mi | 3/2.0 | 987 (+7%) | 2mo | $240,000 | $243 | 73 |
| 105 S Pine St | 0.55mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 852 (-8%) | 8mo | $196,000 | $230 | 50 |
| 805 N Oakland St | 0.52mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,028 (+11%) | 22mo | $175,000 | $170 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -17.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.41×
- Total profit
- $-33,644
- Equity at exit
- $30,551
- IRR
- -14.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.26×
- Total profit
- $-42,644
- Equity at exit
- $17,716
Cash invested: $57,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Carolina
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 28034
- Home prices YoY
- -24.6%
- Rents YoY
- -5.5%
- Active inventory
- 94
- Price-to-rent
- 10.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,662 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,075
- Tax from tax record
- −$82 /mo · $988/yr
- Insurance
- −$85
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$349
- Net cashflow
- $71
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $51,225
- Closing costs
- $6,147
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 308 North St Dallas, NC | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1053 | $1,325 | $1.26 | 22d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 5703 Erin Dr Dallas, NC | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1111 | $1,565 | $1.41 | 12d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 303 E Ingle St Dallas, NC | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $1,450 | $1.45 | 22d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 119 Evans Lake Rd Dallas, NC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,185 | $1.32 | 2d | 2 | 1.16mi |
| 405 S Starr St Unit B Dallas, NC | 2.0 | 2.0 | 998 | $1,510 | $1.51 | 24d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 110 Stillwell St Dallas, NC | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1010 | $1,705 | $1.69 | 4d | 1 | 1.39mi |
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $204,900 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $204,900 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $204,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $204,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-13remarks 693-char remark
-
2026-06-13$204,900 Active 3 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $988 · $82/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,680 · $140/mo
- Expected delta
- +$692/yr (+$58/mo · 70.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 5/10 Major 21% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,946
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,478
- − Property taxes
- −$988
- − Insurance
- −$1,024
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,596
- − Management
- −$1,596
- − Depreciation
- −$5,961
- Taxable loss
- −$2,697
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$647
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,497/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Gaston County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3701620
- Math proficiency
- 44% ▲ 4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 42% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,644
- Composite
- 36.39/100
- National rank
- #4680
- State rank
- #93 of 178 in NC
Livability — Dallas
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #299
- US rank
- #12509
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Dallas, NC
- County
- Gaston County · 201,497 people
- City population
- 18,979
- Metro
- Charlotte-Concord-Gastonia, NC-SC
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,979
- Household income
- $62,083
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 383.0
Population outlook (Gaston County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 230,027 people
- By 2030
- 237,300 · +3.2%
- By 2040
- 249,659 · +8.5%
- By 2050
- 257,806 · +12.1%
- By 2075
- 272,163 · +18.3%
- By 2100
- 268,652 · +16.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (69%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 69% Black 16% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 6% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Serbian 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 5%
Political lean MEDSL · Gaston
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+25.0) · D 37.0% · R 62.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- 0.0pp no change · 2008: -25.0pp · 2024: -25.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+25.0 2020: R+27.8 2016: R+32.1 2012: R+25.6 2008: R+25.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -78.58%
- Current HPI
- 241.4021
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -5.47%
- Metro
- Charlotte-Concord-Gastonia, NC-SC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 26
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 2 | $213B |
|
||
| Retail | 2 | $95B |
|
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| Industrial Conglomerate | 1 | $38B |
|
||
| Metals / Steel | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $30B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 1 | $19B |
|
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Price history
+355.3% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-10 Listed $204,900 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1991-12-01 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.8%/yrLatest (2025): $988 · +2.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…