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601-Street N Kirby #346
B- Composite 68.25
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +3.4/5.0
  • Livability +2.6/5.0
  • Schools +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.2/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$80,000

601-Street N Kirby #346 · Hemet, CA 92545
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,440 sqft · Manufactured · 239 Days on market
Built 1972 Fair condition $56/sqft · 55% above area

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

A very nice open floor plan, Galley kitchen and a nice size dining room 2 perfect size bedrooms. Laminate flooring. A nice private side patio and a small backyard, a large long driveway, room for 3 cars. Such a nice quiet neighborhood.

Key facts

  • Open floor plan
  • Galley kitchen
  • Small backyard

Tags

OPEN FLOOR PLANGALLEY KITCHENPRIVATE SIDE PATIOSMALL BACKYARDLARGE LONG DRIVEWAYQUIET NEIGHBORHOOD

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $80k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $80k).
  • Recommended offer: $70k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 22.6% vs local median 4.9% in Hemet — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 51/100 on livability (#1,056 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing A+; Watch: crime D+, schools F, amenities F.
  • Hemet Unified (suburban): math 19% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #360 of 517 in CA (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.7%/yr); 290 active listings in the ZIP; 34 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 9,195 units permitted in Riverside County in 2024 (1,512 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($64k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $553 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Riverside County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.7% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 239 days — a 12% lower offer ($70k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 5→14/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $70,400 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 239 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  3. Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.60%
Cap rate
22.61%
Cash-on-cash
58.27%
DSCR
3.59
GRM
3.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$51,674
List price
$80,000
Delta
54.82%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
601 N Kirby St #501 0.00mi 2/2.0 1,440 (0%) 0mo $49,000 $34 100
601 Kirby St N #451 0.02mi 2/2.0 1,440 (0%) 0mo $60,000 $42 99
601 Kirby St N #235 0.00mi 2/2.0 1,440 (0%) 3mo $84,000 $58 98
601 N Kirby St #67 0.00mi 2/2.0 1,440 (0%) 6mo $73,000 $51 95
601 N Kirby St #220 0.00mi 2/2.0 1,440 (0%) 6mo $38,500 $27 95
601 N Kirby St #159 0.04mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,440 (0%) 5mo $69,000 $48 89
601 N Kirby #177 0.21mi 2/2.0 1,344 (-7%) 1mo $10,000 $7 78
601 N Kirby St #267 0.00mi 2/2.0 1,248 (-13%) 3mo $82,250 $66 75
601 N Kirby #269 0.00mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,652 (+15%) 6mo $105,000 $64 66
1895 W Devonshire #20 0.75mi 2/2.0 1,344 (-7%) 1mo $44,000 $33 53
1895 W Devonshire Ave #76 0.75mi 2/2.0 1,344 (-7%) 4mo $55,000 $41 51
1895 W Devonshire Ave #74 0.75mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,344 (-7%) 2mo $80,000 $60 47

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.74% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
57.7%
Equity multiple
3.59×
Total profit
$57,906
Equity at exit
$11,928
10-year hold
IRR
62.8%
Equity multiple
7.53×
Total profit
$146,249
Equity at exit
$6,917

Cash invested: $22,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 92545

Home prices YoY
-24.6%
Rents YoY
3.7%
Active inventory
290
Price-to-rent
3.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,077 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$420
Tax est. 1.5%
$100 /mo · $1,200/yr
Insurance
$33
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$436
Net cashflow
$1,088

Break-even live

Break-even rent $700
Max offer price $80,000
Occupancy floor 43%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$20,000
Closing costs
$2,400
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 34 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2770 W Devonshire Ave Hemet, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 707 $1,945 $2.75 1d 11 0.25mi
743 Via Linda Dr Hemet, CA 2.0 2.0 1206 $1,995 $1.65 5d 1 0.28mi
811 Alondra Dr Hemet, CA 2.0 2.0 1166 $1,875 $1.61 4d 1 0.31mi
853 Ensenada Dr Hemet, CA 2.0 2.0 1350 $1,875 $1.39 24d 1 0.36mi
853 Ensenada Dr Hemet, CA 2.0 2.0 1350 $1,875 $1.39 11d 1 0.36mi
3471 Dublin Ct Hemet, CA 3.0 2.0 1276 $2,895 $2.27 3d 1 0.37mi
1964 W Oakland Ave Hemet, CA 2.0 2.0 977 $1,695 $1.73 17d 1 0.59mi
2014 Iris Way Hemet, CA 3.0 2.0 1192 $2,850 $2.39 43d 1 0.64mi
3800 W Devonshire Ave Hemet, CA 3.0 1.0–2.0 816 $2,055 $2.52 1d 8 0.64mi
1862 Pueblo Dr Unit 1862 Hemet, CA 2.0 2.0 977 $1,750 $1.79 24d 1 0.64mi
1862 Pueblo Dr Hemet, CA 2.0 2.0 977 $1,900 $1.94 43d 1 0.64mi
627 Solano Dr Hemet, CA 2.0 2.0 882 $1,800 $2.04 18d 1 0.64mi
2208 El Grande St Hemet, CA 2.0 2.0 1327 $2,100 $1.58 17d 1 0.67mi
1700 Walden Ln Hemet, CA 3.0 2.0 1430 $2,670 $1.87 24d 1 0.77mi
3030 W Acacia Ave Hemet, CA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 892 $1,895 $2.12 1d 10 0.79mi
543 La Cresta Dr Hemet, CA 2.0 2.0 1544 $1,595 $1.03 43d 1 0.80mi
1245 Millie Dr Hemet, CA 3.0 2.0 1392 $2,850 $2.05 7d 1 0.83mi
2469 W Acacia Ave Hemet, CA 2.0 2.0 910 $1,750 $1.92 24d 1 0.91mi
2403 W Acacia Ave Hemet, CA 2.0 2.0 910 $1,995 $2.19 7d 1 0.92mi
663 Mariposa Dr Hemet, CA 2.0 2.0 1440 $1,500 $1.04 24d 1 0.96mi
2098 W Acacia Ave Hemet, CA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 895 $2,035 $2.27 1d 1 0.96mi
446 N Elk St Unit D Hemet, CA 2.0 1.0 980 $1,675 $1.71 24d 1 1.01mi
1270 Rosalia Ave Unit 1 Hemet, CA 2.0 1.0 900 $1,800 $2.00 43d 1 1.03mi
250 N Elk St Hemet, CA 2.0 1.0 900 $1,625 $1.81 13d 1 1.08mi
1315 W Latham Ave Hemet, CA 3.0 2.5 1340 $2,550 $1.90 43d 1 1.11mi
828 Coramdeo Ct Hemet, CA 3.0 2.0 1543 $3,000 $1.94 43d 1 1.12mi
4400 W Florida Ave Unit 86 Hemet, CA 3.0 2.0 1310 $1,800 $1.37 43d 1 1.15mi
4400 W Florida Ave Spc 26 Hemet, CA 3.0 2.0 1193 $1,699 $1.42 14d 1 1.18mi
1967 Connor Ln San Jacinto, CA 3.0 2.5 1708 $2,950 $1.73 7d 1 1.28mi
1850 Amberwood Dr Hemet, CA 2.0 2.0 1170 $1,561 $1.33 43d 1 1.29mi
471 Whitney Dr Hemet, CA 2.0 2.0 1085 $1,800 $1.66 5d 1 1.30mi
683 Jonquil St Hemet, CA 3.0 2.0 1150 $2,448 $2.13 24d 1 1.33mi
1844 Paradise Way San Jacinto, CA 3.0 2.0 1540 $3,000 $1.95 43d 1 1.34mi
1461 W Mayberry Ave Hemet, CA 2.0 2.0 1044 $1,750 $1.68 43d 1 1.41mi

Listing history 14 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $80,000 Active 239 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $80,000 Active 238 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $80,000 Active 237 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $80,000 Active 236 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $80,000 Active 234 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $80,000 Active 230 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $80,000 Active 229 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $80,000 Active 228 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $80,000 Active 225 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $80,000 Active 224 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $80,000 Active 223 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $80,000 Active 222 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $80,000 Active 221 DOM
  14. 2025-10-22
    listed $80,000 Active 235-char remark
    Show marketing remark (235 chars)

    A very nice open floor plan, Galley kitchen and a nice size dining room 2 perfect size bedrooms. Laminate flooring. A nice private side patio and a small backyard, a large long driveway, room for 3 cars. Such a nice quiet neighborhood.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 5 d/yr ≥104°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 6/10 Major 12 unhealthy d/yr today · 14 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$24,921
− Mortgage interest
−$4,481
− Property taxes
−$1,200
− Insurance
−$400
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,994
− Management
−$1,994
− Depreciation
−$2,327
Taxable income
$12,525
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,006
After-tax cash flow
$10,047/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 8 photos

Fair 45/100 Moderate rehab

This manufactured home requires moderate renovations to update the kitchen and exterior, which would significantly increase its resale value.

Repairs flagged

  • Moderate kitchen cabinets — dated and in need of updating
  • Moderate kitchen appliances — dated and in need of updating
  • Moderate kitchen countertops — dated and in need of updating
  • Moderate exterior paint — light exterior paint, some wear

Value-add opportunities

  • Resale update kitchen cabinets — modernizing the kitchen
  • Resale update kitchen appliances — modernizing the kitchen
  • Resale update kitchen countertops — modernizing the kitchen
  • Resale paint exterior — enhancing curb appeal

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
kitchen cabinets · dated and in need of updating Moderate $3,000–15,000
kitchen appliances · dated and in need of updating Moderate $3,000–15,000
kitchen countertops · dated and in need of updating Moderate $3,000–15,000
exterior paint · light exterior paint, some wear Moderate $3,000–15,000
Total estimated repair cost · 4 items $12,000–60,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Resale update kitchen cabinets — modernizing the kitchen
  • Resale update kitchen appliances — modernizing the kitchen
  • Resale update kitchen countertops — modernizing the kitchen
  • Resale paint exterior — enhancing curb appeal

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Hemet Unified
NCES district ID
0616920
Math proficiency
19% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
41% ▲ 4.00%
Median HH income
$39,962
Composite
25.16/100
National rank
#7517
State rank
#360 of 517 in CA

Livability — Hemet

Score
51/100
State rank
#1056
US rank
#25208

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living F Crime D+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Hemet, CA
County
Riverside County · 2,287,001 people
City population
137,670
Metro
Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
Population (ZIP)
45,982
Household income
$63,770
Rent vs Own
28.8% rent · 71.2% own
Severe rent burden
1813.0

Population outlook (Riverside County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,664,475 people
By 2030
2,802,692 · +5.2%
By 2040
3,050,904 · +14.5%
By 2050
3,256,783 · +22.2%
By 2075
3,655,058 · +37.2%
By 2100
3,766,594 · +41.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 46% White 35% Two or more races 17% Black 8% Asian 5% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 40%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2% Portuguese 1%
Foreign-born
19% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
Languages at home
69% English-only · Spanish 27% Tagalog/Filipino 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Riverside

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 48.0% · R 49.3% · Other 2.6%
2008→2024 swing
-3.6pp toward R · 2008: 2.3pp · 2024: -1.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+1.3 2020: D+8.0 2016: D+4.3 2012: R+0.4 2008: D+2.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -116.25%
Current HPI
356.9414
Rent YoY
▲ 3.74%
Metro
Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2025-10-22 Listed $80,000 CRMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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