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4302 Columbia Rd
B- Composite 69.11
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +4.5/5.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.7/10.0
  • Condition / age +1.0/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$88,349

4302 Columbia Rd · Wichita Falls, TX 76310
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,003 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 486 Days on market
Built 1925 Poor condition 8,581 sqft lot $88/sqft · 51% below area

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

BRICK HOME IN WICHITA FALLS! Welcome to this charming brick home nestled in the vibrant Wichita Falls area! With its close proximity to U.S. Highway 82 and other major highways, navigating the city will be a breeze. This property presents an excellent investment opportunity for anyone looking to make a great space their own, while adding their own personal touch and renovations. Enjoy convenient access to Midwestern State University, making this location ideal for students and faculty alike. Plus, being near the Texas/Oklahoma border opens up a world of possibilities for potential trips. WE MAKE IT EASY TO OWN. This is a great opportunity! Don't wait, call us today to get more information about the owner's easy terms and smooth process that may be able to put the deed in your name and make this your dream home.

Key facts

  • Brick home
  • 8,581 sq ft lot
  • Garage

Tags

BRICK HOMENEAR TEXAS OKLAHOMA BORDER

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Costco Walmart Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 6.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $88k. Condition is rated poor.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $508 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $88k).
  • Recommended offer: $78k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 13.2% vs local median 4.5% in Wichita Falls — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#437 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, employment D+, schools D.
  • Wichita Falls ISD (urban): math 31% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #585 of 826 in TX (top 71%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.8%/yr); 205 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 231 units permitted in Wichita County in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $611 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wichita County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.8% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 486 days — a 12% lower offer ($78k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $77,747 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 486 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  3. Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.55%
Cap rate
13.20%
Cash-on-cash
24.66%
DSCR
2.10
GRM
5.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$179,776
List price
$88,349
Delta
-50.86%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
4 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4721 Matterhorn 0.20mi 2/2.0 1,111 (+11%) 27mo $179,000 $161 49
2944 Lavell Ave 1.48mi 2/1.0 961 (-4%) 17mo $100,000 $104 44
4661 Briarwood Dr 0.75mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,116 (+11%) 8mo $149,500 $134 31
4650 Sierra Madre 0.82mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,212 (+21%) 0mo $200,000 $165 31
1 Daisy Cir 1.39mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,165 (+16%) 4mo $157,900 $136 27
4665 Sierra Madre 0.84mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,231 (+23%) 17mo $189,900 $154 17

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 7.83% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
23.2%
Equity multiple
2.01×
Total profit
$25,030
Equity at exit
$13,173
10-year hold
IRR
34.0%
Equity multiple
4.84×
Total profit
$95,113
Equity at exit
$7,639

Cash invested: $24,738 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.
Buyer's market Market conditions within 1.0 mi — comparable homes for sale

Active competition Active MLS

For sale now
11 active · 3 under contract
Months of supply
66.0 mo (2%/mo absorbed)
Median asking
$139,900 ($136/sqft)
Median days on market
19 d
This list price
lowest-priced of the active set
ARV vs active asking
+32.2% above current asking $/sqft

Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.

ZIP-level market 76310

Home prices YoY
-25.9%
Rents YoY
7.8%
Active inventory
205
Price-to-rent
5.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,369 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$463
Tax from tax record
$73 /mo · $877/yr
Insurance
$37
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$287
Net cashflow
$508

Break-even live

Break-even rent $726
Max offer price $88,349
Occupancy floor 58%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $558 -5% $533 +0% $508 +5% $483 +10% $458
Rent -10% $400 -5% $454 +0% $508 +5% $562 +10% $616
Rate -1.0pp $553 -0.5pp $531 base $508 +0.5pp $485 +1.0pp $462

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$22,087
Closing costs
$2,650
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4111 McGaha Ave Wichita Falls, TX 3.0 2.0 1025 $1,125 $1.10 93d 1 1.05mi
5210 Tower Dr Wichita Falls, TX 1.0 1.5 910 $775 $0.85 93d 1 1.27mi

Listing history 50 events

  1. 2026-08-08
    days on market $88,349 Active 486 DOM
  2. 2026-08-07
    days on market $88,349 Active 485 DOM
  3. 2026-08-06
    days on market $88,349 Active 484 DOM
  4. 2026-08-05
    days on market $88,349 Active 483 DOM
  5. 2026-08-04
    days on market $88,349 Active 482 DOM
  6. 2026-08-03
    days on market $88,349 Active 481 DOM
  7. 2026-07-31
    days on market $88,349 Active 478 DOM
  8. 2026-07-30
    days on market $88,349 Active 477 DOM
  9. 2026-07-29
    days on market $88,349 Active 476 DOM
  10. 2026-07-27
    days on market $88,349 Active 474 DOM
  11. 2026-07-25
    days on market $88,349 Active 472 DOM
  12. 2026-07-23
    days on market $88,349 Active 470 DOM
  13. 2026-07-22
    days on market $88,349 Active 469 DOM
  14. 2026-07-21
    days on market $88,349 Active 468 DOM
  15. 2026-07-18
    days on market $88,349 Active 465 DOM
  16. 2026-07-16
    days on market $88,349 Active 463 DOM
  17. 2026-07-16
    days on market $88,349 Active 462 DOM
  18. 2026-07-14
    days on market $88,349 Active 461 DOM
  19. 2026-07-13
    days on market $88,349 Active 460 DOM
  20. 2026-07-12
    days on market $88,349 Active 459 DOM
  21. 2026-07-11
    days on market $88,349 Active 458 DOM
  22. 2026-07-10
    days on market $88,349 Active 457 DOM
  23. 2026-07-09
    days on market $88,349 Active 456 DOM
  24. 2026-07-08
    days on market $88,349 Active 455 DOM
  25. 2026-07-07
    days on market $88,349 Active 454 DOM
  26. 2026-07-06
    days on market $88,349 Active 453 DOM
  27. 2026-07-05
    days on market $88,349 Active 452 DOM
  28. 2026-07-04
    days on market $88,349 Active 451 DOM
  29. 2026-07-03
    days on market $88,349 Active 450 DOM
  30. 2026-07-02
    days on market $88,349 Active 449 DOM
  31. 2026-07-01
    days on market $88,349 Active 448 DOM
  32. 2026-06-30
    days on market $88,349 Active 447 DOM
  33. 2026-06-29
    days on market $88,349 Active 446 DOM
  34. 2026-06-28
    days on market $88,349 Active 445 DOM
  35. 2026-06-28
    days on market $88,349 Active 444 DOM
  36. 2026-06-27
    days on market $88,349 Active 443 DOM
  37. 2026-06-26
    days on market $88,349 Active 442 DOM
  38. 2026-06-23
    days on market $88,349 Active 439 DOM
  39. 2026-06-22
    days on market $88,349 Active 438 DOM
  40. 2026-06-19
    days on market $88,349 Active 436 DOM
  41. 2026-06-18
    days on market $88,349 Active 435 DOM
  42. 2026-06-17
    days on market $88,349 Active 434 DOM
  43. 2026-06-16
    days on market $88,349 Active 433 DOM
  44. 2026-06-15
    days on market $88,349 Active 432 DOM
  45. 2026-06-14
    days on market $88,349 Active 430 DOM
  46. 2026-06-13
    days on market $88,349 Active 429 DOM
  47. 2026-06-10
    days on market $88,349 Active 427 DOM
  48. 2026-06-09
    days on market $88,349 Active 426 DOM
  49. 2026-06-08
    days on market $88,349 Active 425 DOM
  50. 2026-06-07
    days on market $88,349 Active 424 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$877 · $73/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,617 · $135/mo
Expected delta
+$739/yr (+$62/mo · 84.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 9% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,428
− Mortgage interest
−$4,949
− Property taxes
−$877
− Insurance
−$442
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,314
− Management
−$1,314
− Depreciation
−$2,570
Taxable income
$4,961
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,191
After-tax cash flow
$4,908/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 7 photos

Poor 20/100 Extensive rehab Est. rehab $50,150–$90,270 screening

This property requires extensive repairs and renovations to become move-in ready. Significant structural and exterior work is needed to improve its condition and value.

Deferred maintenance Est. $50,000–$150,000 screening

  • Major Roof (roof) — The roof appears to be missing shingles and has visible damage.
  • Major Windows (windows) — The windows are boarded up, indicating they are not functioning and need replacement.
  • Major Electrical (electrical) — The interior is in a state of disrepair, with exposed wiring and missing insulation, suggesting significant electrical issues.
  • Major Exterior (exterior) — The exterior walls are exposed and appear to be in poor condition, with visible damage and missing siding.
  • Major Plumbing (plumbing) — The interior is in a state of disrepair, with exposed wiring and missing insulation, suggesting significant plumbing issues.

Repairs flagged

  • Major Exposed brick foundation — Structural integrity compromised
  • Major Siding — Significant damage and missing sections
  • Major Windows — Missing windows, allowing for potential water intrusion

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting and repainting the exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both Landscaping and improving the yard — Improves curb appeal and rental value
  • Both Reframing and drywalling — Restores structural integrity and enhances interior space
  • Both Roof replacement — Ensures structural integrity and protects against water damage

ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Extensive scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Wichita Falls ISD
NCES district ID
4845780
Math proficiency
31% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
33% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$41,604
Composite
27.06/100
National rank
#7051
State rank
#585 of 826 in TX
C Composite livability gradescore 69/100

Livability — Wichita Falls

Score
69/100
State rank
#437
US rank
#8940

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Wichita Falls, TX
County
Wichita County · 129,638 people
City population
95,694
Metro
Wichita Falls, TX
Population (ZIP)
19,029
Household income
$82,183
Rent vs Own
27.6% rent · 72.4% own
Severe rent burden
13% of renters

Population outlook (Wichita County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
129,638 people
By 2030
128,366 · -1.0%
By 2040
124,466 · -4.0%
By 2050
120,499 · -7.0%
By 2075
113,884 · -12.2%
By 2100
101,818 · -21.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (70%)
Race & ethnicity
White 70% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 10% Black 6% Asian 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 11%
Common ancestry
Italian 3% Lithuanian 2% Iranian 2%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, Vietnam, South Korea
Languages at home
89% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 1% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wichita

2024 margin
Solid R (+44.0) · D 27.5% · R 71.5%
2008→2024 swing
-5.2pp toward R · 2008: -38.9pp · 2024: -44.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+44.0 2020: R+41.1 2016: R+49.7 2012: R+47.1 2008: R+38.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2025-04-09 Listed $88,349 HARMLS

Property tax history

+0.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $877 · -37.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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