359 Cummins St · Jackson, MS
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,241 – $2,305
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.8/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.1/10.0
$89,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Fantastic Value in this Fully Renovated 4 bedroom 2 bath home. Beautifully remodeled, this spacious home is like new and move in ready. Beautiful new flooring throughout, new lighting and fans, new stainless-steel appliances, updated bathrooms, a new heating and air system, new windows and doors and just painted interior and exterior. The bedrooms are very spacious especially the master. Take a look you will love it! This property is a spectacular investment option with a rent potential up to $1600 per month (per turbo tenant comparable analysis) A true home run all potential maintenance headaches have been addressed. Improve your portfolio with a solid investment that will yield a solid ROI year after year.
Key facts
- New lighting
- Fully renovated
- New flooring
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $90k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-65 ($-783/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $78k (12.8% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $90k).
- Recommended offer: $78k (12.8% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#66 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, employment F.
- Jackson Public School District (urban): math 9% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #112 of 130 in MS (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 88% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+13.6%/yr); 121 active listings in the ZIP; 18 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 167 units permitted in Hinds County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,149/mo this rent would consume 46% of the median local household income ($30k/yr) (locally 1099% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $10k of equity ($622 loan paydown + $9k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Hinds County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 128 days — a 12% lower offer ($79k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 21y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $17k (16%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; built in 1954 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 128 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 13% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1954 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.28% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.12%
- Cash-on-cash
- 17.23%
- DSCR
- 1.77
- GRM
- 6.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $42,645
- List price
- $89,900
- Delta
- 129.57%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 263 Shady Cir | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,574 (-1%) | 5mo | $55,000 | $35 | 68 |
| 290 Marla Ave | 0.36mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,502 (-6%) | 5mo | $90,000 | $60 | 60 |
| 110 Pine Lawn Pl | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,487 (-6%) | 11mo | $16,000 | $11 | 56 |
| 2005 Oakhurst Dr | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,433 (-10%) | 4mo | $52,500 | $37 | 53 |
| 2261 Paden St | 0.31mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,369 (-14%) | 3mo | $70,000 | $51 | 51 |
| 2662 Key St | 0.64mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,680 (+6%) | 1mo | $35,000 | $21 | 49 |
| 139 Wagwood St | 0.53mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,630 (+2%) | 16mo | $34,900 | $21 | 49 |
| 805 Dorgan St | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,521 (-4%) | 15mo | $90,000 | $59 | 44 |
| 941 Dorgan St | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,644 (+3%) | 11mo | $35,000 | $21 | 44 |
| 804 Valencia St | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,516 (-5%) | 16mo | $10,000 | $7 | 43 |
| 751 Dorgan St | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,400 (-12%) | 9mo | $39,000 | $28 | 38 |
| 1954 Elaine St | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,378 (-13%) | 15mo | $114,000 | $83 | 25 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 24.7%
- Equity multiple
- 3.03×
- Total profit
- $51,114
- Equity at exit
- $80,989
- IRR
- 23.9%
- Equity multiple
- 7.73×
- Total profit
- $169,295
- Equity at exit
- $174,656
Cash invested: $25,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Mississippi
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 39204
- Home prices YoY
- 8.0%
- Rents YoY
- 13.6%
- Active inventory
- 121
- Price-to-rent
- 6.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,149 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$471
- Tax from tax record
- −$37 /mo · $449/yr
- Insurance
- −$37
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$241
- Net cashflow
- $-65
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-14 | -5% $-40 | +0% $-65 | +5% $-91 | +10% $-116 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-156 | -5% $-111 | +0% $-65 | +5% $-20 | +10% $26 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-20 | -0.5pp $-42 | base $-65 | +0.5pp $-89 | +1.0pp $-112 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,475
- Closing costs
- $2,697
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 18 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2401 Coronet Pl Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,400 | $1.17 | 24d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 245 Shady Cir Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1510 | $1,100 | $0.73 | 24d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 843 Reaves St Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1408 | $1,084 | $0.77 | 44d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 201 W Santa Clair St Jackson, MS | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1182 | $950 | $0.80 | 24d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 201 W Santa Clair St Jackson, MS | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1182 | $950 | $0.80 | 14d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 1645 Camellia Ln Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1268 | $1,200 | $0.95 | 14d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 1126 Barbara Ann Dr Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1343 | $1,000 | $0.74 | 44d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 1126 Barbara Ann Dr Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1343 | $1,000 | $0.74 | 14d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 316 Woody Dr Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1185 | $1,250 | $1.05 | 44d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 316 Woody Dr Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1185 | $1,250 | $1.05 | 14d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 267 Woody Dr Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1165 | $1,100 | $0.94 | 44d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 2694 Woodside Dr Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1509 | $1,075 | $0.71 | 24d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 2694 Woodside Dr Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1509 | $1,075 | $0.71 | 14d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 3152 Bilgray Dr Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $1,100 | $0.92 | 14d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 3147 Bilgray Dr Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1850 | $1,306 | $0.71 | 44d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 2873 Teresa Dr Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,100 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 1513 Maria Dr Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1120 | $1,200 | $1.07 | 24d | 1 | 1.49mi |
| 1513 Maria Dr Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1120 | $1,200 | $1.07 | 14d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 33 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $89,900 Active 128 DOM
-
2026-06-18price $89,900 Active 127 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $97,900 Active 127 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $97,900 Active 126 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $97,900 Active 125 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $97,900 Active 123 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $97,900 Active 122 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $97,900 Active 120 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $97,900 Active 119 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $97,900 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $97,900 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $97,900 Active 114 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $97,900 Active 113 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $97,900 Active 112 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $97,900 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $97,900 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $97,900 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-05-07price $97,900 721-char remark
Show marketing remark (721 chars)
Fantastic Value in this Fully Renovated 4 bedroom 2 bath home. Beautifully remodeled, this spacious home is like new and move in ready. Beautiful new flooring throughout, new lighting and fans, new stainless-steel appliances, updated bathrooms, a new heating and air system, new windows and doors and just painted interior and exterior. The bedrooms are very spacious especially the master. Take a look you will love it! This property is a spectacular investment option with a rent potential up to $1600 per month (per turbo tenant comparable analysis) A true home run all potential maintenance headaches have been addressed. Improve your portfolio with a solid investment that will yield a solid ROI year after year.
-
2026-03-13price $106,900 721-char remark
Show marketing remark (721 chars)
Fantastic Value in this Fully Renovated 4 bedroom 2 bath home. Beautifully remodeled, this spacious home is like new and move in ready. Beautiful new flooring throughout, new lighting and fans, new stainless-steel appliances, updated bathrooms, a new heating and air system, new windows and doors and just painted interior and exterior. The bedrooms are very spacious especially the master. Take a look you will love it! This property is a spectacular investment option with a rent potential up to $1600 per month (per turbo tenant comparable analysis) A true home run all potential maintenance headaches have been addressed. Improve your portfolio with a solid investment that will yield a solid ROI year after year.
-
2026-02-20price $130,000 721-char remark
Show marketing remark (721 chars)
Fantastic Value in this Fully Renovated 4 bedroom 2 bath home. Beautifully remodeled, this spacious home is like new and move in ready. Beautiful new flooring throughout, new lighting and fans, new stainless-steel appliances, updated bathrooms, a new heating and air system, new windows and doors and just painted interior and exterior. The bedrooms are very spacious especially the master. Take a look you will love it! This property is a spectacular investment option with a rent potential up to $1600 per month (per turbo tenant comparable analysis) A true home run all potential maintenance headaches have been addressed. Improve your portfolio with a solid investment that will yield a solid ROI year after year.
-
2026-02-10$106,900 Active 721-char remark
Show marketing remark (721 chars)
Fantastic Value in this Fully Renovated 4 bedroom 2 bath home. Beautifully remodeled, this spacious home is like new and move in ready. Beautiful new flooring throughout, new lighting and fans, new stainless-steel appliances, updated bathrooms, a new heating and air system, new windows and doors and just painted interior and exterior. The bedrooms are very spacious especially the master. Take a look you will love it! This property is a spectacular investment option with a rent potential up to $1600 per month (per turbo tenant comparable analysis) A true home run all potential maintenance headaches have been addressed. Improve your portfolio with a solid investment that will yield a solid ROI year after year.
-
2011-05-06soldstatus 49-char remark
Show marketing remark (49 chars)
4 bedrooms. 2 full baths. Approximately 1591 s.f.
-
2011-05-06soldstatus
Show marketing remark (49 chars)
4 bedrooms. 2 full baths. Approximately 1591 s.f.
-
2010-12-13$14,900 49-char remark
Show marketing remark (49 chars)
4 bedrooms. 2 full baths. Approximately 1591 s.f.
-
2007-05-17soldstatus
-
2007-05-16soldstatus
-
2007-03-19$48,500
-
2006-02-28soldstatus
-
2005-08-19soldstatus
-
2005-08-16soldstatus
-
2005-08-05$32,000
-
1999-03-22soldstatus
-
1968-09-06soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $449 · $37/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $710 · $59/mo
- Expected delta
- +$261/yr (+$22/mo · 58.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,787
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,036
- − Property taxes
- −$449
- − Insurance
- −$5,568
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,103
- − Management
- −$1,103
- − Depreciation
- −$2,615
- Taxable loss
- −$2,087
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$501
- After-tax cash flow
- $-282/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Jackson Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 2802190
- Math proficiency
- 9% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 18% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $33,234
- Composite
- 10.89/100
- National rank
- #9755
- State rank
- #112 of 130 in MS
Livability — Jackson
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #66
- US rank
- #9695
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Jackson, MS
- County
- Hinds County · 167,040 people
- City population
- 140,204
- Metro
- Jackson, MS
- Population (ZIP)
- 13,249
- Household income
- $30,237
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1099.0
Population outlook (Hinds County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 242,528 people
- By 2030
- 241,113 · -0.6%
- By 2040
- 235,557 · -2.9%
- By 2050
- 226,946 · -6.4%
- By 2075
- 199,995 · -17.5%
- By 2100
- 164,165 · -32.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 90% White 5% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Hinds
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+46.1) · D 72.4% · R 26.3% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +7.1pp toward D · 2008: 39.0pp · 2024: 46.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+46.1 2020: D+48.3 2016: D+43.7 2012: D+45.1 2008: D+39.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 17.25%
- Current HPI
- 233.9061
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 13.56%
- Metro
- Jackson, MS
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+205.9% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-07 Price Changed $97,900 MLSU
- 2026-03-13 Price Changed $106,900 MLSU
- 2026-02-20 Price Changed $130,000 MLSU
- 2026-02-10 Listed $106,900 MLSU
- 2011-05-06 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2011-05-06 Sold (MLS) — MLSU
- 2010-12-13 Listed $14,900 MLSU
- 2007-05-17 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2007-05-16 Sold (MLS) — MLSU
- 2007-03-19 Listed $48,500 MLSU
- 2006-02-28 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2005-08-19 Sold (MLS) — MLSU
- 2005-08-16 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2005-08-05 Listed $32,000 MLSU
- 1999-03-22 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1968-09-06 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
-6.7%/yrLatest (2025): $449 · +1.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…