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4046 67th Ln
D Composite 44.94
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Schools +4.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.3/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$49,000

4046 67th Ln · Riviera Beach, FL 33404
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 800 sqft · SingleFamily · 103 Days on market
Built 1973 8,712 sqft lot $965/mo HOA · 39% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Just Listed ! This home has 2 bedrooms and 2 bath , split bedrooms , two parking spaces side by side carport , Florida Room, located in a gated community . Purchase and rent immediately . Monthly fee covers land lease , lawn care, cable, water, sewer, trash , boat and rv storage .

Key facts

  • Gated community
  • Florida room
  • Boat and rv storage

Tags

FLORIDA ROOMGATED COMMUNITYBOAT AND RV STORAGE

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Pets allowed with number and size limits
  • HOA & community: Homeowners association with monthly fee; HOA fee includes cable TV, grounds maintenance, pool(s), recreation facilities, sewer, security, taxes, trash, and water; Community features: clubhouse, gated access, kitchen facilities, library, pool; Senior community

Exterior

  • Parking: 2 total parking spaces; 2 covered parking spaces
  • Security: Gated community
  • Utilities: Electricity connected; 110V and 220V electrical service
  • Home design: Manufactured home; Single-story
  • Construction: Manufactured construction; Resale
  • Exterior features: Gated community; Community pool

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Unfurnished

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $49k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $655 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $49k).
  • Recommended offer: $45k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#581 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, cost of living A-; Watch: employment D, crime F, amenities F.
  • Palm Beach (suburban): math 46% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #34 of 73 in FL (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.7%/yr); 506 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 3,974 units permitted in Palm Beach County in 2024 (1,012 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,479/mo this rent would consume 46% of the median local household income ($65k/yr) (locally 1838% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $339 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Palm Beach County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 103 days — a 9% lower offer ($45k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $14k (22%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 39% of rent.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $44,590 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 103 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
5.06%
Cap rate
22.32%
Cash-on-cash
57.26%
DSCR
3.55
GRM
1.6

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
49.3%
Equity multiple
2.98×
Total profit
$27,119
Equity at exit
$7,306
10-year hold
IRR
52.4%
Equity multiple
4.77×
Total profit
$51,789
Equity at exit
$4,237

Cash invested: $13,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 33404

Home prices YoY
-31.1%
Rents YoY
-0.7%
Active inventory
506
Price-to-rent
1.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,479 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$257
Tax est. 1.5%
$61 /mo · $735/yr
Insurance
$20
HOA
$965
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$521
Net cashflow
$655

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,650
Max offer price $49,000
Occupancy floor 69%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $688 -5% $672 +0% $655 +5% $638 +10% $621
Rent -10% $459 -5% $557 +0% $655 +5% $753 +10% $850
Rate -1.0pp $679 -0.5pp $667 base $655 +0.5pp $642 +1.0pp $629

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$12,250
Closing costs
$1,470
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
9000 Woodbine Trl Riviera Beach, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1031 $2,360 $2.29 2d 1 1.14mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$965 · $11,580/yr
Likely covers
watersewertrashcablelandscapingsecurity

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $49,000 Active 103 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $49,000 Active 102 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $49,000 Active 101 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $49,000 Active 100 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $49,000 Active 98 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $49,000 Active 94 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $49,000 Active 93 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $49,000 Active 92 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $49,000 Active 89 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $49,000 Active 88 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $49,000 Active 87 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $49,000 Active 86 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $49,000 Active 85 DOM
  14. 2026-05-11
    price $49,000
  15. 2026-02-16
    listed $62,500 Active
  16. 2025-07-21
    historical $1,850
  17. 2025-05-28
    price $1,850
  18. 2025-03-11
    listed $1,950

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$29,746
− Mortgage interest
−$2,745
− Property taxes
−$735
− Insurance
−$245
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,380
− Management
−$2,380
− HOA
−$11,580
− Depreciation
−$1,425
Taxable income
$8,256
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,981
After-tax cash flow
$5,874/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Palm Beach
NCES district ID
1201500
Math proficiency
46% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
53% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$53,943
Composite
42.72/100
National rank
#3160
State rank
#34 of 73 in FL

Livability — Riviera Beach

Score
67/100
State rank
#581
US rank
#11060

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A- Crime F Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Palm Beach County · 1,438,312 people
City population
30,912
Metro
Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
Population (ZIP)
30,912
Household income
$65,063
Rent vs Own
40.0% rent · 60.0% own
Severe rent burden
1838.0

Population outlook (Palm Beach County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,637,487 people
By 2030
1,743,255 · +6.5%
By 2040
1,948,712 · +19.0%
By 2050
2,132,979 · +30.3%
By 2075
2,530,027 · +54.5%
By 2100
2,706,979 · +65.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority Black (64%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 64% White 22% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 8%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Hispanic 8% Romanian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
21% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
82% English-only · Spanish 8% French/Haitian/Cajun 7% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Palm Beach

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 50.0% · R 49.2%
2008→2024 swing
-22.1pp toward R · 2008: 22.9pp · 2024: 0.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+0.8 2020: D+12.8 2016: D+15.3 2012: D+17.0 2008: D+22.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -153.74%
Current HPI
341.1761
Rent YoY
▼ -0.72%
Metro
Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+2412.8% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-11 Price Changed $49,000 MCRTC
  • 2026-02-16 Listed $62,500 MCRTC
  • 2025-07-21 Rental Removed $1,850 RMLSFL
  • 2025-05-28 Price Changed $1,850 RMLSFL
  • 2025-03-11 Listed for Rent $1,950 RMLSFL

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…