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1107 Defender St
D Composite 43.94
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Cash flow +9.2/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.1/15.0
  • 1% rule +3.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Schools +2.7/10.0
  • DSCR +2.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$149,000

1107 Defender St · Houston, TX 77029
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 948 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 12 Days on market
Built 1950 7,392 sqft lot $157/sqft · at area comps Est $148k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to your new home! Lots of updates including Fresh paint, electric and plumbing, air conditioner, doors. windows and Roof replaced in 2021. Kitchen has been updated along with electric and plumbing.

Key facts

  • New stove
  • New cabinets
  • Spacious lot

Tags

UPDATED HOMENEW STOVENEW FRIDGENEW CABINETSNO NEIGHBORS ACROSS THE STREETSPACIOUS LOT

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Residential property; One-story entry (first-floor living)
  • Construction: Built in 1950; Synthetic stucco and wood siding exterior; Block foundation; Composition roof
  • Exterior features: Subdivision lot

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on the first floor (approx. 14x10); Bedroom on the first floor (approx. 12x12); Bedroom on the first floor (approx. 12x11)
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning (electric)
  • Interior features: 3 total rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $149k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-113 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $129k (13.4% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $130k (13.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $129k (13.4% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
  • Cap rate 5.4% vs local median 3.2% in Houston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#184 in TX, #4,771 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
  • Houston ISD (urban): math 27% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #593 of 826 in TX (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Pleasantville El (math 8% / reading 22%, grade F, #4,021 of 4,322 statewide, top 94%, 233 students, 97% FRL); Holland Middle (math 10% / reading 16%, grade F, #1,609 of 1,662 statewide, top 97%, 644 students, 98% FRL) — zoned schools average 97% FRL vs 71% district-wide (26 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 14% at this address vs 31% district-wide (-17 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Houston ISD average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: 154 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $16k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $15k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$40k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 5 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $129,104 (13.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.87%
Cap rate
5.39%
Cash-on-cash
-3.24%
DSCR
0.86
GRM
9.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$147,843
List price
$149,000
Delta
0.78%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
153 De Haven St 0.31mi 2/1.0 880 (-7%) 23mo $150,000 $170 54

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
22.0%
Equity multiple
2.78×
Total profit
$74,062
Equity at exit
$134,231
10-year hold
IRR
19.8%
Equity multiple
6.37×
Total profit
$223,910
Equity at exit
$289,474

Cash invested: $41,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 77029

Home prices YoY
7.2%
Active inventory
154
Price-to-rent
9.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,297 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$781
Tax from tax record
$293 /mo · $3,522/yr
Insurance
$62
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$272
Net cashflow
$-113

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,439
Max offer price $129,104
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-28 -5% $-70 +0% $-113 +5% $-155 +10% $-197
Rent -10% $-215 -5% $-164 +0% $-113 +5% $-61 +10% $-10
Rate -1.0pp $-38 -0.5pp $-75 base $-113 +0.5pp $-151 +1.0pp $-191

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$37,250
Closing costs
$4,470
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 10 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
335 Delaware St Houston, TX 2.0 1.0 784 $940 $1.20 13d 1 0.57mi
403 Armstrong St Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 909 $1,399 $1.54 0d 1 0.64mi
423 Armstrong St Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1090 $1,499 $1.38 0d 1 0.69mi
9743 Veyblum St Unit B Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 872 $1,145 $1.31 6d 1 0.74mi
9713 Stedman St Unit b Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 872 $1,095 $1.26 44d 1 0.83mi
9806 Fillmore St Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 850 $1,850 $2.18 44d 1 1.25mi
8534 Fillmore St Houston, TX 3.0 1.0 965 $1,600 $1.66 44d 1 1.28mi
9907 Lanewell St Unit a Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 872 $1,154 $1.32 23d 1 1.38mi
8726 Josie St Houston, TX 3.0 1.0 950 $1,000 $1.05 44d 1 1.44mi
8710 Josie St Houston, TX 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,090 $1.09 0d 1 1.44mi

Listing history 29 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $149,000 Active 12 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $149,000 Active 9 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $149,000 Active 8 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $149,000 Active 7 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $149,000 Active 6 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $149,000 Active 4 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on marketlisting id $149,000 Active 1 DOM
  8. 2026-06-01
    days on market $149,000 Active 122 DOM
  9. 2026-05-31
    days on market $149,000 Active 121 DOM
  10. 2026-02-26
    price $149,000 534-char remark
  11. 2026-01-30
    listed $160,000 Active 534-char remark
  12. 2025-04-29
    historical $1,300
  13. 2025-04-12
    price $1,300
  14. 2025-04-05
    price $1,325
  15. 2025-03-28
    price $1,350
  16. 2025-03-12
    price $1,375
  17. 2025-02-21
    listed $1,400
  18. 2024-12-17
    soldstatus
  19. 2024-12-13
    soldstatus Sold 205-char remark
    Show marketing remark (205 chars)

    Welcome to your new home! Lots of updates including Fresh paint, electric and plumbing, air conditioner, doors. windows and Roof replaced in 2021. Kitchen has been updated along with electric and plumbing.

  20. 2024-11-26
    status Pending 205-char remark
    Show marketing remark (205 chars)

    Welcome to your new home! Lots of updates including Fresh paint, electric and plumbing, air conditioner, doors. windows and Roof replaced in 2021. Kitchen has been updated along with electric and plumbing.

  21. 2024-11-19
    status Option Pending 205-char remark
    Show marketing remark (205 chars)

    Welcome to your new home! Lots of updates including Fresh paint, electric and plumbing, air conditioner, doors. windows and Roof replaced in 2021. Kitchen has been updated along with electric and plumbing.

  22. 2024-11-08
    listed $149,000 Active 205-char remark
    Show marketing remark (205 chars)

    Welcome to your new home! Lots of updates including Fresh paint, electric and plumbing, air conditioner, doors. windows and Roof replaced in 2021. Kitchen has been updated along with electric and plumbing.

  23. 2021-04-23
    soldstatus
  24. 2021-04-22
    historical
  25. 2021-04-21
    soldstatus Sold
  26. 2021-04-01
    status Pending
  27. 2021-03-27
    status Option Pending
  28. 2021-02-24
    listed $145,000 Active
  29. 1988-01-02
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$3,522 · $293/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,522 · $293/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,559
− Mortgage interest
−$8,346
− Property taxes
−$3,522
− Insurance
−$745
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,245
− Management
−$1,245
− Depreciation
−$4,335
Taxable loss
−$3,878
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$931
After-tax cash flow
$-421/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Houston ISD
NCES district ID
4823640
Math proficiency
27% ▼ -18.00%
Reading proficiency
35% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$46,054
Composite
26.63/100
National rank
#7173
State rank
#593 of 826 in TX

Livability — Houston

Score
74/100
State rank
#184
US rank
#4771

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Houston, TX
County
Harris County · 4,702,590 people
City population
3,226,434
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
Population (ZIP)
16,154
Household income
$48,279
Rent vs Own
34.4% rent · 65.6% own
Severe rent burden
457.0

Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
5,571,493 people
By 2030
6,089,821 · +9.3%
By 2040
7,142,806 · +28.2%
By 2050
8,185,864 · +46.9%
By 2075
10,574,329 · +89.8%
By 2100
12,109,958 · +117.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (72%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 72% Two or more races 32% Black 22% White 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 66%
Foreign-born
31% · Canada
Languages at home
39% English-only · Spanish 61%

Political lean MEDSL · Harris

2024 margin
Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
+3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 18.53%
Current HPI
276.1811
Rent YoY
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+2.8% since first listed
22 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-09 Listed $149,000 HARMLS
  • 2026-06-02 Listing Removed HARMLS
  • 2026-02-26 Price Changed $149,000 HARMLS
  • 2026-01-30 Listed $160,000 HARMLS
  • 2025-04-29 Rental Removed $1,300 HARMLS
  • 2025-04-12 Price Changed $1,300 HARMLS
  • 2025-04-05 Price Changed $1,325 HARMLS
  • 2025-03-28 Price Changed $1,350 HARMLS
  • 2025-03-12 Price Changed $1,375 HARMLS
  • 2025-02-21 Listed for Rent $1,400 HARMLS
  • 2024-12-17 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2024-12-13 Sold (MLS) HARMLS
  • 2024-11-26 Pending HARMLS
  • 2024-11-19 Pending HARMLS
  • 2024-11-08 Listed $149,000 HARMLS
  • 2021-04-23 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2021-04-22 Listing Removed HARMLS
  • 2021-04-21 Sold (MLS) HARMLS
  • 2021-04-01 Pending HARMLS
  • 2021-03-27 Pending HARMLS
  • 2021-02-24 Listed $145,000 HARMLS
  • 1988-01-02 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+13.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,522 · +29.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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