1107 Defender St · Houston, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- Cash flow +9.2/30.0
- ARV discount +7.1/15.0
- 1% rule +3.7/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- DSCR +2.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$149,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to your new home! Lots of updates including Fresh paint, electric and plumbing, air conditioner, doors. windows and Roof replaced in 2021. Kitchen has been updated along with electric and plumbing.
Key facts
- New stove
- New cabinets
- Spacious lot
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Residential property; One-story entry (first-floor living)
- Construction: Built in 1950; Synthetic stucco and wood siding exterior; Block foundation; Composition roof
- Exterior features: Subdivision lot
Interior
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on the first floor (approx. 14x10); Bedroom on the first floor (approx. 12x12); Bedroom on the first floor (approx. 12x11)
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning (electric)
- Interior features: 3 total rooms
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $149k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-113 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $129k (13.4% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $130k (13.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $129k (13.4% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 5.4% vs local median 3.2% in Houston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#184 in TX, #4,771 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
- Houston ISD (urban): math 27% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #593 of 826 in TX (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Pleasantville El (math 8% / reading 22%, grade F, #4,021 of 4,322 statewide, top 94%, 233 students, 97% FRL); Holland Middle (math 10% / reading 16%, grade F, #1,609 of 1,662 statewide, top 97%, 644 students, 98% FRL) — zoned schools average 97% FRL vs 71% district-wide (26 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 14% at this address vs 31% district-wide (-17 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Houston ISD average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: 154 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $16k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $15k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$40k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 5 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.87% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.39%
- Cash-on-cash
- -3.24%
- DSCR
- 0.86
- GRM
- 9.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $147,843
- List price
- $149,000
- Delta
- 0.78%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 153 De Haven St | 0.31mi | 2/1.0 | 880 (-7%) | 23mo | $150,000 | $170 | 54 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 22.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.78×
- Total profit
- $74,062
- Equity at exit
- $134,231
- IRR
- 19.8%
- Equity multiple
- 6.37×
- Total profit
- $223,910
- Equity at exit
- $289,474
Cash invested: $41,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 77029
- Home prices YoY
- 7.2%
- Active inventory
- 154
- Price-to-rent
- 9.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,297 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$781
- Tax from tax record
- −$293 /mo · $3,522/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$272
- Net cashflow
- $-113
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-28 | -5% $-70 | +0% $-113 | +5% $-155 | +10% $-197 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-215 | -5% $-164 | +0% $-113 | +5% $-61 | +10% $-10 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-38 | -0.5pp $-75 | base $-113 | +0.5pp $-151 | +1.0pp $-191 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,250
- Closing costs
- $4,470
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 10 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 335 Delaware St Houston, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 784 | $940 | $1.20 | 13d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 403 Armstrong St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 909 | $1,399 | $1.54 | 0d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 423 Armstrong St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1090 | $1,499 | $1.38 | 0d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 9743 Veyblum St Unit B Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 872 | $1,145 | $1.31 | 6d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 9713 Stedman St Unit b Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 872 | $1,095 | $1.26 | 44d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 9806 Fillmore St Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 850 | $1,850 | $2.18 | 44d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 8534 Fillmore St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 965 | $1,600 | $1.66 | 44d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 9907 Lanewell St Unit a Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 872 | $1,154 | $1.32 | 23d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 8726 Josie St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,000 | $1.05 | 44d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 8710 Josie St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,090 | $1.09 | 0d | 1 | 1.44mi |
Listing history 29 events
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2026-06-21days on market $149,000 Active 12 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $149,000 Active 9 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $149,000 Active 8 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $149,000 Active 7 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $149,000 Active 6 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $149,000 Active 4 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $149,000 Active 1 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $149,000 Active 122 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $149,000 Active 121 DOM
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2026-02-26price $149,000 534-char remark
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2026-01-30$160,000 Active 534-char remark
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2025-04-29historical $1,300
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2025-04-12price $1,300
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2025-04-05price $1,325
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2025-03-28price $1,350
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2025-03-12price $1,375
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2025-02-21$1,400
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2024-12-17soldstatus
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2024-12-13soldstatus Sold 205-char remark
Show marketing remark (205 chars)
Welcome to your new home! Lots of updates including Fresh paint, electric and plumbing, air conditioner, doors. windows and Roof replaced in 2021. Kitchen has been updated along with electric and plumbing.
-
2024-11-26status Pending 205-char remark
Show marketing remark (205 chars)
Welcome to your new home! Lots of updates including Fresh paint, electric and plumbing, air conditioner, doors. windows and Roof replaced in 2021. Kitchen has been updated along with electric and plumbing.
-
2024-11-19status Option Pending 205-char remark
Show marketing remark (205 chars)
Welcome to your new home! Lots of updates including Fresh paint, electric and plumbing, air conditioner, doors. windows and Roof replaced in 2021. Kitchen has been updated along with electric and plumbing.
-
2024-11-08$149,000 Active 205-char remark
Show marketing remark (205 chars)
Welcome to your new home! Lots of updates including Fresh paint, electric and plumbing, air conditioner, doors. windows and Roof replaced in 2021. Kitchen has been updated along with electric and plumbing.
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2021-04-23soldstatus
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2021-04-22historical
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2021-04-21soldstatus Sold
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2021-04-01status Pending
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2021-03-27status Option Pending
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2021-02-24$145,000 Active
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1988-01-02soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,522 · $293/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,522 · $293/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,559
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,346
- − Property taxes
- −$3,522
- − Insurance
- −$745
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,245
- − Management
- −$1,245
- − Depreciation
- −$4,335
- Taxable loss
- −$3,878
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$931
- After-tax cash flow
- $-421/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Houston ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4823640
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -18.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,054
- Composite
- 26.63/100
- National rank
- #7173
- State rank
- #593 of 826 in TX
Livability — Houston
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #184
- US rank
- #4771
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Houston, TX
- County
- Harris County · 4,702,590 people
- City population
- 3,226,434
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 16,154
- Household income
- $48,279
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 457.0
Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,571,493 people
- By 2030
- 6,089,821 · +9.3%
- By 2040
- 7,142,806 · +28.2%
- By 2050
- 8,185,864 · +46.9%
- By 2075
- 10,574,329 · +89.8%
- By 2100
- 12,109,958 · +117.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (72%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 72% Two or more races 32% Black 22% White 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 66%
- Foreign-born
- 31% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 39% English-only · Spanish 61%
Political lean MEDSL · Harris
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 18.53%
- Current HPI
- 276.1811
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
+2.8% since first listed22 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-09 Listed $149,000 HARMLS
- 2026-06-02 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2026-02-26 Price Changed $149,000 HARMLS
- 2026-01-30 Listed $160,000 HARMLS
- 2025-04-29 Rental Removed $1,300 HARMLS
- 2025-04-12 Price Changed $1,300 HARMLS
- 2025-04-05 Price Changed $1,325 HARMLS
- 2025-03-28 Price Changed $1,350 HARMLS
- 2025-03-12 Price Changed $1,375 HARMLS
- 2025-02-21 Listed for Rent $1,400 HARMLS
- 2024-12-17 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2024-12-13 Sold (MLS) — HARMLS
- 2024-11-26 Pending — HARMLS
- 2024-11-19 Pending — HARMLS
- 2024-11-08 Listed $149,000 HARMLS
- 2021-04-23 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2021-04-22 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2021-04-21 Sold (MLS) — HARMLS
- 2021-04-01 Pending — HARMLS
- 2021-03-27 Pending — HARMLS
- 2021-02-24 Listed $145,000 HARMLS
- 1988-01-02 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+13.4%/yrLatest (2025): $3,522 · +29.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…