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4043 Church St
F Composite 30.67
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Cash flow +6.9/30.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • Livability +2.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +1.8/10.0
  • DSCR +1.1/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0

$272,400

4043 Church St · Wade, NC 28395
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,330 sqft · SingleFamily · 133 Days on market
Built 2026 0.32 ac lot Est $214k · 27% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

$7,500 USE AS YOU CHOOSE CREDIT WITH USE OF PREFERRED LENDER ALPHA MORTGAGE!! The Havilland floor plan by A & G Residential is a charming 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home offering 1,330 square feet of well designed living space. The open-concept layout blends the living, dining, and kitchen areas for effortless flow and functionality—perfect for entertaining or relaxing at home. Highlights of the common area include the fireplace and a large island. A thoughtfully placed kitchen with abundant cabinetry and a breakfast bar makes everyday living a breeze. The spacious primary suite offers a peaceful retreat with an en-suite bath with dual vanities and a walk-in closet. Two additional bedrooms provide flexibility for guests or a home office. For your outdoor enjoyment, you will find a covered front porch and covered rear porch. Situated in the quaint town of Downtown Wade, this small town offers amenities such as a walking trail, community park with playground, tennis and pickle ball court, picnic area, and a splash pad for summer fun! Don't miss your chance to own this stunning new construction home—schedule a tour today!

Key facts

  • Covered front porch
  • Large island
  • Abundant cabinetry

Tags

OPEN-CONCEPT LAYOUTLARGE ISLANDABUNDANT CABINETRYBREAKFAST BARCOVERED FRONT PORCHCOVERED REAR PORCH

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot is approximately 0.32 acre
  • HOA & community: No homeowners association; Not a senior community

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage; 2-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-story house; One level
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built by A&G Residential
  • Exterior features: Public-maintained road access

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (4 listed as main-level bedrooms)
  • Flooring: Carpet; Luxury vinyl plank
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Heat pump for heating; Heat pump for cooling
  • Interior features: Carpet and luxury vinyl plank flooring

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $272k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-411 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $213k (21.8% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $186k (31.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $186k (31.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 55/100 on livability (#650 in NC) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+; Watch: housing D, crime F, amenities F.
  • Cumberland County Schools (urban): math 32% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #126 of 178 in NC (top 71%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Mac Williams Middle (math 40% / reading 50%, grade D, #160 of 475 statewide, top 35%, 1,151 students, 58% FRL); Cape Fear High (math 75% / reading 47%, grade C+, #202 of 535 statewide, top 39%, 1,529 students, 50% FRL) — zoned schools at 54% FRL track the district average.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 53% at this address vs 36% district-wide (+16 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Cumberland County Schools average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
  • Market conditions: 47 active listings in the ZIP; 1,125 units permitted in Cumberland County in 2024 (104 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $29k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $27k appreciation (9.9% local appreciation)).
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$46k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 133 days — a 12% lower offer ($240k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 78% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $186,248 (31.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 133 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 32% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.68%
Cap rate
4.48%
Cash-on-cash
-6.47%
DSCR
0.71
GRM
12.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$214,130
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4063 Mckethan St 0.64mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,426 (+7%) 10mo $229,000 $161 44

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

9.91% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
19.5%
Equity multiple
2.58×
Total profit
$120,502
Equity at exit
$243,594
10-year hold
IRR
17.9%
Equity multiple
5.92×
Total profit
$375,048
Equity at exit
$523,409

Cash invested: $76,272 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 28395

Home prices YoY
3.0%
Active inventory
47
Price-to-rent
12.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,862 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,428
Tax est. 1.5%
$340 /mo · $4,086/yr
Insurance
$114
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$391
Net cashflow
$-411

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,383
Max offer price $212,908
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$68,100
Closing costs
$8,172
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 14 events

  1. 2026-06-13
    statusdays on market $272,400 Pending 133 DOM
  2. 2026-06-10
    days on market $272,400 Active 131 DOM
  3. 2026-06-09
    days on market $272,400 Active 130 DOM
  4. 2026-06-08
    days on market $272,400 Active 129 DOM
  5. 2026-06-07
    days on market $272,400 Active 128 DOM
  6. 2026-06-03
    days on market $272,400 Active 124 DOM
  7. 2026-06-02
    days on market $272,400 Active 123 DOM
  8. 2026-06-01
    days on market $272,400 Active 122 DOM
  9. 2026-05-31
    days on market $272,400 Active 121 DOM
  10. 2026-05-30
    days on market $272,400 Active 120 DOM
  11. 2026-04-13
    price $272,400
    Show marketing remark (1147 chars)

    $7,500 USE AS YOU CHOOSE CREDIT WITH USE OF PREFERRED LENDER ALPHA MORTGAGE!! The Havilland floor plan by A & G Residential is a charming 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home offering 1,330 square feet of well designed living space. The open-concept layout blends the living, dining, and kitchen areas for effortless flow and functionality—perfect for entertaining or relaxing at home. Highlights of the common area include the fireplace and a large island. A thoughtfully placed kitchen with abundant cabinetry and a breakfast bar makes everyday living a breeze. The spacious primary suite offers a peaceful retreat with an en-suite bath with dual vanities and a walk-in closet. Two additional bedrooms provide flexibility for guests or a home office. For your outdoor enjoyment, you will find a covered front porch and covered rear porch. Situated in the quaint town of Downtown Wade, this small town offers amenities such as a walking trail, community park with playground, tennis and pickle ball court, picnic area, and a splash pad for summer fun! Don't miss your chance to own this stunning new construction home—schedule a tour today!

  12. 2026-04-13
    price $272,400 1147-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1147 chars)

    $7,500 USE AS YOU CHOOSE CREDIT WITH USE OF PREFERRED LENDER ALPHA MORTGAGE!! The Havilland floor plan by A & G Residential is a charming 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home offering 1,330 square feet of well designed living space. The open-concept layout blends the living, dining, and kitchen areas for effortless flow and functionality—perfect for entertaining or relaxing at home. Highlights of the common area include the fireplace and a large island. A thoughtfully placed kitchen with abundant cabinetry and a breakfast bar makes everyday living a breeze. The spacious primary suite offers a peaceful retreat with an en-suite bath with dual vanities and a walk-in closet. Two additional bedrooms provide flexibility for guests or a home office. For your outdoor enjoyment, you will find a covered front porch and covered rear porch. Situated in the quaint town of Downtown Wade, this small town offers amenities such as a walking trail, community park with playground, tennis and pickle ball court, picnic area, and a splash pad for summer fun! Don't miss your chance to own this stunning new construction home—schedule a tour today!

  13. 2026-01-29
    listed $274,900 Active
    Show marketing remark (1147 chars)

    $7,500 USE AS YOU CHOOSE CREDIT WITH USE OF PREFERRED LENDER ALPHA MORTGAGE!! The Havilland floor plan by A & G Residential is a charming 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home offering 1,330 square feet of well designed living space. The open-concept layout blends the living, dining, and kitchen areas for effortless flow and functionality—perfect for entertaining or relaxing at home. Highlights of the common area include the fireplace and a large island. A thoughtfully placed kitchen with abundant cabinetry and a breakfast bar makes everyday living a breeze. The spacious primary suite offers a peaceful retreat with an en-suite bath with dual vanities and a walk-in closet. Two additional bedrooms provide flexibility for guests or a home office. For your outdoor enjoyment, you will find a covered front porch and covered rear porch. Situated in the quaint town of Downtown Wade, this small town offers amenities such as a walking trail, community park with playground, tennis and pickle ball court, picnic area, and a splash pad for summer fun! Don't miss your chance to own this stunning new construction home—schedule a tour today!

  14. 2026-01-29
    listed $274,900 Active 1147-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1147 chars)

    $7,500 USE AS YOU CHOOSE CREDIT WITH USE OF PREFERRED LENDER ALPHA MORTGAGE!! The Havilland floor plan by A & G Residential is a charming 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home offering 1,330 square feet of well designed living space. The open-concept layout blends the living, dining, and kitchen areas for effortless flow and functionality—perfect for entertaining or relaxing at home. Highlights of the common area include the fireplace and a large island. A thoughtfully placed kitchen with abundant cabinetry and a breakfast bar makes everyday living a breeze. The spacious primary suite offers a peaceful retreat with an en-suite bath with dual vanities and a walk-in closet. Two additional bedrooms provide flexibility for guests or a home office. For your outdoor enjoyment, you will find a covered front porch and covered rear porch. Situated in the quaint town of Downtown Wade, this small town offers amenities such as a walking trail, community park with playground, tennis and pickle ball court, picnic area, and a splash pad for summer fun! Don't miss your chance to own this stunning new construction home—schedule a tour today!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 7/10 Severe 78% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,350
− Mortgage interest
−$15,259
− Property taxes
−$4,086
− Insurance
−$1,362
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,788
− Management
−$1,788
− Depreciation
−$7,924
Taxable loss
−$9,857
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,366
After-tax cash flow
$-2,568/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Cumberland County Schools
NCES district ID
3700011
Math proficiency
32% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
41% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$44,168
Composite
31.0/100
National rank
#6096
State rank
#126 of 178 in NC

Livability — Wade

Score
55/100
State rank
#650
US rank
#23543

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing D Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Wade, NC
Population (ZIP)
2,524

Population outlook (Cumberland County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
330,855 people
By 2030
333,523 · +0.8%
By 2040
335,583 · +1.4%
By 2050
335,325 · +1.4%
By 2075
342,853 · +3.6%
By 2100
340,698 · +3.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (76%)
Race & ethnicity
White 76% Black 12% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 3%
Common ancestry
Slovak 9% Iranian 1% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 3% Korean 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Cumberland

2024 margin
D (+13.4) · D 56.1% · R 42.7% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-4.3pp toward R · 2008: 17.7pp · 2024: 13.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+13.4 2020: D+16.6 2016: D+16.0 2012: D+19.7 2008: D+17.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 9.91%
Current HPI
336.2104
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-0.9% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-13 Price Changed $272,400 TMLS
  • 2026-04-13 Price Changed $272,400 LPRMLS
  • 2026-01-29 Listed $274,900 LPRMLS
  • 2026-01-29 Listed $274,900 TMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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