CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
18 Mccune Pl
C+ Composite 61.08
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.2/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.1/10.0
  • DSCR +4.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$249,000

18 Mccune Pl · Wurtsboro, NY 12790
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,600 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 39 Days on market
Built 1920 1.33 ac lot $156/sqft · 38% below area Est $402k · 38% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

This lovely house sits on a private oversized, level lot on a quiet street in the heart of the historic village of Wurtsboro, which features delightful shops and restaurants. Great Commuter Location. features a spacious front and back yard that can accommodate all your gatherings. Excellent location. The home features three bedrooms and 2 baths with a spacious living room, and a spacious new kitchen and dinette. attached car garage. Municipal water. This property provides easy access to town amenities. It is 3 lots combined totaling 1.34 acres, which is a rear find in the village.

Key facts

  • Quiet street
  • Spacious front yard
  • Spacious back yard

Tags

PRIVATE OVERSIZED LOTQUIET STREETSPACIOUS FRONT YARDSPACIOUS BACK YARDGREAT COMMUTER LOCATIONEASY ACCESS TO TOWN AMENITIES

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Private garage; 1 garage space
  • Utilities: Electricity connected (Orange & Rockland); Water connected; Septic tank
  • Home design: Single family residence; Updated/remodeled condition
  • Construction: Frame construction
  • Exterior features: Frame construction; Not waterfront; Additional parcel(s) included

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric range; Refrigerator; Eat-in kitchen
  • Bedrooms: Bedroom on the first floor
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bath; 1 half bath
  • Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating; Electric heating; No central cooling
  • Interior features: First floor bedroom; First floor full bath; Eat-in kitchen; Entrance foyer; Dormer attic; Full basement with Bilco doors and crawl space; 9 total rooms
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Laundry room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $249k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $33 ($391/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $249k).
  • Recommended offer: $242k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#453 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, employment A; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • Monticello Central School District (town): math 29% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #577 of 590 in NY (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Emma C Chase School (math 32% / reading 47%, grade F, #1,444 of 2,108 statewide, top 71%, 228 students, 57% FRL); Robert J Kaiser Middle School (math 7% / reading 35%, grade F, #661 of 729 statewide, top 91%, 595 students, 66% FRL); Monticello High School (math 82% / reading 34%, grade C, #879 of 1,100 statewide, top 80%, 844 students, 63% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 109 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 739 units permitted in Sullivan County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $27k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $25k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Sullivan County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $70k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$43k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 39 days — a 3% lower offer ($242k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $121k; list at $249k implies a 106% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $241,530 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 39 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.01%
Cap rate
6.72%
Cash-on-cash
1.52%
DSCR
1.07
GRM
8.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$401,663
List price
$249,000
Delta
-38.01%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
24 Hudson St 0.21mi 3/2.0 1,600 (0%) 9mo $320,000 $200 79
259 Kingston Ave 0.47mi 3/1.5 1,504 (-6%) 1mo $330,000 $219 65
14 Rosewood Ln 0.56mi 3/2.0 1,608 (+0%) 19mo $370,000 $230 53
17 Helm St 0.50mi 3/2.0 1,470 (-8%) 10mo $300,500 $204 51
27 Marc Ln 0.44mi 3/2.5 1,764 (+10%) 22mo $395,000 $224 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
24.7%
Equity multiple
2.98×
Total profit
$137,875
Equity at exit
$224,319
10-year hold
IRR
21.9%
Equity multiple
6.81×
Total profit
$404,756
Equity at exit
$483,752

Cash invested: $69,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 12790

Home prices YoY
26.8%
Active inventory
109
Price-to-rent
8.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,525 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,306
Tax from tax record
$497 /mo · $5,965/yr
Insurance
$104
Flood insurance flood zone
−$56 /mo · $666/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$530
Net cashflow
$33

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,484
Max offer price $249,000
Occupancy floor 94%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $174 -5% $103 +0% $33 +5% $-38 +10% $-108
Rent -10% $-167 -5% $-67 +0% $33 +5% $132 +10% $232
Rate -1.0pp $158 -0.5pp $96 base $33 +0.5pp $-32 +1.0pp $-98

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$62,250
Closing costs
$7,470
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
127 Pine St Unit 4 Wurtsboro, NY 2.0 1.5 1200 $2,525 $2.10 15d 1 0.24mi

Listing history 36 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $249,000 Active 39 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $249,000 Active 36 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $249,000 Active 35 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $249,000 Active 34 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $249,000 Active 33 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $249,000 Active 31 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $249,000 Active 28 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $249,000 Active 27 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $249,000 Active 26 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $249,000 Active 25 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $249,000 Active 21 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $249,000 Active 20 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $249,000 Active 19 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $249,000 Active 18 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $249,000 Active 17 DOM
  16. 2026-05-08
    listed $249,000 Active 587-char remark
  17. 2025-09-16
    historical
  18. 2025-04-02
    price $245,000
  19. 2025-02-24
    price $265,000
  20. 2025-01-21
    listed $319,000 Active
  21. 2023-12-29
    historical $2,200
  22. 2023-12-05
    price $2,200
  23. 2023-11-30
    price $2,400
  24. 2023-10-20
    price $2,500
  25. 2023-09-27
    price $2,700
  26. 2023-07-12
    listed
  27. 2023-01-18
    soldstatus $121,000
  28. 2022-10-07
    soldstatus $85,900
  29. 2022-07-14
    status Pending
  30. 2022-07-14
    historical
  31. 2022-06-29
    listed $119,900 Active
  32. 2016-02-26
    soldstatus $79,000
  33. 2016-02-24
    soldstatus $79,500
  34. 2015-03-12
    listed $94,900
  35. 2013-10-15
    historical
  36. 2013-04-15
    listed $99,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$5,965 · $497/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$5,965 · $497/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 8% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$30,300
− Mortgage interest
−$13,948
− Property taxes
−$5,965
− Insurance
−$1,912
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,424
− Management
−$2,424
− Depreciation
−$7,244
Taxable loss
−$3,616
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$868
After-tax cash flow
$1,259/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Monticello Central School District
NCES district ID
3619740
Math proficiency
29% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
30% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$44,696
Composite
25.28/100
National rank
#7491
State rank
#577 of 590 in NY

Livability — Wurtsboro

Score
70/100
State rank
#453
US rank
#7914

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living B Crime A+ Employment A Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Wurtsboro, NY
City population
2,661
Population (ZIP)
4,341

Population outlook (Sullivan County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
68,974 people
By 2030
65,609 · -4.9%
By 2040
58,878 · -14.6%
By 2050
52,500 · -23.9%
By 2075
39,941 · -42.1%
By 2100
28,880 · -58.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (79%)
Race & ethnicity
White 79% Two or more races 9% Black 6% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 3%
Common ancestry
Russian 7% Slovak 5% Scotch-Irish 4%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada
Languages at home
87% English-only · Spanish 3% Chinese 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Sullivan

2024 margin
R (+16.7) · D 41.6% · R 58.4%
2008→2024 swing
-26.2pp toward R · 2008: 9.5pp · 2024: -16.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+16.7 2020: R+9.2 2016: R+13.7 2012: D+10.4 2008: D+9.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 95.79%
Current HPI
452.7233
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+149.2% since first listed
21 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-08 Listed $249,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-09-16 Listing Removed OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-04-02 Price Changed $245,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-02-24 Price Changed $265,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-01-21 Listed $319,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-12-29 Rental Removed $2,200 ONEKEY
  • 2023-12-05 Price Changed $2,200 ONEKEY
  • 2023-11-30 Price Changed $2,400 ONEKEY
  • 2023-10-20 Price Changed $2,500 ONEKEY
  • 2023-09-27 Price Changed $2,700 ONEKEY
  • 2023-07-12 Listed for Rent ONEKEY
  • 2023-01-18 Sold (Public Records) $121,000 Public Records
  • 2022-10-07 Sold (Public Records) $85,900 Public Records
  • 2022-07-14 Pending OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-07-14 Listing Removed OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-06-29 Listed $119,900 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-02-26 Sold (Public Records) $79,000 Public Records
  • 2016-02-24 Sold (MLS) $79,500 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2015-03-12 Listed $94,900 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2013-10-15 Listing Removed OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2013-04-15 Listed $99,900 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+1.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $5,965 · +1.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…